Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Vaccine Megathread - See OP for threadbans

1…167168170172173…331

Comments

  • #5072
    stephenjmcd
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,450 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    snotboogie wrote: »
    Shocking numbers for this week. Indicates a significant slowdown over the next few days. 250k next week is good. Not sure how supply is an issue when all of the rest of Western Europe are already 5 to 7 days ahead of us?

    AZ delviery delay again this week appearently is the main cause.

    They could well deliver more. Last week was over target for example, and a good bit over at that


  • #5073
    Lumen
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,285 ✭✭✭✭Lumen


    Current pace seems piss-poor given that we have something like half a million doses in stock.


  • #5074
    Zipppy
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,053 ✭✭✭Zipppy


    GP just rang .. getting Pfizer on Monday as Cohort4...I'm delighted


  • #5075
    snotboogie
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,795 ✭✭✭snotboogie


    stephenjmcd wrote: »
    AZ delviery delay again this week appearently is the main cause.

    They could well deliver more. Last week was over target for example, and a good bit over at that

    Doesn't explain how countries pulling from the exact same supply have 33 doses per 100 while we are at 29 and need to slow down due to supply issues. As far as I know most of these countries have the same restrictions on AZ


  • #5076
    is_that_so
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Lumen wrote: »
    Current pace seems piss-poor given that we have something like half a million doses in stock.
    Do you have a link to that half a million doses info? Moderna needs a 50% backup at all times and J&J is tiny at present.


  • Advertisement
  • #5077
    stephenjmcd
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,450 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    Theres alot of numbers flying around and here's some more. It really is a wait and see situation as to where we actually are in a few weeks time

    https://twitter.com/oconnellhugh/status/1387723461175431172?s=19


  • #5078
    Lumen
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,285 ✭✭✭✭Lumen


    is_that_so wrote: »
    Do you have a link to that half a million doses info? Moderna needs a 50% backup at all times and J&J is tiny at present.

    The EU vaccine tracker which hasn't been updated with the 192k Pfizer.

    278+192=470k.

    I realise this might be out a bit due to delays but do the Irish gov report this directly? I don't know of a better source.

    https://qap.ecdc.europa.eu/public/extensions/COVID-19/vaccine-tracker.html#distribution-tab

    image.png


  • #5079
    Apogee
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,893 ✭✭✭Apogee


    stephenjmcd wrote: »
    This is what cabinet is reportedly being told of the vaccine programme.

    I'm sure someone a bit better at the maths than me can try compare with the population

    https://twitter.com/SeanDefoe/status/1387707004957962241?s=19


    We needed ~5M doses (2 shot) to reach the 82% first dose and 55% second dose targets set by government previously.

    Even allowing for a certain number of 1 shot J&J, 4M still seems low.

    Unless they aim to reach the 82% first dose target but reduce the 55% second dose target given the restriction of 60-69 to AZ primarily? In other words, the 55% target will be delayed because of the 12 weeks AZ interval.


  • #5080
    snotboogie
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,795 ✭✭✭snotboogie


    EU Countries Vaccines administered per 100 people as of the 28th of April (not including those using Chinese or Russian vaccines) :

    Malta: 72
    Lithuania: 33.5
    Spain: 33
    Denmark: 32.5
    Austria: 32
    Germany: 32
    Estonia: 32
    Finland: 31.5
    Belgium: 31.5
    Italy: 31.5
    Portugal: 31
    Netherlands: 30.5
    Sweden: 30.5
    France: 30
    Luxembourg: 29
    Greece: 29
    Ireland: 29
    Poland: 28.5
    Slovenia: 28.5
    Czech Rep: 28
    Slovakia: 27.5
    Cyprus: 27
    Romania: 25.5
    Croatia: 20
    Latvia: 15
    Bulgaria: 11


  • #5081
    Winters
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,762 ✭✭✭✭Winters


    For people taking inference from this table, be aware that the discrepancies are very marginal between 30 to 28 per 100. We are talking the difference of hours or a day at most.

    The difference between Ireland being at 30 per 100 and not 29 is 50,000 vaccines.


  • Advertisement
  • #5082
    astrofool
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,439 ✭✭✭✭astrofool


    astrofool wrote: »
    I see we're at day 1 of the weekly vaccine rollout schedule.

    This is the day deliveries happen.

    It's also the day a lot of posters shout about Saturday/Sundays and 24/7 vaccinations.

    By day 5 we're back to 95% rolled out (with holdback for second doses), and the cycle starts again.

    It's Thursday and people are shouting about a weeks worth of stock not being used up in the first 2 days :)


  • #5083
    snotboogie
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,795 ✭✭✭snotboogie


    Winters wrote: »
    For people taking inference from this table, be aware that the discrepancies are very marginal between 30 to 28 per 100. We are talking the difference of hours or a day at most.

    Edit. the

    Not true, we are doing 0.4 to 0.6 per day so there is about 4 days between 28 and 30, not hours lol


  • #5084
    ACitizenErased
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,751 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased


    Apparently the 4m figure for June isn’t true at all. HSE still working on the plan.
    https://twitter.com/zaraking/status/1387718108882821121?s=21


  • #5085
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    Winters wrote: »
    For people taking inference from this table, be aware that the discrepancies are very marginal between 30 to 28 per 100. We are talking the difference of hours or a day at most.

    Edit. the

    And many of the countries have reported to yesterday, where as the data for Ireland on the aggregation sites is only to Monday. Add another 1-1.5 does per 100 for Tuesday and Wednesday


  • #5086
    Winters
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,762 ✭✭✭✭Winters


    snotboogie wrote: »
    Not true, we are doing 0.4 to 0.6 per day so there is about 4 days between 28 and 30, not hours lol

    Thanks, I meant to say 1 in 100 would be 1 day or 50,000, 0.5 would equate to roughly half a day of doses.


  • #5087
    Panrich
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,982 ✭✭✭Panrich


    Winters wrote: »
    For people taking inference from this table, be aware that the discrepancies are very marginal between 30 to 28 per 100. We are talking the difference of hours or a day at most.

    The difference between Ireland being at 30 per 100 and not 29 is 50,000 vaccines.

    It can also be a bit misleading in that it gives the impression that this is 29% of the population that have had a vaccination. The people who have had two doses are double counted in this table.


  • #5088
    Stewball
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 772 ✭✭✭Stewball


    Anyone been offered the vaccine twice?

    Got a text from the HSE with an appointment date at a vaccine centre. I have already been vaccinated by my GP back in March.


  • #5089
    snotboogie
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,795 ✭✭✭snotboogie


    Winters wrote: »
    Thanks, I meant to say 1 in 100 would be 1 day or 50,000, 0.5 would equate to roughly half a day of doses.

    Except we have never hit a 50k day so 0.5 is not half a day. We are averaging about 0.5 per day over the last month, so 0.5 is a full day not a half day


  • #5090
    snotboogie
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,795 ✭✭✭snotboogie


    [Deleted User] wrote: »
    And many of the countries have reported to yesterday, where as the data for Ireland on the aggregation sites is only to Monday. Add another 1-1.5 does per 100 for Tuesday and Wednesday

    No the Ireland data is to Tuesday. So at most one day behind


  • #5091
    ACitizenErased
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,751 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased


    snotboogie wrote: »
    No the Ireland data is to Tuesday. So at most one day behind

    Data uploaded Tuesday isn’t Tuesdays figures. We have delay.


  • Advertisement
  • #5092
    snotboogie
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,795 ✭✭✭snotboogie


    ACitizenErased wrote: »
    Data uploaded Tuesday isn’t Tuesdays figures. We have delay.

    The data uploaded today is Tuesdays figures. We are at 29 per 100 as of the numbers released this morning


  • #5093
    Lumen
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 31,285 ✭✭✭✭Lumen


    astrofool wrote: »
    It's Thursday and people are shouting about a weeks worth of stock not being used up in the first 2 days :)
    If we are doing 150k this week with over 450k of stock then we have three weeks of stock, not one.


  • #5094
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    snotboogie wrote: »
    No the Ireland data is to Tuesday. So at most one day behind

    So based on last Wednesday - 0.8 doses per 100k.


  • #5095
    Valhallapt
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,226 ✭✭✭Valhallapt


    ACitizenErased wrote: »
    Apparently the 4m figure for June isn’t true at all. HSE still working on the plan.
    https://twitter.com/zaraking/status/1387718108882821121?s=21

    I do wonder if the HSE are reading this thread...


  • #5096
    snotboogie
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,795 ✭✭✭snotboogie


    [Deleted User] wrote: »
    So based on last Wednesday - 0.8 doses per 100k.

    Wednesday is one of the 3 busiest days, you have to balance it with the weekend. Currently we are at 0.6 per 100 over 7 days. Taking all of April we are at about 0.5 average


  • #5097
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    snotboogie wrote: »
    Wednesday is one of the 3 busiest days, you have to balance it with the weekend. Currently we are at 0.6 per 100 over 7 days. Taking all of April we are at about 0.5 average

    Your maths don't add up. The day not included is yesterday, not a factional average day over the course of a full month. Based on current progress you would reasonably expect 0.8 does per 100 to have been administered yesterday


  • #5098
    snotboogie
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,795 ✭✭✭snotboogie


    Deleted User wrote: »
    Your maths don't add up. The day not included is yesterday, not a factional average day over the course of a full month. Based on current progress you would reasonably expect 0.8 does per 100 to have been administered yesterday

    You are assuming every countries numbers are ahead of Ireland based on dates, which isn't true. I have included the dates on the table for reference. Below is a valid comparison:

    Country per capita Date Reported
    Malta 72 April 27th
    Lithuania 33.5 April 28th
    Spain 33 April 27th
    Denmark 32.5 April 27th
    Austria 32 April 28th
    Germany 32 April 27th
    Estonia 32 April 28th
    Finland 31.5 April 28th
    Belgium 31.5 April 28th
    Italy 31.5 April 28th
    Portugal 31 April 28th
    Netherlands 30.5 April 27th
    Sweden 30.5 April 28th
    France 30 April 27th
    Luxembourg 29 April 27th
    Greece 29 April 28th
    Ireland 29 April 27th
    Poland 28.5 April 27th
    Slovenia 28.5 April 28th
    Czech Rep 28 April 28th
    Slovakia 27.5 April 28th
    Cyprus 27 April 23rd
    Romania 25.5 April 26th
    Croatia 20 April 27th
    Latvia 15 April 28th
    Bulgaria 11 April 28th


  • #5099
    Deathofcool
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 48 ✭Deathofcool


    Don't know if this has been all ready posted but some nice real world data on the effectiveness of one dose of vaccine on transmission.

    https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bbc.com/news/health-56904993.amp


  • #5100
    PhilOssophy
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,114 ✭✭✭PhilOssophy


    snotboogie wrote: »
    You are assuming every countries numbers are ahead of Ireland based on dates, which isn't true. I have included the dates on the table for reference. Below is a valid comparison:

    Country per capita Date Reported
    Malta 72 April 27th
    Lithuania 33.5 April 28th
    Spain 33 April 27th
    Denmark 32.5 April 27th
    Austria 32 April 28th
    Germany 32 April 27th
    Estonia 32 April 28th
    Finland 31.5 April 28th
    Belgium 31.5 April 28th
    Italy 31.5 April 28th
    Portugal 31 April 28th
    Netherlands 30.5 April 27th
    Sweden 30.5 April 28th
    France 30 April 27th
    Luxembourg 29 April 27th
    Greece 29 April 28th
    Ireland 29 April 27th
    Poland 28.5 April 27th
    Slovenia 28.5 April 28th
    Czech Rep 28 April 28th
    Slovakia 27.5 April 28th
    Cyprus 27 April 23rd
    Romania 25.5 April 26th
    Croatia 20 April 27th
    Latvia 15 April 28th
    Bulgaria 11 April 28th

    Looks like the Eurovision points table


  • Advertisement
  • #5101
    Pablo Escobar
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 668 ✭✭✭Pablo Escobar


    What's going on in Bulgaria?


This discussion has been closed.
Advertisement