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Child Item

##RAMPING THREAD##

ninebeanrows

You know the story, post any snow ramping posts and general chitter chatter. Pictures of ramps or crying children here please. Use the event thread for more detailed discussion, pictures, reports etc. Cheers.

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snowstorm445

sunbabe08 wrote: »

the tension is unbelievable. keep looking out my window to see if there's anything falling. nada. and it's freezing, that wind is biting :D

Follow the radar:

(http://www.met.ie/latest/rainfall_radar.asp)

Precipitation moving into West Cork. It's not cold enough to fall as snow yet.

sunbabe08

the tension is unbelievable. keep looking out my window to see if there's anything falling. nada. and it's freezing, that wind is biting

Taxedalot

seven_eleven wrote: »

Jesus christ I CANT TAKE THIS ANYMORE!!

I'm the same - neck is sore from constant sideways glances out the window. I give up on it, but then keep taking sneaky peeks!

tomcosgrave

Just had a light shower of graupel in Dublin 13 / Dublin 17!

gerrybhoy

seven_eleven wrote: »

Jesus christ I CANT TAKE THIS ANYMORE!!

you sound like my wife:cool:

red_bairn

seven_eleven wrote: »

Jesus christ I CANT TAKE THIS ANYMORE!!

the_very_best_of_the_success_kid_meme_Success-s513x339-302066-580.jpg

seven_eleven

Jesus christ I CANT TAKE THIS ANYMORE!!

Penname

Yes it is! Is it going to hold out I wonder?

Keith96

Oh my,thats a big steamer heading towards the east coast!

ArmaniJeanss

So jealous watching Saracens/Edinburgh and Chelsea/Arsenal playing under a steady flow of white gold.

Supercell

OMG - Ramp ahoy! See the radar whooooooooooooooooo, could be an interesting evening in Dublin!

DeVore

Graupel is that stuff that looks like teeny little floaty hailstones? If so then we've had a bit of graupel here in North Dublin (D5).

Shamrock841

snowstorm445 wrote: »

?

Can you please explain this to my ignorant self?

EICK 201202Z 2012/2112 09012KT 9999 SCT008 BKN014 TEMPO 2012/2021 4000 -RASN BKN004 BECMG 2021/2024 3000 -RASN SCT001 BKN004 PROB40 TEMPO 2100/2109 1200 -SN BKN001 BECMG 2103/2106 VRB03KT BECMG 2110/2112 29008KT 9999 NSW SCT015 BKN030

Basically, rain/sleet in 4000m visibility and cloud broken 400ft from 12pm untill 9pm, then from 9pm untill midnight 3000m visibility in rain/sleet cloud scattered 100ft, broken 400ft,from midnight untill 9am 40% probability of light snow, 40% isnt actually bad, in TAF's you either get PROB30 or PROB40, prob30 meaning unlikely to happen, prob40 likely to happen...

snowstorm445

maquiladora wrote: »

TAF EICK 201100Z 2012/2112 09012KT 9999 FEW018 BKN030
BECMG 2015/2018 4000 -RA BKN008
TEMPO 2018/2021 3000 -RASN BKN004
BECMG 2021/2024 4000 -RASN SCT001 BKN004 PROB40
TEMPO 2100/2109 1200 -SN BKN001

?

Can you please explain this to my ignorant self?

swingking

Driving from Dublin to cork. I will be leaving at 6am tomorrow morning. Should I leave today does anyone know. Just worried about being caught up in any snowy conditions. Thanks

Dead_Rabbits

If the GEM can pull this one off then it will truly have been the Messi of Forecasting Models this winter!

The GFS the Joey Barton!!!!

Rebelbrowser

snowstorm445 wrote: »

Keep the hope! There's still ample opportunity even if it has downgraded! It seems however that most of the sleet and snow is expected to arrive later at night and into Monday morning, which could be very disruptive. Temps are expected to be around 0 or 1 at sea level in Cork, and this could be colder further up. Expect disruption at Cork Airport.

We've actually done well from such marginal set ups before so I am hopeful in truth. I remember on 10 Jan 2010 many called it as rain but we got 10 hrs of snow. Fingers crossed for a repeat....

gbee

Rebelbrowser wrote: »

Overnight the Nae and MT's forecast have downgraded for my area but I live in hope!

As this is the ramping thread, I won't reveal what the charts are saying to me this AM. I'm going to the snow addicts withdrawal thread.

maquiladora

snowstorm445 wrote: »

Keep the hope! There's still ample opportunity even if it has downgraded! It seems however that most of the sleet and snow is expected to arrive later at night and into Monday morning, which could be very disruptive. Temps are expected to be around 0 or 1 at sea level in Cork, and this could be colder further up. Expect disruption at Cork Airport.

TAF EICK 201100Z 2012/2112 09012KT 9999 FEW018 BKN030
BECMG 2015/2018 4000 -RA BKN008
TEMPO 2018/2021 3000 -RASN BKN004
BECMG 2021/2024 4000 -RASN SCT001 BKN004 PROB40
TEMPO 2100/2109 1200 -SN BKN001

snowstorm445

Rebelbrowser wrote: »

I made that same mistake! Worse still (though better for me), I'm going skiing for 3 days next week and my 5 year old is furious Im not bringing him to the "snowy mountains". I thought snow this weekend would get me out of my pickle and have promised we will be making snow men tomorrow. I could regret this!

Overnight the Nae and MT's forecast have downgraded for my area but I live in hope! We really need the western front to arrive wrapped in its own v cold air. Uppers and dew points are very marginal but thickness will be ok. Fingers crossed.

Prospects in South Tipp are pretty good I'd say btw

Keep the hope! There's still ample opportunity even if it has downgraded! It seems however that most of the sleet and snow is expected to arrive later at night and into Monday morning, which could be very disruptive. Temps are expected to be around 0 or 1 at sea level in Cork, and this could be colder further up. Expect disruption at Cork Airport.

Rebelbrowser

lachin wrote: »

Guys I hate asking this question cos I know how annoying it can be but what are our chances in Tipp?

I was fairly sure we'd be seeing snow tonight/tomorrow but I'm not too sure now. I opened my big mouth and told my 4 year old we'd be making snowmen together on Monday....yes I should have known better!

I made that same mistake! Worse still (though better for me), I'm going skiing for 3 days next week and my 5 year old is furious Im not bringing him to the "snowy mountains". I thought snow this weekend would get me out of my pickle and have promised we will be making snow men tomorrow. I could regret this!

Overnight the Nae and MT's forecast have downgraded for my area but I live in hope! We really need the western front to arrive wrapped in its own v cold air. Uppers and dew points are very marginal but thickness will be ok. Fingers crossed.

Prospects in South Tipp are pretty good I'd say btw

maquiladora

lachin wrote: »

Guys I hate asking this question cos I know how annoying it can be but what are our chances in Tipp?

I was fairly sure we'd be seeing snow tonight/tomorrow but I'm not too sure now. I opened my big mouth and told my 4 year old we'd be making snowmen together on Monday....yes I should have known better!

There is a chance, it depends on how far east it gets before dying out.

Supercell

Interesting taf for Dublin airport tonight :-

TAF AMD EIDW 200754Z 2007/2106 10011KT 9999 SCT020 BKN030
TEMPO 2008/2012 3000 -SHRASN BKN008
TEMPO 2018/2106 1200 -RASN -SN BKN004

Going for light sleet or snow from 18:00 tonight to 06:00 tomorrow, heres hoping for +TSSN instead please :pac:

Supercell

Light graupel here, will take that!, much better than the sleety crapola last few days

Dead_Rabbits

MT over on Netweather. (a few days ago)

"Wow, we are seeing some fairly significant cold even without the full synoptics in place, if my idea about February being core of the cold signal is still valid, we may be entering into a 6-7 week period of intense cold with possibly just one brief reversal before deeper cold sets in. That brief reversal seems most likely to happen near end of January. Looking at the current synoptics, strong high pressure north of eastern Siberia could be nudged westward by effects of rising heights over western North America. There has been a deep (930s to 940s) low nibbling away at the base of this Siberian-arctic high for several days now, and in my research, a stronger retrograde signal develops in February.

There is tremendous potential in the current situation for an epic cold (and therefore probably snowy as well) period lasting from this spell to first week or ten days of March. If we start to see any signs in 10-15 day output of building high pressure in northwest Russia or Finland then I would say look out for record cold to move west. Looking at the way these rather weak synoptics have maxed out for snow and cold, can you imagine if we get -10 uppers moving across the North Sea later this winter?

GFS of course seems to be lukewarm to idea of further cold this month and that could prove true, it matches my research output closer than the current ECM or GEM, but at this point for me it's all about February's potential and how that actually plays out. I am of curious now to see whether this is a case of cold coming early or just a huge signal starting to appear. If it's the latter then even 1947 could find itself with a rival, certainly 1895 and 1855 may have to move over a space."

Now have a look over west Russia on today's ECM

THEN ASK YOURSELF

lachin

Guys I hate asking this question cos I know how annoying it can be but what are our chances in Tipp?

I was fairly sure we'd be seeing snow tonight/tomorrow but I'm not too sure now. I opened my big mouth and told my 4 year old we'd be making snowmen together on Monday....yes I should have known better!

Drummer Mummer

It's raining here right now, just rain, not sleet or snow, just plain old rain! I live right by the sea and the temperature is +2 with heavy rain clouds rolling in from the sea. Not much sign of snow at the moment.

Speak Now

sunbabe08 wrote: »

i was expecting to see white stuff on the ground, nada. where's the snow?

Wasn't expected Sunbabe.

Rooy

sunbabe08 wrote: »

i was expecting to see white stuff on the ground, nada. where's the snow?

You're 24 hours early ! , the event is forecast for this evening /tonight

cyclops999

Not even a frost in athlone :-(