Old diesel wrote: » Met Eireann are always saying how they can only forecast up to 10 days in advance - with reliability decreasing the further out you go. :rolleyes:. Don't know how she can make the call so far out - could be a completely different line in a couple of days time .
Birtles wrote: » I dont have a weatherbell sub but thought about it. Always found Joe Bastardi to be an excellent source for medium range weather for us.
Lumi wrote: » The WeatherBell sub is pricey but he's pretty active on Twitter @BigJoeBastardi and he replied to a question for me last year so might be worth tweeting him about his thoughts for August. I'll let you know how I get on
dopolahpec wrote: » He hysterically called a sort of mini ice age for Ireland and the UK last December urging people to stock up on fuel etc if I recall. A 1/50 year whiteout. Obviously didn't happen. Fox News hype man stuff. He was good on the oul hurricane that hit NY though he seemed to preempt the path perfectly but ramped the intensity
Kenring wrote: » Met Eireann said (on 14 May, link posted here) that this would be "a washout summer" for Ireland. You writing to them?
fits wrote: » Can you post that link?
Kenring wrote: » http://www.thestar.ie/star/another-summer-washout-on-way/
Rightwing wrote: » I'm no forecaster, but I'm writing the month of August off. Let's be honest here, first 3 weeks of July was a complete freak,,,,won't be seen for another 20 years.
Birtles wrote: » How is the forecast looking for near future now? Met eireann is covering all bases for all areas.'some uncertainty about the rest of the Bank Holiday weekend'. its only 3/4 days of a forecast!Uncertainty increases further into next week. While there are indications that Tuesday and Wednesday next may be dry apart from only a few showers, threats of rain and quite strong winds are suggested for later in the week.
pauldry wrote: » all forecasting is pretty uncertain some uncertainty surrounds the result of the Mayo Donegal match but Mayo will win some uncertainty surrounds the budget but social welfare and child benefit will be hit some uncertainty surrounds when I will next get to go on a foriegn holiday but me 2 year olds are worth it:) some uncertainty surrounds the bank holiday weekend but Im getting Chinese and watchn the GAA
Outkast_IRE wrote: » Did you read that article, no where in the article does met eireann predict a washout summer. The star have a headline saying washout summer, but the quotes from the sources say they wont be drawn into long range forecasting.
Popoutman wrote: » Ken, there appears to be a comprehension issue there. In that article you linked, Met Eireann did not state what you said they did say. The quotes you have above are not Met Eireann quotes - they are Star quotes - hence why your mistake is being pointed out. Just accept it and move on.
Kenring wrote: » You are suggesting that the Star made up the headline and the copy and then inferred it came from Met Eireann when they had nothing whatever to with it.
Oneiric 3 wrote: » That is exactly what the Star did. That is how trash media works. A misleading headline followed by a few taken out of context quotes by reputable sources. Quote from The Star:"Met Eireann predicts “very unsettled” weather until Friday, with showers, some heavy and thundery, and cool 12-14C highs." How a forecast for a few days ahead translates into a 'washout summer ahead' is just beyond comprehension. Here is another recent example of trash reporting:http://www.independent.ie/irish-news/tornadoes-may-hit-ireland-tomorrow-weather-warning-29462961.html Sub-headline in article above:"met eireann has issued a warning for tornadoes tomorrow" Only thing is, they never actually did... I am not sure how the press operate in New Zealand so I can't comment, but you seem to have a very naive view on the integrity of the press on this side of the world Ken. Because tabloids over here only care about selling a juiced up story rather than actually being genuinely informative about anything really.
Kenring wrote: » Fair enough, but over here the Metservice would be hauled over the coals, because we are such an outdoors people and there are always school camps out there, boat trips, and light aircraft flying over miles upon miles of uninhabited mountainous terrain. Plus, stock are outside all year around. Then if that's the case I can't figure why people quote Met Eireann at all, as, say, compared to what another forecaster says, if nothing they are reputed to forecast is to be trusted as coming from them?
Rightwing wrote: » That star article is interesting. The key quote: “Met Eireann does not forecast the jet stream’s position — but Atlantic low pressure has a similar influence on the UK and Ireland, so there’s no reason to disagree with the Met Office jet stream forecast.” Met Eireann certainly got that bit wrong.
JM Skipton wrote: » I would doubt ME even said that to be honest, you have to remember the class of establishment that is carrying out the interview and putting words in peoples mouths would not be beyond them.
Outkast_IRE wrote: » You are reading your own quote totally incorrectly. “Met Eireann does not forecast the jet stream’s position" Ok they don't forecast on the jet stream "so there’s no reason to disagree with the Met Office jet stream forecast"If you don't forecast it how would you disagree with others jet stream forecast. My point being how would they agree or disagree with something they seem to refuse to forecast or comment on. How can they be wrong on something they wont forecast and therefore wont agree or disagree with others. If anything UK met office got it wrong and Met Eireann refused to agree or disagree with their Jetstream forecast
Rightwing wrote: » My take on the above is, Met E also assumed the jet stream would do exactly as the UK crowd thought, and that's why they weren't disagreeing, otherwise why even comment on it. Ken disagreed with the UK crowd, and he got it spot on.