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##RAMPING THREAD##

ninebeanrows

You know the story, post any snow ramping posts and general chitter chatter. Pictures of ramps or crying children here please. Use the event thread for more detailed discussion, pictures, reports etc. Cheers.

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SandraD

Totally agree Pistolpetes11... I do think that our time will come, but probably not within the next 24hr period! Overall the trends are looking good for something more substantial and long lasting and I don't think it's too far away! But with all the model uncertainty over the last few weeks and with models only starting to get a grip with the recent SSW and having to calculate the additional warmings, it's hard to take anything but actual temperatures and conditions outside as gospel. I say get the cold here first then start looking for snow potential! So please god the cold willl get here within the next day or so and then we can start thinking in terms of actual snow potential!

pistolpetes11

Say what ...... where did all them come from ?

Also after watching Gerry there , Im back watching Gold Divers , Under the Ice , 4 feet of ice , lubley jubley

pistolpetes11

SandraD wrote: »

Guys I know this is the ramping thread, hence some very overly optimistic commentary on here, however for what I can see in most of the model outputs is that they're still having difficulty getting any real grip on anything beyond 72hrs... this is evident in the fact that each run is either and upgrade or downgrade and there's little consistency between the main models (GFS, ECMWF, GEM, UKMO, JMA). The vast majority of Ireland (barring Northern Ireland and more northern counties) will not see snow tomorrow. We're in for heavy rain tonight and rain gradually easing tomorrow, then it will be cooler - even colder, but if and where snow will fall is still debatable. There's no doubt it sucks b*lls that the majority of the UK are gonna have a snowfest (and is if by some cruel twist of fate, even NI get to join in, just none of the republic) whilst we get drenched again, but such is life... tis Feb 2012 all over again eh! We can only hope that the trends for a return to milder zonal dross are only a blip on the earlier released models and that later runs will return to the colder trend that was starting to develop and then maybe next time the Republic won't miss out!

Its better for us for the UK to have a snowfield and cold conditions , a lot lot better actually .

Its something like the UK sourcing there cold from the continental Europe , we will be sourcing ours from them .

Deank

SandraD wrote: »

Guys I know this is the ramping thread, hence some very overly optimistic commentary on here, however for what I can see in most of the model outputs is that they're still having difficulty getting any real grip on anything beyond 72hrs... this is evident in the fact that each run is either and upgrade or downgrade and there's little consistency between the main models (GFS, ECMWF, GEM, UKMO, JMA). The vast majority of Ireland (barring Northern Ireland and more northern counties) will not see snow tomorrow. We're in for heavy rain tonight and rain gradually easing tomorrow, then it will be cooler - even colder, but if and where snow will fall is still debatable. There's no doubt it sucks b*lls that the majority of the UK are gonna have a snowfest (and is if by some cruel twist of fate, even NI get to join in, just none of the republic) whilst we get drenched again, but such is life... tis Feb 2012 all over again eh! We can only hope that the trends for a return to milder zonal dross are only a blip on the earlier released models and that later runs will return to the colder trend that was starting to develop and then maybe next time the Republic won't miss out!

Is that you Gerry??

az2wp0sye65487

The Weather Channel app.... Says there will be accumulations of 3 - 5 inches of snow in Dublin tomorrow!??.......

SandraD

ravydavygravy wrote: »

What I read:

Can't stop the ramp...

*lol* True! Well they do say ignorance is bliss!

ninebeanrows

These are the nights/mornings/days us snow addicts live for.

Bring it on! Even if it goes belly up!

mothel

SandraD wrote: »

Guys I know this is the ramping thread, hence some very overly optimistic commentary on here, however for what I can see in most of the model outputs is that they're still having difficulty getting any real grip on anything beyond 72hrs... this is evident in the fact that each run is either and upgrade or downgrade and there's little consistency between the main models (GFS, ECMWF, GEM, UKMO, JMA). The vast majority of Ireland (barring Northern Ireland and more northern counties) will not see snow tomorrow. We're in for heavy rain tonight and rain gradually easing tomorrow, then it will be cooler - even colder, but if and where snow will fall is still debatable. There's no doubt it sucks b*lls that the majority of the UK are gonna have a snowfest (and is if by some cruel twist of fate, even NI get to join in, just none of the republic) whilst we get drenched again, but such is life... tis Feb 2012 all over again eh! We can only hope that the trends for a return to milder zonal dross are only a blip on the earlier released models and that later runs will return to the colder trend that was starting to develop and then maybe next time the Republic won't miss out!

BLAHBLAHBLAHBLAHBLAHBLAH ........:p

ravydavygravy

What I read:

SandraD wrote: »

blah blah blah optimistic blah blah blah see snow tomorrow blah blah blah snow will fall blah blah blah gonna have a snowfest blah blah blah

Can't stop the ramp...

SandraD

Guys I know this is the ramping thread, hence some very overly optimistic commentary on here, however for what I can see in most of the model outputs is that they're still having difficulty getting any real grip on anything beyond 72hrs... this is evident in the fact that each run is either and upgrade or downgrade and there's little consistency between the main models (GFS, ECMWF, GEM, UKMO, JMA). The vast majority of Ireland (barring Northern Ireland and more northern counties) will not see snow tomorrow. We're in for heavy rain tonight and rain gradually easing tomorrow, then it will be cooler - even colder, but if and where snow will fall is still debatable. There's no doubt it sucks b*lls that the majority of the UK are gonna have a snowfest (and is if by some cruel twist of fate, even NI get to join in, just none of the republic) whilst we get drenched again, but such is life... tis Feb 2012 all over again eh! We can only hope that the trends for a return to milder zonal dross are only a blip on the earlier released models and that later runs will return to the colder trend that was starting to develop and then maybe next time the Republic won't miss out!

omicron

After hours:

Weather:

hmm . . .:rolleyes:

Dead_Rabbits

Very windy in Dundalk at the moment, somethings a brewing, I can feel it deep down!!!!

corksurfer2005

Dead_Rabbits

beaver111 wrote: »

I'm supposed to be playing golf tomorrow in trim what the change it stay dry till twoish:-D

Kippure

fr wishy washy wrote: »

What time is the show starting at
Lights
Camera
Action?

45 minutes 18z

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=nwdc;sess=

fr wishy washy

What time is the show starting at
Lights
Camera
Action?

stooge

gerrybhoy wrote: »

taking a stab at what an eddie is here..but

izzard-blizzard?

LOL!!

Don't think this post got the credit it deserves! We should really put a dictionary of rhyming slang weather terms after this beaut and get RTE to use them

PauloMN

beaver111 wrote: »

I'm supposed to be playing golf tomorrow in trim what the change it stay dry till twoish:-D

Hopefully slim to none.

Wickerman1

beaver111 wrote: »

I'm supposed to be playing golf tomorrow in trim what the change it stay dry till twoish:-D

Have yer luminous balls handy!

Bishop_Donal

beaver111 wrote: »

I'm supposed to be playing golf tomorrow in trim what the change it stay dry till twoish:-D

I'd stick a few orange balls in the bag.

thomasj

beaver111 wrote: »

I'm supposed to be playing golf tomorrow in trim what the change it stay dry till twoish:-D

Have you a golf buggy?

BEASTERLY

dacogawa wrote: »

His last spaghetti post seems right on the money, quite optimistic now with all the forecasts lately... (just waiting till the 18h GFS puts a dent in that)

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/20998895

beaver111

I'm supposed to be playing golf tomorrow in trim what the change it stay dry till twoish:-D

Tom Cruises Left Nut

gabeeg wrote: »

I was here last night, and someone got away with asking what sleet is without being ridiculed.

It's given me the confidence to ask this - what is an eddie?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eddy_(fluid_dynamics)

gerrybhoy

gabeeg wrote: »

I was here last night, and someone got away with asking what sleet is without being ridiculed.

It's given me the confidence to ask this - what is an eddie?

taking a stab at what an eddie is here..but

izzard-blizzard?

gabeeg

pistolpetes11 wrote: »

Britain's icy blast set to last
The shot of warmth at the top of the atmosphere has snarled up lower levels into a twisted contortion of swirls and eddies.

I was here last night, and someone got away with asking what sleet is without being ridiculed.

It's given me the confidence to ask this - what is an eddie?

maquiladora

BEASTERLY wrote: »

What do them spaghetti charts mean?

It looks like the MOGREPS ensembles. Each blue line representing the boundry of a cold airmass on an individual model run. Same with the green lines expect that shows milder air. Slightly different starting conditions for each run and then overlay them all to see if a pattern emerges.

dacogawa

Blizzard 2010 wrote: »

:eek: Thats incredible. I think the cold will be hard to shift. Ireland and especially the east coast maybe the battleground. If we get mild interludes they will only be very brief. We probably will have very heavy snowfalls. Rock on:D

His last spaghetti post seems right on the money, quite optimistic now with all the forecasts lately... (just waiting till the 18h GFS puts a dent in that)

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/20998895

corksurfer2005

Lads I have to say, this has been fascinating, my first winter of model watching (been watching since about October) and by all accounts I picked a great time to start!

I know it's not set in stone and things may still change but seeing it all develop has been amazing.

pistolpetes11

gabeeg wrote: »

WHAT?

What are we in for?

ARGGGHHHHHHH

Woops

"the long haul"