The return of the One Bet to €25,000 challenge

turbobaby · 11-01-2012 2:44pm

15 v 11 now and Lambert out for the next two league games.

I feel McCormack is not getting goals for two reasons. A lack of playing time and very poor service from a sh1tty Leeds midfield.

They are just after signing two wingers and let Keogh go. I can see things improving for McC.

18/1 at Boyles is ridiculously good.

turbobaby · 17-01-2012 9:18am

Time for an update on the odds I think....

McCormack Top Scorer: 11.0 -> 17
Exeter Relegation from L1: 2.75 -> 3.25
Bayern to win CL Group A: 1.3 -> WIN
Chelsea to win CL Group E: 1.2 -> WIN
Chelsea Top 4 Finish: 1.11 -> 1.4

Total Odds: 52.38 -> 77.4

It's starting to drift again but I'm still relatively happy with the selections. McCormack got an assist at the weekend and played 90 mins. Grayson appears to be losing patience with Becchio who has been sh1te this year.

Rickie Lambert will be out for one more game.

Chelsea certainly looking a better bet than Arsenal and Liverpool for fourth play.

A few dodgy teams down at the bottom of League 1 and Exeter are proving hard to beat at the mo but are still struggling to score goals.

I also put on a sneaky second accummulator with McCormack, Luton to win Conference and Dagenham to get relegated. Very long shot, so wont bother put it up here. Similar potential returns.

turbobaby · 24-01-2012 1:32pm

Despite McCormack getting another goal at the weekend, and Chelsea stretching their lead over Arsenal in fourth, the odds drifted slightly.

I cannot understand why Boyle's had and Bluesquare currently have priced McCormack at 16/1 when he is now only 3 goals behind Ricky Lambert. 15 v 12. Lambert is around 5/4. I'll leave it up to you to decide where the value is!

Lambert is now back from a ban and Southampton have struggled a bit without him. Let's hope the time off will have broken his decent run...

turbobaby · 30-01-2012 11:02pm

Semi development this evening. Billy Sharp has signed for Southampton, bringing his 10 goals from Doncaster with him.

Southamptoon now have three players in the top five goalscorers chart of the Championship.

Sharp will of course get more chances to score in a prolific Southampton side (when he plays), but I think this could prove good for my bet. There are only so many goals to go around at Southampton, so Im hoping the three lads can share them around equally. Guly Do Prado, Sharp and that man Lambert!

Tomorrow night Leeds are at home to Birmingham, while the Saints entertain Cardiff.

turbobaby · 02-02-2012 3:25pm

I'm happy to report (to anyone listening) a drop in the accumulator odds to below the starting point.

McCormack scored against Birmingham, but so did Lambert... another peno. Southampton get a lot of pens and he never ever misses. Still though, they moved away from the chasing pack. My old mate Nicky Maynard moved to West Ham with Vaz Te, both of whom are close to the top of the scoring charts. Like Billy Sharp I think the move for them is good for the bet as I see a bedding in phase limiting goals for the rest of the season. All three will no longer be the first names on the team sheets and if you don't play you don't score.

I hope someone took the 16/1 Boyles and BlueSq were offering on McC.

Chelsea were v lucky to get a last minute draw against Swansea and Arsenal only drew with Bolton. Exeter's relegations odds have dropped pretty significantly. Not sure why, but maybe their rivals did some nice business during the transfer window...

Leeds sacked Grayson last night and will hopefully get that pr1ck Neil Warnock in to replace him.

McCormack Top Scorer: 11.0 -> 13
Exeter Relegation from L1: 2.75 -> 2.5
Bayern to win CL Group A: 1.3 -> WIN
Chelsea to win CL Group E: 1.2 -> WIN
Chelsea Top 4 Finish: 1.11 -> 1.53

Total Odds: 52.38 -> 49.73 (sub 50/1 again) Happy days!

02-02-2012 3:40pm

turbobaby wrote: »

I'm happy to report (to anyone listening) a drop in the accumulator odds to below the starting point.......................

I hope someone took the 16/1 Boyles and BlueSq were offering on McC.

............................
Chelsea Top 4 Finish: 1.11 -> 1.53

................

We're listening and enjoying

I was meaning to back that 16/1 but forgot all about it :pac:
I'm surprised Chelsea are 1.53 tbh for the top4, I'd have them 4/5 and Liverpool and Arsenal both less than 6/4.

Class thread :cool:

yesno1234 · 02-02-2012 3:56pm

RoverJames wrote: »

We're listening and enjoying
I was meaning to back that 16/1 but forgot all about it :pac:
I'm surprised Chelsea are 1.53 tbh for the top4, I'd have them 4/5 and Liverpool and Arsenal both less than 6/4.

Class thread :cool:

+1 Chelsea are underpriced imo. Unfortunatly I don't actually see them finishing in the top 4, that could be my Liverpool loyalty clouding my judgement, although I don't know whether Pool will finish top 4 either tbh. It's really impossible to call atm.

turbobaby · 03-02-2012 8:04am

Cheers lads!

I think Chelsea will get 4th. I wouldn't choose Liverpool or Arsenal ahead of them anyway. Arsenal look very poor this year actually...

Southampton have another tricky game tomorrow.... Birmingham away. Leeds away to Bristol City with Neil Readfern in temporary charge.

Hopefully Rickie Lambert will break his ankle in a skiing accident during this cold snap...

turbobaby · 04-02-2012 6:50pm

Jaysus! McCormack had THREE goals disallowed today and also got hauled down (resulting in a red) when clean through.

At least he got one goal and an assist.

I reckon his confidence is sky high now!

yesno1234 · 04-02-2012 7:04pm

turbobaby wrote: »

Jaysus! McCormack had THREE goals disallowed today and also got hauled down (resulting in a red) when clean through.

At least he got one goal and an assist.

I reckon his confidence is sky high now!

3???? FFS. Any of them wrong calls?

turbobaby · 05-02-2012 12:01am

Not sure, but will be watching the Football League show tonight with a kebab for sure!

No goals for Southampton in the evening kick off.

16 v 14

turbobaby · 06-02-2012 2:09pm

Update time.

Christ that Chelsea game was unreal. They have drifted a little and rightly so... Same with Exeter as their rivals lost with the exception of Wycombe. Still shortened nicely over the weekend and that's all I can ask for!

McCormack Top Scorer: 11.0 ->10
Exeter Relegation from L1: 2.75 -> 2.62
Chelsea Top 4 Finish: 1.11 -> 1.53

Bayern to win CL Group A: 1.3 -> WIN
Chelsea to win CL Group E: 1.2 -> WIN

Total Odds: 52.38 -> 42.5

That makes it a 2.35% chance of happening!

turbobaby · 06-02-2012 3:39pm

Nice little interview with McCormack....

Yorkshire Post wrote:

McCormack, who netted United’s second goal with a neat finish on 79 minutes to take his league tally for the season to 14, just two behind the Championship top scorer, Southampton’s Ricky Lambert.

But for a linesman’s flag, however, he could have drawn level with the Saints striker due to having no less than three ‘goals’ chalked off for offside.

Two of the decisions were highly debatable, leaving McCormack ruing his luck.

The division’s second-highest scorer said: “I probably could have had a few more goals.

“To have three ruled out for offside was strange as I am not really sure any of them were offside.

“On another day, I might have got a couple more but it wasn’t to be.

“I would be lying if I said I wasn’t thinking about being top scorer. But the main thing is the team won.”

Fowler87 · 06-02-2012 3:47pm

turbobaby wrote: »

Nice little interview with McCormack....

Hope he gets top scorer now. On for around 120 or so if himself and Rhodes (which is in the bag) finish top. Could have been alot more, only for the Luton striker, Amari Morgan Smith injury. Just back from a 3 month layoff but is well off the pace now:(

Good to see yer bet is still going strong even if I would like to see the Chelsea bet miss out:pac:

turbobaby · 07-02-2012 10:47pm

I reckon McCormack will give you a good run for your money anyway.

Lambert is obviously favourite (scored again tonight in the FA cup) but McCormack is still good value. With the top scorer chart in mind, maybe McC will convince Snodgrass to let him take the pens.

Exeter lost again tonight. They're in pretty dire form. They've scored 3 goals in 2012. There next few fixtures are very tough too.

If I was a gambling man I'd bet that they'll get relegated.

Feeling good about the accumulator again!

turbobaby · 08-02-2012 10:26pm

Just a quick update on the odds after Monday's game between Lpool and Spurs, and Exeter's loss to Bournemouth.

McCormack Top Scorer: 11.0 ->10
Exeter Relegation from L1: 2.75 -> 2.38
Chelsea Top 4 Finish: 1.11 -> 1.57

Bayern to win CL Group A: 1.3 -> WIN
Chelsea to win CL Group E: 1.2 -> WIN

Total Odds: 52.38 -> 37.37

turbobaby · 14-02-2012 2:34pm

Pretty poor weekend for the bet with Chelsea playing miserably and losing 2-0 to Everton (Big drift). Exeter came from behind to beat 2nd place Sheff Wednesday with two cracking free kicks.

McCormack failed to score, but thankfully so did Rickie Lambert. Billy Sharp did however score on his full debut for Southampton.

Plenty of games on tonight, so hopefully they will reverse my fortune and get the odds back on their downward spiral.

Here are the current odds:

McCormack Top Scorer: 11.0 -> 11.0
Exeter Relegation from L1: 2.75 -> 3.0
Chelsea Top 4 Finish: 1.11 -> 2.1

Bayern to win CL Group A: 1.3 -> WIN
Chelsea to win CL Group E: 1.2 -> WIN

Total Odds: 52.38 -> 69.3 -> It was 37.37 before last weekend's games! :eek:

Fowler87 · 14-02-2012 3:14pm

Hopefully McCormack gets on the scoresheet tonight against a dodgy enough Coventry!

turbobaby · 15-02-2012 8:20am

Well Fowler... McCormack obliged!

16 v 15 now!

Exeter were beaten too so i expect another drop in the odds. Rollercoaster ride!

yaaaboy · 15-02-2012 11:20am

He's playing very well lately looks like he could fire in a hat-trick any weekend now to shoot himself to the top of the charts!

Exeter are brutal enough but I fear chelsea could be the undoing of the bet unless they pick up soon, they're breaking my heart every weekend. An injury to Van Persie would be ideal at this stage!

turbobaby · 15-02-2012 12:16pm

Indeed he is playing very well in a team that is far from playing well. Next up Doncaster at home so I expect him to get another!

Your few quid on him at 50/1 looks good bet but on the other hand 1/25 for Chelsea top 4 looks rough!

If Chelsea can get Terry and Cahill playing together and drop David Luiz they'll do ok. Essien and Lampard coming back to full fitness will help and if Torres gets one, he'll go on a run I reckon, but the big problem might be behind the scenes with the experienced players maybe not wanting AVB to be around anymore.

Still, like you inferred, Arsenal really rely on Van P. They have holes everywhere in their squad and I don't think they're good enough to mount a challenge for 4th.

Barring an injury to Ross Mc, we should get a decent run for our money!

turbobaby · 15-02-2012 4:59pm

Current odds:

McCormack Top Scorer: 11.0 -> 7.5
Exeter Relegation from L1: 2.75 -> 2.75
Chelsea Top 4 Finish: 1.11 -> 2.1

Bayern to win CL Group A: 1.3 -> WIN
Chelsea to win CL Group E: 1.2 -> WIN

Total Odds: 52.38 -> 43.31

Fowler87 · 18-02-2012 2:43pm

turbobaby wrote: »

Well Fowler... McCormack obliged!

16 v 15 now!

Exeter were beaten too so i expect another drop in the odds. Rollercoaster ride!

Lets hope he overtakes him today;):pac:

turbobaby · 20-02-2012 8:08am

No goals for McCormack, but none for his rivals either, despite Southampton scoring four at home.

Exeter beat Bury, but thankfully 4 of the bottom five all won too. It's looking like four will go down from a group of six teams at the bottom.

Chelsea were pants again but that was only the cup thankfully. Arsenal just as bad!

No change to the odds.

turbobaby · 25-02-2012 7:40pm

Hat trick for Lambert today :eek: His third of the season. Yet another peno for Southampton!

At least Chelsea won 3-0 and Exeter lost 2-0.

McCormack hit the angle of post and bar, and then it bounced down on the line!

I'm glad I'm not betting cash every weekend as that kind of stuff drives you a little bit mental! :pac:

yesno1234 · 06-03-2012 11:31pm

Another scoreless night for McCormack and another goal for Lambert unfortunately puts him 5 ahead. Looks like a miracle is needed unfortunately:(

turbobaby · 07-03-2012 11:11am

Yes it's true. 5 goals in three games has put Lambert too far ahead. In fairness he has been class this season. He's now 6 goals ahead with about 10 games to go.

I'm throwing in the towel!

Had a good run for my money and most importantly haven't been putting money on silly markets at the weekend to keep me entertained.

Maynard, Long, McCormack.

Not sure when I'll be back again.

The return of the One Bet to €25,000 challenge

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