I checked the UK vs Ireland stats since 1 June and they have significantly more cases in that period but the gap on deaths is much closer. My lazy conclusion is that our slightly reduced death rate in this period may just be a consequence of higher vaccination rates and that what restrictions we've had since the summer have achieved very little, epidemiologically speaking.
Well, it may do, but that would be true regardless of what the graph showed since, regardless of what the present trends are, they may not continue. You can see from the graph that, at some times in the past, the UK death rate has been higher than the EU death rate while at other times the reverse is the case. Obviously, at any point in the future, either could be the case. If the EU death rate is higher than the UK death rate and this is sustained for long enough, then the EU cumulative death rate will eventually catch up with and overtake the UK cumulative death rate. But the graph tells us nothing at all, one way or the other, about how likely it is that this will happen.
It may be unfair, or at any rate oversimplified, to say that the EU is up to May 2021 (or any other date) is "clearly ahead in Covid policy". They may have a lower cumulative death rate, but this is not necessarily entirely due to better policy. Different countries are differently circumstanced and faced different challenges; factors other than policy differences may account for differing death rates.
Looks like decisions on restrictions to be made today.
The Uk have done superbly re the booster, almost a million boosted a day.
We cant even manage 300,000 a week.
Political situation here in UK is very interesting. Boris can't bring in any tougher measures without support from Labour as his own party is up in arms. Any tougher measures would need financial package to support business to get Labour to vote for it and Boris would probably not even get that through his cabinet so we are in limbo. Thankfully deaths still seem to be staying pretty low.
So they're doing just under 10% of their population a week and we're doing just over 6% of our population per week according to your good self... what of it?
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Where would we get and indeed why would we need the resources to vaccinate 20% of our population per day as you're seemingly implying that we need to do?
I thought this UK good Ireland bad narrative had been banished at this point?
Their population is 13 times bigger (we are vaccinating around 50,000 a day).
Also, one of the reasons they are vaccinating so frantically at the moment is because they are lagging well behind many EU countries per capita and trying desperately to catch up.
It'll be interesting to see how this chart of cases in London develops over the next day or two.
Ah, this one is better if trickier to interpret.
I think it shows that after a couple of days of drops the cases are leveling out at around 20k/day.
Very early days and things can change overnight but looks like a lot of the population are being overly cautious at the moment. Sort of self imposed restrictions. Big numbers due today with it being catch up Tuesday saying that.
Per capita on Monday we actually vaccinated a slightly larger percentage of our population than they did so regardless of how ridiculous an argument it is, it also is simply wrong.
This is the graph of case numbers for each age group in Scotland.
Surprisingly it is the younger (non-vaccinated) age group that seems to be levelling off first. The case numbers for this age group have been huge for the last couple of months. Maybe infection acquired immunity against earlier variants does provide a degree of immunity for Omnicron.
It's possible that this is a chain of transmission artifact. Young people socialise more and then pass it to older people, and the time lag between infection and onward transmission spaces out the waves.
Nicola Sturgeon seemed to be talking about vaccination 'jags' earlier on. Is that what they call jabs in Scotland or was I just mishearing?
I believe so.
Yes I think this is certainly what is happen for some age groups - there seems to be a degree of correlation between 0-14 (children) and 25-44 (parents) with.a time lag for he onward transmission.
Yes they are called jags here
Right so 'Two Jags' would actually be a positive epither for a politician up there
'Three Jags' even better...
The UK is opting buy more of the antiviral COVID pills
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-59752835?ns_mchannel=social&ns_source=twitter&ns_campaign=bbc_live&ns_linkname=61c2e5ae634f74085bb5935b%26UK%20signs%20deal%20for%20millions%20of%20Covid%20treatment%20pills%262021-12-22T08%3A59%3A26.720Z&ns_fee=0&pinned_post_locator=urn:asset:65162ade-70cb-499d-b6d2-5c92dec26f71&pinned_post_asset_id=61c2e5ae634f74085bb5935b&pinned_post_type=share
The UK has signed deals to buy a further 4.25 million courses of antiviral Covid pills for the NHS.
The two new contracts are for 1.75 million additional courses of Molnupiravir and 2.5 million additional courses of Paxlovid.
The case numbers in England have beaten the previous UK case number record
And 106,000 new cases for the entire UK - that's a big jump in the space of 24 hours.
Got to laugh at how bonkers some of these rules are. Fans from Cardiff can travel to a packed stadium to watch them play but you cannot watch them play at home
Different countries having different levels of restrictions is not something new during this pandemic.
Cardiff is in Wales and Bournmouth is in England. UK govt provide the rules for England and the Welsh Govt provide the rules for Wales. There would be no anomoly if Welsh teams did not play in the English leagues or if UK govt tightened the rules up for England
England reports record number of daily coronavirus cases with 117,093
They're called jags in Derry too. "Jabs" isn't a word here, no matter how much the virtue signalling politicians assume it is.
183k cases in the UK today with another 57 deaths announced (based on partial reporting).
Another 1,213 admitted to hospital today. Government are not currently able to give up to date figures for overall numbers in hospital in the UK but England itself is at 10,462 which is up 48% week on week.
Expected to be a huge jump in deaths tomorrow as the vast majority of those which occurred on 25/26/27/28 December wouldn't have been able to be registered since NHS England has not reported any death figures since Christmas Eve, but will report figures for those days in tomorrow's update.
Good to see a smaller number in hospital and ICU compared to yesterday.
The figures for numbers in hospital in England have been going up every day according to what has been reported. Note the the headline UK number on the COVID dashboard has not been updated since 22nd December due to a lack of data from Wales.
If you drill down on it by country level as opposed to the whole of the UK, you will see it has been increasing in all parts of the UK daily (where information is available) since Christmas Eve.
There's still an upward trend in ICU figures, but right now the upward movement is very very slight. I guess we'll see in a week or so how the increasing hospital numbers translate in terms of ICU bed usage as generally from what I've seen for those who go into hospital, if they're going to go into ICU, it doesn't happen for a few days post admission.
What those numbers don’t tell us, is how many people are in hospital for covid, not just with covid.
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