A_Sober_Paddy wrote: » Hey all, Just a quick one for ye guys, whats the biggest stake a shop will take for a league two game for example, as its a small market? As i assume once the bet is taken it must be honored?
better call saul wrote: » Do you know something
ft9 wrote: » You'll have no problem getting 150 on
A_Sober_Paddy wrote: » Would you get away getting throwing down 500€
ft9 wrote: » which game?
A_Sober_Paddy wrote: » Mansfield Stevenage
kryogen wrote: » Mansfield are due a draw I suppose
Whats stopping you from going into numerous shops?
kryogen wrote: » So what will the plan be then? Just keep backing the draw heavily till it comes in?
A_Sober_Paddy wrote: » Yeah i think so, i have about 1,500€ left in my betting kittie, but the way the odds are on the draw market i could reduce the bets a bit just in order to break even if it gets too ridiculous
kryogen wrote: » The popular betting theory is that you need to increase your stake each time now to get ahead, do you take the opposition into the equation I forgot to ask you? Or is it just keep backing them to draw regardless? Didn't see the game but checked the score, dunno if I can say unlucky to you considering the winning margin, but tough luck! I hope if you do go in hard again it comes off for you
Just keep backing the draw heavily till it comes in?
whiteshorts wrote: » Possibly the best way to go bust. They may draw or may be due a draw but it doesn't mean it will happen or happen at any time soon. I would compare it to something like a roulette wheel where red has come up 14 times in a row. You might be expecting black to come in soon but it's still the same odds red or black and if you keep backing black and it doesn't come out, your wedge will soon be a small wedge. They will draw at some stage but don't go chasing it.
Peintre Celebre wrote: » This is a dangerous way of betting and you're setting yourself up for a fall. This is called the gambler's fallacy. Just because they haven't drawn in a while and you think one is due. Each match is a separate event, the fact that a draw hasn't come up in a while by no means makes it more likely. Kind of like a roulette table, each spin is 50/50 (assuming it's just red and black). The fact that 4 reds have come up in a row by no means means that black is more likely than 50/50 to come up the next time, though it may appear that way to an illogical bettor
Bateman wrote: » I have tried to play that "system" before in the PL - you go by "teams" rather than games, so you might be doubled to €50 on Team A but €10 on Team B so you have 60 on the draw. You start from the first day of the season and the cycle for each team stops in February ie if a team draws the last week in January, your are finished with them for the season. I soon ran out of money. The market can stay irrational for longer than... If you have infinite funds it's a goer, otherwise the gamblers fallacy does indeed apply.
