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trump becomes president 1000 euro at 25/1 on betfair

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    #122
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Rjd2 wrote: »
    Bernie price is silly in some places, if I was to have a few throw away tenner bets, it would be on Kaine or Biden, both guys would be business as usual for the dems which is what the people behind the scenes would probably prefer.:pac:

    for sure, Biden seems a more relaxed, grounded personality, @51 he's not bad value also. HC will be drifting out past evens in no time the way things are.

    Pneumonia is surprisingly common, but also fairy serious and complex if suffering from other conditions.


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    #123
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    1.62 vs 2.38 shows how close the market is now.

    Screen_Shot_2016_09_12_at_13_26_04.png

    Last night's @51 Biden has gone now, BP (around 50% less) at @26.

    Screen_Shot_2016_09_12_at_13_29_46.png

    Joe expressed a keen interest in running for POTUS previously, so would be 2nd to Trump now betwise.
    Market is becoming available as a section within an accumulator as the contest progresses.


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    #124
    Rjd2
    Registered Users Posts: 12,005 ✭✭✭✭Rjd2


    Interesting, reckon their is any chance we will see Hilary close to evs with the exchanges or a bookie in the near future?


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    #125
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    HC could get close to 2.0, or if there's anymore major health issues multiply that numeral by a factor of 10.

    Joe is looking like a possibility, as Kaine drifts out to near triple figures.

    There is of course a 3rd scenario which could void all bets,
    well depending on how much you read into mystic 'Baba Vanga' that is.
    Probably something like Article One, Section 9, clause 2?


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    #126
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    T-4hrs until the debate, and think the markets are already trying to tell us something...

    V45etty.png


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    #127
    J Mysterio
    Registered Users Posts: 11,035 ✭✭✭✭J Mysterio


    It starts at 2am.


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    #128
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Trump will need a miracle of sorts to recover now.
    Repeating 20 simpleton words & phrases isn't the way to go about these things.

    What a contrast from a few hours ago:
    Screen_Shot_2016_09_27_at_03_45_16.png


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    #129
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Someone may need to wake the traders up over at Ladbrokens as 1.62 isn't a bad price.

    269CJxz.png


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    #130
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    ding ding, Round 2 and prices have widened somewhat since the last bout @ 1.22 vs 5.2.

    Unless there is a massive wiki leakage, or other very major revelation or action, it could be game over tonight.
    Once curious correlation is that the MEXvUSD is at a month low when it should be gaining this week.
    DT will have to bring his A+ game (and then some) in 20mins, if he's going to recover.


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    #131
    okidoki987
    Registered Users Posts: 10,616 ✭✭✭✭okidoki987


    This is the greatest example of someone ****ng away their own chances of winning!
    So long as HC doesn't make a mess or get info published on her that will harm the campaign, she should walk it from here.


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    #132
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    That was a good nite for Donald, seems it's 'game on' yet again:

    Screen_Shot_2016_10_10_at_13_57_09.png


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    #133
    whiteshorts
    Site Banned Posts: 880 ✭✭✭whiteshorts


    Paddy Power paying out on Clinton!

    http://blog.paddypower.com/politics/2016/10/18/paddy-power-pay-out-hillary-clinton/


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    #134
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Seems like expensive marketing (to the tune to $1m), still good news for the all the punters out there.

    BP today is only 1.18, but 3wks is a still long time in politics.

    Mr Lasagna has his interweb cut off and doesn't appear to have any juicy news, so perhaps it's clear sailing for HC.
    There is of course always the chance of an 'Brexit type' result. The Brexit vote couldn't have won, surely not...


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    #135
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Ladbrokes seem to have got the jitters and are now offering the best price today on HC @1.36 following recent news (scandal).

    BFSport have the BP for Donald @4. DT was @6.5 just a few days ago.

    We'll likely see 1.5 vs 2.88 appear within the next week, a weeks a long time in this game.


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    #136
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Negative market (S&P 500):

    0gxxaKy.pngEuUoXc8.png

    and MXN drop:
    QUy0uEW.png

    might pointing to a Triumphant Donald.

    Suspect HC will get @1.5 during this week

    With the way things are going, @9 price booster could be of value:
    1c9nVVP.png

    as could 50-52% vote share:
    coK3Gw3.png

    ...who knows with all the madness, Nigel Farage might even win CBB!
    T2s2ZYW.png


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    #137
    ibrahimovic
    Registered Users Posts: 409 ✭✭ibrahimovic


    I can really see him doing it, tempted to put a bet on, still 11/4 with sportingbet.


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    #138
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    The Hills have gone out to '1.4' with Fred, Lads & Coral, that's the best price she's been for a long time (September).

    Thur/Fri @1.66+?


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    #139
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Interesting article published in the last 30mins:

    They (Powers) say '91% of all bets in the past 48 hours' have been backing Trump to win.

    "If the billionaire reality TV star and sometime steak salesman makes it to the Oval Office, they’ll be facing their biggest ($1m+) political payout in their 28 year history".


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    #140
    fatgav
    Registered Users Posts: 627 ✭✭✭fatgav


    Would any bookmaker allow you to do multiples on individual states? I know Paddy Power have some pre-selected combinations but the odds on them are woeful


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    #141
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    fatgav wrote: »
    Would any bookmaker allow you to do multiples on individual states? I know Paddy Power have some pre-selected combinations but the odds on them are woeful

    Sky had a boost a earlier today

    1c9nVVP.png

    Florida is about evens and highly important to both candidates


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    #142
    fatgav
    Registered Users Posts: 627 ✭✭✭fatgav


    Kenley Sticky Cactus wrote: »
    Sky had a boost a earlier today

    1c9nVVP.png

    Florida is about evens and highly important to both candidates

    The same four states on Betfair Sportsbook are 7/4, 6/5, 5/6 and 3/1.

    That would be north of 43/1... if they let you put it into an accumulator


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    #143
    Danny2580
    Registered Users Posts: 432 ✭✭Danny2580


    They're related bets, you won't be able to put them into an accum, and if you do manage to, the bet will most likely be voided and stake returned. The 8/1 is a special price with the relation between the bets factored in.


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    #144
    fatgav
    Registered Users Posts: 627 ✭✭✭fatgav


    Danny2580 wrote: »
    They're related bets, you won't be able to put them into an accum, and if you do manage to, the bet will most likely be voided and stake returned. The 8/1 is a special price with the relation between the bets factored in.


    I figured that was the issue, but would question the principle of whether they amount to related bets. Maybe this is a simplistic way of looking at things, but I always felt that if the outcome of Bet A affects the odds of Bet B, then they can't be in an accumulator. I don't see how the election in one state is affected by a candidate winning in another. I know the networks declare winners when polls close in some of the Eastern states, but it still seems somewhat vague to me


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    #145
    okidoki987
    Registered Users Posts: 10,616 ✭✭✭✭okidoki987


    It's because if Person A wins x, there's a good chance of them winning y and a much better chance of winning z if they have already won the x and y etc.
    It's to avoid multiple liabilities on landslide victories for the same person/team etc.


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    #146
    cute geoge
    Registered Users Posts: 2,848 ✭✭✭cute geoge


    Trump out to 4/1 on p.p. ,he might as well throw in the towel. It looks to be in the bag for hilly c


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    #147
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Indeed BP for Trump available @5.5 (on BFSports), 5.0 (4/1) few places elsewhere.
    Will await Monday/Tue before any conclusions.

    Am sure anyone including OP, who got on the Trump train at double-digits (10-20+) would have already prepared to offset/lay.
    I.e. Back HC at around 1.4 or 1.5 (was around 1.46 on WH just days ago) thereby assuring profit which ever way the wind blows.

    Reckon DT is certainly still in with a chance and the bookies may remain liquid until final hours.
    That fella Nostradamus seems contradictory on his views for Century III.

    Anyway next on the radar for me anyway is 'Nigel in the Jungle', @26 is available, he may well make it to the final, but not win outright.
    Easy going and full of banter Eamy Holmes is also in with a chance @11+.


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    #148
    Atlantic Dawn
    Registered Users Posts: 81,154 ✭✭✭✭Atlantic Dawn
    M


    cute geoge wrote: »
    Trump out to 4/1 on p.p. ,he might as well throw in the towel. It looks to be in the bag for hilly c

    Easy easy money :D


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    #149
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Monday assessment as markets are closing (EST) is that the race is still wide open.

    There was only marginal gains across the S&P500 (^2%), DJ (^2%). MXN is down but still trading high 18.66, Gold holding steady at 1,280.
    None of which is indicative of a HC landslide as one would expect.

    More importantly perhaps as an indicator, is that three times as many bookies are going short, rather than drifting for DJ

    drop.png


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    #150
    Rjd2
    Registered Users Posts: 12,005 ✭✭✭✭Rjd2


    Trump to win Michigan my only bet, big working class turnout supposedly which did for HC against Sanders. I don't see a route for Trump to the white house, but backing 1/5 shots is dull.:P


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    #151
    ianburke
    Registered Users Posts: 691 ✭✭✭ianburke


    odds on now...after clinton was 1/14 2 hrs ago. fascinating stuff


This discussion has been closed.
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