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Is buying a diesel car now silly?

  • 30-07-2021 12:32am
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 1,272 ✭✭✭


    I'm currently driving 06 diesel golf which over 200,000 miles. I've a baby on the way and also making frequent trips to hospital to my mother for cancer treatments. I'm not sure how long the golf will last and my mother has offered to help me buy a new car.

    I will be working from home 2 days a week and commuting by train to work in an office 3 days a week.

    I was thinking of going electric and thinking it would save long term. However, most of my driving is on motorway so might not suit even getting a newer car like VW ID4 etc.

    So im thinking maybe I get something diesel powered like VW Tiguan.

    There seems to be a lot of doom around diesel powered cars but diesel is cheaper than petrol here, so most probably cheaper to run than a hybrid. Tax is still relatively cheap on most from about 2012 onwards.

    So how much more expensive do people think it will be to run a diesel vehicle in next few years?

    Will parts become massively more expensive as they phase out manufacturing diesel cars?

    Post edited by biko on


«13456

Comments

  • Moderators, Regional North East Moderators Posts: 12,739 Mod ✭✭✭✭cournioni


    Diesels will be around for another while yet.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,187 ✭✭✭mikeecho


    A second hand diesel will do fine, for years to come.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,986 ✭✭✭Buddy Bubs


    These motorway trips, how frequent are they and what distance? Do you have facility for home charger?

    These are the questions you need to answer. If you have ability to charge at home then the electric range will suit nearly all people. Diesel is still viable, but so is electric.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,067 ✭✭✭✭fryup


    is there such a thing as a hybrid diesel?



  • Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators Posts: 17,756 Mod ✭✭✭✭Henry Ford III


    I got a brand new diesel car yesterday.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,986 ✭✭✭Buddy Bubs


    Mercedes have a 300de in the e class.I think Volvo had one few years ago too. They are rare beasts.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,403 ✭✭✭✭Vicxas




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 51,289 ✭✭✭✭bazz26


    "Mild hybrid" is nothing more than marketing nonsense the same way Coke Zero or Diet Coke are claimed to be much better for you over regular Coke. Hybrid is a very trendy word these days and average joe associates it with being more earth friendly and clean. So car manufacturers decided to stick a second battery in their cars that run some of the car's electronics, etc which slightly helps with emissions. They then stick the word "mild hybrid" on to make buyers feel better about themselves and their contribution to saving the planet.



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,864 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Plug-in hybrids are only worth it if you actually plug them in, and then do a useful proportion of your miles on the battery. Otherwise, you are hauling an extra battery around for no benefit. They generally have a 50 or 60 km range on battery.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,516 ✭✭✭Outkast_IRE


    Would I consider buying a brand new diesel ? Yes , if my usage type and mileage made it the best fit over an electric and hybrid.


    More likely I would look and see if I could get one a year or two old so alot of the depreciation is eaten on it.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,082 ✭✭✭TaurenDruid


    You've left out basic information - what sort of mileage are you doing? And what length are your journeys.

    The big advantage of diesel used to be the cheap price of fuel for doing long distance driving and high mileage - I could get to Killarney and back to Dublin on one tank in my last car, a diesel Octavia.

    If you're not doing high mileage/long distances, petrol would probably be better for you than diesel - cheaper to maintain in the long run as the service intervals are longer. You might save 5c a litre with diesel over petrol at the pump, but as it sounds like your car will be sitting outside your house for 5 days/week, the amount of fuel you're putting in will be minimal, anyway?

    But if you're not doing high mileage/long distances regularly, then yes, electric or plug-in petrol hybrid would be better for the environment and cheaper again to run. EVs don't like cruising on motorways for long distances, but they can certainly do it when needed and range shouldn't be a problem if you can charge at home?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,059 ✭✭✭kirving


    The Merc E300 would be classed as a mild hybrid, and had a 20kW (27hp) motor with 250Nm torque, so quite a bit more than just electronics. It could only propel itself up to about 30km/h from a standstill, but it would drop into electric mode pretty much any time you were off the throttle at any speed. It really did make a difference to fuel economy around town particularly, and the driving experience was so so much better with electric rather than the feeling the clutch.

    Fuel savings per year would be very very minimal however. Maybe 100-200 per year vs normal diesel for high mileage driver.

    In my experience, hauling the (empty) battery is only a problem in town. On the open road, and extra 200kg makes no noticeable difference to fuel economy. Wind resistance accounts for the vast majority of fuel at higher speeds.

    All that said, fuel savings vs a regular car (in the hundreds per year for me doing 80% motorway, 20% urban) will not even approach depreciation cost. Real reason for me buying a PHEV was the VRT saving tbh, and the fuel saving was a nice bonus. I certainly wouldn't be paying a premium for a PHEV on the basic of fuel saving, but I might do for urban driving experience.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,059 ✭✭✭kirving


    I can't seem to edit my post without quoting it, which would look messy.

    Just to add, the terminology around hybrids and mild hybrids has next to zero standardisation and leads to expected confusion among the general public.

    By extension too, all ADAS features right now are a complete confusing mess and mean different things to different manufacturer, as does "fast charging" and the like.

    As for the OP's question, I would have no hesitation in buying a diesel today, they will be around for decades to come.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,469 ✭✭✭MAULBROOK


    Go for a TDI but why a SUV. Superb estate better economy than a SUV and a very large boot.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,768 ✭✭✭timsey tiger


    If your motorway trip is less than 200km round trip. Go electric and have a nice pleasant drive instead of adding to the pollution your little one gets to breath in.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 51,289 ✭✭✭✭bazz26


    I've never heard the Merc E300 being referred to as a mild hybrid so my previous statement does not apply to it. My reference was to cars labelled as mild hybrids that only have an extra small battery to power some of the electronics. These cars are not hybrids in the correct sense of the word.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 12,696 Mod ✭✭✭✭blue5000


    Nobody mentioned that because average Joe now thinks diesel is dirty, second hand prices have dropped. My wife bought a used 2014 Fluence with 120k km on the clock for 5k earlier this year. It's a buyer's market, shop around.

    If the seat's wet, sit on yer hat, a cool head is better than a wet ar5e.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,082 ✭✭✭TaurenDruid


    It really isn't a buyer's market! There's been several articles on RTÉ News app and in the papers about the lack of second-hand cars around lately, due to a combination of COVID, Brexit and the chip shortage... That's been borne out for me lately as I'm looking for a 2nd-hand car at the moment, there's not much choice out there at all.

    Just seen the OP was wondering about buying a SUV. @lightspeed that would be silly! An SUV adds 25- to 30% to your fuel expenditure for no reason other than you're hauling around 35- to 30% more weight. And if you've only one kid on the way, you don't need the extra space (and it's not much more space, really, the boots are tiny!).



  • Registered Users Posts: 170 ✭✭JCN12


    OP - buy what is necessary when it is necessary.

    See what you can afford without assistance from your Mom, and then work from there is my advice.

    Diesels aren't going to be outlawed soon, but rapid depreciation may be an issue over the next few years with consumer sentiment changing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 152 ✭✭jimbobmalones


    You do realise that the electricity your electric car is using has probably been generated using fossil fuels and therefore has created pollution for your little one to breath in? Also note that to use 1KW at charger probably required 1.3kw to be generated given powerline losses etc. Don't forget the opportunity cost of the time taken up with charging etc if not done at home



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,082 ✭✭✭TaurenDruid


    🙄 You're right, why should we bother, just set fire to the planet now!

    The truth is that while Ireland lags behind the rest of Europe in moving to renewables/avoiding fossil fuels, we are catching up. In 2018 the overall renewable energy share in Ireland was only 11%, compared to the 2020 target of 16%, by last year some energy providers had reached more than 40% renewables.

    How many litres of diesel were used to ship your last tank of fuel from the U.S. or the middle east?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 811 ✭✭✭yoshiktk


    What about kids mining cobalt in Africa? Thats allright? Diesels arent the greatest solution but now its the most sensible thing we have to offer for long term usage in high mileage trips.

    Give me an electric car which will do 1100km in one charge and I will gladly buy it to save "Earth".

    Getting back on topic, when I switched to diesel, with 20-25k km done in year, saved around 500-1000€ per year. You would need to do the math for yourself. Both options have pros and cons.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,292 ✭✭✭MightyMunster


    I'm afraid kids mining cobalt is FUD sponsored by the multi trillion oil and gas business. Why would you need over 1000km of range, did you often drive for 10hrs without stopping? In a nappy? If you were driving long distances like that a modern EV with one pedal driving would be a far more relaxing place to be as well as saving you around 80% in fuel costs



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 152 ✭✭jimbobmalones


    How many litres of diesel were used to ship the natural gas / diesel / coal used to power the electricity plant that generated the electricity to power your electric car?

    I'm not suggesting we burn the planet. Energy discussions should be based around engineering, science and mathematics which looks at the

    actual energy usage of different modalities (ICE Cars vs electric etc...). Many electric car advocates use simplistic arguments that don't include

    the cost of manufacturing the car and especially its batteries or that fact that electricity doesn't magically appear but has to be generated.

    It may be that there is a case for small electric vehicles for use in Cities etc but there is little evidence and no current technology that can match ICE engines for a significant percentage of the read miles that are currently made.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 51,289 ✭✭✭✭bazz26


    Producing anything has a detrimental impact on this planet now no matter how green you are told it is and over the last number of decades we have become a throw away society where we just want to replace one thing after another because we like new things and they make us feel better. If you want to make a difference to the planet then keep your existing car until it is no longer fit for purpose rather than replacing it every 3 years on PCP. Same goes with mobile phones, tablets or tvs, we continue to buy new ones when the existing ones work fine because we are brain washed into thinking the new one is way better than the old one.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 811 ✭✭✭yoshiktk


    I was just answering to the fact that a lot of people threat electric cars like "miracle" cure for all pollution problems. When You try to mention diesel they hiss at You like I was the one who killed Bambi. Im aware that both businesses aren't clean.

    Why I would need 1000km? Because during my holidays I drive a lot, being able to cover such a distance without worrying about how much battery is left and where to find nearest charger is for my use just more convenient. Like for example I like the Chinese or Taiwanese concept of replacing the battery on the spot instead of charging it.

    I dont see a problem driving long distance in manual, drove last week like few hundred km without touching the pedals, just used cruise control.

    Dont take me wrong, I do believe that electric cars/hybrids are important step but I just don't see it viable in the way EU sees things.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,473 ✭✭✭Mimon


    Makes sense but they are still too pricy for a lot of drivers to afford. Have the manufacturers racked up the price to take advantage of the subsidies? I wonder if the margin on electrics are more than ICE cars?


    Was hoping to be able to buy an electric for 25- 30 grand by now to do my 90km commute but it seems the prices are 35- 40 grand for something decent.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,982 ✭✭✭User1998




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,999 ✭✭✭bmc58


    Not the smartest move.Eamon Ryan and the Greens will punish you.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,999 ✭✭✭bmc58




  • Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators Posts: 17,756 Mod ✭✭✭✭Henry Ford III




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,999 ✭✭✭bmc58




  • Registered Users Posts: 483 ✭✭PaulRyan97


    This argument is so common but thankfully there's an easy answer due to "engineering, science and mathematics". Well to wheel, electric cars are cleaner than their best ICE equivalents, by a considerable margin. Electric cars emit more co2 in their production process than ICE's (~50% more), however the global average for how many kilometres you have to drive before you begin saving emissions is just 20,000km. In Ireland it's slightly lower than that again as we have a large renewable sector in our electricity generation. About a year's driving one can say.

    A full year before you've actually reduced any co2, terrible you say. It does sound that yeah, however once that point is reached the gap begins to open up dramatically due to the ridiculous inefficiencies in how the fuel for ICE cars is gotten to the car and then by how inefficient the car is itself. The best engines on the market at the moment barely have a thermal efficiency of 40%, most of your fuel isn't used to actually move your car. It's wasted as heat. Electric motors on the other hand can regularly hit 90% efficiency.

    Take for example a VW Golf vs and ID.3.

    2021 Golf Style, 130bhp 1.5tsi Petrol + mild hybrid, 7 speed DSG, WLTP 5.6l/100km, 50 litre fuel tank.

    2021 ID.3 Tech, 145bhp single RWD electric motor, 1 speed automatic, WLTP 15.8kWh/100km, 58kWh battery.

    On paper, the Golf has a range of ~900km while the ID.3 can only do ~370km. Golf wins, right? Well you have to look a bit deeper, 1 litre of petrol burned at 100% efficiency produces about 9.7kWh of energy. So theoretically that Golf with a full tank has a potential 485kWh of energy stored onboard. That's over 8 times what the ID.3 has yet it can't even manage a 2.5x increase in range. The ID.3 works out to be nearly 3x more efficient with the energy it's given. Even if you power that car with 100% coal generated electricity it will still produce less indirect co2 per kilometre.

    Now the co2 involved in getting the fuel to that Golf is going to stay relatively constant, but as renewables start taking a larger portion of our electricity generation the co2 required to keep that ID.3 moving is going to continue to fall. That's why electric cars are being pushed so hard.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 811 ✭✭✭yoshiktk


    Just curious question as You like math, not an irony btw. If we take a scenario of Golf vs ID3, how long it would take for ID3, due to spending less per 100km, to make up the purchase difference?

    Golf (1.0l petrol) @ 28000€ and ID3 @ 36000€. With average mpg of Golf at 50mpg/4.7l at this price difference we gain around 113000km, thats few nice years of driving, depending of mileage. How would that work for ID3?

    Im curious how the "electric" revolution will work, as I cant imagine with current state of some countries in EU, for average Joe to switch to new cars in upcoming 20 years. Which btw is funny that EU try to push it so hard on people when most of co2 is generated now thanks to big brother in china.



  • Registered Users Posts: 483 ✭✭PaulRyan97


    So just quickly checking your calculation I'm assuming you're taking the cost of petrol to be €1.50/l. Electricity can be a bit harder to get an average figure for but at a standard rate it could be €0.18/kWh or half that at a night rate. We'll assume a standard rate to be fair.

    I couldn't find a 1.0l Golf with that listed fuel economy at the price you mentioned, 4.7l/100km would be very good for a hybrid never mind a straight turbo petrol. There's the Golf Life 1.0 110bhp for €28.6k with 5.4l/100km under WLTP which seems to be the closest match.

    The €36k price you listed for the ID.3 Life (15.5kWh/100km) is actually exclusive of the SEAI grant (again grants are a whole other debate I'm just looking at the cost to you if you bought right now), it would bring the cost to the buyer to €31.2k so a price difference of €2.6k.

    So for every 100km you can expect the Golf to cost you €8.10 while the ID.3 will cost you €2.79 for a net savings of €5.31 per 100km. That would mean if would take 48,964km to offset that initial purchase difference through fuel costs alone. For those curious, if you had night rate electricity and took advantage of it, the distance would be 38,800km.

    So obviously there's still a sizable cost difference due to electric cars being more expensive to produce, this is almost entirely due to the battery. Though the cost per kWh has been dropping considerably over the last decade. Currently you're looking at ~$135 (€115) per kWh, this is expected to drop to around $100 (€85) per kWh by 2023-24. That is widely considered the price point that would help EVs hit price parity with ICE cars. Quick calculation says it probably costs around €6700 for the ID.3's battery pack at the moment, while it could be sub €5000 in two years.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 811 ✭✭✭yoshiktk


    Thanks, great work putting it together. I did just quick math with basic figures from VW website and honestjonh in terms of mpg. You did a lot better job than me.

    So it would take up to 2 years, maybe 3 to offset the difference.

    Ill stay with my trusty noisy diesel for now.



  • Registered Users Posts: 253 ✭✭mankteln


    When considering switching for ecological reasons and doing these calculations wouldn't it be appropriate to factor in the ecological cost of replacing a functioning car that has already been manufactured?

    Personally I think if we were serious about things there should be huge tax on any new ICE cars for sale and any revenue from this should go to heavily subsidising electric cars to make them accessible to the ordinary consumer. Instead all the penalties seem to fall on the drivers of older cars, the people who can least afford to change are paying the heaviest penalties for not changing.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,561 ✭✭✭quad_red


    This. If you’re young and living in rented accommodation, trying to save for a house so driving an older car… this is just another thing you’re fucked with.

    Thats where I we were ten years ago. Driving a pre 07 diesel, paying €800 tax while my elders/betters crooned about their clean new beemers and sub €200 tax. And that turned out to be completely bollocks in environmental terms.

    Now it’s reading the Irish Times regale us with how €40k EVs are the ‘ideal’ new family car.

    If they’re serious then new ICE’s should subsidise new EVs and let the post 2016 ICEs flush out of the system naturally, giving people on a tight budget a chance



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,458 ✭✭✭corcaigh07


    Post 08 Diesel is still a good option once reliable and cheap tax.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,703 ✭✭✭whippet


    As a recent enough convert to EV (swapping two diesels to a BEV and PHEV) in the last 12 months ... I can honestly say the fuel savings are not the most important thing to me ... sure it was a factor in the decision initially .. hence the PHEV .. which currently drives about 90% of its time on EV and the other 10% as a fast fun car ... however ... when it came to changing the second car the experience with the PHEV meant that the only consideration was a BEV.

    It actually almost pains me to burn any sort of fuel ... as I know now there is no need to.

    It is similar to when I put in a bank of solar tubes on the roof for hot water .... with a bit of plumbing magic we are now using a fraction of the oil we previously did to heat a 3000sqft house ... the pay off period for the solar and plumbing is probably about 7-8 years but that is only a secondary motivation to me .... it might be middle-age guilt or something but burning fuel when there is an alternative .. why?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 811 ✭✭✭yoshiktk


    Its works great if You have an existing option to use the alternative.

    The apt Ive bought have over 300 car spaces and none chargers planned, when I asked about that, I got info that, yes they could install one if I would like to get one, for a small fee of 2000€, on top of 6000€ I would be paying for parking spot Oo.

    In my hometown, which is roughly the size of Bray(Wicklow), theres only one charging point.

    Homeowners have it easier, they can just slap the charger in their garden. But what about other people? The question which bothers me is will the upcoming 10-15 years be enough to build up infrastructure for all the demand they plan to achieve?

    With petrol station its easy, 10 minutes and You have your car ready to go. With the amount of them scattered around its not hard to get to one when needed. Would be perfect if we could achieve the same with charging stations.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 51,289 ✭✭✭✭bazz26


    I'm not having a go but just to highlight that you say why burn fuel when there is an alternative? Well why stop at fuel, why run 2 cars when you could adjust your life to run just one or none and then use alternative means of public transport? The answer is simply that it may not suit you or your way of life. In other words one size doesn't fit all.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,703 ✭✭✭whippet


    i've never said that one size fits all .... I live in a rural community with a single bus passing through the village twice a day. Private transport is the only option. Likewise some people living in apartments in the city centre probably don't even need a car and something like Gocar is a better option.

    What I was trying to get across is that the savings on fuel isn't the only / biggest deciding factor for me.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,082 ✭✭✭TaurenDruid


    True, one size doesn't fit all. I've had the argument with my city-centre dwelling friends that no, they don't need a car. It costs something like €6k a year to own/run a car, they could save that and use public transport, GoCar, taxis, and if they are renting a car for a trip, the money they've saved not running a car means they can easily afford a luxury car or something quirky like a convertible for the weekend/week. They know it makes logical sense and some have gone that route. Others go "Yeah, you're right... but I like knowing I can just jump into the car if I need to..."

    Building regs will need to change to make it mandatory for any new development to put in charging points. And the energy providers will need to be forced to invest more in the charging infrastructure. It's a pity the greens in this government don't seem to be all that bothered with pushing their agenda...



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 70 ✭✭tibia


    Interesting analysis. However, to be "fair" to the petrol Golf, we need to recognise that the coal-fired power plant in your example will have a similar level of thermal efficiency as the ICE. To keep the argument balanced, we need to know the energy value of the coal which must be burned to put 58kWh in the ID3 battery. If we assume 40% efficiency in the thermal plant and ignore losses in transmission then it's going to be 145kWh. So that's Golf (54kWh/100km) and ID3 (39kWh/100km).

    So even in worst-case (ID3 running on coal!) the electric car wins out. If we run the numbers for the typical fuel/renewable mix in Ireland then it will be even better.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 70 ✭✭tibia


    And to answer the OP's question. I would say:

    • if you find a second-hand diesel car at a price that suits you
    • if diesel suits your intended pattern of driving
    • if you are not concerned about the future value of the car

    then go for it.



  • Registered Users Posts: 483 ✭✭PaulRyan97


    Yes, though to be fair I should work out the CO2 required to extract, refine and transport the fuel required to generate the energy for both vehicles but that math I can't do on the back of a napkin.

    As for how the energy input vs output looks for the Irish grid, I have some numbers from 2018 to help do that.

    Left side is energy input, right is output. As you can see we lose a lot of energy during the conversion to electricity, mostly among the fossil fuel powered section as they have relatively low thermal efficiencies. Coal, oil and peat are the worst with efficiencies between 35% and 40%. Gas is a bit better at a little over 50%, while wind and hydroelectric power are 100% efficient.

    So overall in 2018 our grid was 58% efficient, meaning it would require 100kWh of energy to fully charge our ID.3. So that's Golf (54kWh/100km) and ID3 (27kWh/100km). Exactly half.



  • Registered Users Posts: 36 grape86


    If the price is right and you’re driving it a decent amount tis not silly..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,299 ✭✭✭SCOOP 64


    Against the price pf petrol and he gets more MPG, government wont go to mad with diesel prices as all couriers trucks drivers will have to use diesel for years to come, they cant afford to upset the haulage market.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,669 ✭✭✭✭Galwayguy35


    Was in much the same position myself last year, had an 04 TDI Golf with 300 k on the clock and was undecided if I would go for diesel again.

    Bought a 19 diesel Golf UK import for 20 k with only 16000 miles on the clock.

    There's bargains out there if you shop around.



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