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Storm Callum - Thursday/Friday 11/12 October 2018 READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST

Meteorite58

MOD NOTE:

This Thread is for discussing Fridays threat of severe weather only. It could get very busy and posters are reminded to stay on topic.

In everybody's best interest their will be a zero tolerance to posters dragging the thread off topic and into disarray , posts will be removed that do not adhere to this request.

Posters wishing to discuss matters in relation to Met Eireann can discuss it here https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2056857470 (whilst abiding by the Forum charter) and not on this thread.

Please help keep this thread running smoothly for all by adhering with the Mod Team's request.

Thank You.

Have been observing the models align regards the potential for some very disturbed weather at the end of the week. ECM, GFS, UKMO and GEM all showing a very deep Storm develop towards Fri and have been bringing it closer to Ireland over the last couple of days. Most notable today is that the ECM has brought it very close and is at this early stage showing very strong winds over much of Ireland. Again to point out this is still in the unreliable timeframe but at present shows it looking more severe than Storm Ali in that there is potential for higher winds and over a much longer timeframe as the system moves slowly up off the W coast, possibly taking most of Fri into Sat to clear the country . Along with the winds there is potential for very heavy rains also. Just coming out of Spring tides by Fri but this system is showing a very low pressure of 950 hPa so an increase in the height of the tide could be expected and as there is a lot of rain forecast along W and NW counties before this Storm then run off meeting a tidal surge could cause flooding.

Have been deliberating whether to start a thread on this or not but I think it is a good opportunity to test the accuracy of the models and it has been shaping up over a few days now to be potentially a severe weather event. Nothing lost if it gets downgraded, this is a record of the guidance available about upcoming weather and an effort to piece the information together . Can change the thread title if and when requires.

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monty_python

Wind is crazy now and rain very heavy
Sw beara peninsula

Mountainsandh

glack wrote: »

If any of the experts could explain what we’re looking at here that would be great!

max wind gusts at surface

La.de.da

hawkwing wrote: »

Wild in the last 10 mins,south east Tipp.

I concur, lights just flickered.

mickger844posts

Winds picking up here in Waterford City gusting to 54km/h. Rain has not started yet but no too far away. Its gonna be a long night

www.waterfordweather.com

Itssoeasy

NeitherJohn wrote: »

Near the Lough, Cork and it's not even a bit breezy. Bizarre.

Well the rain and wind on the northside isn't bloody coming out the south ring road and through the tunnel so it has to be windy in the lough.

xii

Howling in Limerick, you know that county surrounded by the Orange bast@rds Cork,Kerry and Clare.

dacogawa

Mountainsandh wrote: »

What's the possible subsequent weather event I've seen mentioned in some news outlet ? (for Waterford anyway I think)

News outlets mention a lot of fabricated weather stuff. It might be the tail end on Hurricane Michael they are talking about but that's too far out to call now (I think it'll go north of us) and it will be the tail end so should be a normal autumn windy day. We'll get to that one in due course if it's needed...

Mount Vesuvius

Latest Hi Res Arome

redsteveireland

Meteorite58 wrote: »

Latest ARPEGE 18Z

Perfect timing for that calmer section of 60-70kmh gusts in Galway around 6am for me to get to work incident free!

Oscar Bravo

1130pm Cork airport gusting 40 knots in moderate rain. One thing to note is that its quite rare to be getting south easterly winds so strong. its nearly always a westerly gale but not this time.

RocketRaccoon

Not quite sure how the weather is in Shannon as I'm stuck in work but listening to ATC and a Ryanair flight is currently holding rather than attempting to land, he has already asked for the weather in Cork and Dublin.

aisling86

Oscar Bravo wrote: »

1130pm Cork airport gusting 40 knots in moderate rain. One thing to note is that its quite rare to be getting south easterly winds so strong. its nearly always a westerly gale but not this time.

I was just saying this to someone, it's definitely strange the wind direction tonight, not used to it.

pad199207

This is already stronger than Ali down here in wexford. Bear in mind Ali didn’t really hit Wexford but was still windy.

gozunda

Started get windy @ around 10 pm. Winds really getting up here with very strong and regular gusts. North Cork Limerick Border

_Whimsical_

Not so much as the vague hint of a breeze in Galway city so far.

Akrasia

Just getting started in Ennis.

Bit of wind and rain but nothing compared to what's coming

RocketRaccoon

Oscar Bravo wrote: »

1130pm Cork airport gusting 40 knots in moderate rain. One thing to note is that its quite rare to be getting south easterly winds so strong. its nearly always a westerly gale but not this time.

Ryanair 1349 due in to Shannon has mentioned diverting to Cork

opinionated3

RocketRaccoon wrote: »

Not quite sure how the weather is in Shannon as I'm stuck in work but listening to ATC and a Ryanair flight is currently holding rather than attempting to land, he has already asked for the weather in Cork and Dublin.

Just finished my work shift in Shannon. Some very strong gusts at the moment. Wind is howling and seems to be strengthening very rapidly IMO.

RocketRaccoon

opinionated3 wrote: »

Just finished my work shift in Shannon. Some very strong gusts at the moment. Wind is howling and seems to be strengthening very rapidly IMO.

I might go for a walk in a while so

dexter647

Winds really picking up here in south west Laois.....With trampoline taken down and bins secured it's great to listen to in bed:D

Mam of 4

Winds picking up here , Laois . Think everything is safe and secured , think

brevity

Picking up now. Rain and debris lashing against the windows. The drone of the wind is eerie

bloodless_coup

_Whimsical_ wrote: »

Not so much as the vague hint of a breeze in Galway city so far.

And not a sinner on the roads / outside. Eerie.

Meteorite58

RocketRaccoon

RocketRaccoon wrote: »

Ryanair 1349 due in to Shannon has mentioned diverting to Cork

Going to Cork.

SleetAndSnow

Big heavy drops of raining now bouncing off the ground and the wind and gusts are increasing still here in cork city. Can see the rain coming down in sheets

Xenji

Some moderate gusts in the last half an hour in Castlebar and rain starting to push in, pressure is currently at 987.1 and falling rapidly.

Rodin

RocketRaccoon wrote: »

Going to Cork.

Weather not great there either!

Muscles Schultz

Nothing in Dublin. Could this be a false alarm?

spookwoman

SleetAndSnow wrote: »

Big heavy drops of raining now bouncing off the ground and the wind and gusts are increasing still here in cork city. Can see the rain coming down in sheets

nice squall line at cork