I sincerely hope you are right. Quite a few analysts are giving the Russians an advantage in the East. That encirclement threat is very real.
More ridiculous posting from yourself, Russia had to pull out from the entire north north west and north east of the country giving up any gains. They continue to make tiny inroads on small towns and countryside whilst losing hundreds of troops per week not to mention all of the equipment.
Nonsense.
it's as simple as a motivated force vs unmotivated force
Afghani's weren't motivated in large numbers... felt sorry for the SOF, they seemed to have a very good rep and were hung out to dry
Be interesting to see how the Russians sustain these losses as the economical pressure mounts and more weapons flood into the Ukraine, if Russia gets bogged down at all allowing time for the Ukraine's to stabilize supplies , they will do well to hold what they have let alone take more.
And the pressure is only going to continue to increase. Russia is miles away from winning the war it's an exercise in futility not matter what way you cut the cake the outcome is not a favorable one to Russia.
Eventually (depending on the level of pollution it causes) the Moskva will probably be taken over by sea life and will become a man-made reef with flourishing ecosystem. The Americans have been known sink old ships in specific locations to achieve precisely this effect. Ultimately the Moskva may do a lot more good sunk than it ever did floating.
Depending on the water depth, charts may need to be updated to mark its position so that ships and particularly trawlers and fishing boats can avoid it. This should probably be provided by the Ukrainians, who likely had a firmer fix on the ship's position than the Russians did themselves. 😀
The military strategy of 'Look over there' fooled them. 🤣 Rolled on its side - hard to salvage that.
Oh, they have an advantage in the east for sure. The big question is whether this advantage will be big enough to overcome the significant endemic problems within the Russian armed forces, namely the lack of tactical flexibility, especially on smaller scales, low morale, lack of apparent combined arms operations on a large scale, the logistics issues brought on by rampant corruption, and so on.
Russia has tried to address some of these shortcomings with the appointment of an overall commander for operations in Ukraine. Why they didn't do so from the start is beyond me. However, whilst said general was able to organize a very effective terror bombing campaign in Syria, it remains to be seen whether he has the necessary skills to organize the large scale combined arms operations that the battle of Donbas will likely require, especially given that the Battalion Tactical Group concept is turning out to be less effective than expected in Ukraine from what I'm seeing.
Granted, Ukraine very much has an uphill struggle ahead of itself, but they do have a very real chance of winning in the Donbas and they can afford a few slip-ups or tactical retreats. Russia will need to get it right every single time.
The Ukrainians have released a photo of their anti-ship system being tested...
As someone else put it, how much more of this victorious campaign can Russia take?
You've got Ukraine getting significant support from a bottomless pit of Western military resources. Then you've got Russia who cannot even make new tanks because of sanction induced parts shortages.
Russian morale is in the shítter while Ukraine is taking out a flagship. A flagship is worth a thousand tanks morale wise. Putin is already taking out his FSB, his support base. Which one of them is going to do a preventative strike?
Ukraine is undoubtedly taking a battering, but they know the world is largely behind them and they are fighting for their lives and country. Lose this war and they know their families down to the youngest will be raped. Try fighting against that with your conscripted, pimply faced peasants that likely skip back to their own country once they've looted a few iphones, who, while in Ukraine have to worry about their tank breaking down underneath a drone strike.
For Ukraine, challenges are many, but motivation is HUGE.
Not to engage in superstition or anything like that, but the Romans would be having conniption fits if they were still around 😁
😮
Don't get me wrong. I know the invasion has been a disaster based on its original aims. But they will get the eastern part of the country and in the end probably tens if not hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians will be dead and millions displaced. It's an immense loss and tragedy for Ukraine too, but some posters on here just want to post silly gifs as if the war is one big laugh at seeing the Russians getting hammered.
Right, and the Ukrainians are just having a picnic while all that's going on, it's not like tens of thousands are being killed and whole cities destroyed, or maybe you're just indifferent to that aspect
Even focussing on 'territory gained' is using the wrong metric for success in this war.
Russia has already lost this war. It probably had lost before the first tank drove over the border. This is one of the biggest strategic misjudgements in modern history.
Consider this:
Russia has doomed itself, probably for generations. Focussing on which town has or hasn't been taken is myopic.
To be fair the Ukrainians are the ones having a good laugh at the those stupid fculing Russians
The irony, satire and outright cynicism help Ukrainians cope with stress, loss, uncertainty and violence around them.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/3/10/ukrainian-wartime-humour-derides-and-ridicules-russia
https://twitter.com/Ukraine?s=20&t=m7ng9SfMbOHYiW31hCkDmQ
Misdirection.
Keep going someday it might stick..
Another good update here some stuff going on is mad
Also crazy the ukraine lads i have taken some ground back in mariupol
How they are still going is mad
https://youtu.be/1zq3hEJyypU
If he's playing poker, then his hole cards are a joker and the Rules of Bridge.
Another victim of this war has been Putin's reputation as a strategic genius.
Sinking of that warship seems very significant. IIRC Ukraine was supplied with long range anti ship missiles recently and with these they could really do a number on the Russian fleet in the Black Sea which could really open up the south east for them.
Putin was never anything more than a strategic murderer.
As has been said many times before "If Ukraine stops fighting it ceases to exist, if Russia stops fighting the war ends".
Russia attacked Ukraine, not the other way around. Of course people are going to be happy that the Russians are taking losses, the hope is the bigger the losses the more chance they will stand down. I am one of those people and I am under no illusions that the Ukrainians are paying a very heavy price for this Russian aggression.
The Russians deserve to be ridiculed. They have been exposed as military bluffers of the worst kind and "Poundshop Adolf" in the Kremlin is the biggest bluffer of them all.
Who knew that if you spent your political life assasinating and exiling political rivals that your mandarins and buerocrats would eventually refuse to provide accurate intelligence and only sunny side up assessments?
In Russia, KGB government is best government
House in Mariupol, before and after
Oh, I agree completely. A 'street thug', to use his own self-description.
He got lucky with petro-dollars and exploited Western laxity until this craziness. Now he's exposed as a man with no clothes, albeit with nukes.
There has never, ever been exact parallels of this very phenomenon in Russian history to this point.
Oh, wait. 🤔
Ireland is secretly providing hypersonic frying pans.
The orcs have now joined the nazi club. They will be despised forever.
According to reports it was two of Ukraines own Neptune missiles that did the deed.
Will President Biden visit Kyiv? Would be a huge morale boost to Ukraine and two fingers to the little thug hiding up in Mockba.
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