Winter 2011/2012

Lucreto · 12-12-2011 11:33pm

Conor30 wrote: »

Great pic!! I wonder where it was taken!!

I believe it was in Russia. The wind blew the snow against the door of the house.

LadyTBolt · 12-12-2011 11:36pm

To all the weather experts out there, can somebody please tell where is our snow???

I am in the Clare/Limerick area and we have had rain and wind and cold and hailstones and misery and I have been so looking forward to getting some snow this year as I love a white christmas. I can see up north they got some lovely white snow yet I'm still waiting for some down our side of the country.

Are we going to get any and does anybody have an idea of when?

MUSEIST · 12-12-2011 11:39pm

ask santa for some

Hooter23 · 12-12-2011 11:41pm

LadyTBolt wrote: »

To all the weather experts out there, can somebody please tell where is our snow???

I am in the Clare/Limerick area and we have had rain and wind and cold and hailstones and misery and I have been so looking forward to getting some snow this year as I love a white christmas. I can see up north they got some lovely white snow yet I'm still waiting for some down our side of the country.

Are we going to get any and does anybody have an idea of when?

Well there will be some tonight and tomorrow but is likely to be slushy wet snow the higher up you are the better as usual;)

davidsr20 · 12-12-2011 11:59pm

derekon wrote: »

I think the following quote from MT's forecast this morning (12th December) is well worth mentioning to those looking for a cold winter. It appears to have been overlooked somewhat on the boards..........

MT Cranium Quote
SATURDAY and BEYOND ... There will be further cold and windy weather for the weekend with the risk of snow or sleet, then a milder trend next week, that could turn into a much milder pattern for a few days just around Christmas. I'm expecting that to end rather abruptly just after Christmas Day and sticking to the idea of a much colder January.

After MT's excellent long range forecast for Nov/Dec 2010, I am putting my faith in him!!

I hope he is rite too I really do

Coldfront · 13-12-2011 10:10am

very light snow in stillorgan.....

Caff Caff · 13-12-2011 10:35am

There was snow on my car window this morning in Portmarnock. RTE weather and the Met Eireann forecast on the radio this morning are in total conflict with one another... no surprises there though, to be fair!

:cool::D

WolfeIRE · 13-12-2011 10:47am

Caff Caff wrote: »

RTE weather and the Met Eireann forecast on the radio this morning are in total conflict with one another:cool::D

They are both Met Eireann. Met Eireann have got today's weather spot on so far.

Elmer Blooker · 13-12-2011 10:48am

This morning I am optimistic for the first time this winter - look at the Russian high linking up with the Azores high on this ECM chart.
A long way off but as I said something to be optimistic about.

Iancar29 · 13-12-2011 11:09am

SNOW RETURNS TOO DUBLIN....

" Hi my name is Ian.. it has been.... 1 hour since my last snow... im coping ...."

kwik · 13-12-2011 11:23am

Iancar29 wrote: »

SNOW RETURNS TOO DUBLIN....

" Hi my name is Ian.. it has been.... 1 hour since my last snow... im coping ...."

It alright ian its back again and im not to far from you

esposito · 13-12-2011 11:27am

You seem to have heavier snow on the northside... not fair! *cries*

mcriot29 · 13-12-2011 11:38am

Great snow fell here today did not stick blaaaa ,1c now

garyha · 13-12-2011 2:15pm

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tjnVW4Qpfeg&feature=g-all

bb1234567 · 13-12-2011 2:48pm

was snowing lightly for about 1/2 hour this morning in dublin around 9am. it was a bit sleety because it was 2.5 degrees so it didnt stick. after that half hour its been sleet/snowing ever so slightly . still not sticking, amybe if it got really heavy and it was nightime we get some sticking snow:D

ghilliemaster · 13-12-2011 3:50pm

Like a blizzard here in cork,snow,hail the lot! hurts to go outside hehe

not sticking tho:mad:

munsterlegend · 13-12-2011 4:08pm

ghilliemaster wrote: »

Like a blizzard here in cork,snow,hail the lot! hurts to go outside hehe not sticking tho:mad:

where in cork..city/county?

esposito · 13-12-2011 4:28pm

ghilliemaster wrote: »

Like a blizzard here in cork,snow,hail the lot! hurts to go outside hehe not sticking tho:mad:

Snowing in Cork?:eek: That's gotta be a first!:D

WolfeIRE · 13-12-2011 4:49pm

ghilliemaster wrote: »

Like a blizzard here in cork,snow,hail the lot! hurts to go outside hehe not sticking tho:mad:

The Cork snow shield has been compromised!!! :eek:

Baby75 · 13-12-2011 4:52pm

Snowing on and off all day in Carlow! not sticking though still lovely

Kippure · 13-12-2011 6:05pm

garyha wrote: »

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tjnVW4Qpfeg&feature=g-all

Watch what is happening through this Video. This may be the start of several link ups, to try set up cold feeds for us into january.:)

mrweatherman · 13-12-2011 6:06pm

well the BIGGEST question is what will next week bring us?!! love snow and the extreme cold but want to get home to dublin for christmas this year

mrweatherman · 13-12-2011 6:33pm

so basicly its going to lash rain for christmas and be a real typical irish christmas

Kippure · 13-12-2011 6:41pm

mrweatherman wrote: »

so basicly its going to lash rain for christmas and be a real typical irish christmas

Yep, Think there,ll be an adrupt change in the new year to very cold weather though.:)

dkelly23 · 13-12-2011 8:50pm

hope it snows in the south woop

Tomorrow
Cold tomorrow with bright spells and scattered wintry showers through Connaught and Ulster, but some more prolonged rain in parts of Munster and Leinster during the day with some of sleet or snow for a time in the morning. Top afternoon temperatures of 3 to 7 degrees highest in the southwest.
3 Day Outlook
Wednesday night will be bitterly cold with temperatures between zero and minus 3 degrees leading to some frost and icy patches. There will be clear spells and some wintry showers, mainly in the North and West. There's also the risk of some sleety rain or snow and strong winds in the far Southwest and South for a time early in the night. Thursday will start off largely dry, bright and cold. Outbreaks of rain, sleet and snow are expected to move up from the South during the day, though Ulster may stay mainly dry. There is also the risk of very windy or stormy conditions developing especially in Southern and Midland areas, though there is a chance that the storm may pass to the South and miss us. Friday looks to be very cold and blustery with strong and gusty west to northwest winds. There will be sunshine and occasional wintry showers with falls of sleet and snow, most frequent in the North and West. The cold and blustery North to Northwesterly airflow looks like persisting for Saturday with further wintry showers and frost and icy patches at night.

Redsunset · 13-12-2011 10:26pm

Bejing Climate Centre
Jan-Mar 2012:D

TheMilkyPirate · 13-12-2011 10:40pm

Nice. Takes my mind away from the fact that i was one number away from €1500 on the euromillions on TWO lines

Are the beijing climate centre well known? As in are their predictions accurate.

geetar · 13-12-2011 10:53pm

baraca wrote: »

Nice. Takes my mind away from the fact that i was one number away from €1500 on the euromillions on TWO lines

would it make you feel better if i told you that the numbers are only symbols and its the equivalent of being an orange away from an apple, in terms of being closer to winning?

Lucreto · 13-12-2011 11:04pm

baraca wrote: »

Nice. Takes my mind away from the fact that i was one number away from €1500 on the euromillions on TWO lines

I won €3000 last year on the Euromillions. All I needed was a 4 in the bonus numbers and I would have one €550,000 I got a 3.

TheMilkyPirate · 13-12-2011 11:10pm

geetar wrote: »

would it make you feel better if i told you that the numbers are only symbols and its the equivalent of being an orange away from an apple, in terms of being closer to winning?

Not really, No. I was still one "symbol" away be it a number or a cucumber.

Were going a bit off topic here now anyway but thanks for trying to help!

Dilla! · 13-12-2011 11:22pm

So I've read through a few threads and I'm probably going to ask something people are sick of answering.

A proper cold spell is more likely after Christmas than before, right? I don't have a reason to expect heavy snow like last year before January, do I?

Caff Caff · 13-12-2011 11:38pm

WolfeIRE wrote: »

They are both Met Eireann. Met Eireann have got today's weather spot on so far.

yes I know... precisely my point... both forecasts were different!! The one on the radio was spot on

bb1234567 · 13-12-2011 11:41pm

Dilla! wrote: »

So I've read through a few threads and I'm probably going to ask something people are sick of answering.

A proper cold spell is more likely after Christmas than before, right? I don't have a reason to expect heavy snow like last year before January, do I?

any sustained cold and snow before even new years is looking very unlikely, but the rest of jan and maybe even feb may well be extremely cold and snowy...hopefully anyway

Dilla! · 14-12-2011 12:04am

bb1234567 wrote: »

any sustained cold and snow before even new years is looking very unlikely, but the rest of jan and maybe even feb may well be extremely cold and snowy...hopefully anyway

Cheers!

I'm hoping for snow too, that's why I'm asking!

screamer · 14-12-2011 12:06am

Given that the weather can't be predicted much more than 5 days ahead, how does anyone know what Jan and Feb will bring? I'm sorry, but it's utter speculation.

TheMilkyPirate · 14-12-2011 1:33am

Double post.

TheMilkyPirate · 14-12-2011 1:33am

screamer wrote: »

Given that the weather can't be predicted much more than 5 days ahead, how does anyone know what Jan and Feb will bring? I'm sorry, but it's utter speculation.

Trends, Patterns, historical data.. Have a read of red sunsets stratosphere warming thread and some other threads here.

Kokopeli · 14-12-2011 12:37pm

I Know very little (very!) about weather but was just looking at SAT24 and there seems to be quite a deep low pressure zone approaching the west coast from NW. The models don't show any indication of this so I'm probably mistaken. Just though I'd mention it. Great discussions by the way!

WolfeIRE · 14-12-2011 1:49pm

Latest from Simon Keeling of weatheronline.co.uk

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MqzwISp-ptw

pistolpetes11 · 14-12-2011 2:47pm

Rite can any of the more knowledgeable posters tell me what the differece is with the 7,10 and 14 day forecast here ?

Seven days is going negative but 10 and 14 covering the same time frame has it going now where

john mayo 10 · 14-12-2011 3:03pm

WolfeIRE wrote: »

Latest from Simon Keeling of weatheronline.co.uk
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MqzwISp-ptw

Interesting vid. What do you make of his predictions wolfeIRE ?

blackius · 14-12-2011 3:26pm

Hopecasting with a capital H

WolfeIRE · 14-12-2011 3:27pm

john mayo 10 wrote: »

Interesting vid. What do you make of his predictions wolfeIRE ?

He has been calling the same type scenario for the past week. I agree with the other models being out of syncs with the current setup but there is widespread conscensus with the execption of the GEM regarding a prolonged milder period from Monday through Christmas. I like how he explains things but I reckon what he is suggesting might be a week or two ahead of itself and will most likely occur in late Dec or early Jan.

john mayo 10 · 14-12-2011 3:50pm

He does explain things very well alrite thanx

blackius · 14-12-2011 4:22pm

He does explain his theory very well but it is still a hopecast because effectively he's hoping this will go here and that will go there.

I'd agree with wolfie that it's more than likely going to happen if it is at all after Xmas and in the new year sometime.
However if it does,it's going to be from an entirely differens set of synoptics to what is posted in that video.
Weather doesn't do carbon copies.

Regarding Mt's forecast,he got preXmas spot on last year aswell but after Xmas no more cold came like he was expecting.
So I'm hoping the same doesn't happen this year,ie the first half of mt's winter forecast is spot on but the 2nd half falls down

TheMilkyPirate · 14-12-2011 4:40pm

blackius wrote: »

He does explain his theory very well but it is still a hopecast because effectively he's hoping this will go here and that will go there.

I'd agree with wolfie that it's more than likely going to happen if it is at all after Xmas and in the new year sometime.
However if it does,it's going to be from an entirely differens set of synoptics to what is posted in that video.
Weather doesn't do carbon copies.

Regarding Mt's forecast,he got preXmas spot on last year aswell but after Xmas no more cold came like he was expecting.
So I'm hoping the same doesn't happen this year,ie the first half of mt's winter forecast is spot on but the 2nd half falls down

He got it all right last year though black? Or am i reading you wrong

blackius · 14-12-2011 5:00pm

He got the big freeze right but iirc he was looking to a new freeze in january after that one that did not happen.

nacho libre · 14-12-2011 5:10pm

In fairness though a big freeze after Christmas last year was just a near miss. It just goes to show how we can have all the right parameters in place, but still miss out on the cold.
This is a good thing to keep in mind after we get over the barbecue Christmas. It could end up that we do get a Scandinavian high, but without favourable undercutting we miss out on the cold.

I know mr pessimist as usual :pac:

bb1234567 · 14-12-2011 5:12pm

ye i think he said avg first half of jan after new years which was right, but then he expected it to get very cold mid month again but that didnt happen. then what did he say about feb? cant remember...

mcriot29 · 14-12-2011 5:28pm

Anyone think dublin kildare wicklow could see snow tonight,also thru night good chance too ,this mild spell models are showing may not even happen,the ao index may start to show a dip by next tues or so so joe b seems to think i mean the 14 days out part so that would mean a dip starting in the frist week in jan.

Winter 2011/2012

Comments