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Official Free Money Betting Superthread 2011/12

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Comments

  • #1152
    EmacB
    Registered Users Posts: 308 ✭✭EmacB


    beertons wrote: »
    Didn't think the Ospreys were gonna do it, so went for a shower.nice feeling when you log into paddy power when dry. Good call with the Leinster double.

    Exact same thing happened to me last week. Ospreys have been good to me!


  • #1153
    irishbucsfan
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,978 ✭✭✭✭irishbucsfan


    HA! TAKE THAT STATISTICS!


  • #1154
    Judgement Day
    Closed Accounts Posts: 13,549 ✭✭✭✭Judgement Day


    Mixed night and regretting not taking the punt on Shane Williams - it was on my list - but I opted for safer bets and I am still ahead on the day. Tomorrow a splurge on Connacht by -10 points as recommended by wprathead who analyses things properly! :D

    PP%2B20%2Bapril.JPG


  • #1155
    CatFromHue
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,217 Mod ✭✭✭✭CatFromHue


    wprathead wrote: »
    Connacht -10 v Aironi

    Aironi away:
    Sun 04/09/11 RAP Scarlets 32 - 9 Aironi
    Sat 17/09/11 RAP Newport Gwent Dragons 23 - 14 Aironi
    Sat 01/10/11 RAP Leinster 26 - 7 Aironi
    Fri 28/10/11 RAP Munster 18 - 6 Aironi
    Thu 24/11/11 RAP Cardiff Blues 38 - 0 Aironi
    Fri 02/12/11 RAP Edinburgh 50 - 10 Aironi
    Sat 31/12/11 RAP Benetton Treviso 37 - 14 Aironi
    Fri 17/02/12 RAP Ospreys 23 - 7 Aironi
    Fri 23/03/12 RAP Glasgow Warriors 29 - 6 Aironi
    Fri 30/03/12 RAP Ulster 45 - 7 Aironi

    9/10 times (90%) lost the +10 Handicap away

    Connacht playing good rugby and their final home game gets chance for team to build on solid home run they been building since the New Year- plus added with extra incentive of opportunity to get revenge for their away defeat to Aironi earlier in season, can see a good Connacht win

    in a silly bet, have put €1 on a yellow card in all matches this weekend, would win about a €5er but don't see likely hood of it coming in at all at all..

    The only thing that puts me off -10 is that Aironi have a very good record against Connacht.

    10/11
    Aironi 25 Connacht 13
    Connacht 11 Aironi 6

    11/12
    Aironi 20 Connacht 6


  • #1156
    Gracelessly Tom
    Registered Users Posts: 1,053 ✭✭✭Gracelessly Tom


    Gracelessly Tom wrote: »
    Have gone on the h/c double, Ospreys and Leinster. Also went singles on both and have taken Ospreys over 29.5 and Leinster over 19.5.

    Anytime tryscorer bets on Shane Williams and Luke Fitz.

    Been on a very good run on recent rugby betting, hope it doesn't end tonight!

    A good night's gambling for me, even if it all hinged on a late try. Got 5 out of 7 and made a very healthy profit. Thank you Shane Williams, his injury time try meant 4 of the bets coming in! :D:D


  • #1157
    PhatPiggins
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,881 ✭✭✭PhatPiggins


    duckysauce wrote: »
    :D

    last minute then he converts it , Great player going to be missed.

    Shades of his last minute try for Wales against Australia in the autumn as well. The comentators we're all 'Oooooooh Shane Williams in his last home game for the Ospreys' but aren't they pretty much banker for a home semi now :confused:


  • #1158
    thomond2006
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    PhatPiggins wrote: »
    Shades of his last minute try for Wales against Australia in the autumn as well. The comentators we're all 'Oooooooh Shane Williams in his last home game for the Ospreys' but aren't they pretty much banker for a home semi now :confused:

    I read somewhere that Williams wasn't going to play on till the end of the season, I thought he had already retired.


  • #1159
    irishbucsfan
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,978 ✭✭✭✭irishbucsfan


    thomond2006 wrote: »
    PhatPiggins wrote: »
    Shades of his last minute try for Wales against Australia in the autumn as well. The comentators we're all 'Oooooooh Shane Williams in his last home game for the Ospreys' but aren't they pretty much banker for a home semi now :confused:

    I read somewhere that Williams wasn't going to play on till the end of the season, I thought he had already retired.
    I don't understand... He's going to retire with just a couple of games to go? Surely he'd want his shot at the RDP!12?


  • #1160
    thomond2006
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    irishbucsfan wrote: »
    I don't understand... He's going to retire with just a couple of games to go? Surely he'd want his shot at the RDP!12?

    In January or February he said he was going to play 1 or 2 more games and then retire, "there are young guys coming through who need gametime etc".


  • #1161
    Judgement Day
    Closed Accounts Posts: 13,549 ✭✭✭✭Judgement Day


    On the road Crusaders blew away Hurricanes this morning 42 -14 . It was edge of the seat stuff for me and my Crusaders -8 bet. :D

    crusaders.JPG

    Just gone with Tom Carter #12 for Waratahs to score a try anytime against the Rebels. Game just started.


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  • #1162
    its_phil
    Registered Users Posts: 5,442 ✭✭✭its_phil


    CatFromHue wrote: »
    The only thing that puts me off -10 is that Aironi have a very good record against Connacht.

    10/11
    Aironi 25 Connacht 13
    Connacht 11 Aironi 6

    11/12
    Aironi 20 Connacht 6

    Last years home game, was an incredibly difficult game of rugby with the weather. Never seen so much wind, rain, snow and hailstones in one game. I'd be very surprised if Connacht didnt beat that h'cap tonight.


  • #1163
    P_1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,681 ✭✭✭✭P_1


    its_phil wrote: »
    Last years home game, was an incredibly difficult game of rugby with the weather. Never seen so much wind, rain, snow and hailstones in one game. I'd be very surprised if Connacht didnt beat that h'cap tonight.

    19-16 won with a last minute kick, ah well.. :o


  • #1164
    Judgement Day
    Closed Accounts Posts: 13,549 ✭✭✭✭Judgement Day


    .45 cents down on the day! If only Nikora had scored a try and if Scarlets had won by -2 it would have been a different story. :D


  • #1165
    duckysauce
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,930 ✭✭✭duckysauce


    Judgement Day wrote: »
    Mixed night and regretting not taking the punt on Shane Williams - it was on my list - but I opted for safer bets and I am still ahead on the day. Tomorrow a splurge on Connacht by -10 points as recommended by wprathead who analyses things properly! :D

    analysis me hole where does that get you?;) better off with a gut feeling :p


  • #1166
    P_1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,681 ✭✭✭✭P_1


    Cardiff v Edinburgh. PP has Cardiff as 14 point favourites, surely some money to be made out of Edinburgh today?


  • #1167
    Juwwi
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,251 ✭✭✭Juwwi


    pithater1 wrote: »
    Cardiff v Edinburgh. PP has Cardiff as 14 point favourites, surely some money to be made out of Edinburgh today?

    I'd be weary pithater some Cardiff players are playing their last home match today and Edinburgh have made 13 changes to their team.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/rugby-union/17738902

    Dont want to put you off a winning bet or anything tho.
    If you do it there is +15 in a few if you have access to them ladbrokes is one.


  • #1168
    thomond2006
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Edinburgh won't give two ****s about playing Cardiff, wouldn't touch them.


  • #1169
    P_1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,681 ✭✭✭✭P_1


    robbie1977 wrote: »
    I'd be weary pithater some Cardiff players are playing their last home match today and Edinburgh have made 13 changes to their team.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/rugby-union/17738902

    Dont want to put you off a winning bet or anything tho.
    If you do it there is +15 in a few if you have access to them ladbrokes is one.

    Edinburgh +8 looks decent enough value. Can't see Edinburgh winning but I aslo can't see Cardiff running away with it.


  • #1170
    P_1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,681 ✭✭✭✭P_1


    Thoughts on this triple?

    Exeter Chiefs v Northampton Saints - Exeter -3 at 8/11
    A win for Exeter gets them into the playoffs. Exeter's home form this year is pretty good while Northampton are in a slight slump with a few high profile suspensions.

    Cardiff Blues v Edinburgh - Edinburgh +8 at 17/10
    Cardiff have been simply abysmal the last few matches. Edinburgh have some fringe players playing to put their hands up to be picked next week. Cardiff will win but I can't imagine them hammering Edinburgh.

    Benetton Treviso v Glasgow Warriors - Treviso +4 at 4/7
    Glasgow need the win to keep their playoff chances alive. Treviso are no pushovers at home though. Can see a tight win for Glasgow.

    Only my 2nd week betting on the rugby but I'm €25 up this week. Will only be putting €3 on this one so if it doesn't happen its no biggie. €3 returns €30, worth a punt?


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  • #1171
    GerM
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,592 ✭✭✭GerM


    Cardiff have a string of players making their last appearance in front of the home support. They'll want to put in a decent show. The likes of Martyn Williams and Gethin Jenkins will burst a lung today. Edinburgh have a completely second string side out. Not one player who started against Toulouse is on the field. They've only won once away from home in the league this season. They lost in Aironi and shipped 25 points there. They've had serious scores run up against them on the road: 54, 38, 34, 33. Wouldn't go near them.


  • #1172
    P_1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,681 ✭✭✭✭P_1


    GerM wrote: »
    Cardiff have a string of players making their last appearance in front of the home support. They'll want to put in a decent show. The likes of Martyn Williams and Gethin Jenkins will burst a lung today. Edinburgh have a completely second string side out. Not one player who started against Toulouse is on the field. They've only won once away from home in the league this season. They lost in Aironi and shipped 25 points there. They've had serious scores run up against them on the road: 54, 38, 34, 33. Wouldn't go near them.

    Fair point, think I'll give this one a miss so. Quit while I'm ahead for this week and start afresh next week.


  • #1173
    PhatPiggins
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,881 ✭✭✭PhatPiggins


    pithater1 wrote: »
    Thoughts on this triple?

    Exeter Chiefs v Northampton Saints - Exeter -3 at 8/11
    A win for Exeter gets them into the playoffs. Exeter's home form this year is pretty good while Northampton are in a slight slump with a few high profile suspensions.

    Cardiff Blues v Edinburgh - Edinburgh +8 at 17/10
    Cardiff have been simply abysmal the last few matches. Edinburgh have some fringe players playing to put their hands up to be picked next week. Cardiff will win but I can't imagine them hammering Edinburgh.

    Benetton Treviso v Glasgow Warriors - Treviso +4 at 4/7
    Glasgow need the win to keep their playoff chances alive. Treviso are no pushovers at home though. Can see a tight win for Glasgow.

    Only my 2nd week betting on the rugby but I'm €25 up this week. Will only be putting €3 on this one so if it doesn't happen its no biggie. €3 returns €30, worth a punt?

    Wouldn't touch Cardiff/Edinburgh as its a nothing game. Exter have every chance of beating an out of sorts and under resourced Saints team. Can see Glasgow winning by 1-5. Wouldn't take Treviso +4 though.


  • #1174
    irishbucsfan
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,978 ✭✭✭✭irishbucsfan


    Just put on an accumulator for this week.

    Have the two Spanish teams in the sport that shall not be named and I have the two Irish teams in the rugger. No handicaps. 5/1 about.


  • #1175
    Judgement Day
    Closed Accounts Posts: 13,549 ✭✭✭✭Judgement Day


    Anybody going with Ulster -7 ? Weather could be a big factor but I can't see past Ulster cutting Edinburgh to pieces in what's essentially a 'home' game. :D


  • #1176
    CatFromHue
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,217 Mod ✭✭✭✭CatFromHue


    Yeah I've gone for them at -7........and -10 and -13!

    Those two 22 points wins by Ulster are weighing heavily on my mind. When you look through past Semi Finals it's not that uncommon for a team to win by 15 to 20 points.


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  • #1177
    Judgement Day
    Closed Accounts Posts: 13,549 ✭✭✭✭Judgement Day


    Yeah, I think I'll have a splurge. I heard Gavin Hastings and some other bod on the radio yesterday talking Edinburgh up but I think Murrayfield was a flash in the pan - perhaps even 'the last sting of a dying wasp'. :D


  • #1178
    duckysauce
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,930 ✭✭✭duckysauce


    Judgement Day wrote: »
    Anybody going with Ulster -7 ? Weather could be a big factor but I can't see past Ulster cutting Edinburgh to pieces in what's essentially a 'home' game. :D

    yep have gone for the -7 , should be a good weekend :)


  • #1179
    PhatPiggins
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,881 ✭✭✭PhatPiggins


    duckysauce wrote: »
    yep have gone for the -7 , should be a good weekend :)

    Do you bet online or just in the shops ?


  • #1180
    duckysauce
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,930 ✭✭✭duckysauce


    PhatPiggins wrote: »
    Do you bet online or just in the shops ?

    mainly online sometime shops if bets are not online, why the Q ?


  • #1181
    Fishooks12
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,318 ✭✭✭Fishooks12


    Had a nice soccer accum come in there, worked out at 4/1

    All the winnings have been lumped on Ulster minus 7.

    Birthday next week so It would be a dinger to come in!

    No value in the Leinster Clermont match betting as far as I see.


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  • #1182
    Podge_irl
    Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,257 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Fishooks12 wrote: »
    No value in the Leinster Clermont match betting as far as I see.

    If you're going to bet on the match you may as well bet on them to win the HEC imo. Still wouldn't touch it.


  • #1183
    Gracelessly Tom
    Registered Users Posts: 1,053 ✭✭✭Gracelessly Tom


    Think I'll have a few quid on Ulster, can't see beyond them really. Also, Toulon in tomorrow nights semi against SF are shoo-ins. Stade have George Smith at 12 and have benched Parisse. Toulon are full strength pretty much.

    Can't access gambling sites from work but hopefully the spread is a nice little profit earner!


  • #1184
    sickpuppy
    Closed Accounts Posts: 955 ✭✭✭sickpuppy


    Gracelessly Tom wrote: »
    Think I'll have a few quid on Ulster, can't see beyond them really. Also, Toulon in tomorrow nights semi against SF are shoo-ins. Stade have George Smith at 12 and have benched Parisse. Toulon are full strength pretty much.

    Can't access gambling sites from work but hopefully the spread is a nice little profit earner!

    Its 12 or 13 points at moment
    Smith at 1 2is madness hell be facing his old team mate Giteau, Dupuy is benched too.
    With aheineken cup spot available for the winner of final strange stade not taking it seriously.


  • #1185
    Gracelessly Tom
    Registered Users Posts: 1,053 ✭✭✭Gracelessly Tom


    sickpuppy wrote: »
    Its 12 or 13 points at moment
    Smith at 1 2is madness hell be facing his old team mate Giteau, Dupuy is benched too.
    With aheineken cup spot available for the winner of final strange stade not taking it seriously.

    Cheers for the h/c SP.

    I like the look of -12, shouldn't be too difficult to get with the team SF have out. Smith will be shown up at 12 and Toulon will certainly be targeting him.

    Very odd for a side to be seeming to throw away a semi final, must be thinking they'll get H Cup rugby via the T14 route.


  • #1186
    thomond2006
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Stade trying to make Top14 playoffs is very important as well, Toulon are already there and won't catch Clermont or Toulouse to qualify directly to the semifinals.

    In their remaining regular season games, they have Toulouse at home and Lyon (relegated already) away in the Top14 and only need one win to make sure of a home quarterfinal.

    http://uk.eurosport.yahoo.com/rugby/top-14/2011-2012/tables/


  • #1187
    sickpuppy
    Closed Accounts Posts: 955 ✭✭✭sickpuppy


    Gracelessly Tom wrote: »
    Cheers for the h/c SP.

    I like the look of -12, shouldn't be too difficult to get with the team SF have out. Smith will be shown up at 12 and Toulon will certainly be targeting him.

    Very odd for a side to be seeming to throw away a semi final, must be thinking they'll get H Cup rugby via the T14 route.

    There in 7th at moment with Brive and Biarritz still in relegation zone and Toulon in 3rd in the top 14 so 7th should be a guaranteed heineken cup spot i think.
    Also small matter of Clermont still alive.
    Also Stade have only won once away all year in the league so should ship lots of points here looks like a good bet -12pts @10/11


  • #1188
    Pudsy33
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,795 ✭✭✭✭Pudsy33


    Have a double of leinster to win and ulster -7


  • #1189
    Juwwi
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,251 ✭✭✭Juwwi


    PP have a great money back special for the Heineken Cup semi finals if the last score of the game is a penalty all losing tryscorer bets are refunded.

    I'd say theres a good chance this could happen in both matches especially Leinster.

    Could be worth backing a good few anytime scorers.





    Applies to single bets placed before kick off only.
    Applies to 1st tryscorer, last tryscorer, 1st team tryscorer, anytime tryscorer,1st tryscorer insurebet, to score two or more tries and to score three or more tries
    Applies to win part of each way 1st tryscorer bets only.
    Max refund e100/£100 per customer bet
    Applies to Regular Time only (80 minutes)Penalty Tries do not countPaddy Power Rugby rules apply


  • #1190
    Fishooks12
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,318 ✭✭✭Fishooks12


    robbie1977 wrote: »
    PP have a great money back special for the Heineken Cup semi finals if the last score of the game is a penalty all losing tryscorer bets are refunded.

    I'd say theres a good chance this could happen in both matches especially Leinster.

    Could be worth backing a good few anytime scorers.





    Applies to single bets placed before kick off only.
    Applies to 1st tryscorer, last tryscorer, 1st team tryscorer, anytime tryscorer,1st tryscorer insurebet, to score two or more tries and to score three or more tries
    Applies to win part of each way 1st tryscorer bets only.
    Max refund e100/£100 per customer bet
    Applies to Regular Time only (80 minutes)Penalty Tries do not countPaddy Power Rugby rules apply


    Worth a go for the Clermont Leinster game but it's a lot less likely to happen in the other semi


  • #1191
    Judgement Day
    Closed Accounts Posts: 13,549 ✭✭✭✭Judgement Day


    Thought I was really on the pigs back tonight when Steffon Armitage scored for Toulon in the first minute but I should have known better - Toulon minus Jonny Wilkinson - couldn't score in a brothel. Anyway I'm well ahead thanks to Armitage. Bring on overhyped Edinburgh! :D

    PP%2B27%2BApril.JPG


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  • #1192
    its_phil
    Registered Users Posts: 5,442 ✭✭✭its_phil


    Had a treble tonight on Munster A over 13.5 1st half, Toulon over 28.5, and feckin Sligo Rovers about 5/1

    Lesson learnt: Never trust football


  • #1193
    Fishooks12
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,318 ✭✭✭Fishooks12


    Fecking frogs


  • #1194
    duckysauce
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,930 ✭✭✭duckysauce


    Fishooks12 wrote: »
    Fecking frogs

    lol they are a disaster to bet on .


  • #1195
    Fishooks12
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,318 ✭✭✭Fishooks12


    duckysauce wrote: »
    lol they are a disaster to bet on .

    Argentinians hold a special place of hatred in my heart after failing to cover a 2 point spread over the Scots in the WC

    Cost me an 80/1 accum


  • #1196
    duckysauce
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,930 ✭✭✭duckysauce


    Fishooks12 wrote: »
    Argentinians hold a special place of hatred in my heart after failing to cover a 2 point spread over the Scots in the WC

    Cost me an 80/1 accum

    Jesus thats nasty

    but we all hate the Argies ;)


  • #1197
    its_phil
    Registered Users Posts: 5,442 ✭✭✭its_phil


    duckysauce wrote: »
    Jesus thats nasty

    but we all hate the Argies ;)

    Except Maradona, any man who inflicts that amount of pain on England is a loved man in my eyes :D


  • #1198
    P_1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,681 ✭✭✭✭P_1


    1st treble was €3 on Quensland Reds +5, Brumbies -3 and Munster A -14, came in for just inder €21 happy days

    2nd quad was all of the above at €2 and Toulon at -14, thought I was in after the first few mins of that one.

    Still €15 profit and all that


  • #1199
    Fishooks12
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,318 ✭✭✭Fishooks12


    Ulster -7 tomorrow to pay for my ticket to Primavera

    Hon Jackson!


  • #1200
    Colonialboy
    Registered Users Posts: 1,533 ✭✭✭Colonialboy


    theres its done
    Clermont and Ulster (-7) double ...but Id be happy if Leinster win.
    and did a Clermont/Ulster/Swansea/S'hampton accum...


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  • #1201
    thomond2006
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Talking Rugby's Bet of the Week is Ulster -6, available in some places.


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