gallag wrote: » So arrogant, why do you talk to anyone that questions the EU like this, can you not debate the points without trying to make the poster look small?
thomas.frink wrote: » … if your view is that the problems which have caused the EURO to all but destroy large parts of Europe have been fixed, then we disagree.
The Corinthian wrote: » Did I say that somewhere, or are you introducing a strawman here?
thomas.frink wrote: » If your view is the UK exports more to the EU, than they import from the EU.
The Corinthian wrote: » Again, I didn't say that. I was simply noting that the UK balance of trade pretty much sucks overall, and I'd be more concerned about that than find solace in the fact that the EU may have more to 'lose'.
thomas.frink wrote: » A few years ago, people like you were making the same dire pronouncements as to what would happen to the UK if it didn't join the EURO, and your arguments today have the same hollow ring about them.
The Corinthian wrote: » Oh, another strawman - now you're attributing arguments to me, given my 'people like me', who may or not have ever existed. Please put more words in my mouth!
The Corinthian wrote: » Actually, having read the rest of your post, you do exactly that and ignore any point I made, before devolving into a pretty standard eurosceptic diatribe; which is a pity, as your first post showed promise.
thomas.frink wrote: » I never said you said either, as indicated by saying “If your view” on both occasions.
It is a fact that we saw the same arguments peddled by those who wanted the UK to join the Euro, and the reason I said people like you because they, most likely, actually convinced themselves that they were right.
History has proved otherwise and I assume, from your posts, you are also convinced, here, that you are similarly right that the EU is a force for good and we should all join hands and frolic across the merry uplands to the happy pastures of a federal EU superstate.
Furthermore, we don’t have in the EU a system with any checks and balances in any real sense, and the system which has evolved is one where the political elites are not held accountable, and seem to believe in their arrogance they know best and they ordinary people are to be ignored wherever their wishes conflict with the elites.
I didn’t write my post to get your approval, or to receive the equivalent of a “gold star”, so that you tell me that my post “showed promise” is unnecessary. If you want to respond to arguments by merely name calling and calling them “eurosceptic diatribe”, then I leave it to others to decide on the strength of your position.
thomas.frink wrote: » It seems the argument has moved on from why Britain is so anti EU, to why others have such an apparently irrational preference to cling on to what looks like an out of date, largely non-working and disastrous EU. The debate in the UK has moved on from the rhetoric about “better in than out” and “we’d lose more by being out than in”. Facts are so much better than rhetoric and the facts seem to show that the UK would be better off outside the current EU, and saving the UK over £5billion per annum in fees, as a start. As the EU exports more to the UK than the UK exports to the EU, there is no reason to suppose the EU will want to cut off its nose to spite its face and impose tariffs, (even if that were possible as most trade agreements are now made through the offices of the WTO). Those Germans will not want to stop selling Mercedes, BMW’s and Volkswagens to the UK. What will happen Ireland when the UK votes to leave the EU (as I believe it will) is a question not yet answered. While I love Europe and the countries of Europe, I see now the EU as an organisation which is detrimental to the Europe I love; wasteful, not accountable (think of all those budgets where our money is not accounted for and can’t be signed off) and unwieldy. Worse still it is arrogant, and when the UK, and others, warned that the creation of the Euro would lead to disaster, the arrogance of the EU in putting its political desires above common sense has largely led to the current situation. The story is the modern day equivalent of the tower of Babel. What is obvious is that the EU has no ability to reform itself, no ability to account for its reckless handling of our money, and seems to have no ability to do other than follow events it has started, unable to control them and unable, even, to accept any responsibility. The best thing that can happen to the EU is for other countries, like the UK, to leave, and to start a new organisation which is accountable, controllable, and answerable to the people of Europe, and for the current day EU to implode into itself, as the damage it has inflicted across the continent is heart wrenching, and the lack of accountability disgusting.
thomas.frink wrote: » Either way, we'll just have to differ. The Old USSR used to pretend all its subjects were happy and smiling and that everything was fine with their system. To not recognise that there are large numbers of people who not only feel disenfranchised, but whose lives, and whose family's lives, have been ruined by the creation of the Euro is to ignore the reality. The UK is right to be having a debate, and there is a high liklihood that the result will be the UK leaving the EU, which will be left to sink under the weight of it self imposed millstone, the Euro.
McDave wrote: » I don't really buy the 'love-Europe-hate-the-EU' line. I've heard it before from Ganley & Libertas. This idea that one can set an impossible ideal and then condemn the incumbent vision for not being perfect strikes me as 'Stealth Euroscepticism'.
McDave wrote: » And the old 'EUSSR' canard. Countries like Greece ruined themselves alone.
thomas.frink wrote: » In fairness, no one is asking you to buy anything, and if you think it impossible to love, for example, Greece and Spain and Norway and France but to dislike the EU, then that’s your view. I disagree, and find that concept childishly simple.
It would be an interesting argument to make that the Euro has had no hand or part in the current predicament of Greece and I look forward to you making that argument.
The Corinthian wrote: » In this regard, given you've ignored my direct question to you, in my previous post, regarding EU democratic accountability, which would likely force you to give a position on how you really feel about your fellow Europeans; which I predicted you might avoid answering. Might your next move be to argue that you've chosen not to engage me because I've offended you or will you actually address it?
thomas.frink wrote: » The FT has an interesting article...
thomas.frink wrote: » The FT has an interesting article on the UK’s possible exit from the EU and concluded that, on balance, the UK would be better off economically as a result of leaving the EU. Interestingly, they also conclude that the UK should not join the EEA, and also concluded that Germany or the Netherlands would almost certainly not oppose a free trade agreement with the UK and can probably persuade others to accept a liberal post-membership agreement with the UK.
Rascasse wrote: » The world does not revolve around the EU. Many developed countries around the world prosper without the scale of integration with their neighbours that the EU requires. It should be possible to debate the EU, UKIP, immigration, etc, without those on the other side of the debate resorting to lazy stereotypes like 'xenophobes'.
Rascasse wrote: » All you tend to hear on here is 'trade to the EU from the UK is X', 'biggest trading partner is..', 'if they leave they'll still have to abide with the rules but have no say' and before long you'll be called a xenophobe.
Rascasse wrote: » As the FT probably points out (haven't read it), the most obvious option for the UK, in the event of an 'out' vote, is to remove itself completely from the EU and negotiate a UK-EU free trade agreement. The UK could then create Fat’s with whomever it so wants, free from the protectionist interests that has scuppered a US-EU FTA so many times over the years. With the increased trade with emerging economies it could well address the trade balance that The Corinthian mentions.
thomas.frink wrote: » The article is worth reading and if you have a copy of the FT I’d advise you to have a look. I believe the UK will leave the EU and in that event the terms of its departure have to be worked out. The UK will be leaving for a number of reasons, and not just trade (important thought trade is), and for anyone to claim they know the terms of any future trading arrangements is simply not true. In fact, the smart move will be not to join the EEA and for the UK to negotiate its own trading agreements with the EU.
Leaving the EU will not solve the UK’s problems, and no one should believe that it will, even if it will free the hand of the UK in some areas. However, staying in the EU which is becoming more integrationist, and where the Euro is going to need billions upon billions to try to support what is, in effect, a failing currency, throwing good billions after bad, simply isn’t attractive.
The UK seems to be ahead of the rest of the European countries with their thinking, and historically have a tradition of questioning the EU rather than accepting without question.
This can cause specific problems for Ireland unless the Irish government acts swiftly to do a trade deal with the UK in the event of the UK leaving the EU.
dlouth15 wrote: » But you can't expect British to support a project that doesn't appear to work.
The Corinthian wrote: » Flawed, in serious need of reform, in crisis - certainly. But "doesn't appear to work"? .
The Corinthian wrote: » To begin with one needs to question the assertion that it "doesn't appear to work". The EU is presently undergoing a major period of recession and economic hardship, with unemployment in the bloc at just over 12%. Yet, so's the rest of the World; the UK's unemployment is at 7.8%, US at 7.5%, and while lower than the overall EU figure it's still higher than some EU states; such as Germany (5.4%) or Austria (7.3%) - both not only EU members, but also Eurozone members.
The Corinthian wrote: » There appears to be a rather simplistic approach to the EU in some arguments, which appears to argue that throwing the baby out with the bathwater is the answer to dealing with actual problems, which also appear to be regularly exaggerated. Leaving the EU should ultimately come down to whether the British or anyone else will be better off in the long run on balance. Honestly, hyperbole aside, I'm not seeing many arguments that support this view.
thomas.frink wrote: » Gas prices in the US are $3 compared to $12 in the EU. I have given facts not exaggerations.
thomas.frink wrote: » I guess the issue is that there is neither a means to reform the EU or, it seems, a willingness to make the necessary reforms. Thats a problem.
Youth unemployment in Greece is 65% and in Spain 50%. We can all decide for ourselves if that means Greece or Spain is working or not. We have to remember some of the 12% you mention is caused by the very policies espoused and enacted in Europe. Certainly labour policy in Europe is not working.
Then we can decide if the Euro “works” and has turned out to have made the US dollar obsolete, as some predicted, as the worlds reserve currency. Or we can then decide if the Euro “works” as it lurches from crises to crises. There used to be strident voices in the UK and Norway calling for them to join the Euro, but curiously those voices are no longer heard, and would be laughed out of any discussion nowadays as the Euro continues to wreak it's terrible havoc on the economies of the Euro zone, and further afield too. For shame.
In a time of depression, what is needed is a deregulatory growth agenda. There are millions out of work and many are struggling to buy food for their families. The EU's solution is the FTT (financial transaction tax), which is estimated to cost europeans a further $220 billion.
I have given facts not exaggerations.
The criteria for the UK's voters to leave the UK is a matter for them. You may well not see many arguments to support the view that the UK will leave the EU. I would argue that the mystery is why anyone wants to remain in the EU, and not why some want to leave it.
dlouth15 wrote: » For "doesn't appear to work" read "flawed", "in crisis" etc. as you put it. I didn't mean here total collapse.
Now the British may prove to be wrong ultimately (I think you were trying to argue this in your post) but that is not the issue in this thread. The issue we're exploring is the reason for a perceived anti-EU sentiment in Britain.
The Corinthian wrote: » No, you presume that there is neither a means or a willingness to make the necessary reforms to the EU; which is an easy mistake to make if you ignore the subject of reform and run straight to doomsday scenarios. Earlier in our exchange, for example, you cited the democratic deficit in the EU, to which I suggested that one solution would be to make it democratic - remove the layer of nationally appointed bureaucrats and make EU executive control directly accountable to the electorate. I would remind you that you chose to ignore this. With regard to the Euro, adopting EU-level fiscal controls, such as those already in place by similar currencies, such as the USD or CHF, is another potential reform. And that is just briefly off the top of my head; it it seems fairly clear that the potential means of reform do exist. .
The Corinthian wrote: » Except that's not actually European labour policy; it's Spanish or Greek labour policy. For it to be European labour policy, then it would be failing across the board compared to non-EU states and as countries like Germany and Austria show, it's not. .
The Corinthian wrote: » Last time I checked, it was financial services companies that would be paying, not your average family "struggling to buy food". Nice touch though.
The Corinthian wrote: » No one predicted that the Euro would have made the US dollar obsolete - at least no one credible. At best, there have been past predictions that it might overtake the US dollar as the World's reserve currency. It's not, but it is the second largest. And the second largest traded currency. Hardly something to be dismissed so easily. Neither do most economists rate highly the danger of it's collapse any more; that's something that was feared two years ago, but has since abated. And lest we forget, the GBP hasn't exactly fared well either since 2008. Does that mean it's going to collapse? So, please do stop coming out with this FUD, as if it's some sort of inevitability. It's not.
thomas.frink wrote: » For the UK, there is no means to renogotiate unilaterally...
thomas.frink wrote: » For the UK, there is no means to renogotiate unilaterally and, while all your potential reforms may happen, I think it unlikely many Brits will hand around in the hope one or all or any of your potential reforms will happen. You may wel ltake the view they will happen, but I think it unlikely many brits will agree with you than “manana” is a good policy.
Why not tell us what is the EU labour policy rather than what is not their policy?
If you are trying to argue that the Euro has made no difference to the situtaion in Greece, or Spain, then argue that point and I look forward to your arguments.
The facts are that unemployment is considerable higher in the Eurozone than elsewhere, and thats not happend as an accident. Thats happened as a result of EU policy and, where it's not policy, EU practice.
I have argued that the carbon emissions trading scheme has cost $287 billion, has has virtually no effect, and has cost jobs across the EU. Additionally I have argued thagt the FTT will cost $220 billion and both policies will cost jobs. Its noticeable you have avoided both these arguments arguments, and your only response is
You may have misread what I said about predicting that the Euro would become the worlds revserve currencey, as no one woul predict the dollar would become obsolete.
Then we can decide if the Euro “works” and has turned out to have made the US dollar obsolete, as some predicted
Again I have no interest in speculating about GBP. What I think is likely is that the UK will vote to leave the EU, and who knows where that may lead.
dlouth15 wrote: » There can't be another repeat of the Cyprus fiasco in another country.
It is important to note that Britain is by no means the most eurosceptic. France has currently slightly less support for the EU than Britain according to a recent survey.
oscarBravo wrote: » The Cyprus fiasco was mostly home-grown. They built an economy on Russian money laundering in the same way we built an economy on selling overpriced houses to each other, and compounded the problem by coming up with the hare-brained idea of confiscating ordinary depositors' savings (for which the EU seems somehow to have received the blame in many people's minds). It's possible that French people are currently going through a phase of disillusionment with the EU, but I don't think you can compare the institutionalised Euroskepticism of the UK with any other member state.
whatstherush wrote: » US gallon of petrol is $3.520. There are 3.8L to a US Gallon. Average EU petrol price is €1.489 1 euro is worth €1.28 So we €1.489 x 1.28 x 3.8 = $7.20 You have nearly a 50% over exaggeration in bolded "fact" above before you even factor in what individual EU countries decide what level of tax to place on petrol all by themselves. So I'll take the rest of your facts with a large pinch of salt.
thomas.frink wrote: » You seem to be talking about petrol prices. I was talking about the price of gas, and not petrol.
thomas.frink wrote: » Where we do seem to agree is that the EU is far from perfect, although where we probably disagree is how far from your idea of perfection it actually