lawrencesummers wrote: » the most telling part of that article is the level of testing....A city of 11 million people , and about 9.9 million people in the city have been tested for the virus. Our testing is till reactionary and limited.
joseywhales wrote: » Without adequate testing we are living in hypothetical scenario land and trying to mitigate, it's futile. If we had even one snapshot of the current state of the virus, I am convinced it would be absolutely shocking. Who has a clue, multiply the infection numbers by 10? I wouldn't be shocked if 270k have been infected cumulatively, we have no clue.
lawrencesummers wrote: » That’s the crux of it really. There is absolutely no data as to the exact spread of the virus here, studies in other countries suggest it is, was and will continue to be rampant and Have relatively Low mortality levels. If they took the three counties and tested everyone, or al t least 60-80% of the population it would give a good indication. People are living in fear, and it’s fear of the unknown because after many months the health authorities have not gotten a handle on the big picture.
CBear1993 wrote: » Lol. Please spare me. We had 1500 or so the first time round when things were suppposedly very bad. Barely anyone is dying at the moment despite the rise. If you think 300K+ could perish you are on another planet my friend. Even at the height of deaths Italy or China were nowhere near your figure
Strumms wrote: » Let’s keep it that way then , I’m not on another planet, although with the absolute fûcking state this one is in... a few months on Venus might be nice...
Strumms wrote: » If something happened where the whole population got infected, or close 6.5 % of the nations population is 318,760 people dying... doesn’t bear thinking about... non restrictions folks should think, hard.
Strumms wrote: » ... a few months on Venus might be nice...
Deleted User wrote: » I don't understand the approach. Why are politicians from the start saying we cannot control our borders and made no attempt. We could be back living a more normal life minus trips abroad. I think we could all live without foreign holidays. All the scientists are saying the same. Zero covid policy until vaccine =control borders.
fly_agaric wrote: » A bit hot but I suppose that's one way to kill off the virus (and the hosts!).https://www.space.com/18526-venus-temperature.html I'm not really understanding it either at this stage. They've had months now to work on the problems (resource requirements, maybe changes in legislation?) in the way of implementing stricter controls for inward travellers. I do understand why they did not do anything back in February/March as the other European countries totally failed also. Unfortunately, as others said on the thread when pointing out the "3 %" figure it is not the main problem we face now IMO since rise in number of cases I am doubtful if we can have a "zero covid" strategy but we need to do everything we can to reduce number of cases. No matter what we do the airline industry and foreign tourism in Ireland are really f-ked while this is going on, especially while we have the 14 days restricted movements recommendation which I doubt they will lift. Making them slightly more f-cked than they are in exchange for reducing/eliminating a source of new cases (by banning tourists from some regions/imposing the 14 quarantine using set locations or just strict monitoring/forcing people to take tests) seems like a good tradeoff to me.
saabsaab wrote: » Might be an idea to issue necessary travellers with a badge or wearable ID to show they have quarantined and are safe?
PhilOssophy wrote: » You/Donnelly can't say that with even the tiniest bit of confidence that 3 out of 100 cases are travel related. 3 out of 100 might be related to somebody returning from somewhere with Covid-19, but an asymptomatic person might bring it in and give it to 50 people and all go down as "community transmission", on top of the other 50 who get it through "close contact" with these people..... I think the government must be in denial as to how much of a problem this is, I don't see how they can't see this. Staines probably is a zero-Covid zealot but given where we are at now, that sounds good to me rather than living my life with these poxy restrictions for the next few years for the sake of letting a few yanks in the gate!
is_that_so wrote: » Well he's clearly quoting someone so your own claim doesn't have a lot going for it either. Not defending Donnelly BTW but they don't just trot out numbers that can easily be challenged. Zero-COVID would be great but unless we go like China, it's really unlikely. My issue with them is that they blindly follow the public health argument to the exclusion of everything else, want us all back isolating at home and they have no timeline whatsoever. That is not sustainable.
Just seen a post from a local politician or former counsellor that 40 Spanish students have flown into Ireland yesterday and are staying with local families in and around the Athy area as part of a student exchange. This is absolutely crazy if true . Nearly sure Spain isn’t on green list and kildare on lockdown
ShineOn7 wrote: » From the main daily thread What happened to the Red List that the Irish Times (or was it the Indo?) did a soft drop on a week or so ago? The laid back Irish attitude that's loved by tourists the world over is going to get us further into shíte
PhilOssophy wrote: » Honestly, I don't want the airport shut, I just want a mandatory 14-day quarantine for everybody arriving. Or at very least, a test to be carried out on them and then let them on once it is negative. I don't think that is really that unreasonable or un-workable?
faceman wrote: » It may not be unworkable but it’s now unreasonable. The EU for the most part has had internal borders open for over 2 months. International travel accounts for a very small part of infection. The WHO and the ECDC recommend against The scaremongering is insane though People have mentioned Spanish students in a few posts. Spain is a massive country with a population of 50m. The headline is high cases in Spain. The reality is high cases in 2 regions or to be more specific 2 areas. My region has less C19 incidence per 100,000 than similar sized regions in Ireland. Of course that’s not as an exciting headline for the media though. There are plenty of studies now show how and where clusters are arising in the EU. The wise thing Ireland should do is focussing on those areas
theological wrote: » I'm leaning towards the conclusion that travel should be limited to non-essential travel until we are on the other side of this or at least until next spring when we've been through the winter. F Everyone has made significant sacrifices so far. I don't see why that should be potentially undone by introducing more cases into the country through travel.
Tenzor07 wrote: » I agree, though I think essential travel should also be included.. Introducing more? Sure Travel abroad was never fully stopped and cases were bouncing along in single figures for a few weeks.... deaths are at Zero most days... the curve is flat...... travel didn't change that.. hardly anyone is travelling in or out of the country... why stop something that isn't the cause of mass infections now when we're almost into September, makes no sense...
theological wrote: » What is the evidence for saying that travel isn't a cause of infection (I think the word mass is pretty irrelevant, but if we want to be pedantic travel is the main reason this virus is anywhere outside of China)? If people are travelling to countries with an infection rate that is higher than our own there is an importation risk. So yes it is obviously possible to bring this virus back with you and therefore import more of it. If the travel is not essential, and if it is potentially a risk to others then why not just say it isn't on until this virus is under control?
Beechwoodspark wrote: » That is absolute madness if that Spanish students story is true. Absolutely fuming here reading that
Tenzor07 wrote: » I don't recall saying travel wasn't the cause of infections.. And of course the Virus was carried by people across the world from China back in February and into Italy and then Ireland in March... Travel outside your home in Ireland unless it's only to your local Supermarket or Pharmacy is the only travel which should be permitted if you are serious in your request to wait until the virus is "under control"... where I don't believe it's possible to control a Virus without a cure. Travel within this country spread the Virus to other county's which had little or no cases...