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Storm Callum - Thursday/Friday 11/12 October 2018 READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST

Meteorite58

MOD NOTE:

This Thread is for discussing Fridays threat of severe weather only. It could get very busy and posters are reminded to stay on topic.

In everybody's best interest their will be a zero tolerance to posters dragging the thread off topic and into disarray , posts will be removed that do not adhere to this request.

Posters wishing to discuss matters in relation to Met Eireann can discuss it here https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2056857470 (whilst abiding by the Forum charter) and not on this thread.

Please help keep this thread running smoothly for all by adhering with the Mod Team's request.

Thank You.

Have been observing the models align regards the potential for some very disturbed weather at the end of the week. ECM, GFS, UKMO and GEM all showing a very deep Storm develop towards Fri and have been bringing it closer to Ireland over the last couple of days. Most notable today is that the ECM has brought it very close and is at this early stage showing very strong winds over much of Ireland. Again to point out this is still in the unreliable timeframe but at present shows it looking more severe than Storm Ali in that there is potential for higher winds and over a much longer timeframe as the system moves slowly up off the W coast, possibly taking most of Fri into Sat to clear the country . Along with the winds there is potential for very heavy rains also. Just coming out of Spring tides by Fri but this system is showing a very low pressure of 950 hPa so an increase in the height of the tide could be expected and as there is a lot of rain forecast along W and NW counties before this Storm then run off meeting a tidal surge could cause flooding.

Have been deliberating whether to start a thread on this or not but I think it is a good opportunity to test the accuracy of the models and it has been shaping up over a few days now to be potentially a severe weather event. Nothing lost if it gets downgraded, this is a record of the guidance available about upcoming weather and an effort to piece the information together . Can change the thread title if and when requires.

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kenmc

Woke during the night to rain pelting windows and windy. Sounds just windy now, not looked outside yet, still in bed. Ballinteer d16

Gaoth Laidir

South Rock buoy, off the Co. Down coast, has reported an 80-kt gust in the past hour, the highest of all buoys around the coasts (even Fastnet only managed 82). Conningbeg buoy off the Wexford coast got to 68 kts.

https://twitter.com/southrockbuoy/status/1050608179170529282?s=19

https://twitter.com/ConingbegBuoy/status/1050579404991156229?s=19

Surprised that the buoys off the west coast haven't reported higher gusts. Finnis (Aran Islands) and Ballybunion buoys below 60 knots.

DOCARCH

Mace Head reporting gust of 61kts at 0600.

cyclops999

Nothing much in Athlone area over night

munster87

stevek93 wrote: »

Just woke up in Dublin here the odd gust of wind now nothing major

But where were you when you went to sleep!?

RedPeppers

8mm rain overnight fresh morning now north Galway

Gaoth Laidir

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

South Rock buoy, off the Co. Down coast, has reported an 80-kt gust in the past hour, the highest of all buoys around the coasts (even Fastnet only managed 82). Conningbeg buoy off the Wexford coast got to 68 kts.

https://twitter.com/southrockbuoy/status/1050608179170529282?s=19

https://twitter.com/ConingbegBuoy/status/1050579404991156229?s=19

Surprised that the buoys off the west coast haven't reported higher gusts. Finnis (Aran Islands) and Ballybunion buoys below 60 knots.

Actually, WT1 buoy off the Belmullet coast has just reported 82 knots now.

irishrover99

Public opinion and pressure probably forced that orange alert.
Certainly didn’t desever one in Dublin.

Rte reporting that the storm has virtually passed other than the NW where gust will continue throughout the day.

TheMilkyPirate

Not much of anything happening in Wexford. It's windy alright but nothing out of the ordinary. I've been up since 5.00am

Gaoth Laidir

Make that 83 knots now

attachment.php?attachmentid=463620&d=1539324578

Liffey4A

My Davis weather station recorded a max gust of 74kmh last night in Dundalk

Graces7

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

Make that 83 knots now

[img][/img]https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/attachment.php?attachmentid=463620&d=1539324578

feeling that here.

thomasj

irishrover99 wrote: »

Public opinion and pressure probably forced that orange alert.
Certainly didn’t desever one in Dublin.

Rte reporting that the storm has virtually passed other than the NW where gust will continue throughout the day.

Just a reminder

Orange alert meaning

ORANGE WARNING – Be Prepared

An ORANGE level warning is issued by Met Éireann for wind speeds with the capacity to produce dangerous, stormy conditions which may constitute a risk to life and property.

Stay away from exposed coastal areas for the period of the ORANGE warning.
Drive to anticipate strong cross winds and other hazards such as falling/fallen trees. High sided vehicles and motorcyclists are particularly vulnerable to strong winds – slow down and give extra space to pedestrians and cyclists.
Be aware of local conditions in your area; wind strengths can vary significantly from place to place (depending on direction and local topography).

Two points in that meaning of the Irish warning.

1. There were /are fallen trees , and the DART overhead wires came down near Sutton. So it's definitely valid in that point

2. Just because it's not what you expected in your area doesn't mean it didn't happen in other locations. The weather is localised .

Seems a perfectly valid warning to me.

pnpweirdo

Sounds like ye had fun up in the north west. In limerick city we had a calm night. I'd even go as far as to say it was windier Monday Tuesday and Wednesday this week

SleetAndSnow

And awake for school. It’s still very windy in Cork City (nothing like earlier though). Can’t see too much damage however, definitely one of the strongest wind storms we’ve had since Ophelia though

Whiplashy

Got pretty windy here over night alright, but just a breezy morning now. Electricity went for awhile but back again. Heading out a little early to be on the safe side. Tipp/Kilkenny border.

Graces7

pnpweirdo wrote: »

Sounds like ye had fun up in the north west. In limerick city we had a calm night. I'd even go as far as to say it was windier Monday Tuesday and Wednesday this week

change that t o HAVING not had!.. still raging out here, more than last night...Loud and sudden

[Deleted User]

SleetAndSnow wrote: »

And awake for school. It’s still very windy in Cork City (nothing like earlier though). Can’t see too much damage however, definitely one of the strongest wind storms we’ve had since Ophelia though

I woke at 3.45 in Cork and the wind and rain was incredible. It felt and looked as bad as Ophelia but it didn't last long and is pretty calm again now.

Zorya

Don't know if it is supposed to get windier here in NW later (Donegal/Leitrim border), but so far it really has been nothing on Ali. Windy for sure, but not scary windy.

NewMrs2b

I made alt arrangements for my daughter on the back of orange warning - as it says take appropriate measures.

I'll scoot off to work 30mins early so I can take it easy and she will get dropped straight to school V's walking from her creche!

Great reporting here overnight! I slept through most of it - thanks for timing also and updates in this eve I've arranged to leave work early!

ectoraige

Force 4-5 on the cycle to work here in Sligo town, but evidence of stronger winds overnight with a number of small branches on the roads.

MJohnston wrote: »

Here are approximate timings for the peaks of the worst winds, so that we can cut the "load of nothing" posts out before they start.

South-west coast: 2/3am
Cork/South coast: 5/6am
Midlands: 5/6am
South-east: 6/7am
Dublin/East Coast/Ulster: 7/8am
Galway/Mayo: 12pm/1pm
Donegal: 4/5pm
Limerick: might peak twice here, first around 2am, then again around 11am/12pm.

How fast is Callum moving now that he's reached land, are these timings still broadly accurate? I'd assume 2/3pm would be peak winds in Sligo, we always seem shielded from the worst of the storms.

DOCARCH

Max gust in 0700 reports of 60kts at Belmullet.

harr

Nothing major here on the kildare/Laois border , a bit windy now but nothing substantial.
Got woken by a a few bIg gusts around 3am.
Probably just about deserved a yellow warning here but I have seen worse with no warnings.

CrowdedHouse

My weather station recorded 20mm of rain between 0230 and 0330

c.p.w.g.w

Got woken around 3.30ish with the wind & rain in Limerick/Clare border region. Sounded pretty savage

dave1982

Neighbors wheelie bin was put out last at 10 and its still standing now.....recyling btw:rolleyes:

km79

Completely missed us in East Galway
I hope this doesn’t make people around here less vigilant for the next one
I’ve already got a few texts to that effect as I had tipped a few off last Monday about the threat of s storm

Mountainsandh

I've learned from the many snow events not to ever judge another area's weather by my standards.

Slept through the worst part here I'd say, but I wouldn't be surprised to see a few trees down in Waterford area, and definitely a lot of debris. The ground was pretty soaked from a rain event yesterday morning.

bennyl10

irishrover99 wrote: »

Public opinion and pressure probably forced that orange alert.
Certainly didn’t desever one in Dublin.

Rte reporting that the storm has virtually passed other than the NW where gust will continue throughout the day.

Quite bad in Dublin overnight.
Weather dan also change, an orange or any warning isn't a guarantee..

With the high winds and damage potential it was certainly deserved

Graces7

DOCARCH wrote: »

Max gust in 0700 reports of 60kts at Belmullet.

belmullet got special mention in the early forecast so great accuracy...