Golf Betting Log

redzerdrog · 04-04-2013 10:37am

bobwilliams wrote: »

i'm on Kohles @110/1 and a decent bet on Jordon Speith @40/1,
both e/w 6 places

speith was another I looked at along with Tringale and hoffman but felt they were a just a bit too short and I didnt want to get too heavily involved with next week on the horizon

redzerdrog · 06-04-2013 12:37am

nice sweat on horshell for the weekend he played a blinder today after a terrible 1st 4 holes.

kholes aint out of it yet either

a bit worried about Rory coming into form though

bobwilliams · 06-04-2013 1:39am

i cant wach Horshell,way too highly strung for me,have i got the balls to lay him though? i would gladly lay him @4/1,Rors @3/1,no thanks

i think we need to be afraid of Furyk tbh,all the best anyway

redzerdrog · 06-04-2013 12:09pm

bobwilliams wrote: »

i cant wach Horshell,way too highly strung for me,have i got the balls to lay him though? i would gladly lay him @4/1,Rors @3/1,no thanks

i think we need to be afraid of Furyk tbh,all the best anyway

I wont lie, I was tempted to take the 14pt profit by cashing out last night but decided i was happy enough to let him ride at 60s, it gives me a nice bit of interest for this evening anyway.

fangee · 06-04-2013 6:08pm

Come on Billy ya B*stard. Hold your nerve.

redzerdrog · 06-04-2013 8:56pm

fangee wrote: »

Come on Billy ya B*stard. Hold your nerve.

well its entertaining anyway!!

fangee · 06-04-2013 9:20pm

redzerdrog wrote: »

well its entertaining anyway!!

I'm travelling so I can't watch it. How is Billy holding himself ?

redzerdrog · 06-04-2013 9:34pm

fangee wrote: »

I'm travelling so I can't watch it. How is Billy holding himself ?

doing well!! scrambling very well and holeing some nice putts to save par on several holes. 3 shot lead after 13 holes

fangee · 06-04-2013 9:41pm

redzerdrog wrote: »

doing well!! scrambling very well and holeing some nice putts to save par on several holes. 3 shot lead after 13 holes

Nice one. Thanks for the info. Somebody was saying yesterday that he looked like a bundle of nerves. I hope he holds it together.

redzerdrog · 06-04-2013 9:49pm

fangee wrote: »

Nice one. Thanks for the info. Somebody was saying yesterday that he looked like a bundle of nerves. I hope he holds it together.

I wouldn't say its nerves myself but he is just someone that likes to express his emotions, I am finding him very enjoyable to watch (it helps having him at 60s though)

fangee · 06-04-2013 9:57pm

redzerdrog wrote: »

I wouldn't say its nerves myself but he is just someone that likes to express his emotions, I am finding him very enjoyable to watch (it helps having him at 60s though)

Well I've 30 EW at 40's so I'll even be happy with a place.

fangee · 06-04-2013 10:02pm

Typical

bobwilliams · 06-04-2013 10:17pm

fangee wrote: »

Nice one. Thanks for the info. Somebody was saying yesterday that he looked like a bundle of nerves. I hope he holds it together.

Well I didn't say that,I said he's very highly strung so tbh I can still see a big collapse.
In fairness he looks good atm

fangee · 06-04-2013 10:35pm

bobwilliams wrote: »

Well I didn't say that,I said he's very highly strung so tbh I can still see a big collapse.
In fairness he looks good atm

Yeah. Grand. It wasn't a pop. I'm not able to watch it so I was just reading what's happening on here. I've never seen him play in person so I just took it from what you (or somebody) said that he looked a nervous wreck. No biggie. Just hope he holds it together.

redzerdrog · 06-04-2013 10:43pm

2 shot lead going into the final day, hoffman missed a good birdie chance to go one behind after a fantastic bunker shot

fangee · 06-04-2013 10:52pm

redzerdrog wrote: »

2 shot lead going into the final day, hoffman missed a good birdie chance to go one behind after a fantastic bunker shot

He only has that little Furyk to worry about. If he holds his nerve. I had Snedeker about 3 years ago at 33/1. Going into the last round he was 6 clear and was trading at 1/12. I didn't lay him off. He shot about 12 over through the first 9. Not sure he even finished top 10. I'm gonna hold my nerve again. Stupid or not ?

redzerdrog · 06-04-2013 11:08pm

fangee wrote: »

He only has that little Furyk to worry about. If he holds his nerve. I had Snedeker about 3 years ago at 33/1. Going into the last round he was 6 clear and was trading at 1/12. I didn't lay him off. He shot about 12 over through the first 9. Not sure he even finished top 10. I'm gonna hold my nerve again. Stupid or not ?

Am letting mine ride but its only 1pt (€5) win and just checked the cash out option on betfair there and it offering me 23pts.

i think if he shoots -3 tomorrow he wins it

redzerdrog · 07-04-2013 8:03pm

squeeky bum time for Horshell, the calvalry are coming after him big time!!

Laird is having some round!

redzerdrog · 07-04-2013 9:28pm

ah fuck!!!

redzerdrog · 10-04-2013 6:29pm

Disappointed after after last weeks final round, on the saturday I taught i would be going into the 1st major of the year in profit. But thats golf betting for ya and all it takes is one winner to turn things around. It hasnt stopped me having a decent go at thing this weekend. Although with a couple of them i might trade out the get my stakes back if they trade low enough.

First round Leader
2pt win R. Fowler @65.0
0.5 win D. Lynn @182.0

Outright
6pt E/W P. Mickelson @11/1 paying 7 places
4pt E/W D. Johnson @ 33/1 paying 7 places
1pt E/w K.J. Choi @100/1 paying 7 places
2pt win L. Donald @48.0
1pt win W. Simpson @95.0
0.5pt win J. Merrick @370.0
0.5pt win C. Petterson @410.0
0.5pt win D. Lynn @570

Outlay 29pts

current balance -74.5pts

fangee · 11-04-2013 9:26am

Right.

I have fancied Tiger for several months and I'm on at 13/2 since November.

I would normally have a couple of savers but I just don't see the point this time round.

Phil is the only other person I'd have an EW bet on as he loves it and is an unpredictable nutter but I don't think he can do it for 4 days.

As I go through the field I'm just putting lines through players.

For example, Dustin Johnson just can't win this event and should be 300/1 not 30/1.

Lee Westwood should be good round here but we all know he lacks the bottle.

Stricker and Snedeker would have been on my radar but have had recent injuries.

Kuchar will only win if left out in front. I don't like his lack of killer instinct/bottle.

I just think that nobody will touch Tiger.

Gimme a player and I'll give you my reason as to why I don't think he can win.

Garcia - bottle and putter.

Schwartzel has been in form but now seems to be running out of it.

Rory may give Tiger a run but it's unlikely with his current form/head space. Although at least he did hit some form last week but I don't think he'll do it over 4 days.

I just think that over the last 3 years it's been more unpredictable. Nobody stands out as bringing in good form or momentum this year.

I know there are a few players who MIGHT hit form this weekend and ARE capable of winning a Major ( Oosthuizen, Donald,Rory) but why take the risk.

Tiger must be one of the safest EW bets for a long long time ?

redzerdrog · 11-04-2013 7:53pm

I laid Lynn for 2pts when he went short earlier on just to get something back

But I also added westwood 2pt win W/O Woods @25/1

redzerdrog · 13-04-2013 9:17pm

Just added

2pt win on Stricker approximately @49.0

redzerdrog · 13-04-2013 10:17pm

redzerdrog wrote: »

Just added

2pt win on Stricker approximately @49.0

he hit 14.5 and i was gona lay my stake back but decided not to bother, he then goes and double bogies the last with a 3 putt :mad:

redzerdrog · 14-04-2013 9:22am

redzerdrog wrote: »

First round Leader
2pt win R. Fowler @65.0
0.5 win D. Lynn @182.0 layed back for 2pts

Outright
6pt E/W P. Mickelson @11/1 paying 7 places
4pt E/W D. Johnson @ 33/1 paying 7 places - +1 needs a big round to sneak a place
1pt E/w K.J. Choi @100/1 paying 7 places - +2 needs a miracle to get placed
2pt win L. Donald @48.0
1pt win W. Simpson @95.0
0.5pt win J. Merrick @370.0
0.5pt win C. Petterson @410.0
0.5pt win D. Lynn @570
westwood 2pt win W/O Woods @25/1 - outside chance
2pt win on Stricker approximately @49.0 - outside chance

how i stand going into tomorrow

redzerdrog · 17-04-2013 5:39pm

Balance after the master -76.5pts

Just small interest this weekend.

Open de espana
Lowry 1pt win @ 48.0
kjeldson 0.4pt win @130.0
Havret 0.4pt win @150.0

RBC Heritage
Donald 2pt win @17.5
Cauley 1pt win @120.0
Horshel 0.4pt win @55.0
Gay 0.4pt win @65.0
Kohles 0.4pt win @200.0

This weeks outlay 6pts

Current Balance -82.5pts

redzerdrog · 18-04-2013 6:11pm

nightmare start to the weekend for both for lowry and cauley

redzerdrog · 21-04-2013 4:48pm

just in from work/football to a nice suprise as i added these this morning:

1pt win on jaquelin @18.5
1pt win on Uhlien @25.0

redzerdrog · 21-04-2013 6:32pm

how many chances does jacquelin need for gods sake, considering cashing out next time he has a putt to win it, if he get another chance that is!!

redzerdrog · 21-04-2013 6:43pm

get in!!!

redzerdrog · 21-04-2013 6:58pm

balance was -84.5

After commission Jacqueline returned +18pts

Balance after the open de espana -66.5

Finally moving the right direction

redzerdrog · 21-04-2013 7:03pm

Donald is making a nice early charge in the heritage so some interest there

am also gona add:
jerry kelly 1pt win @95.0

just for a bit of interest

fancy Simpson to win it but he is too short for my liking

Balance now -67.5

redzerdrog · 21-04-2013 10:56pm

added

1pt win simpson @5.5

fangee · 22-04-2013 4:09pm

redzerdrog wrote: »

just in from work/football to a nice suprise as i added these this morning:

1pt win on jaquelin @18.5
1pt win on Uhlien @25.0

So you didn't post these up until he was nearly over the line ?

Is that not called after timing ?

redzerdrog · 23-04-2013 1:29am

fangee wrote: »

So you didn't post these up until he was nearly over the line ?

Is that not called after timing ?

This is a log for me to track my own progress throughout the year, sometimes i dont get the chance to post up straight away as i have a life as well. I have done this previous with losing bets aswell and with in running betting the odds can fluctuate very quickly so no i would not call it after timing as the event was running for another few hours after my post which i put up as soon as i got in from football.

If you dont like it, dont read the thread its really that simple.

fangee · 23-04-2013 9:37am

redzerdrog wrote: »

This is a log for me to track my own progress throughout the year, sometimes i dont get the chance to post up straight away as i have a life as well. I have done this previous with losing bets aswell and with in running betting the odds can fluctuate very quickly so no i would not call it after timing as the event was running for another few hours after my post which i put up as soon as i got in from football.

If you dont like it, dont read the thread its really that simple.

Yeah.

Blatant after timing so.

bobwilliams · 23-04-2013 11:05am

redzerdrog wrote: »

This is a log for me to track my own progress throughout the year, sometimes i dont get the chance to post up straight away as i have a life as well. I have done this previous with losing bets aswell and with in running betting the odds can fluctuate very quickly so no i would not call it after timing as the event was running for another few hours after my post which i put up as soon as i got in from football.

If you dont like it, dont read the thread its really that simple.

i hate aftertiming but the reason i didn't comment is because the thread was started by yourself.
If it had been in the general tipping thread i may have lashed ya alright.
I think you and i need to get involved with the 'ignore' button where 'fan gee'
is concerned.

Kankan14 · 23-04-2013 1:11pm

Fwiw I don't think this is aftertiming in the slightest. He is updating his log ffs.He's bound to have trouble updating as he bets its very hard to do instantly all the time.
Fangee try it yourself, then you’ll see how hard it can be to keep everything up to the minute in date.

OP I don't always agree with your selections or strategy, but it's always a good read. GL with it

bobwilliams · 23-04-2013 1:21pm

Just 1 so far for me this week.
I'm keeping the faith with Luke Guthrie @80/1,missed cut last week does not bother me,this kid will come good this year.

redzerdrog · 23-04-2013 10:59pm

Cheers lads

Regarding Guthrie i do think he is capable of a win this year but i have given him enough chances do so for me. Saying that this tournie seems to suit irregular/rookie winners.

redzerdrog · 23-04-2013 11:07pm

My own bets are not finalised yet but iam am kicking myself for missing some value on monday due to work! Toms traded at 160.0 at one stage and was only half that last time i checked

bobwilliams · 24-04-2013 11:54am

added........
Piercy @60/1
Walker @50/1
De(choker)Jonge @40/1
Overton 50/1 and first rd leader @50/1
Rollins @66/1 and first rd leader @70/1

redzerdrog · 24-04-2013 3:31pm

I have no strong fancy for this so only having two small bets on a couple of outsiders the 1st one is a player that has been very out of form this year but reports in a change of coach and improvement it practice i will take the chance of a return to form for Gregory Havret.
The 2nd is another speculative bet on Wade Ormsby at a big price, again more a hopeful selection with no great form as such but he does appear to perform better in this part of the world.

G. Havret 0.5pt win @160.0
W. Ormsby 0.5pt win @370.0

redzerdrog · 24-04-2013 3:50pm

Its not a bad field and a lot more appealing than the european tour event. I have gone for a mixture of young and old here. Firstly Rickie Fowler and Thorbjorn Olesen are two exciting and relatively young golfers with massive potential and I am happy to have both on my side this week. The last player is a bit more experienced and a past winner of this event who played quite well last week, Jerry Kelly.

First Round Leader
R. Fowler 1pt win @30.0

Outright
R. Fowler 2.5pt win @22.0
T. Olesen 1pt win @34.0
J. Kelly 0.5pt win @140.0

This weeks outlay: 6pts

Balance -74.5

bobwilliams · 24-04-2013 4:34pm

Added Tommy Fleetwood @60/1 in Korea

redzerdrog · 24-04-2013 5:27pm

bobwilliams wrote: »

added........
Piercy @60/1
Walker @50/1
De(choker)Jonge @40/1
Overton 50/1 and first rd leader @50/1
Rollins @66/1 and first rd leader @70/1

bobwilliams wrote: »

Added Tommy Fleetwood @60/1 in Korea

Am not sure if there is a misunderstanding here or something with the tread title reading golf betting log but it is a personal log to track my bets not for everyone to log their own.
Don't get me wrong I want others to have there input here and I have no problem discussing anyone else's fancies I just don't want the thread getting clogged up with other logging every time they add a golfer.
There is a golf tips thread available or even better again it would be great if others wanted to set up there own log for their selections, I know it would interest me to see how other get on.

redzerdrog · 24-04-2013 9:28pm

Couple of small first round leader bets, i haven't got prices I am looking for yet but will update once I do.

P. Uihlein 0.5pt win @50.0
sang-moon bae 0.5pt win @44.0 (partially matched so hoping the rest gets matched)

redzerdrog · 26-04-2013 11:07am

redzerdrog wrote: »

G. Havret 0.5pt win @160.0 - still in with a squeek at -3
W. Ormsby 0.5pt win @370.0 - co-leader at -7

First Round Leader
R. Fowler 1pt win @30.0 gave me a good run for my money

Outright
R. Fowler 2.5pt win @22.0 -5 after day 1
T. Olesen 1pt win @34.0 -2 after day 1
J. Kelly 0.5pt win @140.0 +1 needs a low round today

P. Uihlein 0.5pt win @50.0 no use - terrible bet
sang-moon bae 0.5pt win @44.0 no use - terrible bet

Update

redzerdrog · 26-04-2013 10:14pm

1pt e/w double aphribarnet (12/1) and D.A. Points (9/1)

current balance -77.5

redzerdrog · 27-04-2013 8:28pm

1pt win kevin Stadler @32.0

in the clubhouse at -11 so taking a chance that the leader dont shoot a really low score this evening

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