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The Football Tips Thread V

inforfun

Shiny new thread.

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Part IV

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ben.schlomo

Taca da Liga Final in Portugal this evening, Benfica v Maritimo. Benfica have put four past them twice this season including the last league game of the season. Lima and Jonas are both 21/20 anytime, super prices given the records both players have against Maritimo and knowing that Benfica should win comfortably. For a long shot Moussa Marega is 13/2 anytime, Maritimos starting striker, scored in the last league game in Lisbon.

Shane St.

Was just about to post on that game. Will take the -1 at 5/6

ben.schlomo

Shane St. wrote: »

Was just about to post on that game. Will take the -1 at 5/6

Ya i cant see past a decent Benfica win, the players have said they are doing it for Salvio who did his knee against Maritimo in the last league game.

ben.schlomo

ben.schlomo wrote: »

Taca da Liga Final in Portugal this evening, Benfica v Maritimo. Benfica have put four past them twice this season including the last league game of the season. Lima and Jonas are both 21/20 anytime, super prices given the records both players have against Maritimo and knowing that Benfica should win comfortably. For a long shot Moussa Marega is 13/2 anytime, Maritimos starting striker, scored in the last league game in Lisbon.

Boom i'll have that.

Lasagna Diarra

PSG won as expected

didnt think the Auxerre bus would hold for so long though

Hollister11

No posts here in 3 Months!!!!

With the season starting tomorrow lads, what are we on.

I'm only betting small stakes for a few week until form settles down a bit.

Bet 1

QPR to beat Charlton @ 2.50

Hollister11

No posts here in 3 Months!!!!

With the season starting tomorrow lads, what are we on.

I'm only betting small stakes for a few week until form settles down a bit.

Bet 1

QPR to beat Charlton @ 2.50

ben.schlomo

Hollister11 wrote: »

No posts here in 3 Months!!!!

With the season starting tomorrow lads, what are we on.

I'm only betting small stakes for a few week until form settles down a bit.

Bet 1

QPR to beat Charlton @ 2.50

And you restart it with something that isnt a tip!

Nidgeweasel

Christ I've missed this.

Nothing major tomorrow will have a look at a few singles.

I tend to leave it about a month just for the form to establish itself etc.

Here's to a profitable few months!

Shanotheslayer

Right lads, as most know I'm quite an honest Everton fan.

Our fixtures coming up are pretty horrendous.

City at Home
Spurs Away
Chelsea at Home
Swansea Away
West Brom Away
Liverpool at Home
United at Home
Arsenal Away

So it's tough to see where the points are going to come from. With a poor away performance all last season, Martinez knows we need to pick up points at home.

I understand City are looking very hot right now, but we are a bogey team for them.

Last 5 in Goodison Man City have only won 1. And it was 2-3.

Best I suggest:

Everton at 13/10 Double Chance
Everton goal before 64:00 5/6

inforfun

Rated all these asian card lines as "weirder things have happened"

Especially Valencia - Monaco with Mark Clattenburg in charge.
Whenever he has Spanish teams on the pitch and there is still something at stake, 7 cards are the norm it looks like.

Rapid - Shakthar should be good for 5 cards too with Bjorn Kuipers in charge. Thing is with him though is that he can be lenient till the moment pleyers are starting to take the piss and it is cards galore. But when things are tough but fair, he tends to keep them in the pocket. Not a gy who pulls out the cards no matter what.

Basel - Maccabi

Collum in charge and i consider this the one that can break the 5-fold. Defintely will need a red card to bring this in i reckon so maybe just go for that.

Celtic - Malmo

Brych in charge and my hope here is mostly on Malmo to pick up a few cards.
1 player in mind for a card bet but he probably is suspended already after being booked in 3 matches in the previous rounds. Odds on him are usually juicy as he is an attacker, Markus Rosenberg (select international cups on that page) One for the return in Sweden though.

And then Skenderbeu - Din Zagreb, the match that yells "TROUBLE" Karasev in charge. No use analysing this one as something will be fixed. just no idea what.

Reason for Asian cards: usually higher odds but also the fact not all 5 will be available for live betting so cash out will not be an option.

So pick your flavour.

seanhynes

was of the view of avoiding Valencia over clattenburg reffing i hate him hes impossible to read, the Skenderbreau/Zagreb match should be niggly enough im thinking a single just on that game, the rest arent too appealing to me, where is Pedro Proenca when you need him

inforfun

Just some change on that bet, will wait for line ups and analyse players before going on the singles or doubles.
There are always players you can chalk down, no matter who the ref is.
Clattenburg has done me some damage as well but is mostly with English football where he is a pain.

inforfun

Ronan Raver77

Anybody else with some tips for tonight? I'm on a terrible run recently

inforfun

inforfun wrote: »

And then Skenderbeu - Din Zagreb, the match that yells "TROUBLE" Karasev in charge. No use analysing this one as something will be fixed. just no idea what.

Cards not good.

Skenderbeu and Zagreb went of the flip/flop today.

Only took overs with 5 to go @5

inforfun

Next tuesday there is a friendly on the cards....

Germany - Holland and for some reason, unknown to me, the Germans are higher than 1.2 to win.

Unibet actually has been so kind to lob on odds of @ 1.75 for a German win.

I ll take some of that.

Holland still have the Blind family involved.
I cant wait till dailey is being made captain, just to get that amateur youth football feeling completed. You know the one where the son of the teamleader is being made captain even though he is fairly **** and drools a bit from the mouth.

Have a rather large stake on this strictly because of the Dutch squad.
No Van Persie, the only reason Holland got to something that looked like football after he came on versus Czech republic as our Blind manager thinks Van Persie cant play 90 minutes due to lack of fitness.
We are talking about a friendly here where he will make 6 subs anyway.....

Robben is in the squad and that is probably why the odds are this high for the Germans.
However, it is already decided that Robben will only play against Wales this friday and will not play the Germans.

Unfortunately Wales is without Bale and Ramsey otherwise i would have been all over that @ 4 for them to win. Might still go for that anyway but small.

inforfun

Biggest i have ever gone on a single bet. (1/3 of that is awaiting approval, so might only be a 50 bet)

Match is tomorrow.
Lots has been said about the way Feyenoord has beaten up Ajax (for the cup) and Heracles last week.
The good old days of John de Wolf and Henk Fraser are reliving a bit again and half the eredivisie is crying big tears about the mean boys from Rotterdam.

Gustafsson is suspended because of an little elbow (after a defender planted his knee in in his thigh). His likely replacement, Vilhena isnt one to pull out of tackles either.

Groningen home matches have 3.1 cards on average, Feyenoord away have 4 (match, not team cards)

inforfun

Won after 52 minutes Feyenoord yellow and a red, Groningen 1 yellow at that point

"Total Cards" are calculated according to the following rules: Yellow card = 1 card, Red card = 2 cards. Maximum cards for one player are 3 cards.

mailburner

thanks infor
bigger than normal bet on that for me

Doyler92

Hey inforfun, I'm a big fan of the card index bet. However, I only do it with paddy power and they only seem to have this type of bet on the premiership games and champions league etc. Is there any online bookmakers that offers more of a volume of these bets eg on different leagues?

inforfun

Doyler92 wrote: »

Hey inforfun, I'm a big fan of the card index bet. However, I only do it with paddy power and they only seem to have this type of bet on the premiership games and champions league etc. Is there any online bookmakers that offers more of a volume of these bets eg on different leagues?

Yeah... Unibet does. or better... did.
They will stop trading in Ireland as per the 16th. One of the reasons i went this big.

888 and 32red do them as well but since they seem related to Unibet, i guess they will be gone too.

Toobz

Rarely do anytime scorers but Harry Kane enhanced to 2/1 on William Hill is hard to turn down.
There enhancements for Christmas are great a lot of them have sailed in.

mailburner

inforfun wrote: »

888 and 32red do them as well but since they seem related to Unibet, i guess they will be gone too.

jeez I hope not
havent heard anything from 888 yet so fingers crossed, 32red stopped months back yet I got no notification off them either...had a tenner in my account and was bullin that i had to use it on casino which I hate
I probably only use 365 more

inforfun

mailburner wrote: »

jeez I hope not
havent heard anything from 888 yet so fingers crossed, 32red stopped months back yet I got no notification off them either...had a tenner in my account and was bullin that i had to use it on casino which I hate
I probably only use 365 more

That Feyenoord card bet you post a screenshot of, was with 888?

If so, let me know after the 16th if they still in business here.

mailburner

inforfun wrote: »

That Feyenoord card bet you post a screenshot of, was with 888?

If so, let me know after the 16th if they still in business here.

888
will do

mailburner

888 still in business

inforfun

mailburner wrote: »

888 still in business

Just signed up with them.

First bet 3x the odds if it comes in.

Will do the same bet as the last one i had with Unibet....

NEC - Feyenoord over 3,5 cards
Odds > 2.35

Cant pass on those odds as it was a winner in 6/8 away matches for Feyenoord.

Blom the referee isnt shy to pull cards. Had 2 Feyenoord matches so far this season and had a sending off in both.

Feyenoord missing Kongolo and Botthegin who will most likely replaced by the guy who was sent off last week (van der heijde) and Nelom.
VdH was suspended for the cup so is available, Nelom picked up a card in that cup match.

El Ahmadi is usually a good candidate too but his next booking means he will be suspended. Next match is PSV at home so i reckon he will be careful tomorrow.

Downside > Nec only 0.9 cards as a team when playing at home

inforfun

Bet was partly based on Blom being the referee but he was replaced by Braamhaar. Not as card happy...

Chrissybhoy

Lads Bolton vs Blackburn kick off at 12.45. Blackburn are 23/20 in PP. Bolton got a hammering Sat 4-0 by a poor team. Blackburn didn't play because their game was postponed so have the fresh legs and are a better team under Lambert Bolton are rock bottom and are not getting paid. @ 23/20 Blackburn need to backed.

Blackburn 23/20 PP Large

Blackburn -1 16/5 PP Small