...
This isn't good....
Reports of missles inbound for ukraine .....
Hopefully it's not happening
Going to be long night in Ukraine, Russian submarines and other vessels on the move in the black sea as well,
TU-160 heavy strategic bombers took off from Engels just under an hour a go. Reports range between 3 and up to 10. It looks like a very major assault is underway - unless it's just muscle flexing which seems highly unlikely.
17 bombers with the capacity to launch up 16 missles each ,or drop 20,000kgs of bombs ,
Whatever they went after it was specific and not a random fire and hope we hit something be it civilian or military
We won't know until tomorrow what and how many missiles were launched and how many were intercepted.
Only takes 1 to get through air defense and hit an ammo depot, doesn't mean Ukraine air defense is lacking.
It's also an area that's not on the usual list of targets, hard to imagine Ukraine either having an ammo depot or bringing in supplies for the offensive via railway (Russia claimed they hit the railway depot) and not having air cover. Usually with the mass missile launches you hear of air defense taking them down. It's also strange that from the take off of the bombers to the explosion was only a couple of minutes. Something about it all seems different than the usual mass missile launches.
It's not all of a sudden they have been doing it since day one,
The problem is some people completely wrote off the Russians airforce,no pilots,crap training and very little ammunition,
And yet day in and day out there is strikes against ukraine from the Russian airforce wether it be bombs or missles the Russians airforce is still dangerous and can still cause serious problems
Are we seeing the rumours of Ukrainian air defences running out come to fruition?
Very concerning if Ukraine can’t protect themselves from Russian air capabilities all of a sudden.
There hasn't been many videos of it, so it's hard to know if it was just a massive explosion, indicating it could have been as reported, or if there was multiple explosions going on for a very long time. We've seen space rocket explosions before (violent but quick) and we've seen ammo dumps exploding before (secondary explosions go on throughout the night). So I'd say the truth will be known soon, there's no hiding the aftermath of an explosion like that.
If it isn't old Rockets ,it's possible storage facilities have been leaked or found through other means, especially with the discussion around ammunition shortages lately this could be a bit of a setback
I hope this is the case. But, they are hardly going to admit if the stuff they need for the new offensive just went boom.
Hopefully, it's old stuff.
It's quite possible,
Can imagine fires or explosions on the 9th in Moscow,,,,,
Chemical compositions ....
As I said gas grenades, which there is multiples of,
Looking forward to some future compositions.....
Next week any good to you?
Any links yet supporting your claim about 'other' ( other than CS) types of gas grenades used by the Ukrainians?
What are the odds that the UA begins it offensive a day or so before the 8th May. Nice little surprise for the Russians
I guess we'll know more in the next few days.
Sure it was claimed it already began,
Probably something got lost in translation again.
I think it's not going to happen in until everything is in place and the conditions are perfect,
There's been percision strikes in Mariupol and metiplol since late January
Looks like its gonna be hell in Ukraine tonight, hopefully air defense does its job. Scared to read the news tomorrow
Unless it's his first day being defence minister or he lacks the most basic understanding of military information strategy, I'm going to hazard a guess that there's a bit of art to what he's saying.
Ukraine has hinted at various times that they would be willing to talk about the issue of Crimea. I'm not saying that they have explicitly stated they'd be open to what I'm suggesting, but you can appreciate that cards will be held close to the chest where stakes are this high and mistrust is the order of the day.
Well, the Ukranian defence minister gave an interview early today saying it was nearly ready to go. Why they telegraph this like they do I can't understand.
Or they are trying to disrupt the upcoming counter offensive which has yet to begin
Can only be assumed to be a major reprisal by the Russians tonight for the attack in Crimea.
With Trump being the front runner, they could be waiting longer than they have to actually take advantage at this hypothetical point when the USA withdraws its support.
Putin already Said previously he won't allow peacekeepers in Ukraine,
Only Russian peace keepers,
The only way this end is either ukraine wipes the floor with the Russians in Ukraine and force them to withdraw or Nato bombs Russian forces until they withdraw from Ukraine
"I think the best terms Russia would get would be an offer of an internationally-recognised referendum on Crimea,"
A referendum in Crimea after almost ten years of occupation being internationally recognised would be like giving international support for genocide and I can't see anyone other than putin being in favour of such a move.
Russia will drag this on for as long as it takes to manipulate another simpatico Republican into the US presidency to abandon Ukraine like Trump abandoned the Kurds
In the case of the zone of occupation being split, I think the best terms Russia would get would be an offer of an internationally-recognised referendum on Crimea, UN peacekeepers in the Donbass and a promise of no offensive weapons installations to be placed in Ukraine by NATO. I had laid this out in more detail some time ago.
If Russia don't want to come to the table, that's on them, but if Putin finds himself prosecuting an obviously failing war or god forbid (from Russia's perspective, that is) being run out of Ukraine entirely, he's going to be in trouble domestically/politically, so there is calculation to be done on when to cut losses and try to claim some kind of victory.
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