Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

Top Twitter Tipster

Options
  • 24-08-2016 9:14pm
    #1
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭


    There's a lad on Twitter that has had x40 (consecutive) win predictions in the footy, has anyone else come close to this record?

    Btw his 41st prediction is live (73 mins) but not yet fulfilled. (Zagreb game over 1.5).

    I'll post up link to him
    - as soon as someone multiplies 25notes by x1.33, forty times* and then produces the total figure. (assuming @1.33 is the average return).

    *(you will require a calculator for this process).
    Tagged:


«13

Comments

  • Options
    #2
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    The 41st forecast was fulfilled at 87mins.


  • Options
    #3
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    I suppose backing this at 86mins for a laugh wasn't the best idea, or was it?

    ttt_41st_winner.png


  • Options
    #4
    Howjoe1
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,666 ✭✭✭Howjoe1


    Corey Ancient Neck wrote: »
    I suppose backing this at 86mins for a laugh wasn't the best idea, or was it?

    ttt_41st_winner.png

    skinny odds, but wasn't following the game to know how probably it was.

    link to twitter?


  • Options
    #5
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Howjoe1 wrote: »
    skinny odds, but wasn't following the game to know how probably it was.

    Neither I just assumed 41st was going to fulfill.

    As soon as someone multiplies 25notes by x1.33, forty times compounded, and then produces the total figure. I'm too lazy to perform this 'digit laborious task' on a calculator, and an curious to the theoretical running total from initial 25.


  • Options
    #6
    Howjoe1
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,666 ✭✭✭Howjoe1


    Corey Ancient Neck wrote: »
    Neither I just assumed 41st was going to fulfill.

    As soon as someone multiplies 25notes by x1.33, forty times compounded, and then produces the total figure. I'm too lazy to perform this 'digit laborious task' on a calculator, and an curious to the theoretical running total from initial 25.

    is it 8.31 x 41 = 341.53

    need about 75% strike rate to break even


    but i could be totally wrong


  • Advertisement
  • Options
    #7
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    weeeee bit more than 341, any math wizards out there?
    Here's the 1st three to get warmed up with

    1). 25 @1.33 (avg) = 33.25
    2). 33.25 @1.33 = 44.22
    3). 44.22 @1.33 = 58.81
    4).
    5).
    6)....
    .
    .
    40)=


  • Options
    #8
    Howjoe1
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,666 ✭✭✭Howjoe1


    Corey Ancient Neck wrote: »
    weeeee bit more than 341, any math wizards out there?
    Here's the 1st three to get warmed up with

    1). 25 @1.33 (avg) = 33.25
    2). 33.25 @1.33 = 44.22
    3). 44.22 @1.33 = 58.81
    4).
    5).
    6)....
    .
    .
    40)=

    sorry i was reading it ad a single 25 bet each time. very risky all in


  • Options
    #9
    Howjoe1
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,666 ✭✭✭Howjoe1


    €3.9m


  • Options
    #10
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Howjoe1 wrote: »
    sorry i was reading it ad a single 25 bet each time. very risky all in

    Yep it's compounded/rolled-over, like his peers it's setup as a 25-1k challenge over x10 bets, then they cash out and restart.

    The x40 accumulation is more of a speculative scenario. While it's very unlikely to be feasible for various reasons, it could perhaps be performed under very unique, certain techniques.


  • Options
    #11
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Howjoe1 wrote: »
    €3.9m

    Sounds about right, give or take a few bob.


    ttt_41_ok_G.png

    ttt_41_ok.png


  • Advertisement
  • Options
    #12
    Howjoe1
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,666 ✭✭✭Howjoe1


    roll over 13 times for €1k

    sounds easy....but..................


  • Options
    #13
    Harry Palmr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 40,061 ✭✭✭✭Harry Palmr


    I'm doing one of these right now, started with a tenner and have it up to about 50 using the +1.5 goals market, of course now I've gone public the next bet will be a fail.


    betting.jpg


  • Options
    #14
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    One plus side is, perhaps it's better than lumping on a horse that may not want to run or jump or enjoy then rain.
    You generally start low wait a fair while, then exit whenever you feel comfortable or after x10.
    More entertainment value than anything.

    Even his much lesser counterparts such as the badman-tipster complete more x10 challenges than fail.
    There was a ratio floating about, something like only 1 from 40 challenges completing is your break-even point.
    Completing over four challenges in a row is almost 'derren-brown-esq'.


  • Options
    #15
    mailburner
    Registered Users Posts: 23,814 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    https://twitter.com/freetipsfooty


  • Options
    #16
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Yes, that's the chap '@freetipsfooty', meant to post link just uploaded his tw handle via screengrab image.
    There are a couple of others nearly as good, such as the @Betting_Buddha, but 41 wins is almost Guiness book or records material.

    Worth mentioning his Accums and Doubles aren't always so good, still (on average) around 3 from 4 come trough, at higher odds of course.


  • Options
    #17
    spock.
    Closed Accounts Posts: 8,502 ✭✭✭spock.


    Corey Ancient Neck wrote:
    As soon as someone multiplies 25notes by x1.33, forty times compounded, and then produces the total figure. I'm too lazy to perform this 'digit laborious task' on a calculator, and an curious to the theoretical running total from initial 25.


    25 * (1.33^41) = 2.99 m

    Only takes one line in a calculator


  • Options
    #18
    Harry Palmr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 40,061 ✭✭✭✭Harry Palmr


    So which bookie has allowed a stake of over 2 million to be placed? :pac:


  • Options
    #19
    callaway92
    Registered Users Posts: 14,338 ✭✭✭✭callaway92


    Harry Palmr wrote: »
    So which bookie has allowed a stake of over 2 million to be placed? :pac:

    hqdefault.jpg


  • Options
    #20
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Harry Palmr wrote: »
    So which bookie has allowed a stake of over 2 million to be placed? :pac:

    Indeed, as mentioned this was a 'theoretical' total. Saying that, if a small (very eager) syndicate with access to say 20 online accounts each (including exchanges), along with distributed locations featuring high catchment areas of shops throughout Ire&UK, perhaps would they could cause a few headaches.


  • Options
    #21
    djhaxman
    Registered Users Posts: 1,351 ✭✭✭djhaxman


    He also has a free app for Android and iOS, he only started it up a couple of weeks ago but it works pretty well at notifying you of a tip.

    The guy is brilliant at this, I've never seen the likes of him before.


  • Advertisement
  • Options
    #22
    clairewithani
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,270 ✭✭✭clairewithani


    djhaxman wrote: »
    He also has a free app for Android and iOS, he only started it up a couple of weeks ago but it works pretty well at notifying you of a tip.

    The guy is brilliant at this, I've never seen the likes of him before.

    What is the name of the app please?


  • Options
    #23
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Twatter is probably the easiest port of all, assuming notifications are switched on.
    There was a facepage, but it kept getting closed down, due to terms of use policy.

    https://twitter.com/freetipsfooty he just put a x4-ACCA, these are not part of the 41+ challenge series, decent(ish) all the same.
    The App also appears to be free, perhaps he's getting more than enough goodwill donations, and affiliate link revenues already.

    Obviously the fun run will end sooner or later, guesstimate it will make it to around #47.


  • Options
    #24
    djhaxman
    Registered Users Posts: 1,351 ✭✭✭djhaxman


    clairewithani wrote: »
    What is the name of the app please?

    It's Free Football Tips


  • Options
    #25
    abarkie
    Registered Users Posts: 1,559 ✭✭✭abarkie


    Corey Ancient Neck wrote: »
    Twatter is probably the easiest port of all, assuming notifications are switched on.
    There was a facepage, but it kept getting closed down, due to terms of use policy.

    https://twitter.com/freetipsfooty he just put a x4-ACCA, these are not part of the 41+ challenge series, decent(ish) all the same.
    The App also appears to be free, perhaps he's getting more than enough goodwill donations, and affiliate link revenues already.

    Obviously the fun run will end sooner or later, guesstimate it will make it to around #47.

    It stopped sooner then, including this acca


  • Options
    #26
    djhaxman
    Registered Users Posts: 1,351 ✭✭✭djhaxman


    abarkie wrote: »
    It stopped sooner then, including this acca

    He didn't post a tip last night. Another thing I like about him, he doesn't rush it, if there's nothing he fancies then he won't tip.

    His accas are ****e. It's how he makes his money, with the 30% cut of the losses. I won't begrudge him that though, he's made lots of people lots of money with the challenge bets.


  • Options
    #27
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Yes the challenge series is a separate entity to the token acca's, his competitors are better at this task.
    It's almost the same as rolling a 5-sided dice with 4 red sides (80%) and 1 black,
    but managing to roll on reds 41 times in succession, a phenonomenonomen.

    Thereby some skill leverage must be attached, whether statistical research, knowledge or otherwise.
    Odds vary depending on timing, it's usually recommended to wait until 1.4 for popular markets such as 'Over 0.5'
    going earlier may be much lower 1.15 or 1.2, 85min+ does have a high frequency also, for 2.5.


  • Options
    #28
    djhaxman
    Registered Users Posts: 1,351 ✭✭✭djhaxman


    42 wins in a row now, that one was quick!


  • Options
    #29
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    The 42nd came in fast, sub-4mins response time was required.


  • Options
    #30
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Red card at 63' so may well be 1-2 to Rangers, or over 2.5 @1.36.
    The odds were skinny on 42nd only 1.3.


  • Advertisement
  • Options
    #31
    4068ac1elhodqr
    Closed Accounts Posts: 9,586 ✭✭✭4068ac1elhodqr


    Screen_Shot_2016_08_26_at_21_29_45.png


Advertisement