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Korean Situation.

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Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,981 ✭✭✭monosharp


    Not exactly on topic but a very interesting documentary about the North.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lj9uNKT07xs

    North Korean fast food
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c4v0NU8QREU&feature=fvw

    North Korean Pizzaeria
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z7afMfaK9U8


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 6,798 ✭✭✭karma_


    It makes sense to train in areas you are more likely to fight in. You can't just say 'the sea's the sea' as the place is likely to have its own acoustic and magnetic conditions.

    Regardless, there was no requirement to fire a warshot torpedo. Disputed though the waters may be, there was a process in place to prevent such incidents from occurring, one which DPRK has just announced it will no longer be following. Might as well have announced it before as well, since they obviously didn't follow it then either.

    NTM

    I don't get your logic at times. I remember you on boards once defending the shooting down of Flight 655. Apparently there was a 'requirement ' to shoot down Flight 655 but no requirement to fire a torpedo in disputed waters?


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,418 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    karma_ wrote: »
    I don't get your logic at times. I remember you on boards once defending the shooting down of Flight 655. Apparently there was a 'requirement ' to shoot down Flight 655 but no requirement to fire a torpedo in disputed waters?
    It's actually absurdly simple!
    Any action/reaction that remotely has anything to do with the USA is always "right", and if it's not "right", it's to be defended.

    When SK fires on NK boats in disputed waters, they "deserved it", but if NK fires it's always wrong.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,981 ✭✭✭monosharp


    BluePlanet wrote: »
    It's actually absurdly simple!
    Any action/reaction that remotely has anything to do with the USA is always "right", and if it's not "right", it's to be defended.

    Ah yes, the yankee "your wrong, we're (always) right" defense.

    Quite funny how they talk about N. Koreans as brainwashed when most Americans I've ever met have a very similar outlook on everything. The 'Dear leader' is instead a weird combination of country + religion. The 'sleeping giant' bs really annoys me, as if theres something magic or special about america or been american. :rolleyes:


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,458 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    I remember you on boards once defending the shooting down of Flight 655. Apparently there was a 'requirement ' to shoot down Flight 655 but no requirement to fire a torpedo in disputed waters?

    Hardly an identical situation. In the one case there was an active shooting war going on. Indeed, at the time 655 was shot down, both Vincennes and Montgomery were engaged in a surface action against Iranian gunboats. (Vincennes helicopter shot at at by gunboats 0612Z, first rounds fired at gunboats 0643Z, 655 shot down 0654Z, last of the 5" rounds fired 0706Z).
    Secondly, the US at least made an effort to transmit on the international air distress frequency before launching.

    The US Navy may have screwed up, but at least it was an understandable screw-up in fairly stressful circumstances. Such cannot apparently be said for the Cheonan incident.
    Right, so if Russia and China decided to have 3/4's of their entire fleets take part in naval training off the coast of hawaii or the mainland states, where the 'pretend' enemy was the states and the wargames were designed as training to wipe them out, then that'd be perfectly fine with the yank government ?

    I don't believe that the world at large would consider the coast of Hawaii or California to be Chinese or Russian territorial waters. The world at large does consider the waters Cheonan was in to be ROK's. Drills would routinely be conducted in Germany within a few miles of the inter-German border on the land that was expected to be fought over without people freaking out.

    [ETA: It is also instructive to look at DPRK's statements on the issue. When the USSR shot down KAL 007, they said it was in defence of their territorial integrity. DPRK does not claim that they sank Cheonan because it was in their waters. DPRK does not claim that they sank Cheonan in response to 'Acts of aggression' such as carrying out exercises. Unlike the Vincennes incident, they have not claimed that it was a tragic misunderstanding of the situation. They have not even said 'It was a whoops, negligent discharge, sorry about that.' They are claiming to have had nothing to do with it whatsoever.]

    NTM


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,418 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    The US Navy may have screwed up, but at least it was an understandable screw-up in fairly stressful circumstances. Such cannot apparently be said for the Cheonan incident.
    Rubbish, what about the shots fired by SK before the sinking? Later blamed on a "flock of birds"?
    We don't know the specifics.
    The world at large does consider the waters Cheonan was in to be ROK's
    Do they?
    Looking at the bay on a map, i see a very large superpower country that sits on the UN Security Council in close proximity. I'd say that bay is within that country's "sphere of influence". If China was so bothered, they could make life particularly difficult for both SK and NK in those waters.
    They'll have the final say, "world opinion" be damned.


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,458 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    BluePlanet wrote: »
    Rubbish, what about the shots fired by SK before the sinking? Later blamed on a "flock of birds"?

    DPRK isn't claiming those to be the justification for the attack either. In fact, I don't think DPRK ever mentioned them.
    Looking at the bay on a map, i see a very large superpower country that sits on the UN Security Council in close proximity. I'd say that bay is within that country's "sphere of influence". If China was so bothered, they could make life particularly difficult for both SK and NK in those waters.
    They'll have the final say, "world opinion" be damned.

    I can't find an official statement on NLL from China online, but their fishing vessels operating in NK waters have always respected it. On the larger sphere, there are 200-mile exclusive economic zones of both China and South Korea in the area, which obviously overlap a fair bit. By agreement, both Chinese and ROK vessels patrol the overlapping areas, but only enforce against their own-flagged vessels. In the event of, say, a ROK vessel observing a Chinese fishing vessel breaching regulations, they contact the Chinese who send a ship over to deal with it. I can't find any incidents of clashes between ROKN and PLAN vessels since this agreement took effect in the late 1980s.

    The Chinese seem fairly satisfied with the current state of affairs and apparently have no desire to make life particularly difficult for anyone.

    NTM


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,981 ✭✭✭monosharp


    Hardly an identical situation.

    Don't think they were been compared, it was your logic that was in question.
    The US Navy may have screwed up, but at least it was an understandable screw-up in fairly stressful circumstances.

    Screwed up ? Plain and simple murder would be more accurate and what makes this incident even worse is the amount of lies and denial of responsibility that the US preached. At least have the decency to own up to what you've done.

    At very best this was a case of gross incompetence, which says a lot about the quality of officer in the US armed forces actually.
    I don't believe that the world at large would consider the coast of Hawaii or California to be Chinese or Russian territorial waters.

    As you said merely a few posts ago, isn't it best to train in areas you are more likely to fight in ?
    They are claiming to have had nothing to do with it whatsoever.

    Which makes me think they actually mightn't have had anything to do with it. Normally they'd be shouting about an incident like this proclaiming a great victory while simultaneously claiming they were provoked, lies or not.


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 16,458 Mod ✭✭✭✭Manic Moran


    At least have the decency to own up to what you've done.

    Forgive me, but did the US ever deny shooting down the Airbus?
    As you said merely a few posts ago, isn't it best to train in areas you are more likely to fight in ?

    Absolutely. But surely you would agree that maneuvers in your own territory are far less controversial than maneuvers several thousand miles from home?
    Normally they'd be shouting about an incident like this proclaiming a great victory while simultaneously claiming they were provoked, lies or not.

    The most notable incident was the raid on the Blue House. DPRK denied all knowledge, and said that if they were North Koreans, they were 'left-wing adventurers'. The Ulchin and Samchok commando infiltrations were, according to DPRK, "South Korean revolutionary armed guerillas". Claims that DPRK were responsible for the assasination attempt on President Chun in Burma were dismissed as "preposterous slander", despite the capture of the two NK agents responsible. They also said "We had already made it clear that we had nothing to do with the incident. We, by nature, have never resorted to individual terrorism and assassination and such thing is alien to us". I guess we'll leave aside a couple of hijackings and other failed attempts such as when they had a second crack at President Park, killing his wife. Or, of course, KAL 858 which DPRK denies involvement in.
    Then you have the escape of an infiltration boat in 1998, 'premeditated anti-North Korean slander.'

    Now, in fairness, after three weeks of discussions, the DPRK did finally express 'deep regret' at the 1996 submarine infiltration incident. That said, DPRK did vow revenge for the incidident, and are believed to have killed a ROK diplomat in Russia the following month. They also did admit to the clash in 1999, their official statement on the matter being "South Korean warships bumped against warships of the navy of the Korean People's Army (KPA) and fired bullets and shells at them and sank one of them in the North side's territorial waters.... The armed provocation committed against our warships by the South Korean authorities, who have aggravated the situation in the territorial waters of the North's side in the Yellow Sea of Korea almost every day from June 4, is an unbearable insult and military challenge to us. It is entirely thanks to the high patience and self-restraint of our people's army soldiers that the enemy's armed provocations in the Yellow Sea of Korea have not developed into an overall war." Similar to 1996 was the DPRK statement after the 2002 clash, which left sailors in both navies dead: "Feeling regretful for the unforeseen armed clash that occurred in the west sea recently, we are of the view that both sides should make joint efforts to prevent the recurrence of similar incidents in future"

    Indeed, the only indication of a claim of victory I can find easily happened after the Nov 2009 clash. Responding to a "grave armed provocation" the NK vessel "lost no time to deal a prompt retaliatory blow at the provokers. Much flurried by this, the group of warships of the South Korean forces hastily took to flight to the waters of their side." No ROK Personnel were killed, one NK may have been.

    NTM


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,418 ✭✭✭BluePlanet




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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,981 ✭✭✭monosharp


    Forgive me, but did the US ever deny shooting down the Airbus?

    No they didn't deny murdering a plane load of civilians, they just deny it was wrong and they deny responsibility.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran_Air_Flight_655
    The U.S. government issued notes of regret for the loss of innocent human life. The government never admitted wrongdoing, and did not accept responsibility nor submit an apology to the Iranian government.
    Absolutely. But surely you would agree that maneuvers in your own territory are far less controversial than maneuvers several thousand miles from home?

    Oh sorry when exactly did Korea join the USA ? I must have missed that.

    If the Russians have joint exercises with the Chinese off Alaska where the scenario is an attack against the US would that be 'okey dokey' to the yanks ? it would be of course in Russian waters.
    The most notable incident was the......

    Bit of a difference between claiming responsibility for a failed assassination attempt against the president of a country and destruction of an enemy military craft. They may be masters of propaganda but twisting an assassination attempt to be 'heroic' is a bit too much, especially when it failed.

    Although I get your point, its still strange though.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,981 ✭✭✭monosharp


    North Korea condemns South over warship claims
    http://edition.cnn.com/2010/WORLD/asiapcf/05/29/north.korea.warship/index.html?npt=NP1
    <snip> Pak (North Korean Maj. Gen) said people who disagreed with the investigators' assertions were expelled from the investigation team. He said the changes in investigation results as the case moved forward cast suspicion on the review, according to the state-run news agency's account.
    For example, the North Koreans say, the warship captain said at first there wasn't outside provocation but later said there was.

    And they say the military said at first there were no grounds to say it was an attack by the North but later changed that viewpoint.
    The North Koreans say the South is attempting to undermine efforts to promote reconciliation and North Korea's progress. They argue that the claim has served to rally conservative forces in South Korea and help them politically in upcoming elections.

    Elections are here in Korea next week and to be honest the North Koreans have got one thing spot on, this incident will probably be the winning or losing of the election for the current government.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 654 ✭✭✭Arsenal1986


    Iwasfrozen wrote: »

    Adding to that America is a demoracy and senators are unlikely to vote for a war that will see thousands brought home in a plastic bag needlessly. It's not good for votes.

    .

    Apologies if its already been stated but this is really not an issue as to whether or not America would go to war if North Korea crossed the DMZ. While the War Powers Act was meant to give the Legislature an effective Veto over the Executives ability to wage war, this has not been the reality over the 30 + years since its passage – basically the executive decides when and against who to deploy the US military and the legislature is basically ignored as can be seen time and again – Panama, Haiti, Grenada, first Gulf War – none preceded by a declaration of war. Afghanistan and Iraqi Freedom also not preceded by a specific declaration of war against those named countries. Therefore the views of the senate/congress initially anyway would be irrelevant to a degree. Of course as per the War Powers act they could theoretically cut funding to the war but that is just not realistic – in a midterm election year what senator would cut funding to soldiers fighting for their lives.

    Also, as has surely been stated, many of the 2nd Infantry divisions soldiers are based quiet near the border, they are a ‘trip wire’ for all intents and purposes. Cynical though it may be, they are not there primarily to stop the first NK waves but to reassure the South and Japan that America will be in the fight.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,458 ✭✭✭✭gandalf


    Given todays big story I wonder will NK try anything to get the limelight back on this situation?


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,418 ✭✭✭BluePlanet


    deadtiger wrote: »
    Given todays big story I wonder will NK try anything to get the limelight back on this situation?
    Previous to this story NK had nothing to gain by sinking a SK warship, i can't see how anything has changed?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 17,918 ✭✭✭✭orourkeda


    What is China's role in all this?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,981 ✭✭✭monosharp


    orourkeda wrote: »
    What is China's role in all this?

    Benevolent over Lords.

    China are North Korea's ally out of necessity. They cannot allow the US to control or have active bases on the entire Korean peninsula, right up to their borders, under any circumstances.

    On top of that, the Korean ethnic issues which I highlighted earlier should not be ignored. If Korea were united it could cause serious problems for the Chinese regarding ethnic Koreans in Manchuria and other ethnic groups throughout China.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,492 ✭✭✭Thomas828


    So as far as I can work out: the only reason why the DPRK still exists is because it's a buffer between the Chinese in Manchuria and the US in South Korea. And it has been that way ever since the Korean war fizzled out. What a sorry position! And all the while the economy is rotting and the people remain hungry, brainwashed and paranoid.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 14,670 ✭✭✭✭Wolfe Tone


    And also another reason is that the Chinese don't want a bucket load of NK immigrants either.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,718 ✭✭✭ARGINITE


    Thomas828 wrote:
    So as far as I can work out: the only reason why the DPRK still exists is because it's a buffer between the Chinese in Manchuria and the US in South Korea. And it has been that way ever since the Korean war fizzled out. What a sorry position!

    It does have something to do with China, but I think it's more the fact that China don't want a few million refugees flooding across the border into China if(when) North Korea collapsed.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,492 ✭✭✭Thomas828


    And neither does South Korea. Think of the problems that Germany has had since reunification, multiply them by 100 and you might have an idea.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,458 ✭✭✭✭gandalf


    Newsnight on BBC2 have a couple of interesting programmes about North & South Korea tonight and tomorrow night around 10.30

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/programmes/newsnight/8701959.stm

    Will try and watch these myself.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,981 ✭✭✭monosharp


    To its election day in Korea tomorrow and I'm been hearing a lot of rumours, some that surprisingly make a lot of sense.

    A lot of the locals here are convinced that NK had nothing to do with it, not for any lack of love for their Northern Brethren etc but rather because the situation just doesn't make sense added to the coincidence of the timing and especially because of China's cryptic response to the whole situation.

    So to try and put this into points;

    1. NK had nothing to gain from this in any capacity, in fact they will loose because this incident has helped the SK current administration and the current administration are extremely hard line with the North. The North refuses to even have talks with the SK president its that bad. There have been skirmishes in the same area of sea since the Korean war finished, year after year. People have been killed, ships damaged etc yet never was responsibility denied. It doesn't gain NK anything by sinking a SK ship and then denying it.

    2. The current administration is deeply unpopular and is almost guaranteed to loose a lot of support in the elections tomorrow, castrating the current presidents power. This incident may save them some support as they are hard line against the North, very coincidental.

    3. If it was an accident, especially one caused by or taken part in, by the yanks then the current administration would be in much worse trouble. Nothing would get the riots and anti-government demonstrations going then this administrations best mates causing the deaths of Korean sailors. Theres a very strong anti-American military attitude among the populace especially concerning events where Americans are involved in deaths of the local populace.

    4. China has stated "Beijing would not defend those responsible for the sinking of a South Korean warship". This is an extremely strange comment from China. They can't 'not' defend North Korea from invasion, they would loose far too much by allowing the Americans into North Korea as has already been highlighted. The message is very strange in its wording, I'd put money on it that China knows, or at least thinks they know that, NK had nothing to do with it and is simply working their press releases around that fact, or imagined fact.

    So the current conspiracy theory ,if you want to call it that, states that the ship was sunk by accident, either through its training exercises with the yanks or by some other means such as hitting an old mine. People then believe the current administration decided to place the blame for this at North Korea's feet in hopes of gaining support for the forthcoming elections because of their hard line policies. The US too, would hardly object to this strategy if they knew it was happening.

    Quotes from Koreans supporting the above, from the BBC.
    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/world/asia_pacific/10154787.stm
    SUNGSOO JI wrote:
    To be honest, I'm not sure I trust the information given to us about the Cheonan sinking. It could be a trick because it's election period at the moment, so it could be some kind of strategy.
    First of all, why has this happened now? We have an election in one week and many acts of provocation by North Korea have occurred in the period before an election. So we wonder - has this warship sinking accident been abused by the ruling party?
    The evidence is not clear, yet our government takes the result of the investigation as a fact. But I wonder how the mark of the ink pen still exists [on the torpedo fragment] even after the explosion? And why has North Korea put a signature at the bottom of the torpedo?
    I and many others suspect the South Korean government of deliberately accusing North Korea, even of making up the proof.
    We are well aware of the anti-North Korean sentiment of the government and do not trust the official report at all.

    I also think the government is ruining years of hard work of former presidents, especially Kim Dae-jung, who have worked so hard to take a first step towards reunification.

    <snip>

    Rumours are spreading about the cause of the sinking of the ship - such as a possible mistake with an American submarine during a joint exercise, which was covered up by the South Korean government in order to discredit North Korea.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 14,670 ✭✭✭✭Wolfe Tone


    Well how has the SK government fared in th Elections?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,492 ✭✭✭Thomas828


    Not good. Lee Myung-bak's popularity has slumped. http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/world/asia_pacific/10211824.stm


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