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UFC/MMA Gambling. **NO AFTER-TIMING**

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    #4112
    mailburner
    Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    Useful.Idiot wrote: »

    Woodley on pts is interesting. Could definitely happen if Woodley's TDD is on point and he keeps his distance possibly leading to lots of inactivity (flashbacks to Woodley/Wonderboy 2). However I'd see Maia more likely to win on points than Woodley, could just be 5 rounds of Woodley resisting a BJJ onslaught like the Masdival fight.

    exactly what I was thinking, hadn't considered maia pts at all but you could be on to something there and 8/1 for that compared to 5/2 for the is pretty good value.
    It's possible it could be a similiar type fight as v shields in which case a pts win could well be overpriced.


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    #4113
    D.Q
    Registered Users Posts: 6,054 ✭✭✭D.Q


    Great card for betting to be honest.


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    #4114
    Mr. Manager
    Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 11,139 Mod ✭✭✭✭Mr. Manager


    Gamebred wrote: »
    What makes you fance a tko in the main event? 2 tko's between both of them in 4 years.

    Nothing whatsoever. Hence the title "gamble time" :D


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    #4115
    Senor Frog
    Registered Users Posts: 193 ✭✭Senor Frog


    Gone with an accumulator of :
    Demian Maia by Submission @ 11/4
    Brian Ortega @ 1/1
    Jimi Manuwa by KO @ 10/11
    Ricardo Lamas @ 10/11
    Jon Jones on Points @ 11/10

    10 down for 574 back .


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    #4116
    mailburner
    Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    looks a good bet there senor

    so the obvious/popular ones

    jones pts 11/10
    manuwa ko 10/11
    robbie ko 9/4

    and the value imo
    cormier pts 11/2
    woodley pts maia pts 9/2 8/1


    like lamas pts also 9/4, don't see knight stopping lamas for one, chance of a lamas ko possibly though


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    #4117
    mailburner
    Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    biggest stake for me is on lamas at 11/10

    followed by the treble of
    cyborg
    manuwa
    woodley
    at 2.55

    gone for abu by sub at 10/3 as curran isn't very good and will imo get finished one way or another.

    smaller on
    lamas pts
    cormier pts
    robbie ko
    woodley pts

    abu round one 9/2
    manuwa round two 11/2
    robbie round three 14/1


    the lamas bet will cover most of the rest should they fail :)


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    #4118
    D.Q
    Registered Users Posts: 6,054 ✭✭✭D.Q


    Nice bets.


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    #4119
    D.Q
    Registered Users Posts: 6,054 ✭✭✭D.Q


    Having a nose around the other markets

    Main event w paddy

    Time out in fight - 17/10
    Pt deduction - 11/2

    Might be worth a few quid with new rules and Jones fondness for eye pokes


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    #4120
    tinpib
    Registered Users Posts: 4,478 ✭✭✭tinpib


    Nothing too outrageous, small stakes Heinz on:

    Barao
    Lamas
    Manuwa
    Lawler
    Meia
    Cormier

    Cormier may not win but I think 3.25 is massive, think it should be a lot closer than that. Meia is possibly heart rather than head but also the price is generous.

    Was looking at getting better odds by trying Manuwa/Lawler by KO, Meia by sub etc but just not worth it.


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    #4121
    smilerf
    Registered Users Posts: 2,580 ✭✭✭smilerf


    5 folds

    Lawler
    Dc
    Knight
    Manuwa
    Woodley

    10 pays 260


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    #4122
    Mellor
    Registered Users Posts: 39,078 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    Anywhere I can bet on submission type?


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    #4123
    Senor Frog
    Registered Users Posts: 193 ✭✭Senor Frog


    D.Q wrote: »
    Having a nose around the other markets

    Main event w paddy

    Time out in fight - 17/10
    Pt deduction - 11/2

    Might be worth a few quid with new rules and Jones fondness for eye pokes

    The timeout @17/10 in Jones fight is too good to let go ! Stuck it in a double with Cerrone v Lawler not to go the distance @4/6 .


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    #4124
    Johner
    Registered Users Posts: 21,625 ✭✭✭✭Johner


    Jones, Maia and Mikey Garcia(Boxing) treble for me tonight.


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    #4125
    Gamebred
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 7,269 ✭✭✭Gamebred


    Brian Ortega sub at 8/1 is wild.


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    #4126
    martyos121
    Registered Users Posts: 21,350 ✭✭✭✭martyos121


    Gamebred wrote: »
    Brian Ortega sub at 8/1 is wild.

    Moicano is a BJJ blackbelt too, making the price so high. Ortega is a level above him though imo, it's a great bet.


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    #4127
    finglashoop
    Registered Users Posts: 2,106 ✭✭✭finglashoop


    Andre Fili by KO,
    Jimi Manuwa KO & Round 1, No to cerrone going distance
    , Cris Cyborg KO & Round 1,
    Ricardo Lamas, Brian Ortega,
    Jon Jones KO & Round 1,
    Tyron Woodley by KO


    Stake €2.50

    ACCUMULATOR (8)

    Potential Returns
    €8,378.61


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    #4128
    SureYWouldntYa
    Registered Users Posts: 7,724 ✭✭✭SureYWouldntYa


    Hate seeing my bank account at odd numbers, so decided to take out €8.34 to make it a more round number

    Banked on Lawler, Manuwa, Maia and Cormier returning me €151.66


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    #4129
    thewheel2.0
    Registered Users Posts: 1,065 ✭✭✭thewheel2.0


    Disappointed to see Bet Victor have drastically reduced the amount of markets on offer. Used to be able to pick the submission type if I remember correctly!

    I went with accumulator on Bet Victor. €10 returns €207.45
    Lawler KO or Sub (Don't offer KO only market anymore :()
    Cyborg KO
    Damien Maia (Sub not guaranteed for me but I see him gaining *some* control kinda like the Gunnar Nelson fight)
    Jones pts

    Confident in all the above except Maia. Out of the four fights I doubt Woodley the most.

    Also liked Sean Sheehan's bet of the week of Cyborg KO R2 @ 6.5 on Bet Victor (You can actually get 6.5 for Cyborg win. Has good reasoning here: http://severemma.com/2017/07/size-ufc-214-cormier-vs-jones-2/ Plus I think Cyborg has taken *slightly* longer on fighters who are not cans.

    My own underdog of the night is Oezdemir KO @ 4.0 on Paddy Power. Going against the whole forum/entire-internet here on this one but I like a fight with both men going for a KO. Anything can happen here in a dynamic striking battle like this and Manuwa has been KO'd twice. Having said that Manuwa has a huge reach advantage here.


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    #4130
    Axwell
    Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 10,461 Mod ✭✭✭✭Axwell


    Barao
    Lamas
    Manuwa by KO
    Lawler by KO
    Jones by KO
    Woodley by KO

    €10 @ 93/1


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    #4131
    dulux99
    Registered Users Posts: 2,795 ✭✭✭dulux99


    dulux99 wrote: »
    5pt bet on Lawler & Jones double at about 11/10

    Yeow


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    #4132
    Mellor
    Registered Users Posts: 39,078 ✭✭✭✭Mellor


    dulux99 wrote: »
    dulux99 wrote: »
    5pt bet on Lawler & Jones double at about 11/10

    Yeow
    Good stuff I went with;
    Cyborg KO,
    Woodley Pts
    Jones Pts

    Was foolishly counting my money during the main. Could only see it going the distance after rds 1 and 2.

    I feel like chasing losses today...


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    #4133
    Mr. Manager
    Moderators, Computer Games Moderators Posts: 11,139 Mod ✭✭✭✭Mr. Manager


    Mr. Manager wrote: »
    Gamble time

    Bet.png

    This was annoying. Not even a sweat in the Maia/Woodley fight. Hate bets that you don't get any sweat from


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    #4134
    mailburner
    Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    Gamebred wrote: »
    Brian Ortega sub at 8/1 is wild.

    Great shout great price
    Wish I'd seen this on the night


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    #4135
    thewheel2.0
    Registered Users Posts: 1,065 ✭✭✭thewheel2.0


    thewheel2.0 wrote: »
    Disappointed to see Bet Victor have drastically reduced the amount of markets on offer. Used to be able to pick the submission type if I remember correctly!

    I went with accumulator on Bet Victor. €10 returns €207.45
    Lawler KO or Sub (Don't offer KO only market anymore :()
    Cyborg KO
    Damien Maia (Sub not guaranteed for me but I see him gaining *some* control kinda like the Gunnar Nelson fight)
    Jones pts

    Confident in all the above except Maia. Out of the four fights I doubt Woodley the most.

    Also liked Sean Sheehan's bet of the week of Cyborg KO R2 @ 6.5 on Bet Victor (You can actually get 6.5 for Cyborg win. Has good reasoning here: http://severemma.com/2017/07/size-ufc-214-cormier-vs-jones-2/ Plus I think Cyborg has taken *slightly* longer on fighters who are not cans.

    My own underdog of the night is Oezdemir KO @ 4.0 on Paddy Power. Going against the whole forum/entire-internet here on this one but I like a fight with both men going for a KO. Anything can happen here in a dynamic striking battle like this and Manuwa has been KO'd twice. Having said that Manuwa has a huge reach advantage here.

    Came out €10 in profit thanks to this one.

    The card was a bloodbath for boards.ie accumulators cause Robbie didn't get the KO that seemed nailed on and Jones didn't win by points.

    Gamebred, great shout on Brian Ortega, wish I'd stuck a few quid on but had no idea how high level the Brazilian was.


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    #4136
    Gamebred
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 7,269 ✭✭✭Gamebred


    Not much on offer this week, think Pettis is overpriced at 6/4 much cleaner striker if he avoids takedowns I see him winning this easy on points but wont be greedy just win only bet, course Moreno is fav to win by sub but i'll take a chance.


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    #4137
    mailburner
    Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    Think 8/11 on rashad Sam to go the distance is value
    Rashad is very hard to finish and wouldn't finish the cat these days...Alvey can throw a punch is all

    Ive doubled it with Moreno as I don't rate Pettis, think he'll be on his back quite a bit
    Liking rashad pts also at 17/4 as it's probably the only way and some are as short as 2/1

    Edit...my mistake 17/4...must have imagined it


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    #4138
    KingJamsie
    Registered Users Posts: 802 ✭✭✭KingJamsie


    Sam vs Rashad go the distance
    Grasso decision
    Moreno sub

    Just under 9/1 I believe(BV)


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    #4139
    mailburner
    Registered Users Posts: 23,839 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    KingJamsie wrote: »
    Sam vs Rashad go the distance
    Grasso decision
    Moreno sub

    Just under 9/1 I believe(BV)

    Nice price as it's probably how grasso wins it
    Got badly burnt on her last time..Surely better than that


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    #4140
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    Avoiding the Grasso fight with her coming in 4lbs overweight and this fight being at altitude
    Gone for Price & Herrera fights Not To Distance, Ortiz and Perez. Odds of 6.05


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    #4141
    Gamebred
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 7,269 ✭✭✭Gamebred


    Winner in Pettis last night, will be reloading the dough onto JDS against Ngannou, fran is 3/10 here which is one of the worst prices ive ever seen absolute beast but hes battered cans JDS is 11/5 with pp wild price.


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