Official Free Money Betting Superthread 2011/12

duckysauce · 24-12-2011 9:50pm

Judgement Day wrote: »

Usually steer clear of 2nd half bets and Leinster vs Ulster is no exception with Leinster -11 at halftime (10/11) looking like free money. Why is Ulster putting out such a weak looking team?

it's part of a cunning plan

thomond2006 · 24-12-2011 11:33pm

John Hayes 1st tryscorer at 55/1 is free money sure, I reckon he'll spend the game hanging out on the wing!

thomond2006 · 25-12-2011 10:48pm

Munster -12 is the spread now, was -14. Way more tempted now!

duckysauce · 26-12-2011 12:37am

thomond2006 wrote: »

Munster -12 is the spread now, was -14. Way more tempted now!

did a double of them with leinster

wixfjord · 26-12-2011 12:56am

Magian to score a try in 80 mins for me tomorrow @ a decent looking 2/1.
Leinsters top tryscorer in the league so far iirc.

GerM · 26-12-2011 1:06am

Keeping it safe; Leinster -19 and Munster -6.

Works out at 2.2. Wouldn't touch the Ospreys/Scarlets game ever; that has tight, niggly game all over it.

thomond2006 · 26-12-2011 1:27am

Leinster -10
Sale Sharks win (at home to Newcastle)
Edinburgh win (at home to Glasgow)
Munster -6

that fourfold pays about 2/1

The Scottish derbies are generally home wins and Dwayne Peel is back for Sale, plus Newcastle are cack.

its_phil · 26-12-2011 6:10pm

Gone for Glasgow +8 HT @ 3/10
Connacht over 13.5 @ 5/6
Leinster -13 HT @11/10

4/1 all together

its_phil · 26-12-2011 7:16pm

its_phil wrote: »

Gone for Glasgow +8 HT @ 3/10
Connacht over 13.5 @ 5/6
Leinster -13 HT @11/10

4/1 all together

Boy oh boy did I get lucky with Leinster's risky decision making!!!:cool:

wp_rathead · 26-12-2011 7:17pm

Judgement Day wrote: »

Usually steer clear of 2nd half bets and Leinster vs Ulster is no exception with Leinster -11 at halftime (10/11) looking like free money.

JD you ledge!:)

Onecoolcookie · 26-12-2011 7:31pm

Any opinions on Ulster to score over 11.5 points in the match at evens?

its_phil · 26-12-2011 7:33pm

Onecoolcookie wrote: »

Any opinions on Ulster to score over 11.5 points in the match at evens?

I could see a consolation try if Leinster start to pull away but I'd leave it for 10 minutes

its_phil · 26-12-2011 7:38pm

its_phil wrote: »

I could see a consolation try if Leinster start to pull away but I'd leave it for 10 minutes

wixfjord · 26-12-2011 8:32pm

wixfjord wrote: »

Magian to score a try in 80 mins for me tomorrow @ a decent looking 2/1.
Leinsters top tryscorer in the league so far iirc.

Taken at 3/1 with Skybet.
Again, lovely break and pass.

thomond2006 · 26-12-2011 11:48pm

thomond2006 wrote: »

Leinster -10
Sale Sharks win (at home to Newcastle)
Edinburgh win (at home to Glasgow)
Munster -6

that fourfold pays about 2/1

Glasgow get a last minute try to draw it.

Still won on single bets with Munster & Leinster to beat their respective spreads, so a good weekend.

Judgement Day · 27-12-2011 12:01am

wixfjord wrote: »

Magian to score a try in 80 mins for me tomorrow @ a decent looking 2/1.
Leinsters top tryscorer in the league so far iirc.

Thank you!!!

4 out of 5 bets came in today with my only miss in the Ospreys game. Could have been even better had I had time to bet on the Munster game.

PP%2BDecember%2B26th.JPG

Juwwi · 27-12-2011 12:26am

robbie1977 wrote: »

Lads was in a PP shop half an hour ago and they had a good special both Leinster and Munster to win by 10 points or more 15/8 on stephens day.

the normal handicap is -24 10/11 and -14 10/11that double works out at 11/4
but theres a big difference between winning by 10 or winning by 25 or 15.

l went big on it.

The next morning PP changed the odds to 10/11 on this bet.
I taught the odds were wrong.
Hopefully a few others got on.

MungBean · 27-12-2011 12:59am

Carr first try scorer @ 8/1.

Back up bets on Fitz and Kearney refunded too with money back special.

Tasty.

wixfjord · 27-12-2011 1:50pm

Sarries look a good bet today.
Neutral ground that they're well used to, and a more powerful pack with a big bench.

Harlequins: 15 Mike Brown, 14 Seb Stegmann, 13 Matt Hopper, 12 Jordan Turner-Hall, 11 Ugo Monye, 10 Nick Evans, 9 Danny Care, 8 Nick Easter, 7 Chris Robshaw (c), 6 Maurie Fa'asavalu, 5 George Robson, 4 Tomas Vallejos, 3 James Johnston, 2 Chris Brooker, 1 Joe Marler.
Replacements: 16 Joe Gray, 17 Mark Lambert, 18 Tim Fairbrother, 19 Charlie Matthews, 20 Luke Wallace, 21 Richard Bolt, 22 Rory Clegg, 23 Tom Williams.

Saracens: 15 Alex Goode, 14 David Strettle, 13 Owen Farrell, 12 Brad Barritt, 11 James Short, 10 Charlie Hodgson, 9 Peter Stringer, 8 Ernst Joubert, 7 Andy Saull, 6 Kelly Brown, 5 George Kruis, 4 Steve Borthwick (c), 3 Carlos Nieto, 2 Schalk Brits, 1 Rhys Gill.
Replacements: 16 Jamie George, 17 John Smit, 18 Matt Stevens, 19 Mouritz Botha, 20 Jackson Wray, 21 Ben Spencer, 22 Adam Powell, 23 Chris Wyles.

Taking -3 I think. Stringer starts too.

Judgement Day · 27-12-2011 3:00pm

Harlequins Fullback Mike Brown to feature among the try scorers for me.

thomond2006 · 27-12-2011 4:04pm

No spread for this, might go for Sarries at 10/11.

its_phil · 27-12-2011 4:16pm

Judgement Day wrote: »

Harlequins Fullback Mike Brown to feature among the try scorers for me.

Good shout JD

wixfjord · 27-12-2011 7:30pm

Happy with that -3 @ 13/10

CatFromHue · 30-12-2011 3:03pm

I was going to say Scarlets at +5 away to the Dragons would be a great bet (Scarlets have won there in 4 out of the last 5 only losing by two in the other game) but cos of the 4 day turn around it's very much a second choice Scarlets team up.

PhatPiggins · 30-12-2011 3:15pm

Ulster -5 all day long

duckysauce · 30-12-2011 6:25pm

gone to -6,-7 now

Juwwi · 30-12-2011 6:40pm

The total points line is only 33.5 in the Ulster match tonight that seems very low to me.

porterbelly · 30-12-2011 7:33pm

PhatPiggins wrote: »

Ulster -5 all day long

Dirty night, could be a slog, might only be a kick of a ball between them.

Hoping Munster can do us a favour, and keep us within touching distance of Ulster in the table for last HC spot. Daft maybe, but have to cling to something!

Juwwi · 30-12-2011 7:49pm

robbie1977 wrote: »

The total points line is only 33.5 in the Ulster match tonight that seems very low to me.

porterbelly wrote: »

Dirty night, could be a slog, might only be a kick of a ball between them.
!

Yea just looking at the weather forcast it look miserable weather up there thats why point spread is low.

l just done no tryscorer 16/1 with skybet.

l still have nightmares about this fixture from last year when Pieenar threw a stray pass in he last minute to bust my no try bet :mad::mad:
l called him some names that night.

CIARAN_BOYLE · 30-12-2011 8:25pm

robbie1977 wrote: »

Yea just looking at the weather forcast it look miserable weather up there thats why point spread is low.

l just done no tryscorer 16/1 with skybet.

l still have nightmares about this fixture from last year when Pieenar threw a stray pass in he last minute to bust my no try bet :mad::mad:
l called him some names that night.

I'm sorry to say you already lost out.

Juwwi · 30-12-2011 8:38pm

CIARAN_BOYLE wrote: »

I'm sorry to say you already lost out.

Yea

over 33.5 would be more or less in aswell.:(

CatFromHue · 30-12-2011 10:06pm

CatFromHue wrote: »

I was going to say Scarlets at +5 away to the Dragons would be a great bet (Scarlets have won there in 4 out of the last 5 only losing by two in the other game) but cos of the 4 day turn around it's very much a second choice Scarlets team up.

Final score Dragons 6 Lanelli 10. 5 missed penalties from the Dragons who I went for after looking at the Lanelli team :mad:

Judgement Day · 30-12-2011 10:47pm

Another good night for me with 4 out of 6 bets coming good. What's the matter with Toulouse though - all of 30 of their points of their 30 - 15 win over Bayonne coming from the boot of Beauxis!

31-12-2011 12:37am

Connacht/Leinster HT/FT @ 6s..

ANXIOUS · 31-12-2011 10:50am

Harlequins against exeter looks like free money. I know they are missing Evans but half time full time 11/10 seems decent.

Judgement Day · 31-12-2011 11:25am

ANXIOUS wrote: »

Harlequins against exeter looks like free money. I know they are missing Evans but half time full time 11/10 seems decent.

Too close to call for me. Exeter are going well and ran Harlequins damn close at the Stoop (19-13) back in October. Home advantage may be decisive.

Judgement Day · 31-12-2011 7:24pm

Well another close game between Exeter and Quinns with the final score 9 -11 to Quinns - I even lost my 'safe' bet of more than 17.5 in the 1st half.
Some real bizarre results in the French Top 14 today, with Bordeaux hammering Stade Francais 39-6 and Lyon managing a 6 - 6 draw with star studded Clermont. I'm happy though as I escaped only €7 down on the day with a good day in prospect tomorrow.

CatFromHue · 31-12-2011 7:48pm

Judgement Day wrote: »

Well another close game between Exeter and Quinns with the final score 9 -11 to Quinns - I even lost my 'safe' bet of more than 17.5 in the 1st half.
Some real bizarre results in the French Top 14 today, with Bordeaux hammering Stade Francais 39-6 and Lyon managing a 6 - 6 draw with star studded Clermont. I'm happy though as I escaped only €7 down on the day with a good day in prospect tomorrow.

Biarritz went to town on Toulon 25-6 too.

Frenchies

thomond2006 · 31-12-2011 8:04pm

Pretty strong Toulon team too, strange one.

duckysauce · 31-12-2011 9:57pm

wixfjord wrote: »

Magian to score a try in 80 mins for me tomorrow @ a decent looking 2/1.
Leinsters top tryscorer in the league so far iirc.

he is 5/1 to score a try anytime tomorrow

and 325/1 to score 3 or more

Samich · 31-12-2011 11:40pm

duckysauce wrote: »

he is 5/1 to score a try anytime tomorrow

and 325/1 to score 3 or more

Has Madigan been scoring trys consistently or has he bagged loads in the one match?

wixfjord · 01-01-2012 3:45am

Samich wrote: »

duckysauce wrote: »

he is 5/1 to score a try anytime tomorrow

and 325/1 to score 3 or more

Has Madigan been scoring trys consistently or has he bagged loads in the one match?

Boss @ 13/2 and strauss for me. Forwards game IMO.

CIARAN_BOYLE · 01-01-2012 5:16am

Samich wrote: »

Has Madigan been scoring trys consistently or has he bagged loads in the one match?

6 tries so far each in a different game, also one try in each of his last three games

thomond2006 · 01-01-2012 1:12pm

Gone for Madigan to score a try, I usually don't touch tryscorer bets but these were too good odds to pass up.

CatFromHue · 06-01-2012 7:20pm

How are people feeling about this weekend?

Paddy Power have Dragons +2 at home to the Ospreys. While the Dragons are down the bottom of the table the Ospreys have only won once at Rodney Parade.

Glasgow are +11 away to Lanelli. Now Glasgow are third in the league, and their last defeat in the Pro12 was at home to Treviso in September (that's 8 games unbeaten). In their 4 HEC games they've only lost once out of the four games.

wp_rathead · 06-01-2012 7:35pm

Scarlets vs Glasgow
Glasgow +11 @ 10/11

Scarlets in Rabo at home:
Sun 04/09/11 RP Scarlets 32 - 9 Aironi View (23 point win)
Sat 24/09/11 RP Scarlets 10 - 15 Leinster (5 point loss)
Fri 07/10/11 RP Scarlets 33 - 17 Edinburgh (16 points win)
Sat 29/10/11 RP Scarlets 24 - 17 Ulster (7 point win)
Fri 25/11/11 RP Scarlets 22 - 12 Newport Gwent Dragons (10 point win)
Mon 26/12/11 RP Scarlets 22 - 14 Ospreys (8 point win)

Only vs Aironi and Edinburgh would they have beaten the 11point handicap.

Glasgow in Rabo away:
Fri 02/09/11 RP Ulster 28 - 14 Glasgow Warriors (14 point loss)
Sat 17/09/11 RP Leinster 19 - 23 Glasgow Warriors (4 point win)
Sat 01/10/11 RP Cardiff Blues 13 - 34 Glasgow Warriors (21 point win)
Sat 05/11/11 RP Aironi 6 - 18 Glasgow Warriors (12 point win)
Sun 04/12/11 RP Newport Gwent Dragons 14 - 14 Glasgow Warriors (draw)
Mon 26/12/11 RP Edinburgh 23 - 23 Glasgow Warriors (draw)

Won all but one +11 away handicaps (bar Vs Ulster)

Past meetings (Glasgow +11 won all):
April 2011- Glasgow 29-37 Scarlets
October 2010- Scarlets 18-14 Glasgow
May 2010- Scarlets 32-37 Glasgow
Sept 2009- Glasgow 19-11 Scarlets

Scarlets team:
15 Dan Newton, 14 George North, 13 Scott Williams, 12 Jonathan Davies, 11 Sean Lamont, 10 Rhys Priestland, 9 Gareth Davies, 1 Iestyn Thomas, 2 Matthew Rees, 3 Deacon Manu, 4 Lou Reed, 5 Dominic Day, 6 Rob McCusker, 7 Johnathan Edwards, 8 Ben Morgan.

Replacements: Ken Owens, Rhodri Jones, Rhys Thomas, Josh Turnbull, Aaron Shingler, Rhodri Williams, Stephen Jones, Viliame Iongi.

Glasgow team: 15 Peter Murchie
14 Tommy Seymour, 13 Rob Dewey 12 Graeme Morrison (captain) 11 David Lemi 10 Ruaridh Jackson 9 Henry Pyrgos
1 Jon Welsh2 Fergus Thomson3 Moray Low4 Rob Verbakel5 Tom Ryder6 Rob Harley7 Chris Fusaro8 Ryan Wilson
SUBSTITUTES
16 Finlay Gillies17 Gordon Reid18 Ed Kalman19 Calum Forrester20 Johnnie Beattie21 Murray McConnell22 Alex Dunbar23 Scott Wight

PhatPiggins · 06-01-2012 11:00pm

Leinster scratch 10/11 against Cardiffs 3 very good players, a lot of guys past their best and bog standard journeymen

Like finding money on the street

duckysauce · 07-01-2012 8:57pm

PhatPiggins wrote: »

Leinster scratch 10/11 against Cardiffs 3 very good players, a lot of guys past their best and bog standard journeymen

Like finding money on the street

leinster are a money making machine lately

Mthor5 · 07-01-2012 9:00pm

jesus, heart was in the mouth for a while there,ref did'nt make it easy:D

PhatPiggins · 08-01-2012 12:54am

duckysauce wrote: »

leinster are a money making machine lately

That would have been a cakewalk for Leinster except for the ref.

As a Tipperary man I embarrassed to say I've made a lot of money this season from backing Leinster to beat the cap and opposing Munster to do the same

Official Free Money Betting Superthread 2011/12

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