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HEC SF: Clermont Auvergne vs Leinster; Sunday 29 April, KO 1600(CET); Live Sky Sports

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    #212
    ItsChecoTime
    Registered Users Posts: 742 ✭✭✭ItsChecoTime


    And prediction, Leinster to win 17-13


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    #213
    Diabhal Beag
    Closed Accounts Posts: 15,238 ✭✭✭✭Diabhal Beag


    Head says 20-15 to Clermont, heart is hoping for a Leinster win. Will be an immense atmosphere even though it's in Bordeaux.


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    #214
    Fishooks12
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,318 ✭✭✭Fishooks12


    SOB to be back to his ball carrying best today

    I can feel it in me waters

    The break against the blues was an indicator!


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    #215
    Rickwellwood
    Registered Users Posts: 240 ✭✭Rickwellwood


    Gwan Leinster - its vital Jamie gets involved early and stays full on all game - would worry that Darce will be targetted in midfield by Rougerie running all sorts of mad lines - best of luck to the lads in blue from here in the whesht - prediction Leinster by 3 - Gwan Leinster !!!!!!!!!!!!


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    #216
    jaansu
    Registered Users Posts: 820 ✭✭✭jaansu


    I think this is our best back-row combination, SOB plays best at 6, hopefully Heaslip can continue to rediscover his best form and Jenno is a great operator at 7.

    It'll be close but I reckon Leinster by 3.


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    #217
    Teferi
    Registered Users Posts: 6,320 ✭✭✭Teferi


    Fishooks12 wrote: »
    SOB to be back to his ball carrying best today

    I can feel it in me waters

    The break against the blues was an indicator!

    I feel the same. SOB is due a big 2011-type game. It's not that he has been bad because he hasn't, he's generally been fantastic. I just have a feeling that he will punching holes through the French all day today.


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    #218
    Quint2010
    Registered Users Posts: 5,178 ✭✭✭Quint2010


    To all the people who are talking up Clermont making out they are some sort of world beaters-they only beat Ulster in a game they had to win but Ulster didnt, at home, 19-15. Today Clermont will be playing the best team in Europe. Leinster will win this match I am sure of it.


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    #219
    jaansu
    Registered Users Posts: 820 ✭✭✭jaansu


    I hope you're right, Quint.


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    #220
    Tox56
    Registered Users Posts: 11,636 ✭✭✭✭Tox56


    Quint2010 wrote: »
    To all the people who are talking up Clermont making out they are some sort of world beaters-they only beat Ulster in a game they had to win but Ulster didnt, at home, 19-15. Today Clermont will be playing the best team in Europe. Leinster will win this match I am sure of it.

    I admire your confidence, but there is overestimating and underestimating, and I feel you are guilty of the latter. They are a classy team.

    Still, so are we, but the last time we lost in Europe was against Clermont in France, so I'm only cautiously optimistic.


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    #221
    Neil3030
    Registered Users Posts: 17,004 ✭✭✭✭Neil3030


    Just got matched on Betfair at 12/1 - Leinster winning margin >12.5.


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    #222
    clsmooth
    Registered Users Posts: 3,559 ✭✭✭clsmooth


    Bricking it here. Head says Clermont by 7 but who knows, if anyone is going to go over there and beat them, it'll be Leinster


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    #223
    clsmooth
    Registered Users Posts: 3,559 ✭✭✭clsmooth


    Great preview here from Demented Mole blog


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    #224
    Fishooks12
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,318 ✭✭✭Fishooks12


    I'm actually nervous!

    Think I need to put on the Munster jersey and watch youtube clips of 06 and 08 to remind me of my loyalties!


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    #225
    RachaelVO
    Registered Users Posts: 3,108 ✭✭✭RachaelVO


    I'm feeling a bit sick...

    Leinster to win but a hares breath 23-21

    Definitely a small margin! Hopefully playing a team like Clermont will make them raise their game!


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    #226
    Big Nelly
    Closed Accounts Posts: 8,613 ✭✭✭Big Nelly


    After going to Aviva to watch that crap yesterday I am looking forward to a good game.....pity I can't make it to France, even half drunk last night we where having second thoughts of just going to airport and getting on a plane over:D

    COME ON LEINSTER


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    #227
    Zzippy
    Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 14,166 Mod ✭✭✭✭Zzippy


    I'm a Connacht fan and I'm bloody nervous!! I think its going to be very close, going to go for Leinster by 2 points, 23-21.

    Come on Leinster!


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    #228
    MungBean
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,915 ✭✭✭MungBean


    Cant say as I'm as nervous as most others. I'm confident enough of a Leinster win, I think the "home" advantage is being over hyped here and Leinster are a superior team. Leinster -6 @ 21/10 and -9 @ 3/1 is where my money is going. .


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    #229
    chris85
    Registered Users Posts: 4,502 ✭✭✭chris85


    Leinster to do this by 5. Getting nervous though.


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    #230
    crisco10
    Registered Users Posts: 6,177 ✭✭✭crisco10


    MungBean wrote: »
    Cant say as I'm as nervous as most others. I'm confident enough of a Leinster win, I think the "home" advantage is being over hyped here and Leinster are a superior team. Leinster -6 @ 21/10 and -9 @ 3/1 is where my money is going. .

    Dont think the "home" is being over hyped. In Stade Micheline, Clermont are 40 something games unbeaten. They will have about 90% of the fans in the ground today.

    Between 2010 and 2011, the Leinster v Toulouse semis had a 19 point swing. Both teams were quite similar bar sexton one year to the next.

    Home adv is massive.


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    #231
    Burgo
    Registered Users Posts: 3,815 ✭✭✭Burgo


    Heading to slatts now, can't feicin wait!


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    #232
    MungBean
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,915 ✭✭✭MungBean


    crisco10 wrote: »
    Dont think the "home" is being over hyped. In Stade Micheline, Clermont are 40 something games unbeaten. They will have about 90% of the fans in the ground today.

    Between 2010 and 2011, the Leinster v Toulouse semis had a 19 point swing. Both teams were quite similar bar sexton one year to the next.

    Home adv is massive.

    I know its a huge benefit to Clermont but its not their home fortress and Leinster dont easily crumble to an away crowd. To me its close but Leinster have it and they are a team who will close out a game, cant see them dithering about and leaving a score in it come 70 minutes.


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    #233
    wrmwit
    Registered Users Posts: 416 ✭✭wrmwit


    Can anyone recommend a good online link to watch the game?

    In work for the day so hoping to watch it between serving customers!


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    #234
    CoDy1
    Registered Users Posts: 1,637 ✭✭✭CoDy1


    Gwan leinster! Leinster by 5, 17-22.


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    #235
    crisco10
    Registered Users Posts: 6,177 ✭✭✭crisco10


    Just thinking through previous semis...

    Every one had a moment where the match swung, its vital Leinster create a moment like that.

    For example:

    2011:
    Healy makes a ridiculous break, ends in scrum to Toulouse. Heike comes on forces penalty. Leinster go more than a score ahead for first time.

    2010:
    Tight game in mucky conditions coming up to halftime, Reddan goes for the line but just gets the ball dislodged. Score would have put Leinster ahead at HT.

    2009:
    Munster make a searing break through earls. Luke hauls him down inches from the line. Stringer finds Dowling for what should be a try to take the lead. Rocky smashes him and forces a turnover. (and yes Rocky was offside but worth the risk)


    Come on!!!!!!!!!!!!


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    #236
    Quint2010
    Registered Users Posts: 5,178 ✭✭✭Quint2010


    Tox56 wrote: »
    I admire your confidence, but there is overestimating and underestimating, and I feel you are guilty of the latter. They are a classy team.

    Still, so are we, but the last time we lost in Europe was against Clermont in France, so I'm only cautiously optimistic.

    Maybe I am. But the most important thing is that the team won't.


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    #237
    CatFromHue
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,145 Mod ✭✭✭✭CatFromHue


    Leinster have only lost one away game all season, and that was way back at the start of September!

    Clermont have lost 6 away games!


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    #238
    Tox56
    Registered Users Posts: 11,636 ✭✭✭✭Tox56


    crisco10 wrote: »
    Just thinking through previous semis...

    Every one had a moment where the match swung, its vital Leinster create a moment like that.

    For example:

    2011:
    Healy makes a ridiculous break, ends in scrum to Toulouse. Heike comes on forces penalty. Leinster go more than a score ahead for first time.

    2010:
    Tight game in mucky conditions coming up to halftime, Reddan goes for the line but just gets the ball dislodged. Score would have put Leinster ahead at HT.

    2009:
    Munster make a searing break through earls. Luke hauls him down inches from the line. Stringer finds Dowling for what should be a try to take the lead. Rocky smashes him and forces a turnover. (and yes Rocky was offside but worth the risk)


    Come on!!!!!!!!!!!!

    The one that sticks out to me (not in a semi) was the final last year, Nacewa collects the high ball, Healy makes a big break and SOB runs 20 meters down the sideline dragging 3 NH players with him.

    Yesterday that Pienaar run and kick off the scrum and follow up tackle into touch was a turning point too.


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    #239
    crisco10
    Registered Users Posts: 6,177 ✭✭✭crisco10


    wrmwit wrote: »
    Can anyone recommend a good online link to watch the game?

    In work for the day so hoping to watch it between serving customers!

    Cant post streams here.

    I heard that planet rugby can have informative discussions during the game though. ;)


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    #240
    crisco10
    Registered Users Posts: 6,177 ✭✭✭crisco10


    Tox56 wrote: »
    The one that sticks out to me (not in a semi) was the final last year, Nacewa collects the high ball, Healy makes a big break and SOB runs 20 meters down the sideline dragging 3 NH players with him.

    .


    That was epic. ended in a NH player getting binned too. What really stood out though was Nacewa's field came after a few phases of aimless NH play. Maybe you were different, but I thought that Leinster were in the driving seat then. If you wanted a turning point, I would suggest half time! lol


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    #241
    profitius
    Registered Users Posts: 3,976 ✭✭✭profitius


    Can Leinster get their high tempo game going. Can Clermont cope with it?

    Can't wait for this match! Hopefully Leinster will win and set up a cracking final.


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