Replacing previous thread which has continuing page count issues.
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Threabanned posters:
brickstser69
slay55
mulbot
Yeah I've been watching USD/RUB for a good while now - being a dictatorship with extraordinary monetary controls (and their central bank person actually being smart and not a lackey) dragged it back under the 100 mark and kept it there, I'll be curious to see if they can stop the drift this time. If it goes above 100 and stays above - things could get interesting
I would Kevin Keegan luuuuvvvv it if they managed to hit one of his secret mansion estates. Love it.
It’s not a good sign for Russia alright. The head of their version of a central bank has said that the sanctions are making things difficult for them. I really hope the US or Israel don’t decide to go after the Iran oil facilities like they are threatening. If they do, they will drive up oil prices which will help Russia tremendously. What we need is low oil prices so Russia will be without a large source of income.
That head of central bank Elvira Nabiullina only a few months ago said that going above 17-18% rates would be disastrous for Russia
Here we are now and she is very silent eye that window in the corner with increasing anxiety
A traitor is only loyal to themselves.
It could be anyone, however it mentioned a link to Loyalists so it could be someone in FG who would rather closer links to Britain than the EU. FG afterall once traded as the Commonwealth party.
It's our contribution to the war effort, drain their assets with Dublin prices....
400m euro from Netherlands for research and development of larger drones in Ukraine
a week after Ukrainians made it clear they have domestic capacity for millions of drones per year but are constrained by availability of funds
I doubt the Kremlin will worry in the slightest.
Vlad and his mates will still have plenty of money.
As the article linked after says though, Russia (or the USSR in it's previous incarnations) has suffered more from financial austerity internally that on foreign policies (i.e. war). The kremlin will worry because losing bodies doesn't seem to affect the Russian morale, but inflation through the roof may just bring the war back home as the rural serfs of the Russian federation realise sacrificing bodies isn't guaranteeing their way of life regardless.
Yes it will take longer to pinch those at the top, but that doesn't mean it won't happen, and the real question is will we have to wait that long for it to happen, or will the Russian people eventually realise that they are being bled dry for the select few at the helm. Yes the russians have a mindset for imperial obedience as we've seen, but they are also well known to throw a coup once in a while also.
I suspect the “official” exchange rate is in same boat as “official” inflation figure (there was Moscow times article about inflation in triple digits)
Fantasy land that is, since the Russian government makes it almost impossible to sell roubles and that’s what the rate is based on
Kinda how Cuba and Venezuela have official and unofficial black market rates and one is nowhere near the other
Big hack on Russian state media
https://www.politico.eu/article/vladimir-putin-birthday-present-russian-state-media-shut-down-vgtrk-hack-attack/
"
“Ukrainian hackers congratulated Putin on his birthday by carrying out a large-scale attack on the all-Russian state television and radio broadcasting company,” a Ukrainian law enforcement official familiar with the matter told POLITICO.
“Employees complained that all information on the servers has been destroyed, even backup copies, online broadcasting and internal services do not work, there is no Internet and telephone connection,” he added."
This is just surreal!!😂
why women only- apart from one man . Are they all war widows or what. ? They look somewhat to9 senior for their husbands- if still alive- to be at the front!!
In other news, the Dutch have delivered the first of their 24 pledged F-16s to Ukraine. No precise number was given, but I’d say it’s probably 6-8 aircraft. That’s pure speculation on my part though.
The Netherlands have also announced an investment of 400 million € in Ukraine’s drone production capability. Munitions and spare parts for the F-16, PzH 2000, Patriot, etc. have also been pledged to be provided on an ongoing basis.
Source:
https://www.defensenews.com/global/europe/2024/10/07/netherlands-delivers-f-16s-to-ukraine-provides-440m-for-drones/
As I said ... my posting history is there to see ...
And as I said, not gonna waste my time. It really doesn't take 2 years worth of posts to detect a pattern, ya know?
Im not here to spoon feed you information you are able to look up on your own
I wouldn't read it anyway. Again, time.
I suggest you go back to February 2022.
You actually believe that anyone will waste that much time with you?… You think very highly of yourself…
Long before you showed up on this thread
Wow… you actually looked me up? Doing a bit of opposition research are we? That's ok. Some of us are actually on to your tricks. It's a very old bag of tricks… :/
Doesn't matter how difficult the gov makes it. Russians have built a whole culture out of snubbing the man…
edit: note the date of the article… 😏
So apparently Putin went ahead and destroyed his own mansions, too afraid now to visit the Black Sea
In the last five years Yen has lost more value against the dollar than the ruble has. Is Japan about to collapse?
Russia's economy has huge issues but an isolated chart doesn't tell the story.
The US will not attack Iranian oil facilities - at least this side of the election. Israel on the other hand could and likely will. Pushing up oil prices and widening the war will help Trump, which is who Netenyahu wants to win.
The catch here is that by attacking Iran it will help Iran's main ally - Russia. By strengthening Russia it strengthens Iran in the long term. Hopefully Netenyahu is dissuaded by this.
The Russian economy is not doing better than Japan and neither is the currency. Also an important part of the story is how unsustainable the efforts to prop up the currency are.
The Japanese economy though is on a very dangerous precipice so it's no "win" or "gotcha" to claim you are doing better than Japan.
Not speculation ... Dutch F16s are doing sorties already... as per Dutch minister of defence.
Surprise surprise ..... multiquoting nonsense
And I didn't need to look you up .... As I said I'm here since day 1 of the invasion... I know the regulars
People fail to comprehend just how little Iran exports (0.75m barrels per year) and to whom (mostly China) to the point that they are not even in top 20 in world for some time now with likes of UK, Brazil, Guyana and Azerbaijan exporting more
This is at a time where Saudi Arabia is threatening Russia and other OPEC+ members (who agreed to cut production only to not do so losing Saudis market share) with flooding the market
Meanwhile crude oil prices continue to fall despite all the noise in the Middle East
I'm glad he clarifies at the start that he is an actor….although it becomes clear through the video!
Your figures are 10 years out of date and out by a factor of 700.
10 years ago Iran exported 750,000 barrels per DAY. That is now 1.5 million bpd.
There is also the Strait of Hormuz which will become far more dangerous in open war which would have a knock on effect in the region.
they are less than 1% of global supply not even in top 20 producers in 2023
What they Iranians going to do? Attack Kuwaiti, UAE, Iraq, Saudi originating ships? Yeh great plan there to turn the whole of the Middle East (countries that all have 50 year newer equipment) against them
And worse piss off India and China and everyone in east Asia whom get majority of their oil from this region, the US now barely imports anything from the gulf (and would funnily enough benefit greatly from instability there, just look at what’s happening to us oil major stocks)
Neither can Russia ramp up to replace Irans output as 1. Their infrastructure is getting older and older with no investment (when not being blown up spectacularly by Ukrainians) and 2. They are sending oil workers to die in mud ditches and 3. No one wants to do business with them for obvious reasons, even their buddies in China said “feck off” to Siberian pipeline dreams
And that’s before we get to Russian oil which has to traverse Red Sea (next to Israel and Saudis) and doesn’t magically teleport to its destinations in Asia as there are no pipelines
The Saudis have been repeatedly making noises last couple of weeks (links earlier in thread) that they are pissed off with Russia for not only breaking opec+ agreements but also arming their enemies in region, the last couple of times Saudis got pissed off like this and drove prices into the ground the Russian economy imploded, late 80s led to USSR collapse and late 90 had their economy beg IMF for help
You are just making 'facts' up as usual. Have at it.
Daily oil usage 2023: ~100mn barrels a day
Unlike yourself who invents figures to suit your anti western narratives I backup my statements with facts
Iran daily oil production 2024: 1.56mn a day
a six year high
https://www.ft.com/content/00bb5653-e9aa-4af1-8f9e-705137947b32
Care to do the math on what percentage that is @eoinbn ?
BTW in 2019 Russia produced 10.3mn a day, down to 9.4mn during Covid and 9.5mn in 2023
They now made production figures a state secret 🤫
BS
Iran, which is a member of OPEC, is a key player in the global oil market. It produces almost four million barrels of oil per day, and an estimated 4% of the world’s supply could be at risk if Iran’s oil infrastructure becomes a target for Israel as the latter considers a countermove
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/04/goldman-sachs-says-crude-could-spike-by-20-on-iran-oil-shock.html
As per 4/10/24
Sold does not mean produced. There are 90m Iran's and they use oil.
At least you have acknowledged your 750,000 barrels per annum was total BS. Progress.
FT put Iran's exports at 1.5mn per day only a few months ago
As per linked and screenshotted article
Now run along
