Slattsy wrote: » You've dubbed me the Ante Post King (among other things :pac:) so he's what i have to date.Singles: Galvin 12/1 - NH Chase Monkfish 10/1 - RSA Delta Work 33/1 - Gold Cup (big price - i thought he ran well on Saturday) Ballyadam 20/1 - Supreme and BallymoreMultiples: Galvin / Envoi Allen Shishkin / Envoi Allen / Abacadabras Shishkin / AbacadabrasEdited 03/11 to include: Envoi Allen / Abacadabras Envoi Allen / Shishkin (this a double i may top up again until the both inevitably become 6/4 shots)
Slattsy wrote: » I'm going to update this for full transparency. I cashed out both Ballyadam slips after he was stuffed over Christmas, probably should have kept one. Tower Bridge; I've taken a lose on as i had him backed a few times. Not sure if i have these listed somewhere else in the thread but here we go. Hook Up 20/1 Mares novice hurdle Saint Sam 14/1 (and 12/s) Boodles Fakiera 14/1 AB (cashed out Ashdale Bob) Kilcruit 10/1 Bumper Gaillard Du Mesnil 8/1 Ballymore Elimay 11/2 Mares Chase Allaho 10/1 Ryanair Chosen Mate/Entoucas both 25/1 Grand Annual I'm really happy with them i must admit. Most prices have dropped dramatically. Saint Sam wins the Boodle if he goes there. Which we will as he's ben beaten twice by the fav and second fav, He's def their horse for it. Obviously the plan wasnt to place yesterday but i'm not sure how highly the handicapper will rate the winner even though it was a Grade 1. He just wins!!
Stevieluvsye wrote: » If you are that confident, i'll take the 7/1 on offer this morning with PP. What do you think is SP will be however? (Saint Sam)
RivetingRoger wrote: » A thought Gordon has the 2 best horses in the triumph market Gordon has no market leader in the Supreme unless it drys up considerably Could we see Zanahiyr go the Supreme, and how far would he win it by?
Slattsy wrote: » Still 10s with Bet365. He'll go off 4/1 favourite with Townend on board.
Pogue eile wrote: » PP are NRNB which is a must if you are backing him, there has been no mention of going this race, we haven't seen the entries yet never mind the weights and it's Willie Mullins after all. If he does go there, he will be weighted to the hilt having finished relatively close to the main players in the Triumph, and I can't think of a worse race for favourites that the Fred Winter/Boodles. 16 runnings of the race and 8 winners priced 20/1 or over and only 2 winning favourites.
Slattsy wrote: » But where else is he going to go? I'm not backing him as 7/2 fav on the day. He wont go the Triumph as he wont beat either of GE's, and Willie has French Aseel. He'll either go Boodle or simply skips Cheltenham. Weight isnt an issue - he'll have the best form (dont think Adagio or Duffle Coat will run) and is very likely to have a fair bit up his sleeve. All my opinion of course, i've been wrong once before, but i think he rocks up in the Boodles
Slattsy wrote: » What price Ireland to win the Prestbury Cup?
IAMAMORON wrote: » I know it does not seem like it now, but in 5 weeks the ground will good/ good/soft ... expect improvement from novice hurdlers who don't like stodgy ground. Trust me any value in the AP prices is now gone and gone for ever. You are better off holding out for decs now.
Stevieluvsye wrote: » I emember reading an article about 15 years ago from a "pro punter" and he said the nap of the week is pretty much always backing that the ground would be declared good to soft. Said it pretty much covered his first day bets allowing for max stake on such market
Pogue eile wrote: » If he has a 'fair bit up his sleeve' then why is he not going to the Triumph? Backing a WPM horse Ante Post that has multiple entries is a short cut to the poor house and especially in a race that is full of unexposed horses, he has been campaigned very strangely for something that the Boodles has been the plan. Gordon Elliot has the pick of all the juveniles, what ever he sends here will be favourite on the day. You say that Saint Sam won't go here because Willie has French Aseel but then suggest Duffle Coat won't run here, even though he is Elliots 3rd string? Saint Sam would have a great chance depending on his mark if he turns up here, but saying that 'he just wins' and advocating backing a horse AP or the sake of 3pts difference with NRNB is just bad advice.
Coneygree wrote: » I can't find a market but if anyway decent at all it would surely be banker of the festival.
krustydoyle wrote: » So lads.. I've 2 decent punts on Wide Receiver for the Ballymore and AB at good prices.. Feeling like I should cash out as its looking like they are going down the handicap route.. Any opinions??
Slattsy wrote: » Bolded is clearly pinch of salt stuff, its horse racing and most people here know my form. So i doubt anyone has gone out and taken out a 10k loan from the credit union on foot of this, so less of the amateur dramatics please. Its ap betting of course there's a risk. I like an ap punt, its not a secret, and i've given my clear reasoning why i fancy it. You dont have to agree with me. And fwiw i have a feeling Duffle Coat runs in the Triumph. Maybe his mark will dictate where he runs more so than Saint Sam.
hawaii501 wrote: » Its 2/7 on skybet at the moment...get the mortgage/rent on!!
Slattsy wrote: » He's their Martin Pipe horse by all accounts. I'd be cashing out.
Pogue eile wrote: » Well already one relatively new poster has indicated they were going to back it owing to your bullish posts so I was simply pointing out the flaws, I do like the irony of you advising someone else to lay off the dramatics though, thank you, always good to start the week with a laugh!! What mark are you willing to back him up to and what is your cut off to say he is too high in the handicap??
Pogue eile wrote: » Will he get in to the Martin Pipe? Rated 130 in Ireland and that was before yesterday, cutoff for the Martin Pipe is usually around 134-136. They're playing a dangerous game if that is the plan.
