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Official Free Money Betting Superthread 2011/12

12357…31

Comments

  • #202
    Pudsy33
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,795 ✭✭✭✭Pudsy33


    thomond2006 wrote: »
    So close for Wales (and me) :(:(

    Down €40 since the start of the World Cup.

    I'm up 25, haven't lost a bet. Back the minnow! :p


  • #203
    Yardie
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,317 ✭✭✭Yardie


    Yardie wrote: »
    Any fancies for Wales game lads?

    Small bets on Spies to score a try @ 5/1 and JP Pietersen to score @ 9/4 for bit of interest in game.

    Decent bet on Wales under 16.5 points @ 1.58/1 on betfair.


    Try scorers at nothing, but was blessed that Hook missed that pen at the end. Wales deserved to win though. Warburton was top top class.


  • #204
    TheJackAttack
    Registered Users Posts: 492 ✭✭TheJackAttack


    Today is a good day.. Here's to nobody beating the handicap!!


  • #205
    Judgement Day
    Closed Accounts Posts: 13,549 ✭✭✭✭Judgement Day


    Down 50% since yesterday. Double whammy in SA vs Wales - More than 19.5 in 1st half, SA to score more 12.5 points in the 1st half and then Live in the 2nd half had Wales to win at 10/3 - so near and yet so far. :(

    Have now chucked the remains of my pot on one last roll of the dice - stay away from it :D - more than 20.5 in the 1st half in the Wasps vs Leicester game this afternoon.


  • #206
    TheJackAttack
    Registered Users Posts: 492 ✭✭TheJackAttack


    Going against the Handicap again:

    +17 France
    +31 Nambia
    +21 Georgia

    20 win 139


  • #207
    theboss80
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,838 ✭✭✭theboss80


    TheJackAttack wrote: »
    Going against the Handicap again:

    +17 France
    +31 Nambia
    +21 Georgia

    20 win 139

    I'd add Tonga -6 to that


  • #208
    PhatPiggins
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,881 ✭✭✭PhatPiggins


    TheJackAttack wrote: »
    Going against the Handicap again:

    +17 France
    +31 Nambia
    +21 Georgia

    20 win 139

    The quick turnaround will kill the smaller teams like Namibia, Samo's first game. I think they'll beat them by more then 31


  • #209
    TheJackAttack
    Registered Users Posts: 492 ✭✭TheJackAttack


    Fair play, I'm just going for the "If it ain't broke don't fix it approach". Good luck


  • #210
    Judgement Day
    Closed Accounts Posts: 13,549 ✭✭✭✭Judgement Day


    Judgement Day wrote: »
    Down 50% since yesterday. Double whammy in SA vs Wales - More than 19.5 in 1st half, SA to score more 12.5 points in the 1st half and then Live in the 2nd half had Wales to win at 10/3 - so near and yet so far. :(

    Have now chucked the remains of my pot on one last roll of the dice - stay away from it :D - more than 20.5 in the 1st half in the Wasps vs Leicester game this afternoon.

    17-20 Half Time

    Happy days and I live to fight again. :D


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  • #211
    PhatPiggins
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,881 ✭✭✭PhatPiggins


    TheJackAttack wrote: »
    Fair play, I'm just going for the "If it ain't broke don't fix it approach". Good luck

    If I had your winners the past weekend I wouldn't either.

    Just my honest opinion of the game. I expect the Somoans to start full strength, get their basic patterns going and shake off the cobwebs. Make a lot of changes in the second half when the game is safe. They might ease up and leak a few late scores and that would be my only real concern for them not covering.


  • #212
    duckysauce
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,930 ✭✭✭duckysauce


    that +17 France is against the poxy blacks in two weeks time.


  • #213
    Yardie
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,317 ✭✭✭Yardie


    Gorgodze man of the match 28/1 Georgia vs Scotland.

    Chauncey O Toole man of the match 14/1 Canada vs Tonga


  • #214
    duckysauce
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,930 ✭✭✭duckysauce


    Yardie wrote: »
    Gorgodze man of the match 28/1 Georgia vs Scotland.

    or else a red card :p, seems a right tough nutt wouldn't surprise if Scotland get done over if they play the same as they did against Romania.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zXdiI4uBB0o


  • #215
    Cassius Freezing Soy
    Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ Cassius Freezing Soy


    Yardie wrote: »
    Gorgodze man of the match 28/1 Georgia vs Scotland.

    Chauncey O Toole man of the match 14/1 Canada vs Tonga

    The reason I like both of these bets is because you have reasoning behind them. And have posted the reasoning. Need more of these kind of outside tips imo!


  • #216
    thomond2006
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    Is Paddy Power down for anyone else, the site has been closed for maintenance since yesterday for me.


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  • #217
    MungBean
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,915 ✭✭✭MungBean


    Havent had any trouble getting onto it but I havent placed any bets so dont know if its working in that regard.


  • #218
    theboss80
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,838 ✭✭✭theboss80


    thomond2006 wrote: »
    Is Paddy Power down for anyone else, the site has been closed for maintenance since yesterday for me.

    Working fine for me, try clear the cookies and refresh the page


  • #219
    Judgement Day
    Closed Accounts Posts: 13,549 ✭✭✭✭Judgement Day


    Jeez - have you not had enough lads? Any tips for tomorrow? :D


  • #220
    tolosenc
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,889 ✭✭✭tolosenc


    Down a tenner so far. Exactly the amount I put on Japan to beat France at the 65 minute mark...

    Gambling my 150 winnings from the Heineken Cup, so if I have 75 left at the end, that'd be very nice!


  • #221
    theboss80
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,838 ✭✭✭theboss80


    Tonga -6 looks good to me


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  • #222
    seanhynes
    Registered Users Posts: 7,513 ✭✭✭seanhynes


    opinions on tonga -7
    georgia +17
    namibia +32 7/1...

    looks a good bet to me. russia are underdogs against USA,Russian pack will surely be too strong for them?


  • #223
    Podge_irl
    Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,271 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Namibia will really struggle with two games in 4 days. Wouldn't touch them really.


  • #224
    CIARAN_BOYLE
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,599 ✭✭✭✭CIARAN_BOYLE


    seanhynes wrote: »
    opinions on tonga -7
    georgia +17
    namibia +32 7/1...

    looks a good bet to me. russia are underdogs against USA,Russian pack will surely be too strong for them?
    I got in on Georgia a while back when it was Georgia +21.

    I'm up around 20 so far betting on this WC long may it continue.


  • #225
    seanhynes
    Registered Users Posts: 7,513 ✭✭✭seanhynes


    up money aswell, ya i didnt think about that. i'v chanced it anyway,if samoa are the 1st to beat the - handicap then i'll be unlucky


  • #226
    tolosenc
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,889 ✭✭✭tolosenc


    Tong-Canada is a tough one to call for me. I'm backing Canada +6.
    Podge_irl wrote: »
    Namibia will really struggle with two games in 4 days. Wouldn't touch them really.

    Samoa have a real game 4 days later, so I'd question how much they'll put into the Namibia game.


  • #227
    LightningBolt
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,639 ✭✭✭LightningBolt


    tolosenc wrote: »
    Tong-Canada is a tough one to call for me. I'm backing Canada +6.



    Samoa have a real game 4 days later, so I'd question how much they'll put into the Namibia game.

    That's not a bad Canadian side playing. Against a Tongan team that's made 11 changes they'll be more than a match. I've a small amount on Canadians at +7.

    I've also backed Namibia very small at +33. Samoa should run a score up first half and look to ease off around the 50/60 mark as they'll have an eye on the Welsh game on Sat.

    On Georgia +22 and Romania +22 also. Kicking myself as the latter was +25 at one stage.


  • #228
    Yardie
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,317 ✭✭✭Yardie


    Deleted User wrote: »
    The reason I like both of these bets is because you have reasoning behind them. And have posted the reasoning. Need more of these kind of outside tips imo!

    I posted the reasoning for these bets over in gambling forum for anyone interested

    http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=74377496&postcount=41

    http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=74378112&postcount=42


  • #229
    Cassius Freezing Soy
    Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ Cassius Freezing Soy


    Yardie wrote: »
    I posted the reasoning for these bets over in gambling forum for anyone interested

    http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=74377496&postcount=41

    http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=74378112&postcount=42

    yup, that's where I saw them. I should've quoted them I guess!


  • #230
    Yardie
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,317 ✭✭✭Yardie


    Deleted User wrote: »
    yup, that's where I saw them. I should've quoted them I guess!

    ha cool, I thought you were taking the p\ss due to my brevity on this board! Fingers crossed for them.


  • #231
    duckysauce
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,930 ✭✭✭duckysauce


    Gracelessly Tom wrote: »
    Just went on to Paddy Power to check the top tryscorer odds and Alesana Tuilagi is 500/1!! With 4 places he's got to be e/w value. If Samoa do manage to get through he could easily score a few tries and grab a place.

    Am I missing something (is he injured) or are they actually crazy odds?

    he's gotten 3 tries in the match this morning so far ,had him at 12/1 :)


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  • #232
    Gracelessly Tom
    Registered Users Posts: 1,053 ✭✭✭Gracelessly Tom


    duckysauce wrote: »
    he's gotten 3 tries in the match this morning so far ,had him at 12/1 :)

    That 500/1 is looking mighty tasty right now! One or two more and he is surely good for at least the place money. 3 or 4 more and dare I say it.... he could actually do it for us!


  • #233
    Gracelessly Tom
    Registered Users Posts: 1,053 ✭✭✭Gracelessly Tom


    Have gone on Georgia to score over 12.5 and Gorgodze as MOTM.


  • #234
    CIARAN_BOYLE
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,599 ✭✭✭✭CIARAN_BOYLE


    beginning to look like a canadian upset

    my tongan -6 looks like a loser


  • #235
    seanhynes
    Registered Users Posts: 7,513 ✭✭✭seanhynes


    tonga are a joke, amount of mistakes made and territory they wasted. backed them but they deserved to lose


  • #236
    Judgement Day
    Closed Accounts Posts: 13,549 ✭✭✭✭Judgement Day


    Everything comes to them that wait.....:D And, I'm very proud of myself - I've stayed away from the Scotland vs Romania game.

    PP%2B14%2BSept.JPG


  • #237
    duckysauce
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,930 ✭✭✭duckysauce


    CIARAN_BOYLE wrote: »
    beginning to look like a canadian upset

    my tongan -6 looks like a loser

    tonga screwed up a few bets for me aghhh:rolleyes:


  • #238
    beertons
    Hosted Moderators Posts: 23,148 ✭✭✭✭beertons


    Judgement Day wrote: »
    Everything comes to them that wait.....:D And, I'm very proud of myself - I've stayed away from the Scotland vs Romania game.

    PP%2B14%2BSept.JPG


    How much?


  • #239
    Podge_irl
    Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 27,271 Mod ✭✭✭✭Podge_irl


    Gracelessly Tom wrote: »
    That 500/1 is looking mighty tasty right now! One or two more and he is surely good for at least the place money. 3 or 4 more and dare I say it.... he could actually do it for us!

    WAHEY!


  • #240
    Cassius Freezing Soy
    Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ Cassius Freezing Soy


    France to MURDER the HC vs Canada this weekend anyone?

    (-33)


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  • #241
    Gracelessly Tom
    Registered Users Posts: 1,053 ✭✭✭Gracelessly Tom


    beertons wrote: »
    How much?

    Doesn't really matter how much, one mans tenner is another mans 100. More the fact that the bets came in for him.


  • #242
    PhatPiggins
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,881 ✭✭✭PhatPiggins


    Deleted User wrote: »
    France to MURDER the HC vs Canada this weekend anyone?

    (-33)

    First quarter: France 21 - Canada 3
    Second Quarter: France 21 - Canada 17
    Third Quarter: Jamie Cudmore proclaims that all the real French now live in Montreal
    Fourth quarter France 68 - Canada 17

    All jokes aside France could litterally do anything against anyone.


  • #243
    colinslade
    Registered Users Posts: 12 ✭colinslade


    Il be backing Russia straight win at 12/5 against US tomo, and Russia +8 at Evs. Both with PP. Think the US will be tired after the weekend, have made basically no changes and the Russians will be out to avenge the Churchill Cup game and will be fresh, I saw the CC game and it was a well matched cracker. US look to have improved but Im confident the Russians will have too, they have been in camp for quite a while I believe with former Glaws coach Kingsley Jones in charge.

    Iv been waiting to back this one since the competition started.


  • #244
    Cassius Freezing Soy
    Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ Cassius Freezing Soy


    ^^ Good luck tomorrow Mr. Slade


  • #245
    PhatPiggins
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,881 ✭✭✭PhatPiggins


    colinslade wrote: »
    Il be backing Russia straight win at 12/5 against US tomo, and Russia +8 at Evs. Both with PP. Think the US will be tired after the weekend, have made basically no changes and the Russians will be out to avenge the Churchill Cup game and will be fresh, I saw the CC game and it was a well matched cracker. US look to have improved but Im confident the Russians will have too, they have been in camp for quite a while I believe with former Glaws coach Kingsley Jones in charge.

    Iv been waiting to back this one since the competition started.

    Saw the CC game too, Russia look to be on an upward trajectory alright. Word of warning though the USA didn't have any of their big guns playing that day and still won.

    You're spot on with the fatigue factor


  • #246
    thomond2006
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    What's everyone's thoughts on NZ vs Japan? AB lineup is pretty strong while Japan have named a second string team (10 changes from last week). If weather conditions are ok I can see the ABs putting up a score.

    NZ -58 at 10/11 on PP. Thoughts?


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  • #247
    theboss80
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,838 ✭✭✭theboss80


    The ONLY problem I see there is with conversions, kicking stats have been down all tournament. You would be assuming the AB can run in 10 tries and convert at least 50% of them kicks to beat that spread and that's if Japan don't score at all.

    Although there could be MANY under the posts scores if they let rip on Japan so could be worthwhile. So far though its the tournament of the underdogs beating the spread.:D


  • #248
    sickpuppy
    Closed Accounts Posts: 955 ✭✭✭sickpuppy


    thomond2006 wrote: »
    What's everyone's thoughts on NZ vs Japan? AB lineup is pretty strong while Japan have named a second string team (10 changes from last week). If weather conditions are ok I can see the ABs putting up a score.

    NZ -58 at 10/11 on PP. Thoughts?

    my first though is use oddschecker.com
    where you can get 10/11 in stan james -54pts 4 pts is a big difference for the same price.
    The all blacks really are playing for places so there should be no let up even if they are winning well.
    Missed the France Japan game so have not seen the japs in play have they a scrum?
    Cannot see the all blacks letting in soft tries the pressure is kinda off after the build up of the first game.
    They have loads of quality in the backs so id have a small bet -54pts cant see them scoring less than 65pts and cannot see japan hitting double figures


  • #249
    Judgement Day
    Closed Accounts Posts: 13,549 ✭✭✭✭Judgement Day


    Anybody having a punt on the Russia vs USA game? The bookies and most pundits favour USA but having watched the Russia vs Italy A game in the Churchill Cup I can't help but feel that there could just be a slight chance of an upset. PP have Russia at 12/5 but like the Scottish match, it's probably one to avoid - should be a cracker though. :D


  • #250
    duckysauce
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,930 ✭✭✭duckysauce


    carter is out which means Japs by +10 :D


  • #251
    Judgement Day
    Closed Accounts Posts: 13,549 ✭✭✭✭Judgement Day


    duckysauce wrote: »
    carter is out which means Japs by +10 :D

    In your dreams! :D


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