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US Presidential Election 2020 Thread II - Judgement Day(s)

Quin_Dub

Continuation thread from here

All existing rules still stand.

Everyone will want to be active in this thread over the next few days , but there will be zero tolerance for Forum rule breaches.

Keep it Sensible , Civil and Polite please.

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kowloon

BorneTobyWilde wrote: »

Guy on CNN, People will vote for Kermit the Frog over Donald Trump.

Their tears will be extra sour this time round I feel.

We'll find out what Kermit thinks when he posts in the thread next.

everlast75

https://twitter.com/Mdixon55/status/1323754286778646528?s=19

NPAs crucial here. I have read they would lean more towards Biden than Trump

StringerBell

A more heartwarming exit poll

less white voter share = more minorities voting and more female then make seemingly.

That should be good for Biden.

BQQ

CNN Exit poll has big drop in Vote share for Whites

Bad news for Trump!

Kalyke

everlast75 wrote: »

https://twitter.com/Mdixon55/status/1323754286778646528?s=19

NPAs crucial here. I have read they would lean more towards Biden than Trump

NPA? Non party affiliate?

For Forks Sake

StringerBell wrote: »

A more heartwarming exit poll less white voter share = more minorities voting and more female then make seemingly.

That should be good for Biden.

Higher % of college educated voters as well

Frank Bullitt

Call me Al wrote: »

Well Marco Rubio is predicting a wave alright...

https://twitter.com/marcorubio/status/1323747297491116035?s=20

But the wave in that gif is blue!

StringerBell

everlast75 wrote: »

https://twitter.com/Mdixon55/status/1323754286778646528?s=19

NPAs crucial here. I have read they would lean more towards Biden than Trump

Is there anywhere you can find good data on how many registered Republicans trump has alienated in places like Florida?

I know that looks good or bad depending on who you are supporting but simple voter registration doesn't really tell you a lot.

Florida is gonna be tight obviously and whether trump has alienated a good % of the registered Republicans could be the deciding factor. The Biden campaign isn't optimistic about Florida though so I guess that tells its own story.

Panrich

everlast75 wrote: »

https://twitter.com/Mdixon55/status/1323754286778646528?s=19

NPAs crucial here. I have read they would lean more towards Biden than Trump

If you work it out, they just need 54% of those given that all the other votes go to the respective parties (not going to happen, I know).

For Forks Sake

Gintonious wrote: »

But the wave in that gif is blue!

Marco is not a clever individual.

everlast75

Kalyke wrote: »

NPA? Non party affiliate?

Indeed.

The theory being that Trump supporters are all in Republicans. The non party people if voting may lean more towards Biden

Gbear

StringerBell wrote: »

A more heartwarming exit poll less white voter share = more minorities voting and more female then make seemingly.

That should be good for Biden.

Probably a bit skewed if the non-whites are Cubans, who are far more likely to vote Republican than most other non-white communities.

[Deleted User]

everlast75 wrote: »

https://twitter.com/Mdixon55/status/1323754286778646528?s=19

NPAs crucial here. I have read they would lean more towards Biden than Trump

Another thing to consider is crossover votes basically count twice, so it would take 100k Rs (net) to switch to D to close the 200k gap.

Big Pussy Bonpensiero

It's also important to note that some Democrats will vote for Trump and some Republicans for Biden. The latter looking more common.

Nollog

For Forks Sake wrote: »

Marco is not a clever individual.

If he made it look red what would you have said, be honest now.

Harry Palmr

If Ameri-Cubans could vote for a free market fascist they would. No one is right wing/anti-state enough for them!

Call me Al

Gintonious wrote: »

But the wave in that gif is blue!

Precisely!

TomOnBoard

bilbot79 wrote: »

How quickly will we see anything interesting? I have an early flight tomorrow and never manage to sleep. Is it worth breaking out the Haagen Dazs and sticking on the telly?

I suggest you go for a nap and start watching around 2

[Deleted User]

Very, very, very early results from Indiana and Trump is slightly lagging where he was last time.

peterofthebr

TomOnBoard wrote: »

I suggest you go for a nap and start watching around 2

1.30-2am -i heard is a good time...but you will need to wait until the weekend to see Biden crying

Water John

Yes and Biden's vote is up on clinton's

Colonel Claptrap

RTE coverage now starting.

[Deleted User]

Water John wrote: »

Yes and Biden's vote is up on clinton's

Yup, 3rd party from last time seems to be going D. If that continues it looks good for Biden.

TomOnBoard

Christy42 wrote: »

Source? That would be a major, major story given how Trump has dismantled the post office with this in mind but I can't see it anywhere?

https://thehill.com/regulation/court-battles/524228-federal-judge-orders-usps-to-rush-delivery-of-mail-ballots-as

rosser44

Harry Palmr wrote: »

If Ameri-Cubans could vote for a free market fascist they would. No one is right wing/anti-state enough for them!

Between the catholic church influence and their historical grievances with communism and Castro they are one of the more rabid right wing groups in the states

Kiith

I've got CNN and RTE up. Where is everyone else watching this?

everlast75

peterofthebr wrote: »

1.30-2am -i heard is a good time...but you will need to wait until the weekend to see Biden crying

Owning the libs, eh? That's what it is all about for some.

Pathetic really.

BonnieSituation

EltonJohn69 wrote: »

just poured my first whiskey, Jake "The Bulldog" Tapper is on the big screen, just ate half a peanut butter sandwich....folks... I'm all in...roll on Florida !!! I assume thats when we will actually know who will win ?

About to do the same.

What are ya having?

---

The CNN coverage is very map heavy. As a GIS analyst, this is the place to be clearly.

---

No trouble seems to have come to pass today either. Anyone heard of anything?

Sierra Oscar

Kiith wrote: »

I've got CNN and RTE up. Where is everyone else watching this?

CNN, RTE and Fox for light comic relief.

Timberrrrrrrr

Kiith wrote: »

I've got CNN and RTE up. Where is everyone else watching this?

ABC, BBC, Sky, CNN, Fox, AL Jazeera and even a little RT