Why do these idiots broadcast this stuff for all to see??
The real problem for Ukraine is that the Spring offensive, at current rates of success, would take 16 years to recapture it's territory. A lot is riding on the Spring offensive and I suspect some aircraft will give Ukraine an additional opportunity for another offensive, possibly later this year or maybe next Spring but by then, and without additional military equipment, we are unlikely to be in a situation where Russia or Ukraine will support a deal due to the cost of war, with both sides even further entrenched in combat.
The aim here should be winning the peace but winning the peace for Ukraine will not be some political deal with Russia where they don't join the EU and get non-Russian external security guarantees. South Korea is an example where an armistice can create an environment for progression and I think, at this point, Ukraine will be forced to surrender territory in order to move into the future. I suspect the NATO will back them until 2024 and then a deal will be on the table.
It's difficult to see peace for a long time, unfortunately. The only incentive I can see for a prolonged support for an Ukrainian offensive over the medium term is to deter both China and Russia, but I suspect the US is silently no longer worried about Russia in non-nuclear terms since the embarrassment of this war.
The other consideration to peace is Russia, they will want to go back to the status quo with Europe and the US which is impossible at this point, that may hold up any potential agreement between Russia and Ukraine.
It's difficult to see an end when the little master strategist in the Kremlin surrounds himself with lies. There are worse people around him. A war to deter NATO that brings NATO closer to your border... Genius.
Another Ukraine should give up some of its country for peace.
When will you lads learn?
Seems more fair for putin to give up some land to try make peace with Ukraine:
Mod
Poster warned.
You might want to check where your village is located.
"Amur district, Russia"
If Russia starts losing territory in the Amur, things are going pretty bad for them.
If they don't make major gains and Russia hold on and Russia inflict heavy losses on the Ukrainians it will be very telling but if other way round could be huge for Ukraine. I say the Russian attacks to the north have forced Ukraine to attack with these reserves.
Utter scutter. Seriously he's obviously paid by russia to produce that crap his other vids are worse. I recommend @serpentza on youtube to give you an excellent view on the contrast of China and it's blatant lies and propaganda as a whole comparded to our exposure. He lived, worked and vlogged there for years and is spilling the beans on the place the last year, he's excellent.
All this will hopefully come to pass. All I said is there are no guarantees. Good doesn't always win, evil isn't always punished. Anyone who thinks differently is swapping reality for Hollywood movies
Can anyone really believe that? No one is going to publicly pre announce an offensive and the direction it will take place in.
Well would you look at that. Those 2 houses are safe and Russia have retreated and are likely to retreat further.
These days you seem to be focusing a lot on what equates to country townlands in Ireland. Is that what Russia use to recognise and celebrate wins?
Are you getting all your info from Russian mil bloggers on Telegram?
Speaking of Russian telegram some are now reporting Staromaiorske as lost.
Nice to see a little progress if that's true
Hopefully Russian offence in North has been stopped as well
Snipers Yuri Chornomorets on Twitter: "The guys work at the limit of what is possible for a person. In the photo, a sniper, risking himself, stops the attack of the orcs. "So today they stopped the assault. No matter how it was, I have not yet seen a single enemy who, when he hears that a sniper is working, .. 1/4 https://t.co/ca3BetMXVx" / Twitter
That's all one possible scenario. Time will tell. It'll be a great day if he and his criminal band ever end up in the Hague, I'm just not very optimistic it'll happen
Luhansk looks to have stabilised for now at least, with Russia pushed back a bit in a few locations. It also looks like it wasn't an intentional play by the Ukrainians to try and suck Russia into a pocket. They were caught off guard and even have been using areas on that front for training of new recruits. Very surprising, as mentioned previously, Russia haven't been known to simply accumulate large force concentrations unless they're going on the offensive.
Can someone explain to me why it's considered a bad thing to see that the Russian forces are only in the game because of minefields, which they had months to lay down?
If Ukrainian forces break through this layer of defense, anywhere, it really looks like Russia has little to keep them back
While I've lived and worked for nearly 25 years in warzones all over the world, and can tell you pretty much what its like from a civilian point of view living in a city destroyed by war., I'm not military, so any discussion about tactics and weapons, I leave to the experts. Having watched the video, I'd say that he knows what he's talking about, but I think that what he's saying is just generalizing and not rocket science. Military wise. I'd imagine any other military analyst / commander would be thinking along the same lines. He mentions the first armored assault that got destroyed. That was always on the cards, which was why it was not a full scale attack. Ditto, he speaks about the imbalance, especially the air. He also mentions Russian soldiers having to buy their own protective gear to increase their survival chances, and the long duty cycle's Russians face V regular rotations of Ukrainian troops. He doesn't mention how many Family's can afford the better equipment, or what happens to this gear when they reach the front line, where Dedovschina is still alive and well, and they lose this expensive gear within a day or two after arrival. We will see 3 /4 mths down the road what he has to say, but maybe the most important thing he had to say was " You can train and equip men to the nth degree, but once the shooting starts, the outcome is never certain."
Yeah seems to have been a mistake made by new recruits during a rotation of troops and miscommunication. Caught with pants down. It happens. It's war.
Situation stabilised and reversed in some cases.
Because, simply put, mines are gonna be a problem for the entire population living there after the war ends. Unless Russia has an exacting map of where the mines were placed, and hand it over to authorities when hostilities cease, you're talking about decades of potential death and maiming from mines yet to come. It's a sad, but repeated story across the world; even here in Europe unexploded WW2 bombs remain a thing.
For sure from a strategic point of view the mines & trenches of the Russias are a static line of defence that, if broken, could spell the end of Russia control in that area .. but mines are repugnant precisely because of the long term effect they'll have on those living in the cities, working the fields in future.
Looks who has been spotted at the African summit in St. Petersburg
The cnut.
Oh, I know that the mines are a disgusting weapon and there will be deaths for decades, from them.
I mean people are saying that the Ukrainian offensive is failing because they are having to clear out the fields.
They are a thin line of static defense and Russia seems to have very little behind them.
was wondering where he was...id guess more pillaging in Africa is on the cards?
Polly from Faulty Towers?
Ah ok. Clearing mines is á slow and laborious process (pages back someone shared a video of how it's done); the forces & equipment used to clear mines would be vulnerable to attack themselves so offensives would presumably be stalled by the double problem of speed of clearance vs. the ability of Russia to hammer the mine-clearing forces - forcing their retreat. And even if the mines are cleared, you can only safely proceed along a narrower channel than you might prefer - further concentrating Russia firepower on your position. I'm sure were they unmolested the Ukraine army would have the mines cleared in day, but obviously Russia can sit behind their defences and fire at the slow-moving Ukrainians.
Hope all that fancy stuff in the palace is bolted down! He looks the kinda lad that couldn't resist fleecing it!
I remember in one city, where we were expecting bombing and shooting, myself and a colleague were walking down the street carrying bomb blast plastic to stick to the windows in our residences, to stop the glass from flying if they got shattered. I remember it vividly to this day, not a soul on the streets leaves fluttering along the ground, and some birds in the air. And we walked along, making small talk, stopping off at each house and delivering until we got to the last one, job done. Time for the sit down and coffee, we each looked at each other saying nothing for awhile, and then my colleague said to me " Did you feel it? I answered yes, on the back of head as we walked along. Same as me he replied" I don't know if or when the sniper(s) went to work, but later on the bombing and shooting did start.
Amazingly, that comment applies to both the palace and Africa itself.
Russia have constructed the most extensive fortifications in Europe since WW2. They have layers of trenches, concrete firing posts, anti-tank ditches, dragons teeth, wire, minefields. It's 5km deep or more.
They are defending forward which means they have men in basic fox-holes hidden in tree-lines etc in front of the defensive line. They hold the position as long as they can, then when Ukraine is about to take their fox-holes they fall back and call artillery on this position. And move back into the same fox-hole afterwards.
All of the fighting for the whole counter-offensive has been taking place in this forward position - Ukraine have not even reached the main defensive line in 2 months of trying. When you hear they punched through or captured a village, it's in this forward position. To breach the defensive line will be 10x more difficult than what they are currently trying (and failing) to do.
It's a very tough task, particularly without air-support.
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