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Storm Callum - Thursday/Friday 11/12 October 2018 READ MOD NOTE IN FIRST POST

Meteorite58

MOD NOTE:

This Thread is for discussing Fridays threat of severe weather only. It could get very busy and posters are reminded to stay on topic.

In everybody's best interest their will be a zero tolerance to posters dragging the thread off topic and into disarray , posts will be removed that do not adhere to this request.

Posters wishing to discuss matters in relation to Met Eireann can discuss it here https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2056857470 (whilst abiding by the Forum charter) and not on this thread.

Please help keep this thread running smoothly for all by adhering with the Mod Team's request.

Thank You.

Have been observing the models align regards the potential for some very disturbed weather at the end of the week. ECM, GFS, UKMO and GEM all showing a very deep Storm develop towards Fri and have been bringing it closer to Ireland over the last couple of days. Most notable today is that the ECM has brought it very close and is at this early stage showing very strong winds over much of Ireland. Again to point out this is still in the unreliable timeframe but at present shows it looking more severe than Storm Ali in that there is potential for higher winds and over a much longer timeframe as the system moves slowly up off the W coast, possibly taking most of Fri into Sat to clear the country . Along with the winds there is potential for very heavy rains also. Just coming out of Spring tides by Fri but this system is showing a very low pressure of 950 hPa so an increase in the height of the tide could be expected and as there is a lot of rain forecast along W and NW counties before this Storm then run off meeting a tidal surge could cause flooding.

Have been deliberating whether to start a thread on this or not but I think it is a good opportunity to test the accuracy of the models and it has been shaping up over a few days now to be potentially a severe weather event. Nothing lost if it gets downgraded, this is a record of the guidance available about upcoming weather and an effort to piece the information together . Can change the thread title if and when requires.

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goat2

We are starting to get battered here right now, sw , lets hope it wont last long

Comhrá

Wind has picked up a lot here in Limerick in the past 10 mins. Pressure 992 and falling rapidly.

Strangegravy

This tweet gives a really good idea of the possible gusts over the country tonight and into morning... Fresh! 😁

https://twitter.com/wxcharts/status/1050442380476858368?s=09

AirBiscuit

Still relatively calm in Clew Bay, a bit of wind but nothing eyebrow-raising for this time of year.

Storm 10

goat2 wrote: »

We are starting to get battered here right now, sw , lets hope it wont last long

Where are you it helps when we know and hope other posters will post their locations

Oscar Bravo

Pressure falling rapidly now. Valentia 9pm 990hpa, 10pm 986hpa

Oscar Bravo

Storm 10 wrote: »

Where are you it helps when we know and hope other posters will post their locations

SW kerry

Storm 10

Wind suddenly picking up in Galway now

Sundew

Wind starting to howl around the house now in Sth Galway.

EdgeCase

Wind has picked up in Cork City at around 22:10

pad199207

Wind picking up in S Wexford

Liffey4A

Weather underground app has a very useful layer for their map which shows data from personal weather stations including recent gusts.
Search for "Weather underground" app in your App store.

irish_stevo815

In a yellow warning area here in South Tipp but winds have definitely picked up in the past 20 minutes.

[Deleted User]

Still quite calm in Galway - west of city

thomil

Winds definitely stronger, some pretty intense gusts. Sustained winds picking up as well, although I can't give you figures, as my weather station doesn't have a wind gauge... yet. Air pressure hovering around the 990 mbar mark, and still 14ºC outside, although it feels colder. From the way it looks on Met Éireann's weather radar, it should start raining in earnest within the next 30-45 minutes, maybe sooner.

Location: Ballincollig, Co. Cork

MJohnston

Here are approximate timings for the peaks of the worst winds, so that we can cut the "load of nothing" posts out before they start.

South-west coast: 2/3am
Cork/South coast: 5/6am
Midlands: 5/6am
South-east: 6/7am
Dublin/East Coast/Ulster: 7/8am
Galway/Mayo: 12pm/1pm
Donegal: 4/5pm
Limerick: might peak twice here, first around 2am, then again around 11am/12pm.

The big gap with the west is because they're largely escaping the initial frontal winds, and getting hit more by the core winds as the storm centre passes to the west later on.

stevek93

Very calm in Dublin here nothing happening yet. Also was throwing up a server error when trying to post there

Outkast_IRE

Big pick up in the wind in Little Island , east of cork city . Trees are constantly moving with some moderate gusts but nothing too out of the ordinary yet.

monty_python

Very heavy rain and strong winds here now,. Sw beara peninsula

Lollipop95

What's it like in Galway city? Seems pretty calm in East Galway, at least where I am. Have an interview in the city tomorrow so hoping things aren't disturbed too badly

xraylady

Killarney. Winds really building with driving rain. Very loud with extremely strong gusts.

Sycamore Tree

MJohnston wrote: »

Here are approximate timings for the peaks of the worst winds, so that we can cut the "load of nothing" posts out before they start.

South-west coast: 2/3am
Cork/South coast: 5/6am
Midlands: 5/6am
South-east: 6/7am
Dublin/East Coast/Ulster: 7/8am
Galway/Mayo: 12pm/1pm
Donegal: 4/5pm
Limerick: might peak twice here, first around 2am, then again around 11am/12pm.

The big gap with the west is because they're largely escaping the initial frontal winds, and getting hit more by the core winds as the storm centre passes to the west later on.

That's interesting, I expected Galway's worst winds to be around 9am during rush hour traffic.
That will be good for the possible storm surge given the high tide is at 7:50am.
We're essentially still 12 hours away from peak gusts. It's still quite calm in Galway now. Thanks.

445279.ie

Picking up here in Limerick City too in the last 30 mins or so

MJohnston

Sycamore Tree wrote: »

That's interesting, I expected Galway's worst winds to be around 9am during rush hour traffic.
That will be good for the possible storm surge given the high tide is at 7:50am. Thanks.

Note that my post contains what I approximate as the peak of the winds, I didn't say that Galway would be unaffected earlier in the day.

DennyPa

First post, long time viewing the thread. Killarney based and it’s wild. Howling wind and driving rain.. must say ye are great with the updates.

yllw.ldbttr

Watergrasshill in Cork (exposed site).

Pressure dropped to 991
Gusts of up to 49km/h now.

Rain just started.

SleetAndSnow

No rain in bishopstown Cork City yet. Still a clear sky with some cloud it looks like but hard to tell. Windy though.

monkeynuz

Getting rough-ish here, halfway along Kenmare bay been building up the last half hour or so.

spookwoman

Winds picking up in waterford city now. Gotten cold as well

xabi

SleetAndSnow wrote: »

No rain in bishopstown Cork City yet. Still a clear sky with some cloud it looks like but hard to tell. Windy though.

Just gone very calm in Blackrock, Cork, let’s be having you Callum.