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More Russian interference evidence about to drop
🙄🙄
These are getting scarce.
What's wrong with escalation?
There are times when escalation is needed, correct.
There are times when walking away, turning the cheek, a peaceful solution is deeply wrong , counter productive and only going to lead a greater loss of life.
It's not a popular thing on this thread to call for rearmament across Europe, aggressive rearmament, give Ukraine the full compliment of missiles, give allies who are engaged in war or likely to be at war with Russian allies, that broad alliance hardware and no conditions on use.
They are coming either way. We can nip it in the bud now, in years to come less so
Nothing. That's the point I'm making; they are making too big a deal about escalation. Escalation is necessary. War is escalation. So escalate and burn the cnuts out of Ukraine and Russia too.
After Putin's (the kremlin's) intervention, the price of a new civilian aircraft the "Baikal" has fallen in price from 455 million rubles to 260 million rubles and the landing and take off required has fallen from 1050 meters to 350 meters. Previously the aircraft was to use western parts but now the requirement is to use only Russian made parts. The supplied plywood will be treated with the most advanced weatherproofing russian technology reports the kremlin.
After they are burned out of Ukraine and Russia what then?
The US does not want the Putin regime to collapse in a chaotic unpredictable way, that is one reason why they are not all in with Ukraine. I suspect the US preference would be a negotiated settlement at some stage.
Great post. I'd just add given the recent chit chat from the US about letting Ukraine use long range French and British missiles in Ukraine it's probably the Americans who don't want Ukraine receiving Taurus.
The concern about the Russians retrieving a complete missile intact is legitimate but I'd like to see them receive 10 to fire over the black sea and drop the crimean bridge again. At least if they're shot down or malfunction they'll be lost to the sea.
If Russia is burned out of Ukraine they will stop. They would have no more fight left in them especially with their economy failing. As for Putin's regime disintegrating - the next regime won't be up to much either for the same reasons.
Russian forces partaking/leading military manoeuvres in South Syria, with Assad forces and presumably Hezbollah and Iranian Guards.
Unlikely that Russian will join in with it's allies in attacking Israel but you never know, zelensky promised Iran would pay a price, 2 war zones but one war. Israel can defend itself and play a big part in helping damage Russian logistics.
who is suprised
FFS Putins threat for the 1000th time worked.
Cowards.
It's inevitable it will happen.
warts and all
CDS
Sep 13
In the operational zone of the Ukrainian Operational Group of Forces (OTG) "Kharkiv" on the Kharkiv direction, the enemy conducted 4 assaults in the area of Vovchansk. The enemy's aviation delivered 2 strikes on civilian infrastructure.
In the "Khortytsia" Operational-Strategic Group of Forces (OSG) operational zone on the Kupyansk direction, there were 8 Russian attacks. Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled enemy assault actions near Synkivka, Hlushkivka, Kolisnykivka, Stelmakhivka, and Lozova. On the Lyman direction, the enemy attacked 6 times, attempting to advance toward Nevske and Druzhelyubivka. On the Siversk direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled five enemy assault actions near Verkhnyokamianske. Enemy aviation struck the community of Fedorivka with unguided aerial rockets. On the Kramatorsk direction, the occupiers attacked 4 times in the areas of Chasiv Yar and Stupochky. On the Toretsk direction, the enemy, supported by aviation, carried out 6 attacks near Nelipivka, Toretsk, and the area around New York.
In the "Tavriya" OSG operational zone, on the Pokrovsk direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces stopped 36 enemy assault and offensive actions toward Vozdvyzhenka, Novooleksandrivka, Zelene Pole, Novotroitske, Hrodivka, Novohrodivka, Selidove, and Mykhailivka. The highest concentration of enemy attacks occurred in the areas of Hrodivka and Novohrodivka. On the Kurakhove direction, Ukrainian Defense Forces repelled 64 attacks. The occupiers were most active in trying to advance in the areas of Kostyantynivka and Heorhiivka, where about 75% of all the battles took place. Additionally, the enemy attacked toward Oleksandropil and Zhelanne Pershe. On the Vremivka direction, the enemy conducted five assaults on Defense Forces positions in the areas of Vodyane and Zolota Nyva, actively deploying assault and bomber aviation. On the Orikhiv direction, the occupiers attacked near Robotyne, delivering airstrikes on Kamianske, Stepnohirsk, and Shcherbaky.
In the operational zone of "Odesa" OSG on the Prydniprovskiy direction, Russian invaders attacked 6 times but faced a strong counteroffensive and suffered losses.
General conclusion:
Change in the line of contact (LoC):
Changes in the enemy disposition:
Escalation indicators:
Possible operation situation developments:
Russian operational losses from 24.02.22 to 13.09.24
Personnel - almost 631,420 (+1,220);
Tanks 8,671 (+18);
Armored combat vehicles – 17,003 (+48);
Artillery systems – 18,061 (+52);
Multiple rocket launchers (MLRS) – 1,185 (+1);
Anti-aircraft warfare systems - 945 (0);
Vehicles and fuel tanks – 24,481 (+93);
Aircraft - 369 (0);
Helicopters – 328 (0);
UAV operational and tactical level – 15,113 (+80);
Intercepted cruise missiles – 2,591 (0);
Boats/ships – 29 (0).
Humanitarian+general:
Centre for Defence Strategies (CDS) is a Ukrainian security think tank. We operate since 2020. We publish this brief daily. If you would like to subscribe, please send us an email at cds.dailybrief@gmail.com
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Reports are that they managed to go another 2km deep.
Interesting alright
It feels like Russia have endless supplies but they really don't. I hate saying it because I don't want the war to last but I can't wait to see their storage bases after.
This will be the end of Russia as a force because they'll never come close to these stockpiles again.
British and UK governments take the red line more seriously than boards posters, by the looks of it.
Disappointing. Unless they simply want to keep Putin guessing?
The article includes a mention of the old man from this post:
#3655 09-08-2024 8:46pm
Daddy Putin. Daddy Putin. Look what we found? We roughed him up a bit first. Now give us our 100,000 ruble reward for handing over "foreign agents".
Putin's people just left the human race. Got tired and tried to poison the human race. Became full blown Orc. Orc now do Orc things. Thanks daddy Putin.
He is 87-years old and his name is Dmitry Grinchy. He spoke to the reporter, so he appears to have been released after the two Vatniks marched him off to the police.
This old man’s story and others is told in this bbc podcast
About vile “ordinary” people that flourish in this Russian “culture”
Medvedev back from his latest bender.
Expect more ‘… will mean war with Russia’ statements from the talking heads.
War with Russia will be the end of Russia.
….
An thought in my head a few days ago about this red line of escalating. Is it possible that the US might be waiting for a nod from their Russian asset who might be able to inform them of Putins exact response. It seems to me the US are waiting for something.
Kursk update, why Russians decided to attack from this direction is a mystery
Insert ”it’s a trap” meme here
BBC update on situation in the east, it's getting worse, yet still US and UK are dithering about long range missiles:
dont long range missiles mean that NATO are then directing them in some manner?, its not a one sided argument, surely the US have to worry about Russian proxies "complicating" some other situation like shipping routes or some other assets in the ME etc?
Probably the longer range weaponry would be using allied or NATO satellite based systems for guidance.
thats in the realms of an obvious escalation though , it would be a case that whatever way its explained that it is NATO directing weapons into Russia. I doubt there is much desire for that outside of some extremist neocons
