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March 2012 Boards forecast contest

  • 24-02-2012 10:09pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,583 ✭✭✭✭


    1. Predict the IMT, an average of five selected stations, which has averaged 6.9 C for the 30-yr period just ended in 2010.

    2. Predict the highest daily maximum at any reporting (met.ie) station.

    3. Predict the lowest daily minimum at any reporting (met.ie) station.

    4. Predict the monthly precip as a percentage of normal (for 11 reporting stations in met.ie Monthly Summary)

    5. Predict the monthly sunshine as a percentage of normal (for 6 reporting stations in met.ie Monthly Summary)

    6. Bonus -- Predict the sunshine hours for Shannon on the 17th (0.0 to 11.5h to nearest 0.1h).

    TEMPLATE

    IMT ..... MAX ..... MIN .... PRC ..... SUN ..... sun-17


    Deadlines for entry ... you have until the end of the day on Thurs 1st of March, to enter without penalty. The actual deadline is set at 0300h on Friday 2nd. Then until 0300h Saturday 3rd, the penalty applies to scores over 60, while on Saturday 3rd last-minute entries are accepted with penalty for scores over 50.


«13

Comments

  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,129 ✭✭✭Wild Bill


    IMT - 7.1C

    Highest daily max - 18.5C

    Lowest daily min - minus 6.1C

    4. Predict the monthly precip as a percentage of normal: 90%

    5. Predict the monthly sunshine as a percentage of normal: 90%

    6. Bonus - 6 hours


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,959 Mod ✭✭✭✭Gonzo


    IMT - 7.3C

    Highest daily max - 20.2C

    Lowest daily min - minus 2.3C

    4. Predict the monthly precip as a percentage of normal: 116%

    5. Predict the monthly sunshine as a percentage of normal: 83%

    6. Bonus - 2.4 hours


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,174 ✭✭✭pauldry


    8.1 ..... 18.2 ..... -3 ....106 ..... 94 .....4.9


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,693 ✭✭✭Redsunset


    3.0...15.5...-12.5....90...150....10.5


  • Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 17,135 Mod ✭✭✭✭cherryghost


    MT - 6.2

    Highest daily max - 17

    Lowest daily min - -4.5

    4. Predict the monthly precip as a percentage of normal: 110%

    5. Predict the monthly sunshine as a percentage of normal: 95%

    6. Bonus - 2 hours


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,320 ✭✭✭snowstreams


    IMT 6.3 MAX 17.9 MIN -3.2 PRC 95% SUN 105% 4hrs


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 207 ✭✭okla


    IMT 6.4 MAX 18.1 MIN -4.2 PRC 90% SUN 110% 3.5hrs


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 11,439 Mod ✭✭✭✭Hammer Archer


    6.5 ..... 17.9..... -1.4.... 85..... 89..... 4.3


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,421 ✭✭✭✭Rikand


    IMT 7.9 ..... MAX 16.5 ..... MIN -4.0 .... PRC 91 ..... SUN 110 ..... sun-17 10 hours


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly



    TEMPLATE

    IMT ..... MAX ..... MIN .... PRC ..... SUN ..... sun-17

    6.3 ..... 16.7 ..... -3.1 .... 140 ..... 110 ..... 0.9


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,548 ✭✭✭Harps


    6.4 ..... 17.0 ..... -4.2 .... 095 ..... 110 ..... 2.0


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 240 ✭✭Strasser


    7.4 ..... 17.8 ..... -2.1 ....92 ..... 102 .....3.2


  • Registered Users Posts: 777 ✭✭✭H2UMrsRobinson


    IMT ..6.8... MAX ..16.9... MIN ..-2.4.. PRC ..89%... SUN ..79%... sun-17...4.5

    :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,655 ✭✭✭delw


    IMT 6.5 .... MAX 16.4.... MIN -4... PRC 92.... SUN 89.... sun-17 5.5


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,551 ✭✭✭SeaFields


    7.5..... 20.5 ..... -2.0 .... 130 ..... 80 ..... 4.5


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 11,439 Mod ✭✭✭✭Hammer Archer


    Presume there's no penalty for editing your prediction before the deadline.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,583 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    No penalty, edit as you wish ... I harvest the forecasts after the deadline so I won't miss any edits in posts, later posts of course count and earlier posts are deleted from table (unless I blow it).

    Here's my feeble effort ...

    7.1 ..... 16.0 ..... -7.2 ..... 100 ..... 105 ..... 1.9

    ***********************************************
    ()()()()()()()()(()()()()()()()()()()()()()()()()()()()()()()()()()()()

    <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>
    $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
    ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

    (the Mayan factor)


  • Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 11,439 Mod ✭✭✭✭Hammer Archer


    Cheers MT. Can't edit my original post so I'll throw up a new one if that's OK. Gonna go for a wetter March than I originally thought.

    6.5 ..... 17.9..... -3.4.... 105..... 89..... 4.3


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,129 ✭✭✭Wild Bill



    ***********************************************
    ()()()()()()()()(()()()()()()()()()()()()()()()()()()()()()()()()()()()

    <><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><><>
    $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
    ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

    Y'know, this is exactly what I was going to say....

    But I had this factored into my original projections, so I'm sticking.


  • Registered Users Posts: 239 ✭✭Steopo


    6.6 ..... 16.8 ..... -2.8....87 ..... 108 .....3.5


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 326 ✭✭K_1


    7.5 ..... 20.0 ..... -2.0 .... 80 ..... 90 ..... 3.5


  • Registered Users Posts: 731 ✭✭✭Tae laidir


    7.0 ..... 16.9 ..... -3.2 .... 90 ..... 90 ..... 1.2


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,783 ✭✭✭Joe Public


    4.9 ..... 15.9 ..... -4.9 ..... 129 ..... 89 ..... 1.9

    Not looking great for March in the crystal ball.
    The Mayans can't fathom the weather, they are humans after all.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,604 ✭✭✭200motels


    6.3 ..... 18.4..... -3.9.... 129..... 92..... 5.9


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,130 ✭✭✭John mac


    7.1.....17.4 .....-4.3 ....105 .....103.....3.2


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 763 ✭✭✭alfa beta


    7.2... 17.2... -1.9...105.... 93... 6.8


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 4,467 Mod ✭✭✭✭mickger844posts


    6.0 ..... 17.7 ..... -3.2 .... 085 ..... 120 ..... 3


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,183 ✭✭✭rameire


    7.3 ..... 18.1 ..... -2.6 ..... 74 ..... 81 ..... 4.1

    🌞 3.8kwp, 🌞 Split 2.28S, 1.52E. 🌞 Clonee, Dub.🌞



  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    8.2 ..... 16.9..... -3.1.... 88 ..... 105 ..... 4.9


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  • Registered Users Posts: 721 ✭✭✭lostinashford


    6.4 ..... 18.5 ..... -1.7 ..... 96 ..... 93 ..... 5.7


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,150 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    6.1 ..... 17.2 .....-3.2 .... 88 ..... 95 ..... 3.2


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,842 ✭✭✭dacogawa


    6.4 ..... 17.5 .....-4 ..... 96 ..... 111 ..... 4.5


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 695 ✭✭✭talkabout


    6.3 ..... 18.3 .....-4.8 ..... 92 ..... 107 ..... 6.5


  • Registered Users Posts: 572 ✭✭✭dasa29


    IMT 5.0 ..... MAX 16.5 ..... MIN -3.0 .... PRC 110 ..... SUN 95 ..... sun-17 8hours


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,709 ✭✭✭jd


    7.1 ..... 18.1 ..... -2 .... 95 ..... 95 .....4.3


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,708 ✭✭✭Speak Now


    7.6 ..... 19.0 ..... -3.9 ..... 70 ..... 95 ..... 3.9


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,068 ✭✭✭Iancar29


    5.6...18.5...-5.5....90...110....7.5


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 345 ✭✭kindredspirit


    7.9 ... 16.9 ... -3.0 ... 95 ... 95 ... 1.5


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,583 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    UPDATES ...

    February has been scored, check that thread for the numbers.

    Now doing a leisurely scoring of the Winter Forecast contest, check that thread for the final values (except for two that are pending until 15 April).

    May have a provisional final scoring for the winter forecast late tonight so check on Friday.

    Meanwhile, enter this month without penalty until 0300h.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,466 ✭✭✭Lumi


    7.1 ..... 16.9 ..... -3.4 .... 92 ..... 100 ..... 5.7


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  • Registered Users Posts: 377 ✭✭waterways


    8.5 ..... 18 ..... -2.7 .... 130 ..... 102 ..... 2.5


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,523 ✭✭✭jambofc


    7.1 ..... 17.1 ..... -3.9 .... 125 ..... 110 ..... 1.0


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 99 ✭✭traecy1


    6.5....17.5....-2.8....120....105....3.3 hours


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,160 ✭✭✭nilhg


    7.1 ..... 17.4 ..... -3.1 .... 115 ..... 105 ..... 4.3


  • Registered Users Posts: 671 ✭✭✭NIALL D


    6.9..... 15.9..... -3.4..... 109..... 100..... 3.9


  • Registered Users Posts: 921 ✭✭✭MiNdGaM3


    7.0..... 16.9..... -3.0..... 100..... 90..... 2.5


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,080 ✭✭✭homolumo


    6.8..... 17.9..... -3.3..... 103..... 97..... 5.5


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,167 ✭✭✭Rebelbrowser


    7.1..... 16.9..... -2.5..... 111..... 94..... 2


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,583 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Table of entries for March, 2012
    ____________________________________

    Forecaster ............. IMT ..... MAX ..... MIN ..... PRC ..... SUN ..... sun-17
    _______________________________________________________________

    waterways ............... 8.5 ..... 18.0 ..... -2.7 ..... 130 ..... 102 ..... 2.5
    Sponge Bob .............. 8.2 ..... 16.9 ..... -3.1 ..... 088 ..... 105 ..... 4.9
    pauldry .................... 8.1 ..... 18.2 ..... -3.0 ..... 106 ..... 094 ..... 4.9
    kindredspirit .............. 7.9 ..... 16.9 ..... -3.0 ..... 095 ..... 095 ..... 1.5
    Rickylovesuall ............ 7.9 ..... 16.5 ..... -4.0 ..... 091 ..... 110 .... 10.0
    Jerry Seinfeld ............ 7.6 ..... 19.0 ..... -3.9 ..... 070 ..... 095 ..... 3.9
    SeaFields ................. 7.5 ..... 20.5 ..... -2.0 ..... 130 ..... 080 ..... 4.5
    K_1 ......................... 7.5 ..... 20.0 ..... -2.0 ..... 080 ..... 090 ..... 3.5
    Strasser ................... 7.4 ..... 17.8 ..... -2.1 ..... 092 ..... 102 ..... 3.2
    Gonzo ...................... 7.3 ..... 20.2 ..... -2.3 ..... 116 ..... 083 ..... 2.4
    rameire .................... 7.3 ..... 18.1 ..... -2.6 ..... 074 ..... 081 ..... 4.1
    alfa beta .................. 7.2 ..... 17.2 ..... -1.9 ..... 105 ..... 093 ..... 6.8
    Wild Bill .................... 7.1 ..... 18.5 ..... -6.1 ..... 090 ..... 090 ..... 6.0
    jd ........................... 7.1 ..... 18.1 ..... -2.0 ..... 095 ..... 095 ..... 4.3
    nilhg ....................... 7.1 ..... 17.4 ..... -3.1 ..... 115 ..... 105 ..... 4.3
    Rebelbrowser* .......... 7.1 ..... 16.9 ..... -2.5 ..... 111 ..... 094 ..... 2.0
    jambofc ................... 7.1 ..... 17.1 ..... -3.9 ..... 125 ..... 110 ..... 1.0
    Lumi ........................ 7.1 ..... 16.9 ..... -3.4 ..... 092 ..... 100 ..... 5.7
    M.T. Cranium ............ 7.1 ..... 16.0 ..... -7.2 ..... 100 ..... 105 ..... 1.9
    John mac ................. 7.1 ..... 17.4 ..... -4.3 ..... 105 ..... 103 ..... 3.2
    MiNdGaM3* .............. 7.0 ..... 16.9 ..... -3.0 ..... 100 ..... 090 ..... 2.5
    Tae laidir ................. 7.0 ..... 16.9 ..... -3.2 ..... 090 ..... 090 ..... 1.2

    Con Sensus ............. 7.0 ..... 17.1 ..... -3.2 ..... 095 ..... 096 ..... 4.0

    NIALL D ................... 6.9 ..... 15.9 ..... -3.4 ..... 109 ..... 100 ..... 3.9
    homolumo* .............. 6.8 ..... 17.9 ..... -3.3 ..... 103 ..... 097 ..... 5.5
    H2UMrsRobinson ........ 6.8 ..... 16.9 ..... -2.4 ..... 089 ..... 079 ..... 4.5
    Steopo .................... 6.6 ..... 16.8 ..... -2.8 ..... 087 ..... 108 ..... 3.5
    delw ....................... 6.5 ..... 16.4 ..... -4.0 ..... 092 ..... 089 ..... 5.5
    traecy1 ................... 6.5 ..... 17.5 ..... -2.8 ..... 120 ..... 105 ..... 3.3
    Hammer Archer ......... 6.5 ..... 17.9 ..... -3.4 ..... 104 ..... 089 ..... 4.3
    okla ........................ 6.4 ..... 18.1 ..... -4.2 ..... 090 ..... 110 ..... 3.5
    Harps ...................... 6.4 ..... 17.0 ..... -4.2 ..... 095 ..... 110 ..... 2.0
    lostinashford ............ 6.4 ..... 18.5 ..... -1.7 ..... 096 ..... 093 ..... 5.7
    dacogawa ............... 6.4 ..... 17.5 ..... -4.0 ..... 096 ..... 111 ..... 4.5
    snowstreams ............ 6.3 ..... 17.9 ..... -3.2 ..... 095 ..... 105 ..... 4.0
    Deep Easterly ........... 6.3 ..... 16.7 ..... -3.1 ..... 140 ..... 110 ..... 0.9
    200motels ................ 6.3 ..... 18.4 ..... -3.9 ..... 129 ..... 092 ..... 5.9
    talkabout ................. 6.3 ..... 18.3 ..... -4.8 ..... 092 ..... 107 ..... 6.5
    cherryghost .............. 6.2 ..... 17.0 ..... -4.5 ..... 110 ..... 095 ..... 2.0
    DOCARCH ................. 6.1 ..... 17.2 ..... -3.2 ..... 088 ..... 095 ..... 3.2
    mickger844posts ........ 6.0 ..... 17.7 ..... -3.2 ..... 085 ..... 120 ..... 3.0
    Iancar29 .................. 5.6 ..... 18.5 ..... -5.5 ..... 090 ..... 110 ..... 7.5
    dasa29 .................... 5.0 ..... 16.5 ..... -3.0 ..... 110 ..... 095 ..... 8.0
    Joe Public ................ 4.9 ..... 15.9 ..... -4.9 ..... 129 ..... 089 ..... 1.9
    redsunset ................ 3.0 ..... 15.5 .... -12.5 ..... 090 ..... 150 .... 10.5
    _________________________________

    * late entries subject to penalty if score >60

    Sorry, but entries are now closed, a reminder to those who may have missed out for March, annual contest is best ten out of twelve so you're still eligible for the main contest.


  • Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 17,135 Mod ✭✭✭✭cherryghost


    A lot of high IMT's predicted for the month! Hope I'm not wrong, I forsee daytime temps for most of the month to struggle about 10-12 degrees :P


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