mailburner wrote: » You considered putting a seven figure sum on something yet are only putting 700 or so on something you consider to be a cert above would you not put on more if that were the case?
poa wrote: » My accounts are limited with all the main bookies. Paddypower will only allow me 500 max now on this. So the balance will be on Betfairs exchange next week. They are the only two I can get any weight on with now. I have gambled for 16 years, now its nothing like I used to; mainly due to the bookies limits. These days I place 3-4 moderate 500-2K bets per year and do 2-3 months in-depth research on each bet. I would like to get more on Bremain, but my main bet of the year; and funds are tied up in Clinton to win POTUS in November. Nothing special though only 2K, but I consider it a dead cert. My days of backing 7 figures are over now, I got what I wanted from gambling over 16 years. I was never pro, but used to back more heavy, and more frequently. Upsets do happen too. My biggest bet of the year was meant to be on Wilder v Povetkin. I had 4 figures on Wilder, but due to Povetkin's positive test for Meldomium the fight was cancelled and my bet was voided. Its a shame as I considered that a dead cert. So I am now going for Bremain, Tyson Fury, Hilary Clinton. They are my bets for this year and that's it in November. Wilder would have pumped things up nicely, but what can one do? Somethings are just not meant to be.
Bandana boy wrote: » You are doing 2-3 months research on a 500 quid bet and other times somehow getting a million quid bet on some random tennis match , I do not believe you
poa wrote: » Where did I say I bet a million on a tennis match? I think you are mistaken. Read my posts properly, then quote me correctly. Then make your point. Yes, I do 2-3 months research typically on my 3-4 bets per year. I do this whether its 500 or 2K, and did the same over 16 years of gambling right up to my max bets of 7 figures. That is what it takes to win, and win, and win. Hard work and dedication pays, and so my accounts with the main bookies are limited now as a result. I like to bet on Tennis, Boxing, Oscars, Politics. I don't get involved with other markets. With regard to my tennis example of Djokovic and 1.1, I was trying to clarify that dead certs do exist in some 50/50 cases with no draws. Upsets can and do happen, but they are rare. Of course 1.1 isn't value so one must lump on, but its low risk. 7 figures on 1.1 is much safer than on 1.5 etc. I think you get the point now. The only time I have mentioned 1 million, is when I gave the example of how the EU referendum market has moved from 33M to 34M on Bremain after MP Jo was murdered. The point being, that to make 1M move in a market; yes, there were some 7 figure pro-gambler backing Bremain, as they do daily. I could break this down further, but I think you get it now. Don't muddle what I have said to try and run me down, show me up, or slag me with misquotes. The only person you are showing up here is yourself. I talk sense based on 16 years of my gambling, and fact. My ultimate point being; that doing 2-3 months research personally on even a small 500 Euro bet, is better than trusting an online tipster who is an affiliate marketer paid by a bookie to give tips.
Bandana boy wrote: » You have a bank roll of somewhere between 2-18 million which you were previously willing to risk in bets of a million plus , but now you do a years research to gamble 2-8 thousand across 3-4 bets , putting somewhere in the region of 0.0001 and 0.004 % of your bank on the line . This is not true , nor are any of your stories of million pound bets that you are anyone you know have placed Free Twitter tipsters are certainly not worth quitting your job to follow , but as a bit of fun trying to turn 10 quid into a grand they are pretty harmless , is certainly not worth making up your stories to turn people away
poa wrote: » The only time I have mentioned 1 million, is when I gave the example of how the EU referendum market has moved from 33M to 34M on Bremain after MP Jo was murdered.
Shanotheslayer wrote: » Poa, Why don't you use Asian bookies if you're so limited? They likes of Mackers etc, bet multiple thousands on games and aren't limited.
Mellor wrote: » Saying you used to place "7 figures" implies you were betting 1m+. Is that not what you meant? Some might find bets like that unbelievable from someone who wasn't betting professionally. How many bets in the 7 figure ballpark have you made?
ianburke wrote: » wilder was my biggest bet of the year too. couldn't believe the odds.i was very confident he would have smashed povetkin around the ring. at 4/5 you could not go wrong. was sick when i learned the russian had failed a drugs test. the dead cert thing is dangerous though. surely price is the most important thing. if wilder was 1/5 i wouldn't touch it. djokovic was 1/50 on average to beat rank 21 feliciano lopez in february and lost. he was 1/66 to beat number 45 in the world vesely and lost. lost to karlovic in 2015, robredo in 2014. all of these would be certs in your book and would have ended very badly. it would be a long time clawing back those losses and every now and again he would lose to another bum.
poa wrote: » These days I am happy with a few 500 or 2K bets. For what it's worth, my biggest loss was 12K on one 50/50 bet, so upsets do happen.
poa wrote: » Wilder was a real shame. I had 1K on him myself. Really good value odds. I am going lump 1K on Fury after my Bremain bet delivers as the 1.9 odds are also good. I reckon he will win on points again, same as last time. What do you think?
Mellor wrote: » You must have lost all the three 7 figure bets though? As you said previously that your biggest ever win was the oscars this year. Where you had 5 figures on Leo, a massive short priced favourite. 20k bet would have been a win of only a few thousand. Lots of conflicting claims don't lend credibility.
poa wrote: » I get asked for tips a lot, and rarely give them. But a nice accumulator if you fancy it is this: Bremain, Fury, Clinton. I am going on in singles myself, but did look at the odds for an accumulator and they are nice on Paddypower. Fury being 1.9 pumps it up nicely.
poa wrote: » For example, I was ready to place a 7 figure amount on a 50/50 event,
poa wrote: » Read my posts again.I was part of a syndicate, we pooled our funds together up to 7 figures. For what its worth, I have lost 12K on a single bet so don't always get it right; no one can.I did my balls in backing 2K on Klitschko to beat Fury for example. .
Mellor wrote: » You must have lost all the three 7 figure bets though? As you said previously that your biggest ever win was the oscars this year. Where you had 5 figures on Leo, a massive short priced favourite. 20k bet would have been a win of only a few thousand.Lots of conflicting claims don't lend credibility.
Kohen Grumpy Python wrote: » It's 3.58 for this treble today, bit hard to get excited about those kind of treble numerals. Maybe liven it up with the NBA's Golden State Warriors 1.53 & Espania 4.33 for a lively 23.7. But maybe 'four from five' as Brexit too close to call* and boxing generally too volatile by it's very nature. Espania best ideally within in an e/w accum also. * close if it's counted properly as no in power wants brexit. Am surprised thebadmantipster lad still has 50k followers on twitter. - as he spends most of his time apologising to them all.
mailburner wrote: » that would be losing your balls alright so it was a syndicate 2k in comparison to above hardly a big deal/losing your balls That's how it looks to me and that's putting it mildy
mailburner wrote: » agree with fury though and am surprised that 5/4 is available on him (bwin)
poa wrote: » Over the years Klitschko has been a cash machine for me. So I backed him odds on favourite 2K and we had an upset. These things happen. So now I a 1K on Fury. The only other time I have backed Fury was v Chisora, and that was a nice 2K win. I think he wins again on points, and the 1.9 is value. I think its a good bet.
mailburner wrote: » why are you taking only 1.9 when hes 2.12 on the exchanges and at least evens with a few others including matchbook? that would drive me crazy tbh for me he only needs to repeat what he did in the first fight to win again and pts looks the obvious one
poa wrote: » Because I get a premium tax rate on Betfair's exchange. So it actually works out less than 1.9 after tax. I can't get 1K on with any of the online bookies as my accounts are limited. Paddypower will give me 1K at 1.9 so I took it. Sometimes I can't get on at all and have to use friends accounts as I am too known in the bookies. I am one hour from the border so sometimes drive to the North and back in Sterling at the same odds.
poa wrote: » have gone from being an amber customer to red quickly.
mailburner wrote: » matchbook currently 2.04 and the likes of pinnacle might suit your stakes and surely if you're only doing 3-4 bets per year then they'll hardly be looking out for you
