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After Hours Exit Poll

fergus1001

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Collie D

Election: Higgins
Referendum: Yes

I was actually polled by Red C on the way. I've always said I'd never even seen these guys, nevermind have them ask me a question so bit of a slight political nerdy fetish ticked off there.

Interesting to see Casey leading the exit poll on here. Was taking the original poll with a pinch of salt until seeing that. Wonder how that translates to the real world or will Higgins still romp it.

Idbatterim

we have a chance to start debates in this country and the cowards shy away from it! Pathetic!

King of Kings

casey #1
&
yes

seamus

Collie D wrote: »

Interesting to see Casey leading the exit poll on here. Was taking the original poll with a pinch of salt until seeing that. Wonder how that translates to the real world or will Higgins still romp it.

I get the feeling that AH has been recently "left to it" when it comes to these things. The Niall Boylan / Joe Duffy types have driven out people who want serious discussion.

A cursory glance through AH shows strong support for casey. The same lazy glance across any other social media platform and casey doesn't feature in the slightest, it's MDH all the way.

So, it's odd. Is really all I can say.

And yes, I am aware that social media tend to show you what you want to see, so I've tried to balance that out.

statesaver

Casey 1
Freeman 2
Duffy 3
Gallagher 4.

Referendum Yes.

RobertKK

seamus wrote: »

I get the feeling that AH has been recently "left to it" when it comes to these things. The Niall Boylan / Joe Duffy types have driven out people who want serious discussion.

A cursory glance through AH shows strong support for casey. The same lazy glance across any other social media platform and casey doesn't feature in the slightest, it's MDH all the way.

So, it's odd. Is really all I can say.

And yes, I am aware that social media tend to show you what you want to see, so I've tried to balance that out.

Why is the turn out said to be low if MDH is so good?

Wowbagger

Casey #1 Yes to the Blasphemy.

On an aside 2 voters ahead of me asked what the second paper was in aid of and just put them in the ballot box without marking them.

fergus1001

seamus wrote: »

And yes, I am aware that social media tend to show you what you want to see, so I've tried to balance that out.

Ive seen alot of PC support on twitter

Redneck Culchie

seamus wrote: »

I get the feeling that AH has been recently "left to it" when it comes to these things. The Niall Boylan / Joe Duffy types have driven out people who want serious discussion.

A cursory glance through AH shows strong support for casey. The same lazy glance across any other social media platform and casey doesn't feature in the slightest, it's MDH all the way.

So, it's odd. Is really all I can say.

And yes, I am aware that social media tend to show you what you want to see, so I've tried to balance that out.

Maybe you need to go back to your twitter safe space with the liberal mob. Ordinary decent people have enough of the PC nonsense.

ELM327

seamus wrote: »

I get the feeling that AH has been recently "left to it" when it comes to these things. The Niall Boylan / Joe Duffy types have driven out people who want serious discussion.

A cursory glance through AH shows strong support for casey. The same lazy glance across any other social media platform and casey doesn't feature in the slightest, it's MDH all the way.

So, it's odd. Is really all I can say.

And yes, I am aware that social media tend to show you what you want to see, so I've tried to balance that out.

How recently are we talking here? Because AH opinion polls predicted very accurately the outcome of the SSM referendum, and the Repealthe8th referendum.

People initially wrote off the results as not representative due to boards/AH demographics but they were accurate.

seamus

RobertKK wrote: »

Why is the turn out said to be low if MDH is so good?

Turnout is low for a lot of reasons;
1. MDH has been largely a "guaranteed" winner before the race even started, so people won't bother voting, "what's the point", etc.
2. People aren't too pushed about the blasphemy thing
3. It's a bank holiday weekend
4. Apparently if you're under 25, you're going to be playing Red Dead Redemption 2 instead of leaving the house today.

ELM327 wrote: »

How recently are we talking here? Because AH opinion polls predicted very accurately the outcome of the SSM referendum, and the Repealthe8th referendum.

People initially wrote off the results as not representative due to boards/AH demographics but they were accurate.

I mean very recently, 2/3 months. AH has always been a bit of a melting pot, but there seems to be a mass shift towards a right-wing/anti-feminism/anti-liberal narrative since the Summer. In AH specifically. Other forums having discussions on the same topics aren't shifting the same way.

ELM327

fergus1001 wrote: »

Ive seen alot of PC support on twitter

I'm not on twitter but have seen a lot of MDH support on facebook and little to no support for casey (Unfortunately, as a casey voter)

[Deleted User]

Referendum - Yes
President - Peter Casey 1

ohnonotgmail

RobertKK wrote: »

Why is the turn out said to be low if MDH is so good?

Turnout is always low. It was 56% the last time. The election before that it was only 47%. and a lot of people assume that Michael D will walk it so wont bother to vote.

Odhinn

1-Ní Riadah
2-Michael DEEEeeeeeeeeeeee

Yes, on the other thing.

Gravelly

seamus wrote: »

I get the feeling that AH has been recently "left to it" when it comes to these things. The Niall Boylan / Joe Duffy types have driven out people who want serious discussion.

A cursory glance through AH shows strong support for casey. The same lazy glance across any other social media platform and casey doesn't feature in the slightest, it's MDH all the way.

So, it's odd. Is really all I can say.

And yes, I am aware that social media tend to show you what you want to see, so I've tried to balance that out.

Why are all the MDH supporters name-calling anyone who doesn't support him? It's an election, not voting for a particular candidate doesn't make one a Niall Boylan / Joe Duffy type, whatever the hell that means. Grow up.

I'm not a big FB user, but I see far more support among my connections for Casey than for MDH.

MrMusician18

seamus wrote: »

I get the feeling that AH has been recently "left to it" when it comes to these things. The Niall Boylan / Joe Duffy types have driven out people who want serious discussion.

A cursory glance through AH shows strong support for casey. The same lazy glance across any other social media platform and casey doesn't feature in the slightest, it's MDH all the way.

So, it's odd. Is really all I can say.

And yes, I am aware that social media tend to show you what you want to see, so I've tried to balance that out.

Twitter? There's a vocal PC mob there, Politics.ie ditto.
PC definitely had gotten a lot of traction online, but you do have to look outside algorithm curated services to see it, if you're not politically inclined in his direction (which I suspect you're not, Seamus).

keano_afc

Casey agus níl

ayux4rj6zql2ph

Gravelly wrote: »

Was canvassed by her a week or so ago. There was some serious photoshopping done for that poster pic.

Never seen her in person, that explains that then.

ayux4rj6zql2ph

ELM327 wrote: »

Wouldn't ride her into battle.
But that's not the issue at hand. The issue with her is her abject stupidity or blatant denial (I'm not sure which it was) vis a vis her comments on the avg industrial wage.

Could it be deemed a blonde moment

The way she battled it out with Higgins as gaeilge was something else

[Deleted User]

Can't tell if this is an AH wind up or if Casey is actually this popular

JMNolan

AdamD wrote: »

Can't tell if this is an AH wind up or if Casey is actually this popular

Well, there is an election going on, the result of that will give us a clue.

ayux4rj6zql2ph

AdamD wrote: »

Can't tell if this is an AH wind up or if Casey is actually this popular

Casey Casey Casey Casey Casey :cool:

Sycamore Tree

What possible reason could there be for voting No in the Blasphemy referendum? It's a no brainer!

The only reason Ronan Mullen could offer was the cost of the referendum!

Some people just like voting No out of self importance.

Ursus Horribilis

Yes in the referendum

Peter Casey No. 1 in the other one. I'm sure MDH will get in but Casey is my protest vote.

pc7

Would twitter actually go into meltdown if Midgely loses?

Gravelly

pc7 wrote: »

Would twitter actually go into meltdown if Midgely loses?

Imagine RTE and the Irish Times - it'll be Trump all over again, the world will be ending at any moment.

JMNolan

There's one guy on twitter who said he will move to another country if Peter Casey wins :pac:

Padraig Mor

seamus wrote: »

I get the feeling that AH has been recently "left to it" when it comes to these things. The Niall Boylan / Joe Duffy types have driven out people who want serious discussion..

Left to the "uneducated", "bigots", "racists" is that right Seamus? Y'know, it is possible for people to have different opinions to you.....

McMurphy

JMNolan wrote: »

There's one guy on twitter who said he will move to another country if Peter Casey wins :pac:

Was it Ray Darcy?