nav[aria-label="Primary Navigation"] { padding: 0; & ul { list-style: none; width: 100%; display: flex; flex-direction: row; justify-content: start; align-items: start; gap: 30px; padding: 0; & li { margin: 0; } & ul li { list-style: none; } } }

Child Item

Boxing betting thread

magma69

So in light of quite a few people cleaning up on Senchenko's victory against Hatton tonight, I thought it appropriate to make a thread where people discuss betting on boxing.

I think if you know your stuff, boxing is a much more predictable sport than the likes of football. I tend to bet a lot on outcomes with low payouts than betting a little on big upsets.

I think 3-1 odds at Boylesports on Guerrero by decision tonight is very good value. He's a far more polished boxer than Berto, who's been out of the ring for over a year now. Berto clearly has the size and power advantage but I think there's a good chance Guerrero will box clever to a decision.

Seeing as I won a nice amount on a Senchenko stoppage, I'm going to have another punt tonight.

Find more posts tagged with

Quick Links

Comments

diusmr8a504cvk

Any odds for Lee Reeves and Edward Torres at the weekend?

Boooourns

Morrison J wrote: »

Yeah I'm seeing loads of people picking Garcia this week and I can't understand it at all. People trying to be a bit too smart I think. He'll likely look good for a few rounds and fade before getting stopped. Really can't see how he wins. Basically three weight divisions between them.

Completely agree, it's Brook v GGG all over again although Garcia will be a bit smarter and not get too brave like Brook did.

Morrison J

Wilder to KO Breazeale has been priced at 4/6 with Paddy Power. That price isn't going to last long.

Morrison J

Robbie Davies Jr to beat Joe Hughes on pts @ 4/5

Morrison J

Also have Donovan on points at 5/6 and Keeler points at 4/6.

Angliru

Fowler by points @6.5 is a fantastic bet imo. Hills have Smith on points boosted to @3.75 so I'm taking that too.

Morrison J

Not sure how true they are but there's a lot of rumours around boxing that Fitzgerald has been on the piss for the majority of his training camp and hasn't put the work in at all. I think Fowler probably knocks him out and maybe early but there's no value in that for me. Value definitely in betting on Fowler points but what I've heard about Fitzgerald would put me off.

Morrison J

Lomachenko in rounds 7-12 @7/5

Morrison J

Meant 7-12 mins...

Demolition job by Loma. Very impressive. Thought Crolla would be able to take his shots better but everything was hurting him.

Angliru

Might have to have a play on Christina Hammer tonight. I think Shields is a very vulnerable fighter. Hammer has a lovely jab too. I do fear a robbery though.

normanoffside

Lucas Browne is 9/4 to beat David Allen
Am I missing something?

You can also get 9/1 on Browne by decision :eek:

Angliru

Browne has looked levels worse than he did against Whyte in his fights since then. Have a look at his fight he had last month, he looked awful, got dropped and arguably lost. Dave Allen isn't much better, but given he seems to have copped on and this could lead to a decent named fight, he should be beating an off the juice 40 year old.

normanoffside

Angliru wrote: »

Browne has looked levels worse than he did against Whyte in his fights since then. Have a look at his fight he had last month, he looked awful, got dropped and arguably lost. Dave Allen isn't much better, but given he seems to have copped on and this could lead to a decent named fight, he should be beating an off the juice 40 year old.

I don't know. Allen is terrible. He nearly got knocked out last fight by a fat Argentine bin man last fight.
I looked at the odds expecting Allen to be a slight underdog and but at those odds I think Browne is value.

Angliru

normanoffside wrote: »

I don't know. Allen is terrible. He nearly got knocked out last fight by a fat Argentine bin man last fight.
I looked at the odds expecting Allen to be a slight underdog and but at those odds I think Browne is value.

Just did some research, Browne appears to be in somewhat decent shape judging from Instagram and apparently there was no drug testing for this fight the good people on Twitter tell me...hmmm. I still favour Allen and feel the odds are pretty accurate as they are.

Garcia by decision @1.57 is a potential but the children's savings on bet tbh. I also think Verdejo @1.55 is more of the same. Verdejo has been working with Memo Heredia recently so I expect him to look the best he ever has.

normanoffside

Angliru wrote: »

Just did some research, Browne appears to be in somewhat decent shape judging from Instagram and apparently there was no drug testing for this fight the good people on Twitter tell me...hmmm. I still favour Allen and feel the odds are pretty accurate as they are.

.

Allen 244lbs
Browne 249 lbs

I wouln't say that either looks in particularly good shape.

Morrison J

Heavier than Allen came in for the Lenroy Thomas rematch I'm pretty sure. Allen is an absolute chancer imo. Don't think he's trained half as hard as he's let on. Turned down Adam Booth to train with his friend Darren Barker who has zero experience as a trainer and doesn't strike me as the type to force Allen to put the work in.

Browne is great odds imo. Should be a slight favourite for me. Both will be gassed out by half way but Browne is the bigger puncher and better boxer. Got to be favoured. He's obviously shot to bits so Allen has a chance but I've no clue why he's the favourite. He's done absolutely nothing to prove he's better than the very worst version of Lucas Browne.

jeremyj1968

Amir Khan at 8/1 hmmmm I'm thinking of pulling the trigger.

catrat12

I don’t think khan is the worst bet

I mean Crawford is slick and some fighter but he has not really fought the best of the best in my opinion and khan has a punchers chance

Also I’m all over Browne to beat Allen I think there as bad as each other but Allen has been very lucky last few fights

jeremyj1968

catrat12 wrote: »

Also I’m all over Browne to beat Allen I think there as bad as each other but Allen has been very lucky last few fights

It's an interesting match up. Not sold on Browne after what went on before the Whyte fight. He didn't seem mentally or physically right going in to the fight and got knocked out. He was in so bad shape I thought his purse should have been held. But Allen is also guilty of not taking the whole thing seriously enough at times as well. He has done well in the last few fights though.

normanoffside

jeremyj1968 wrote: »

. He has done well in the last few fights though.

I am not sure where people get this idea?
His last might was against Bracamonte and Hearne publicly slated him afterwards. Allen had to apologise for his poor performance and preparation.

normanoffside

With the bookies closed yesterday I only got the bet on this morning. Browne is in to 19/10 outright, I also got a small bet on Browne Decision at 7/1.
They were 9/4 and 9/1 respectively yesterday.

normanoffside

I just noticed that Chisora weighed in at 260lbs.

Is Gashi worth a small punt at 11/2?

Morrison J

Had a bit on Chisora points myself at 11/4. Gashi is tough and has had a full camp for this. Don't think he'll have enough to win but may have enough to go the distance. Only a ten rounder too.

normanoffside

Morrison J wrote: »

Had a bit on Chisora points myself at 11/4. Gashi is tough and has had a full camp for this. Don't think he'll have enough to win but may have enough to go the distance. Only a ten rounder too.

Delboy was 254 when he stank the place out against Kabayel, he's 5lb heavier against a similar level opponent.

I think I'll just put Gashi in an accumulator.

normanoffside

Morrison J wrote: »

Had a bit on Chisora points myself at 11/4. Gashi is tough and has had a full camp for this. Don't think he'll have enough to win but may have enough to go the distance. Only a ten rounder too.

Actually, just looked at the weigghin video.
Despite being heavy Chisora doesn't look in too bad a shape (for him).

Morrison J

normanoffside wrote: »

Actually, just looked at the weigghin video.
Despite being heavy Chisora doesn't look in too bad a shape (for him).

I think the Haye link up has sorted his conditioning to an extent. Whether he's mentally up for it can be a different thing. I just think Kabayel is half decent and would've given him problems on Chisora's best night. Not as convinced about Gashi although will be interesting to see how he looks with a full camp.

murphyebass

3 fights I’m interested in.

Odds below on Betfair....

I’ll be taking each one all as single bets by KO/TKO...

10/3 for Browne

8/15 Chisora

8/15 Benn

Browne looks value at 10/3 to me. That said if he doesn’t knock Allen out it’ll be a slow painful points victory for him imo while they both gas out horribly. I don’t rate Allen at all.

Chisora will know that a big KO victory here could put him in the frame for a gig against AJ following Millers stupidity. I know they’re looking for an American opponent but they might not get one so with Chisora still a name to look out for and a big knockout win here this could be his ticket to that fight.

But the big one here for me anyway is Benn. He’s learning all the time and looks dangerous as fook when he’s on point. Can look vulnerable don’t get me wrong but I’ll be having 8/15 here all day long for him to get the knock out.

jeremyj1968

normanoffside wrote: »

I just noticed that Chisora weighed in at 260lbs. Is Gashi worth a small punt at 11/2?

God, he looked tiny next to Chisora at the weigh in.

PEACEBROTHER

Took Browne at 5/2

I find it very hard hard to take Allen seriously !!

normanoffside

Morrison J wrote: »

Had a bit on Chisora points myself at 11/4

Good bet!