Ukraine is taking back parts of Ukraine - that is implied in the 'take back' bit.
….
I was in Dublin city centre at the weekend and there was a small protest with maybe 20 or so Ukrainians opposite the GPO and two guys where holding up "Russian and opposed to the war" placards so im guessing they where Russian but overall i agree the lack of protests given the amount of people who have fled tells it's own story about the Russian mindset.
People should not forget that Bill Gates profiteered from Ireland's misfortune and was in like Flynn to stick his snout in the trough. We, the Irish taxpayer, were paying this vulture 10 or so percent while struggling as a country and prevailing interest rates were close to zero.
"When Putin is ousted", what then?
Look at the calls for escalation those around him are making. Simply removing Putin won't be enough, the whole regime needs to go and that's going to be very difficult in a country that appreciates the strong man leader.
@jmreire
Seems that the agree with the war, but not if they have tom actually go and fight in it.
I believe that state of mind is known as Ted Nugent Syndrome.
Yes, I know what it's like. I lived there for several years, but for the ones who have escaped??? Seems that the agree with the war, but not if they have tom actually go and fight in it.
Interesting site, here, listing the Russian losses in various forms since the invasion began.
To be clear, this is based on Ukrainian estimates, so take them with a pinch of salt if you feel that's necessary.
For example, the UAF are claiming Russia are down around 2,500 tanks since the beginning of the invasion, which is double what's been visually confirmed as lost by the Russians, as quoted by @correct horse battery staple . Even if you take the half number, it's still more than what the Russians are reported to have initially committed in Ukraine, which is another thing that really conveys what a hell this war is for the Russians.
Elon has a new fan (from the Guardian):
The Kremlin has praised the Tesla boss, Elon Musk, for suggesting a possible peace deal to end the war in Ukraine, after Kyiv rebuked him for proposing terms it viewed as rewarding Russia.
The Kremlin spokesperson, Dmitry Peskov, told reporters in a conference call:
It is very positive that somebody like Elon Musk is looking for a peaceful way out of this situation.
Compared to many professional diplomats, Musk is still searching for ways to achieve peace. And achieving peace without fulfilling Russia’s conditions is absolutely impossible.
And yet, the ones who did protest and paid the price for it will be the hero's when Putin is ousted, let those protests be at home (preferably) or abroad.
They ran to avoid being sent to fight proberly a fair number of them have no problem with what Putin is doing as long as they are not directly involved .
Will be interesting to see where the line stabilises now. If AFU can push down to the dam, then the Russians are down to one damaged road bridge and maybe one rail bridge in and out of Kherson. Both of which would also be well within striking range, as well as a large swathe of ground south of the river.
If they had any cop-on they’d pull back to a new line south of the river now, before its too late.
It looks like it will end in a huge military defeat for the Putin regime. All the signs are of an army in retreat, which will be unable to turn things around in the next 3-6 months. The mobilisation has almost certainly come way too late.
How this plays out in Moscow for the dictator is anyone's guess and much harder to predict.
That train, as per the photo I provided, contained a whole host of vehicles, none of which is the one you imply was the sole cargo. Someone questioning something doesn't make it a fact, it's just an alternative hypothesis, and this is clear from the comments by Konrad Musyka, who apart from stating that the train and equipment does indeed belong to the 12th Directorate, thinks it's 'only' nuclear sabre rattling, which does not preclude him from being wrong as the possibility remains that this movement of equipment might still be associated with the core function of that unit.
I'm likely older than you, so stow the condescension.
Ukraine is taking back more parts of Russia
I tell ya by the end of this I'm going to be fairly good at Ukrainian geography
Yep, the point is well made. I wonder are most of the Russian diaspora just keeping their heads down now and hoping for a way back home...
I might get roasted for offering this opinion, but I have some sympathy for people who refrain from protesting, in Russia anyhow. Getting picked up for voicing any kind of anti-war statement leads to fines and perhaps a cracked skull from an overzealous security officer, but I read somewhere that getting charged with that kind of offense gets you put on the equivalent of a sex offenders list, which severely hobbles prospects and employment and so on. Just another way the Krelim erodes the right to say, "No"....
There are protests but they're being quenched.
Anyone protesting is immediately conscripted hence why there are videos of men breaking arms and legs.
Anyone expecting an organised march with lovely banners and chants are away with the fairies. Thats not allowed in Russia.
Russians have to protest differently.
Not a video, but on https://liveuamap.com/ you can use the Time link at the top right to see where the front line was on any date this year.
So they're on the defense rather than offence. Interesting turn of events.
It's a real fight in reality, never seen anything like it.
During the Gulf wars the west kept going East... this war it's push and pull
Anyone have a link to a video map from the start of the war up till today?
I have an image of the red area going in towards central Ukraine like a wave and now coming back out again.
Edit: found this one for Kharkiv in last month. Gonna check their feed for more.
Given that since mobilization was announced, 250'000 + military age men have left Russia for safer Country's, you would think that by now, anti -war protests would be springing up like mushrooms amongst these war refugees? Seeing that now they are safe from Putin persecution. But where are they? Or is it a case that they agree with the war, but don't want to go and fight it? If that's the case, they should not be given protection, but be sent back home and take their chances, same as Ukrainians and their fellow Russian citizens are doing every day.
Many thanks Briany. The single host sermons are always an interesting watch. It's a cliche to reference it, but it really does conjure up Nineteen Eighty-Four...
I only recently found this out, myself, but the show you're referring to is https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evening_with_Vladimir_Solovyov .
Davydiv Brod has also apparently been abandoned. Both sides have suffered heavy casualties to take this city, and in one swoop the Russians have abandoned it.
The map will look something like this by the end of the day at the rates things are going.
Ukrainian flag raised in Novomykolaivka of Kherson region, looks like the Dnipro River will be the new front line
It's very hard I think to predict the eventual outcome. So much depends on the morale of the Russian military and the true level of belief that they and the public back home have in this war. It's one thing to go in and occupy territory, another to fight & die to keep it. And they are neighbours after all, with many family links.
Ukraine has taken major infrastructural damage where the war has taken place, their economy flattened and much suffering among the population. It's been transformative for them. So where do they draw any line? Maybe ceding some territory in Luhansk and regaining Crimea? But will only eventually negotiate with successor to Putin.
The Russians have apparently withdrawn from Velyka Aleksandrivka.
Stupid site missed the quote that I was replying to. The person who said that Russia is concerned about the West learning about their aircraft was Declan Power
One of the things I'm most fascinated by is the Information War that is being waged on both sides, but especially on the Russian side. These past two weeks I've been paying more attention to the current affairs show that's excerpted here from time to time - and I'm never quite sure if this is the same program - the set is always the same despite the revolving door of hosts and panellists, but in the latest salvo of blame and invective, the male host seems to criticize Margarita Simonyan, chief editor of Russia Today, for her recent negative comments on strategy, which on the face of it smacks of old-fashioned male chauvinism, but it's surprising to see to such fault lines appear on the Kremlin's main mouthpiece. You get a sense that the internal wrangling is not being contained. I'm guessing that this opinion piece slipped by Margarita Simonyan, and she was none too happy....
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