Unfortunately it’s hard to swallow, but this tactic seems like it could be something which could turn the tide if not stopped soon.
It's part of the effort to deflect interest in the war in Ukraine, no doubt originating in RuSSia and the witless Putinbots, like the one that showed up with the state department paper who clearly had copied the start of his post from a RuSSian telegram site, just lap it up, thinking they're edgy or 'skeptical' or whatever. Just trying to wear people down.
Sheep to the slaughter is all they'd be should their daddy Vlad get ahold of them.
Finland is a bad example. They were being invaded by USSR, which was part of the allied forces and were refused help by other allied countries. The only country giving thing anything resembling help/aid was nazi Germany.
Ukraine today cannot be held in any comparison to 1939 Finland.
And have i said anything else?
Thats been my point all along
Explain me how it can get any worse?And no nuclear weapons wont be used dont worry
How does it get worse? NATO gets dragged into this conflict and if you think nukes are totally off the table then you're being very naive!
Finlands Karelia is a wasteland of no strategic or economical importance,Donbas and Crimea in Ukraine is,thats the difference.
And Finland won their independence,thats what Ukraine is trying to do as well
Naive,only person with a paranoia in here seems to be you
NATO will only get dragged in if attacked according to article 4 or 5,and if NATO gets dragged in it most certainly will go to peacetalks rather quickly on Russias behalf ,thats for sure
If Russia gets Ukraine Europe is bunched, baltics and Poland may follow.
No they will not. For starters, Russia do not have the manpower to subjugate the Ukrainian people, which means they cannot occupy Ukraine even if they surrendered. The insurgency would be too much to handle, they simply cannot control a hostile population in such a large area.
The idea that if Ukraine stops fighting, Poland, Estonia, Latvia etc are next is absurd. They can barely launch attacks from Belarus with sabotage going on, how would they manage attacking Poland through Ukraine if all their supply lines, bases, infrastructure is under attack from the inside? Pure doom mongering stuff that the Russians are marching West and wont stop till the iron curtain is back.😂 Like do you really think they are capable?
You think you know the mind of a mad man? Putin obviously doesn't care about anyone including his own people, one wrong move and this could go tits up very quickly and the whole world could be dragged into it.
NATO very nearly got drawn into it last week, after a Ukrainian missile killed 2 in Poland and the Ukrainian authorities still insisted it was a Russian missile, and refused to accept the results of Polish investigations into the accident.
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/24/world/europe/ukraine-american-missile.html
For those still in denial about the stray AA missiles - it has happened before, and that was with more modern plane launched missiles.
There have been plenty of reports of apartment blocks being hit by stray S300 and NASAM missiles inside Ukraine. Its not an isolated phenomenon
I believe Bakhmut is still fully under Ukrainian control. I though it was supposed to fall weeks ago? Is it still well equipped Wagner troops that are mincing themselves trying to take it. Or are they using mobniks now?
No.
When the first winter war was fought from November 1939 to March 1940, the USSR was not part of the allied side. That only happened when Germany attacked the USSR in June 1941. For its actions in attacking Finland, the USSR was thrown out of the League of Nations.
You think you know Russias corruption and misinformation?
Have you seen the state of the russian army in Ukraine?
You really think the state of their nuclear arsenal is any better?
What does Putin gain from destroying Russia,absolutely nothing,and Russia still have a no first use policy when it comes to use of nuclear weapons,meaning they have to change the law again to be able to use it.
And its not Putin that sends the missiles,its their military command,and i am sure there still people with a conscience left in Russia.
Im fairly sure this was the plan until the Ukrainians put up such heroic and constant resistance to the Russian invasion. There is zero doubt in my mind, that if Ukraine falls, Moldova goes with it then Russia begins its usual plans of causing tensions in bordering countries to create an opportunity for them to 'liberate' those areas. Russia wants to reclaim what they lost during the collapse of the Soviet Union. Now it turns out out, there vaunted and fearsome army was just a paper tiger and that Russias grand imperial ambitions are now in ruins. This kind of reminds me of the Russia-Japanese war of 1905.
And what did NATO do after?article 4 and nothing more
And we are very thankful that cooler calmer heads prevailed. Article 4 was the right call. Article 5 would have been very dubious. But the day might still come when Russia does something incredibly stupid that causes Article 5 to be invoked.
"You really think the state of their nuclear arsenal is any better?"
It may surprise you to know that the current fleet of Minuteman III missiles in use by the US were first deployed in 1970 and aren't due to be replaced until after 2030.
I wouldn't go so far as to say Ukraine should do what the Russians are doing, but I can understand Gatlings view on this. But you have to factor in that if Russia can do something awful then it will. It's not holding back with anything. If Russia thought it could use Nuclear weapons then it would, so Ukraine can't "attack" Russia as that would give Russia the excuse it needs.
What I think Ukraine should do more of is the guerrilla attacks, don't claim responsibility but covert missions into Russia and take out their power sources, take out Moscow or St Petersburg electrical/oil supplies. Let the wealthy and densely populated areas of Russian feel that pain. Some mysterious fires, unfortunate mistakes or spread a rumor that Russia is going to blow-up its own infrastructure to blame Ukraine, then go ahead and do it for them. Everyone will know what's happening but Russia can't go Nuclear. But there is no way Russians should be sleeping comfortably at night while they destroy Ukraine.
And how many times have they been upgraded?
And last i looked US used 60 billion $ a year to maintain their nuclear weapons.
I wonder if Russia does the same with their corruption
Looking at the state of the russian military in Ukraine i have my doubts
@timmyntc There have been plenty of reports of apartment blocks being hit by stray S300 and NASAM missiles inside Ukraine. Its not an isolated phenomenon.
Has there been plenty of varifed reports that Nasams and S300s hitting Ukrainian blocks ???
This is the first claim on here by anyone,you took one incident which has had no apparent investigation by experts on the ground that was actually reported and multiplied it to suit an agenda.
strays happens alot when used in populated areas with air defence systems,for sure,then its usually a operator failure,not missile.
But i cant say i have heard of any NASAMS or S300,BUK and TOR systems i have seen and heard of.
Air launched from fighters happens more frequent and then its a missile failure.
So do you really want to give the bear a good kicking and find out what state its in?
If Russia does that,they know the outcome,and espesially now when their military is weaker
It's been a while since Sergei's $18m home was posted. I think he's on a $110,000 basic? Must be doing a lot of overtime.
Oh completely agree. We all know that if Russia did not have nuclear weapons, this war would have been over after 96 hours.
Good post. Yes, well conducted asymmetric warfare can cause real trouble to a bigger opponent.
NASAMs was in the last few days, clearly identifiable fragments of the missile at the scene.
Plenty of pics of S300 damage in the past, claimed to be russian S300s launched into Ukraine. The NY times article shows another instance of an AGM-88 hitting an apartment building in Kramatorsk in september
Long Range ICBM such as minuteman are kinda of defunct at the minute (no pun intended), they carry the W78 warhead (about 300kt)
A NATO strike would more likely be carried out by a Submarine carrying Trident II missiles with a W88 warhead (about 450kt)
A tactical strike with a smaller warhead could potentially be carried out by an F-22 (Or other stealth fighter with a large enough bay to house an B61)