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The Football Tips Thread V

inforfun

Shiny new thread.

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Part IV

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bradlente

Mikel to be shown a card 3.75.Might be jumping the gun going before line-ups but if he starts there's a good chance he'll see a card.Should be a lot tackles flying about in midfield tonight.

Shane St.

bradlente wrote: »

Mikel to be shown a card 3.75.Might be jumping the gun going before line-ups but if he starts there's a good chance he'll see a card.Should be a lot tackles flying about in midfield tonight.

Doubt he will with Matic signed up

tinofapples

bradlente wrote: »

Mikel to be shown a card 3.75.Might be jumping the gun going before line-ups but if he starts there's a good chance he'll see a card.Should be a lot tackles flying about in midfield tonight.

I fancy City over 1.5 cards @ 8/15 with bet365 myself tonight. Cannot see it not happening.

SheldonC17

Chelsea over 4 corners @ evens

jackthetrader

Man City have won 19 and lost just one of their last 21 Premier League home games, winning the last 11 in a row
They seem decent odds 10/11 Paddypower

squirrelohara

Paddy's odds on Negredo to score 2 or more went from 13/2 out to 15/2.

What does that snake know that we don't???

All odds out on Negredo. Anytime 6/5 out to 7/5.
Is he not going to start?

magherakid

Genoa v Sampdoria
BTTS 1/1

Genoa have scored in their last 7 home games, Sampdoria have 1 clean sheet away from home in 10 games and scored in 7. I think this derby game will see both teams score.

P.Walnuts

Genoa corners over 5.5 @ 2.20 (B365)

Stats have worked since i've been looking at these kind of bets. Genoa average 6.8 corners at home, when sampdoria play away their opposition average 5.6 corners. Being a derby hopefully Genoa will keep pushing regardless of the score.

PuntersAdvice

squirrelohara wrote: »

Paddy's odds on Negredo to score 2 or more went from 13/2 out to 15/2.

What does that snake know that we don't???

All odds out on Negredo. Anytime 6/5 out to 7/5.
Is he not going to start?

The money is going slightly against Man City, causing them to drift, which makes it less likely that Negredo scores (in the bookies calculations).

Also the odds are shortening with most bookies on under 2.5 which makes it less likely Negredo scores.

He started on the bench in the last game so could be carrying a small knock still from his shoulder injury.

Terry and Cahill are very good at defending against physical strikers like Negredo.

The Chelsea full backs are good enough to limit the crosses into the box.

Smithwicks Man

magherakid wrote: »

Genoa v Sampdoria
BTTS 1/1

Genoa have scored in their last 7 home games, Sampdoria have 1 clean sheet away from home in 10 games and scored in 7. I think this derby game will see both teams score.

Gilardino anytime @ 9/4 for me. Consistently high priced for their top scorer

ShamoBuc

Most people would agree that the City game looks like an underish game - odds shortening on u2.5 aswell. If Chelsea set up like they did away v arsenal, it really should be tight. Given their home win ratio I find it had not to see a City win, but I'm hoping it might take a bit of time to break chelsea down, so...

ht draw ft city at 4/1 gets my nod for tonight.

FortuneChip

I've gone with a few.
City straight win 10/11
City 1-0 @ 15/2
City -1 @ 2.5
No doubt Mourinho will leave the strikers at home

Paully D

Draw HT/City FT

Odds of 22/5 with Bet Victor.

This would have cashed the last four league meetings between the two at Manchester City.

Victor refunding usual markets if there's a red card.

magherakid

Man City Team Hart, Zabaleta, Kompany (C), Nastasic, Kolarov, Navas, Demichelis, Yaya Toure, Silva, Dzeko,Negredo

Chelsea Team Cech; Ivanovic, Cahill, Terry (c), Azpilicueta; David Luiz, Matic; Ramires, Willian, Hazard; Eto'o

Paully D

Demichelis playing as a holding midfielder apparently. I'll have some of the 5/2 on him to be shown a card with Sky Bet.

P.Walnuts

Paully D wrote: »

Demichelis playing as a holding midfielder apparently. I'll have some of the 5/2 on him to be shown a card with Sky Bet.

Don't have Skybet, but taking the same @ 2.90 888bet

electrobanana

city to win & over 2.5 goal 7/4 pp enhanced special last night

Raving_Magic

Paully D wrote: »

Demichelis playing as a holding midfielder apparently. I'll have some of the 5/2 on him to be shown a card with Sky Bet.

Looks good to me and I'll have some of that, can see Chelsea trying to catch City on the break and Demichelis lack of pace will mean he'll give away cynical fouls throughout the match

Fanny Brioscaí

Free bet of Paddy Power bet so going with a Chelsea win and Ramires score cast

Shane St.

Was gonna go heavy on City but I've gone off them now Fernandinho is out. Gonna see how the game plays out and I may do a bet in play

kona

Was going large on city too, but after thinking hard about it and the trend of Mourinho playing big teams away I'm holding off until inplay.
I expect city and under 2.5 so have a small stake on this.

tinodz

Putting €10 on both of these...

Manchester City 2 or more First Half Goals @ 5.00
1st Half Over 2.5 Goals @ 6.00

HT Result in last few games this season

2 - 0 (Newcastle)
0 - 0 (Hull)
2 - 0 (Man U)
2 - 1 (Everton)
4 - 0 (Norwich)
3 - 0 (Tottenham)
1 - 0 (Swansea)
2 - 1 (Arsenal)
2 - 1 (Liverpool)
0 - 0 (Crystal Palace)
2 - 1 (Cardiff)

Stats say the 2 or more goals bet seems more likely to come in vs top of the table teams! Giving 2.5 a shot along with it!

Paully D

Paully D wrote: »

Demichelis playing as a holding midfielder apparently. I'll have some of the 5/2 on him to be shown a card with Sky Bet.

eh i dunno

Paully D wrote: »

Great bet. He will see red if he stays on. Shocking player in midfield

Raving_Magic

Demichelis booked, he was my main bet for the night

Just got on Man City at 11/4, there home form means that they will surely get back into this match.

tinodz

tinodz wrote: »

Putting €10 on both of these...

Manchester City 2 or more First Half Goals @ 5.00
1st Half Over 2.5 Goals @ 6.00

HT Result in last few games this season

2 - 0 (Newcastle)
0 - 0 (Hull)
2 - 0 (Man U)
2 - 1 (Everton)
4 - 0 (Norwich)
3 - 0 (Tottenham)
1 - 0 (Swansea)
2 - 1 (Arsenal)
2 - 1 (Liverpool)
0 - 0 (Crystal Palace)
2 - 1 (Cardiff)

Stats say the 2 or more goals bet seems more likely to come in vs top of the table teams! Giving 2.5 a shot along with it!

No No No

P.Walnuts

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Genoa corners over 5.5 @ 2.20 (B365)

Stats have worked since i've been looking at these kind of bets. Genoa average 6.8 corners at home, when sampdoria play away their opposition average 5.6 corners. Being a derby hopefully Genoa will keep pushing regardless of the score.

francie81

Was thinking strongly of going with Feyenoord tomorrow @8/15 against Roda who are apparently missing many key players, thoughts?

inforfun

francie81 wrote: »

Was thinking strongly of going with Feyenoord tomorrow @8/15 against Roda who are apparently missing many key players, thoughts?

I ll look into it tomorrow (absent players) but those odds dont appeal to me tbh.

Odds on Cambuur DC against PSV ... now those i like.

francie81

inforfun wrote: »

I ll look into it tomorrow (absent players) but those odds dont appeal to me tbh.

Odds on Cambuur DC against PSV ... now those i like.

Aye cheers infor