edanto wrote: » The "gap in the market" is not ideology. We've long suffered chameleon political parties in Ireland that promised this ideology or that based on their market research. We're sick of that.The "gap in the market" that the Socdems have identified is credibility. And that scares the establishment (including SF of course). These three are principled politicians. Genuinely open-minded people. I'd go so far as to say they might even be brave enough to change their mind (the biggest sin in this media politics) based on new evidence. That is what is different about this group. It's not a left-right thing. Stay away from those terms. They are obsolete.
Quin_Dub wrote: » As a few others have already pointed out - I think this is a plan to have a shot at governance rather then there being an actual ideological "gap in the market" to fill.. They see the likelihood of there being a minority FG led government made up of a mix of groupings and are making a play based on the fact that negotiation as a block of 3 seats is better than them each doing it individually. I would disagree with their stance on Irish Water fairly completely - Not saying that IW is working well at this point, but I totally support the idea of everyone paying for water on a usage basis. It should not be funded through taxation. If their stance on IW is a "red line" issue for them then I don't see the point of their existence... A block of 3 seats is never going to get into government on that basis as the lead party of government (which will not be SF) will not give in on that... If they don't plan on going into Government , then what's the point of the new party?? Which makes their stance on IW a purely populist attempt at vote gathering... None of them are in my constituency so my opinion is moot at this stage , but even if there was a candidate I can't see myself voting for them..
Bannasidhe wrote: » It says a lot about the state of Irish politics when we cannot believe that everyone involved is in it simply and only 'for a shot a governance'. One the one hand of course they are - that's the point after all - but your statement implies that they will do anything to get that shot which is not necessarily the case. I can understand that cynicism as that has been what we are used to in the past - that does not mean it is the only way. It just means that Irish politics is dysfunctional. Shortall, for example, was 'in governance', she could have stayed 'in governance' if she had just kept her mouth shut and played the game. She didn't - she resigned on a point of principle. So if her only desire is to be in government why did she resign from the government? As for a block of three seat never going to get into government - how many PDs were there in government there at the end of the FF/PD/GP coalition? A block of 2 if I recall correctly. As for IW - I have no issue paying for water usage directly although I do think this places a pro-rata heavier burden on those on lower incomes - but hey, the unemployed don't need to shower everyday eh as it's not like they have jobs to go to... My issue is that we are already paying for it through taxation and now we are being required to also pay for it directly - one or t'udder - not both. That is simply unacceptable. What is also unacceptable is political parties running and winning based on a particular manifesto which gets chucked out the window as soon as they get in power. I am sure I am not the only person who is sick of that... and before anyone says 'well, the economic situation, troika, bondholders blah blah' - I seem to recall a promise that the practice of using the guillotine to push through legislation was going to stop - in fact it has increased. That had nothing to do with the economy, the Troika etc etc - that is a government not willing to debate or allow proper scrutiny of legislation but instead uses it's majority and the whip system to push through legislation. It's undemocratic, arrogant and disrespectful of the Oireachtas.
Quin_Dub wrote: » My point about them is not they are only in it for a "shot at governance" but that the formation of the party is purely for a shot at governance - As you rightly point out, if they wanted only to be in power they'd have joined FF or FG. In terms of the block of three getting into power - They absolutely have a shot at it , but to do so, they'll have to give up on the IW stance as the "big" party won't be prepared to accept those terms. Hence my point that holding that up and saying "If we get into Government we'll scrap IW" is a flat lie because they absolutely categorically will never be able to deliver on that...So that instantly impacts their credibility in my view....
Bannasidhe wrote: » Perhaps the point of the SocDems is that we change the system so it is no longer a case of if you want to be in power it has to be either FF or FG?Can we really, as a society, not imagine the possibility of a government that doesn't contain one of those two as the majority partner. Is a government without either of them beyond us?
Bannasidhe wrote: » We need to get away, imho, from having a 'big' party that dominates government. It is a recipe for unaccountability and pushing through legislation without proper scrutiny.
Bannasidhe wrote: » Again - isn't the point of being in politics to have a shot at governing? The unfortunate thing in an Irish context is that our parliament has been so stripped of power that now were are essentially being governed by a gang of four and highly paid unelected consultants/civil servants. Perhaps the point of the SocDems is that we change the system so it is no longer a case of if you want to be in power it has to be either FF or FG? Can we really, as a society, not imagine the possibility of a government that doesn't contain one of those two as the majority partner.Is a government without either of them beyond us?
We need to get away, imho, from having a 'big' party that dominates government. It is a recipe for unaccountability and pushing through legislation without proper scrutiny.
I am listening to Enda Kenny on the radio now talking about lack of transparency in Bertie's time - the hypocrisy of the man is stunning and he is in charge of our country!
Quin_Dub wrote: » Well... The bottom line is that Ireland is a predominantly Centre/Centre right country - Always has been and there is nothing to suggest that that is going materially change anytime soon. So - The creation of yet another left/centre left party is an exercise in futility if the aim is to replace FF/FG as the dominant parties in the state. This is where I have a problem - If we have a government made up of a hodge podge of small parties and independents then absolutely nothing will get done as consensus will be extremely hard to achieve - If they all share the same views then they are a de-facto party so it would just be window dressing rather than achieving what you are suggesting.. The Whip system isn't perfect , but the alternative is the US system which leads to legislative paralysis (See Republicans vs. Obama) or rampant bribery and corruption (See every other US government). Both systems have their obvious flaws , but in my view the whip system is the most effective at getting the actual legislative work done.
Quin_Dub wrote: » Well... The bottom line is that Ireland is a predominantly Centre/Centre right country - Always has been and there is nothing to suggest that that is going materially change anytime soon.
So - The creation of yet another left/centre left party is an exercise in futility if the aim is to replace FF/FG as the dominant parties in the state.
This is where I have a problem - If we have a government made up of a hodge podge of small parties and independents then absolutely nothing will get done as consensus will be extremely hard to achieve - If they all share the same views then they are a de-facto party so it would just be window dressing rather than achieving what you are suggesting.. The Whip system isn't perfect , but the alternative is the US system which leads to legislative paralysis (See Republicans vs. Obama) or rampant bribery and corruption (See every other US government). Both systems have their obvious flaws , but in my view the whip system is the most effective at getting the actual legislative work done.
edanto wrote: » The "gap in the market" is not ideology. We've long suffered chameleon political parties in Ireland that promised this ideology or that based on their market research. We're sick of that. The "gap in the market" that the Socdems have identified is credibility. And that scares the establishment (including SF of course). These three are principled politicians. Genuinely open-minded people. I'd go so far as to say they might even be brave enough to change their mind (the biggest sin in this media politics) based on new evidence. That is what is different about this group. It's not a left-right thing. Stay away from those terms. They are obsolete.
Muahahaha wrote: » I think the Social Democrats is a positive development, they're three very credible TDs with Murphy and Donnelly in particular being stand out performers in the Dail. For the many of us sick of the FF/FG/Lab charade and who dont want to vote SF then this is finally a viable alternative. I hope they try to recruit at least 10 candidates to run with them. Renua are talking about 40 candidates running but I dont see that as realistic tbh
Scipio_Hib wrote: » There are certainly more attractive personalities in the SDs compared to SFein or Renua - and their policies should be a bit better thought out. An interesting development and one that offers more potential for long term, sustainable success compared to Renua, imo.
Quin_Dub wrote: » How is saying that they'd abolish IW and put metering on hold if they get into Government "credible"?? - There's not a chance in hell of them being able to deliver on that. That statement is Populism , pure and simple. .....
Patser wrote: » The bigger worry is that following the next election, and looking at current polls, we'll have FG and Sinn Fein ad 2 largest parties but nowhere near enough to form a Govt due to 3 seats for SD, 2 for Greens, 3 for aaa, 1 for Renua , 12 for random independents, 2 for Ross's Alliance of Independents, 3 for PBP, FF on 15, Lab on 7 etc. Leading to the biggest load of horse trading ever seen, with all these little groupings trying to outbid each other to get into power, while also to differentiate themselves and stick to their principles. Can you imagine a 7 party coalition with independents also involved and how unstable it'd be. Just to take the anti-IW coalition SF, AAA, PBP, SD, Wallace, Daly, OSullivan, Ross's group maybe. Or equally unstable FG FF Lab Renua Ross's group again, Healy Rae, Greens, McGrath...
efb wrote: This is a party I could vote for. 3 principled politicians
Godge wrote: » For me, their stance on water charges is a big problem as I am in favour of metered water charges from a conservation point of view and a single utility from an efficiency point of view. Donnelly's views on the cost of metering only paying for themselves is short-sighted by ignoring any conservation effects. That being said, a lot else of what they say would have a resonance with me. They will get a preference that is higher than Sinn Fein, Renua or the Socialist Parties.
Deleted User wrote: » It's been noted that IW don't care about conservation. They've said that prices will rise if people conserve water. I also agree on metered water, but IW has been a clusterf*ck from day one and seriously needs abolishing.
Joeytheparrot wrote: » That's the thing - I think Quinn and Shortall would jump at government but Murphy wouldn't
RJ Globe wrote: » I think the formation of this new party could be a real kick in the stones for SF. SF have benefited greatly from the sharp decline in support for the other major parties, particularly Labour. The SDs will undoubtedly be seen as a more viable option than SF by many voters, who are hesitant to lend their support to SF due to their controversial past. Not to mention that what little support Labour still have may now be siphoned by this new centre-left party that can capitalize on the disenfranchisement of Labour voters.
1800 wrote: » I see your point but considering Murphy and Donnelly will likely comfortably get elected anyway I dont see how it really affects SF all that much. Labour will lose alot of seats, I dont see where this party are going to pluck other viable popular candidates from 8 months before an election. Only additions I can see are more Labour deserters changing colours to keep themselves in the Dail. Most people will see through it. This just seems to be 3 TDs grouping together hoping to be involved in the next mix mash coalition government. I dont think they have the resources or the time to stand candidates across the country and get them elected.
Bannasidhe wrote: » Hopefully they are looking longer term and not just following the usual Irish political pattern of living from G.E. to G.E. If all three retain their seats in the next election that will give them a good platform to build on for the next G.E. - they will have the visibility of being a party in parliament (albeit in Opposition), speaking time, and funding. I don't think they need any current LP TDs to jump ship (I'd certainly look at that with a cynical eye) but possibly a few who have already jumped might decide to join.