nav[aria-label="Primary Navigation"] { padding: 0; & ul { list-style: none; width: 100%; display: flex; flex-direction: row; justify-content: start; align-items: start; gap: 30px; padding: 0; & li { margin: 0; } & ul li { list-style: none; } } }

Child Item

August 2018 Boards weather forecast contest

M.T. Cranium

1. Predict the IMT, the average temperature at five locations (Claremorris, Mullingar, Casement, Oak Park, Shannon). The 1981-2010 normal value is 15.1.

2. Predict the MAX at any location as reported in the Monthly Summary.

3. Predict the MIN at any location as reported in the Monthly Summary.

4. Predict the PRC, the average for eleven locations, as % of normal.

5. Predict the SUN, the average for six locations, as % of normal.

6. BONUS: What will be the highest 24h rainfall in mm, and location? Points will be 7 and 3, superbomus available.

Enter by 0300h Wed 1st of August with the usual late penalties.

As I will be off-line until after that deadline, my forecast for the above is

MTC _____ 16.1 _ 29.0 _ 2.5 _ 080 _ 120 __ 45.0 Ballyhaise

and NormaL 15.1 _ 26.5 _ 1.5 _ 100 _ 100 __ 50.0 (pts based on climate)

Find more posts tagged with

Quick Links

Comments

sryanbruen

sryanbruen _____ 16.4 _ 29.2 _ 3.5 _ 110 _ 110 __ 35.0 Oak Park

Bsal

Bsal _____ 16.2 _ 30.1 _ 3.8 _ 85 _ 115 __ 42.0 Mount Dillon

adam240610

Adam240610 _____ 16.2 _ 29.1 _ 1.8 _ 90 _ 110 _ 40.5 Oak Park

200motels

200motels ___________ 16.2 _ 31 _ 3.8 _ 070 _ 122__ 41.0 Ballyhaise

pauldry

pauldry___________ 16.0 _ 30 _ 2.9_ 90 _ 113__ 65.0 Finner

Joe Public

Joe Public _____ 15.9 _ 27.9 _ 2.9 _ 76 _ 129 __ 35.3 Johnstown Castle

DOCARCH

DOCARCH _____ 15.6 _ 29.3 _ 3.4 _ 085 _ 125 __ 23.6 Valentia

sunflower3

Sunflower3 _____ 16.0 _ 28.1 _ 2.9 _ 080 _ 115 __ 21.0 Valentia

sryanbruen

sryanbruen wrote: »

sryanbruen _____ 16.4 _ 29.2 _ 3.5 _ 110 _ 110 __ 35.0 Oak Park

Edit: sryanbruen _____ 15.7 _ 26.2 _ 2.5 _ 140 _ 70 __ 50.0 Oak Park

Rikand

Rikand ____ 16.0 ___ 29.0 ___ 3.0 ___ 90 ___ 120 ___ 35.0 Mount Dillon

pauldry

pauldry wrote: »

pauldry___________ 15.5 _ 26.1_ 2.9_ 108_ 112__ 55.0 Finner

not as optimistic now

adam240610

adam240610 wrote: »

Adam240610 _____ 16.2 _ 29.1 _ 1.8 _ 90 _ 110 _ 40.5 Oak Park

Adam240610 _____ 16.2 _ 27.4 _ 1.8 _ 90 _ 110 _ 40.5 Oak Park
Revised max temp to 27.4, don't see it reaching above 28 let alone 29.

waterways

waterways _____ 16.3_26.6_ 3.0_077_117 __ 36.0 Cork

John mac

john mac _____ 15.8 _ 27.2 _ 2.5 _ 105 _ 107 __ 33.0 newport

kindredspirit

Kindred Spirit ___ 16.1 ____ 28.0 ___ 4.0 ___ 82 ___ 120 ___ 38. Cork.

Jpmarn

Jpmarn _______16.6_30.6_ 2.4_087_125 __ 35.0 Ballyhaise

JCX BXC

JCXBXC__16.1_26.1_2.3_090_100_30.1mm Valentia.

mickger844posts

mickger844posts _____ 16.1 _ 28.0 _ 4.5 _ 090 _ 110 __ 35.0 Johnstown Castle

Tae laidir

Tae laidir ___ 15.8 _ 26.8 _ 2.8 _ 105 _ 95 __ 19.0 Belmullet

rameire

Rameire ___ 16.0_ 27.5 _ 2.9 _ 095 _ 85 __ 44.0 Claremorris

mrskinner

Skinner_____15.6_____25.9______4_______90______95______40 Valentia

dacogawa

Dacogawa ___________ 16.2 _ 28.4 _ 3.4 _ 92 _ 112 _ 41.0 Belmullet

BLIZZARD7

Agh forgot...

BLIZZARD7 _____ 16.4 _ 29.5 _ 3.0_ 087 _ 120 __ 40.0 Oak Park

dasa29

Agh forgot too

Dasa29 _____ 15.8 _ 28.5 _ 4.0 _ 075 _ 120 __ 42.0 Valentia

M.T. Cranium

Table of forecasts for August 2018

FORECASTER _________ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN __ Max 24h rain, loc'n

Jpmarn ______________16.6 _ 30.6 _ 2.4 _ 087 _ 125 __ 35.0 _ Ballyhaise
BLIZZARD7 ___ (-2) ___ 16.4 _ 29.5 _ 3.0 _ 087 _ 120 __ 40.0 _ Oak Park
waterways ___________ 16.3 _ 26.6 _ 3.0 _ 077 _ 117 __ 36.0 _ Cork
200motels ___________ 16.2 _ 31.0 _ 3.8 _ 070 _ 122 __ 41.0 _ Ballyhaise
Bsal ________________ 16.2 _ 30.1 _ 3.8 _ 085 _ 115 __ 42.0 _ Mount Dillon
Dacogawa ___________ 16.2 _ 28.4 _ 3.4 _ 092 _ 112 __ 41.0 _ Belmullet
Adam240610 _________ 16.2 _ 27.4 _ 1.8 _ 090 _ 110 __ 40.5 _ Oak Park
M.T. Cranium _________ 16.1 _ 29.0 _ 2.5 _ 080 _ 120 __ 45.0 _ Ballyhaise
Kindred Spirit _________16.1 _ 28.0 _ 4.0 _ 082 _ 120 __ 38.0 _ Cork
mickger844posts ______ 16.1 _ 28.0 _ 4.5 _ 090 _ 110 __ 35.0 _ Johnstown Castle
JCXBXC _____________ 16.1 _ 26.1 _ 2.3 _ 090 _ 100 __ 30.1 _ Valentia

Con Sensus __________ 16.1 _ 28.0 _ 3.0 _ 089 _ 115 __ 40.0 _

Rikand ______________ 16.0 _ 29.0 _ 3.0 _ 090 _ 120 __ 35.0 _ Mount Dillon
Sunflower3 ___________16.0 _ 28.1 _ 2.9 _ 080 _ 115 __ 21.0 _ Valentia
Rameire _____________ 16.0 _ 27.5 _ 2.9 _ 095 _ 085 __ 44.0 _ Claremorris
Joe Public ____________15.9 _ 27.9 _ 2.9 _ 076 _ 129 __ 35.3 _ Johnstown Castle
Dasa29 _____ (-2) ____ 15.8 _ 28.5 _ 4.0 _ 075 _ 120 __ 42.0 _ Valentia
john mac ____________ 15.8 _ 27.2 _ 2.5 _ 105 _ 107 __ 33.0 _ Newport
Tae laidir ____________ 15.8 _ 26.8 _ 2.8 _ 105 _ 095 __ 19.0 _ Belmullet
sryanbruen ___________15.7 _ 26.2 _ 2.5 _ 140 _ 070 __ 50.0 _ Oak Park
DOCARCH ____________15.6 _ 29.3 _ 3.4 _ 085 _ 125 __ 23.6 _ Valentia
MrSkinner ___________ 15.6 _ 25.9 _ 4.0 _ 090 _ 095 __ 40.0 _ Valentia
pauldry ______________15.5 _ 26.1 _ 2.9 _ 108 _ 112 __ 55.0 _ Finner

NormaL______________ 15.1 _ 26.5 _ 1.5 _ 100 _ 100 __ 50.0 (pts based on climate)

_____________________________________________________

as of 0600h 3rd, 22 forecasts, sdanseo and Lumi were yet to post, for now Con sensus (median) is mean of 11th and 12th ranked in each category.

Locations chosen for maximum 24h rainfall:

Valentia 5 (Con scores three if correct for max location)
Oak Park 3, Ballyhaise 3, Belmullet 2, Cork 2, Mountdillon 2, JC 2 (Con scores two if any of them is max)
1 for Newport, Finner, Belmullet, Claremorris
(Con scores one point if correct)

any other location, Con scores zero, your score is based on rank of your choice, three if you chose max location, two if you chose 2-3 ranked, and one if you choose 4-6 ranked.

As I will now be off-line for most of August, it would be helpful if forecasters posted some data based on monthly data or ag report or for 24h max rain, yesterday's weather sections of the met.ie website. Thanks and good luck.

sryanbruen

Phoenix Park with a max. of 26.2c on August 2nd. Can it stay that way please

M.T. Cranium

Just had a bit of internet time, IMT to 9th is 16.1, PRC appears to be fairly low (55% a rough estimate) and SUN about 85% (has been near normal 3rd to 9th per Ag Report, but quite low on first two days, so blend is 85%). Hoping you will post any apparent MAX or MIN candidates and heavy rainfalls if any occur.

sryanbruen

4.5c at Moore Park on the 9th.

pauldry

2.6c at Mullingar

That seems very low for August

Is it?

adam240610

pauldry wrote: »

2.6c at Mullingar

That seems very low for August

Is it?

I wouldn't be surprised seeing 0c by the end of the month to be honest.