The Football / Soccer Tips Thread v2

ForeverYoung90 · 28-04-2012 11:56pm

Can someone please give me a solid bet for tomorrow at even money or better please?

Shane St. · 28-04-2012 11:57pm

ForeverYoung90 wrote: »

Can someone please give me a solid bet for tomorrow at even money or better please?

wait till monday and back man city 6/5

yesno1234 · 29-04-2012 12:13am

Shane St. wrote: »

wait till monday and back man city 6/5

Wait till monday stick €50 on under 4.5 2nd half goals pre match and then stick €50 on man city in play and if city do not win you'll get your €50 back. With Bet365.

JohnnyDoogue · 29-04-2012 12:24am

Wincast Man City and Aguero to score any time is 16/5

What do you think?

Headshot · 29-04-2012 1:01am

Im thinking of going for Ronaldo to score 2 or more goals against Seville

I just feel that Madrid will be up for this after the miserable display against Bayern. Ronaldo bottled it against Bayern and I think he'll be really for this and plus he's only 1 ahead of Messi in the goal scoring charts

manual_man · 29-04-2012 1:15am

JohnnyDoogue wrote: »

Wincast Man City and Aguero to score any time is 16/5

What do you think?

That sounds like awesome odds

MikeyGorse · 29-04-2012 1:20am

2 singles for me tomorrow:

Di Natale anytime @ evens

Falcao anytime @ evens

inforfun · 29-04-2012 7:31am

yesno1234 wrote: »

Wait till monday stick €50 on under 4.5 2nd half goals pre match and then stick €50 on man city in play and if city do not win you'll get your €50 back. With Bet365.

I see a lot of suggestions to make the pre match bet on something that is a "certainty" to win.

Now i am open for correction but does it really matter which of the 2 bets you place is a "certainty"?

Asking this because certain pre match bets cant be made during live betting.
Example: i fancy City to win and over 2,5 goals @2.87. This is not available once the match has started.

And then put the free bet on over 0,5 goals in game.

Now here the part where i think i am smarter than i really am.

The only result where i would lose my live bet is a 0-0.
So that would return my in game bet since it would lose.
But i would also get my pre match bet returned according to bet365's bore draw rule (certain bets are made void in case of a 0-0, result/goals is one of them).

It could be that the bore draw rule doesnt apply in these free bet offers but i cant find that anywhere.

yesno1234 · 29-04-2012 10:06am

inforfun wrote: »

I see a lot of suggestions to make the pre match bet on something that is a "certainty" to win.

Now i am open for correction but does it really matter which of the 2 bets you place is a "certainty"?

Asking this because certain pre match bets cant be made during live betting.
Example: i fancy City to win and over 2,5 goals @2.87. This is not available once the match has started.

And then put the free bet on over 0,5 goals in game.

Now here the part where i think i am smarter than i really am.

The only result where i would lose my live bet is a 0-0.
So that would return my in game bet since it would lose.
But i would also get my pre match bet returned according to bet365's bore draw rule (certain bets are made void in case of a 0-0, result/goals is one of them).

It could be that the bore draw rule doesnt apply in these free bet offers but i cant find that anywhere.

Only the in play bet is returned if it is a loser. So in your case if City were to fail to win, say United 1-0, then you would lose your pre match €50 and win the over 0.5 goals. So you would be down about €48 or so depending on the over 0.5 goals odds.

You're only considering a 0-0, that's the only case where you have guarenteed to break even. Any result where City fail to win OR win with under 2.5 goals, you'll lose the €50 pre match bet.

inforfun · 29-04-2012 10:15am

Good point...

Thinking on a Sunday morning at 07.31 is certainly not my strong point.

That free bet thing of bet365 has been confusing me every time they come up with it.

tinodz · 29-04-2012 10:27am

inforfun wrote: »

Good point...

Thinking on a Sunday morning at 07.31 is certainly not my strong point.

That free bet thing of bet365 has been confusing me every time they come up with it.

If I was been super cynical on a Sunday morning, I would say that is the main reason they do it.

I am sure a decent percentage of people come up with bad plans to use the free bet, and the firm ends up in the green - along with getting the free publicity

*shakes fist at bookies*

inforfun · 29-04-2012 10:37am

You can certainly forget about outsmarting them

Reason i ****ed it up is because the bet i would like to make (and use the free bet for), cant be done in play.

Havent made any betting on that match though as it is only tomorrow.

Lasagna Diarra · 29-04-2012 11:00am

The odds on Metalurg (vs Rabotnicki, Macedonian league) are dropping like crazy!! This is most likely a fixed game. The odds on both teams were @ 2.35 a few days ago, but this morning the odds on Metalurg keep dropping from 2.00 to 1.91 to 1.87 to 1.75 and now down to 1.62 ! Also Bwin won't let you combine this bet with another one!

I took them at 1.75, I have a pretty large stake on it, hopefully everything goes as planned.

FWIW, Metalurg are 2nd and Rabotnicki 7th out of 12

ft9 · 29-04-2012 11:03am

Gary Hooper anytime 2/1 in the Old Firm max 40

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/novelty-betting/facebook-enhanced-specials/enhanced-facebook-special

cup of tea · 29-04-2012 11:06am

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

The odds on Metalurg (vs Rabotnicki, Macedonian league) are dropping like crazy!! This is most likely a fixed game. The odds on both teams were @ 2.35 a few days ago, but this morning the odds on Metalurg keep dropping from 2.00 to 1.91 to 1.87 to 1.75 and now down to 1.62 ! Also Bwin won't let you combine this bet with another one!

I took them at 1.75, I have a pretty large stake on it, hopefully everything goes as planned.

FWIW, Metalurg are 2nd and Rabotnicki 7th out of 12

I can't see it

. I see Metalurg D v Dnipro in the Ukranian league down for Wednesday but presume it's not the same metalurg. Betfair also doesn't seem to have the macedonian league or the game doesnt show up in search results, maybe I'm just being slow

Edit: I don however see it on 365. 7/10 ATM

tinodz · 29-04-2012 11:08am

Roda JC VS. PSV coming up

Roda's overal form (from last 5)
- 3 W / 1 D / 1 L

PSV overall form (from last 5)
- 4 W / 0 D / 1 L

However...

Roda home form (from last 5)
4 W / 1 D / 1 L

PSV away form (from last 5)
1 W / 0 D / 5 L

I think I will go for Roda @ 9/4 Draw No Bet

Hamadeusentman · 29-04-2012 11:33am

My treble for today is:
Juve to score 2 or more. 4/11
Spurs v Blackburn +2.5 goals. 4/9.
Di Natale anytime scorer. Evens.
€17 on.

Lasagna Diarra · 29-04-2012 11:44am

Draw in Jaro v Kuopio (Finnish league) @ 3.00

Kuopio/KuPS have drawn their last 4 games, and 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams ended as a draw.