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The Daily bets, Banter & Accumulators thread III

inforfun

New thread.

Do your worst.

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ben.schlomo

ben.schlomo wrote: »

Another profitable evening. Gonna have a decent bet on Giovinco now at midnight, nycfc have rotated for this game. 5/6 best I could find. Small on drew Moor for Toronto as nycfc can be got at on setpieces.

No good, he had a great chance after 8 minutes but fluffed it, first game this season where he hasn't scored or assisted!

inforfun

Mr. Green wrote: »

Hi Inforfun.

It was announced today that FC Twente will lose its license as of immediately and relegate to Jupiler League. Their spot is filled with Willem II, who is set to play in the relegation playoffs tomorrow against NAC Breda.

So what will happen exactly?
- For Willem II it does not matter at all whether they win or lose, they are safe already!
- If Willem II wins, de Graafschap loses then also de Graafschap is saved.
- If both Willem II and de Graafschap win, then even Cambuur (who was officially relegated) will stay up.

The coach of Willem II said that they will do their best regardless and they will fully go for the win, but we all know this has an influence.

Your opinion? Winning Breda - 1.96. It is very good

It would be great odds but NAC is missing their Man City loanee Unal (scored 8 in 9 or something like that) through suspension plus these 2 clubs dont like each other so dont expect Willem II to do NAC any favours

Personally i stay away from the relegation play offs after yesterdays news/mess.

Lasagna Diarra

Gefle DC @ 1.70

they've lost their last 4 games in a row

retalivity

Also in sweden, top of the table norkopping are a big price away to midtable helsingborg. On Dnb @2.3

Also the usual swedish at scorer patent
Johnson for djurgaden @2.5
Kujovic for norkopping @2.87
Gustavsson for orebro @3.6

One of these will come off eventually!!

inforfun

retalivity wrote: »

Also in sweden, top of the table norkopping are a big price away to midtable helsingborg. On Dnb @2.3

Also the usual swedish at scorer patent
Johnson for djurgaden @2.5
Kujovic for norkopping @2.87
Gustavsson for orebro @3.6

One of these will come off eventually!!

Keep an eye on Kjartanson of Malmo.
Played in Norway for Valerenga and was almost a goal a game there. Went of to China and did score there too but had to go because of money bags buying "stars"

Scored yesterday

Loafing Oaf

mailburner wrote: »

As a fan
As a punter

Tks to loafing for posting the sev/btts 13/2

Glad to be of assistance. Even gladder that it backed it myself.:pac:

Incidentally, Dan McDonell on NT last night was expressing some surprise at Liverpool being clear favourites, he thought the two were pretty evenly matched. He was wondering whether this reflected people backing the 'home' team with British bookies. I was thinking this myself when I saw Liverpool and Spurs joint second favourites (or some such) for the Europa after the group stages so I checked the odds with continental bookies. However, the odds were much the same as far as I could see...

TheJackAttack

overs 1.5 falkirk/walsall game 1.56 double

Falkirk scored for fun in previous play-offs
Walsall need to get some gools tonight.

seanhynes

Think Boca juniors over 1.5 10/11 is a great bet for tonight, watched all of the first leg and Boca were playing within themselves , at home I would expect to see them score at least twice, when they really turned it on they could have ripped nacional apart, but played most of the match on the counter , tonight should be much different the tie is currently 1-1

Lasagna Diarra

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Gefle DC @ 1.70

they've lost their last 4 games in a row

3-0 down :mad::mad:

unplayable

Thinking of betting Spain, Germany and France all to win the euros.mixing the amounts for a similar return on each bet.is about a 70% ROI on betfair if one of them win.

According to betfair the combined % chance of any of those nations winning is 58.2% I think it's more like 70-75% so looking to exploit the difference.

Any thoughts?

A_Sober_Paddy

unplayable wrote: »

Thinking of betting Spain, Germany and France all to win the euros.mixing the amounts for a similar return on each bet.is about a 70% ROI on betfair if one of them win.

According to betfair the combined % chance of any of those nations winning is 58.2% I think it's more like 70-75% so looking to exploit the difference.

Any thoughts?

Not sure of the breakdown of who plays who after the groups, but is it possibly that all these 3 sides can make it to the semi's, because if there's a high probability of them meeting one another in the quarters, your odds go down

unplayable

A_Sober_Paddy wrote: »

Not sure of the breakdown of who plays who after the groups, but is it possibly that all these 3 sides can make it to the semi's, because if there's a high probability of them meeting one another in the quarters, your odds go down

Provided they all win groups which is an assumption I know they can't meet till semis afaik. Have run a couple of simulators but I may depend on which groups the 3rd place teams come from.

ben.schlomo

unplayable wrote: »

Thinking of betting Spain, Germany and France all to win the euros.mixing the amounts for a similar return on each bet.is about a 70% ROI on betfair if one of them win.

According to betfair the combined % chance of any of those nations winning is 58.2% I think it's more like 70-75% so looking to exploit the difference.

Any thoughts?

You want here.

http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?t=2057596426

Shanee.

Nacional to score over 1.5 goals is 7/4 and they are 1-0 up. This is surely value?

PopePalpatine

Shanee. wrote: »

Nacional to score over 1.5 goals is 7/4 and they are 1-0 up. This is surely value?

It ended up 1-1.

evosteo

PopePalpatine wrote: »

It ended up 1-1.

They had a goal disallowed too around the 80min. Then they made a balls of the peno shoot out

Loafing Oaf

Mulling an acca on the favourites in the various Cup finals tomorrow but remember Wigan in 2013, Everton in 1995, Wimbledon in 1988...

clairewithani

Loafing Oaf wrote: »

Mulling an acca on the favourites in the various Cup finals tomorrow but remember Wigan in 2013, Everton in 1995, Wimbledon in 1988...

That win in 2013. Loved it.

PopePalpatine

Loafing Oaf wrote: »

Mulling an acca on the favourites in the various Cup finals tomorrow but remember Wigan in 2013, Everton in 1995, Wimbledon in 1988...

Here's hoping Palace continue that tradition... after all, I'll scalp Hills for ~€190 if they do!

Trimm Trabb

Few small bets to keep me interested in cup finals for the weekend:

Trebles from these 5:

Bayern & BTTS 13/5
PSG & BTTS 23/10
Juve & BTTS 16/5
Barca & BTTS 11/8
Draw HT/Man Utd FT 7/2

And a correct score Yankee:

Bayern 2-1 8/1
PSG 2-1 8/1
Juve 2-1 8/1
Man Utd 2-1 17/2

y0ssar1an22

something going on in the SPEZIA VS. ASCOLI serie b game?

draw is odds on and a pile of markets suspended

Lasagna Diarra

y0ssar1an22 wrote: »

something going on in the SPEZIA VS. ASCOLI serie b game?

draw is odds on and a pile of markets suspended

both teams need just 1 point to be safe (Ascoli) or stay in the promotion play off (Spezia)

retalivity

A few for later/in the morning

Philadelphia win @1.9
Jeonnam dc/dnb/sw @1.9/2.8/4.33

Jeonbuk are rotating their whole team after the trip to melbourne earlier in the week and the return leg on tuesday. And jeonnam are at home and its a local Derby

retalivity

retalivity wrote: »

A few for later/in the morning

Philadelphia win @1.9
Jeonnam dc/dnb/sw @1.9/2.8/4.33

Jeonbuk are rotating their whole team after the trip to melbourne earlier in the week and the return leg on tuesday. And jeonnam are at home and its a local Derby

Philly win with a stoppage time goal

Jeonnam lose with a stoppage time goal

Lasagna Diarra

Taraz DC @ 2.15
5 losses in a row

Inter Turku DC & Beitar Jerusalem DC @ 1.69
both teams have lost their last 4 games

Voluntari DC & Fylkir DC @ 1.74
both teams have lost their last 6 and 5 games respectively

Inter Turku DC & Voluntari DC @ 1.57

Juxtapose

Martial FGS @ 13/2 (small freebet)
HT Draw/ Ft Man U win @ 7/2
2/1 Man U @ 17/2
Insurebet Bolasie FGS @ 9/1 to cover slightly

Bets done for the day

Loafing Oaf

Juxtapose wrote: »

2/1 Man U @ 17/2

On this aswell

y0ssar1an22

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

both teams need just 1 point to be safe (Ascoli) or stay in the promotion play off (Spezia)

both teams got what they wanted....0-0. just thought it was weird, never saw the draw being odds on before

mailburner

y0ssar1an22 wrote: »

never saw the draw being odds on before

last week of the italian season the draw is often odds on when you get games
like this
bookies rarely get it wrong

ShamoBuc

Utd to win and over 1.5 11/8

2-1 utd and btts first half as free bets