Corsendonk wrote: » No canvassers either, I did get my first election mail on Monday from Labour. I assume they got my address from the union rather than a general election register mail out.
I am standing in this election because I am angry. I am angry about the decimation of our country by vested interests. I am furious about the toxic elitism which has led to such an uneven distribution of our resources and created such hardship for so many – the unnecessary deaths in our under-resourced hospitals, the unacceptable level of suicide, the mass emigration of our young people and the deep depression visited on so many families as a result of the USC and other taxes. I want to find a way to ensure that those who have operated just below the threshold of criminality are made to account for their actions, and are never again allowed to occupy positions of influence.
SeaSide wrote: » I do agree that FF will recover but not by much. Their demographics are older and this in shown in the boards poll. They will also loose much of their support as their voters die horrible deaths on hospital trolleys. I would prefer to take a chance on FG and Labour policies rather than the proven FFailure of the last 14 years. Is there anything that they could have done to make things worse? Ita's is supposed to be the new home of the central mental hospital if it ever moves
BroomBurner wrote: » What time are canvassers calling at? With all these doctors getting involved, I hope they're practicing what they're preaching. If not, then why would we trust them? If they bemoan over charging (including GP fees), while still charging €50 per visit, then they can shag off.
Review of Dublin North constituency by Adrian Kavanagh February 10th, 2011 Dr. Adrian Kavanagh is based in the Geography Department of the National University of Ireland, Maynooth. Over the next few days and weeks I am going to briefly review each of the forty-three Dáil constituencies and I will relate these to what the December 2010 Newstalk prediction survey says about the different constituencies and how these tally with the general trends observed in my more recent opinion poll analyses on www.politicalreform.ie – these views will of course be influenced by party’s candidate selections with up-to-date news about these available from the Irish General Election Facts and Figures blog (http://geographyspecialinterestgroup.wordpress.com/) Dublin North (4-seats): In the Spring Tide 1992 election, Labour probably threw away a seat in Dublin North because they ran just one candidate, Sean Ryan; the knock on effect was that Trevor Sargent’s Dáil career began at this election largely due to vote transfers from the Ryan surplus. With the Gilmore Gale expected to be more impactful than the 1992 Spring Tide Labour should have prospects of two seats here, but it is worth noting that Labour lost their seat in this constituency to Fine Gael in 2007. Labour should regain that seat in 2011 (as otherwise the Gilmore Gale would be akin to a Gilmore Squall) but may find gaining a second seat here as a step too far. That said the Labour ticket is a strong geographically balanced one, as indeed is the Fine Gael ticket. Reilly is joined on the FG ticket by Malahide councillor, Alan Farrell. Reilly took the last seat in Dublin North by 1,200 votes in 2007 and will be hoping his high profile as FG deputy leader and health spokesperson cements his seat here with a higher vote, although a former FG deputy leader, Nora Owen, did lost a FG seat in this constituency in 2002. Labour’s Sean Ryan held a seat in Dublin North between 1989 and 2007, save for a year between 1997 and 1998, but his brother, Sen Brendan Ryan, failed to hold this in 2007 – he and Swords councillor, Tom Kelleher will be looking to reclaim that Labour seat. Dublin North is a good test case for the different approaches being taken by Fianna Fail to candidate selection for this election * the “burnt/salted earth” approach (used in Dublin South, Cork North Central) where one of the sitting FF TDs takes a “hit” and steps down, with FF effectively giving up one of their seats and leaving the other remaining FF TD to try to win that, without worrying that the voter will be split - an approach they tried in Laois-Offaly but got, er, burnt trying to do so * the “high noon” strategy – the sitting TDs both refuse to slip into the sunset and go out guns blazing for one last fight, in mind of some strategists running the risk of both getting shot in the cross fire. Dun Laoghaire good example of this, but Dublin North also another case with two sitting TDs Darragh O’Brien and Michael Kennedy both opting to defend the seats they both won for the first time in 2007. * the “man marking” strategy: run same number of candidates as Fine Gael and in more or less the same areas – classic examples of this being Longford Westmeath and Carlow-Kilkenny Both Kennedy and O’Brien are in trouble due to drop in Fianna Fáil support, but also due to losing part of their main support bases/bailwicks in the boundary changes made by the 2007 Constituency Commission – Kennedy will be losing votes in western Swords, O’Brien will be losing votes in the Portmarnock area. The Socialist Party/United Left Alliance candidate, Claire Daly, is a strong prospect here too, but her chances have been undermined significantly by the moving of part of her Swords base to Dublin West in the 2007 Constituency Commission boundary revision (a move which in turn may help out Joe Higgins’ prospects in Dublin West). One of the Fianna Fail seats will probably be lost to Labour. Based on national support trends for the Green Party, Trevor Sargent would be expected to lose his seat here, but his local popularity may shield him from a national trend of decline in Green support, possibly leaving him in the same position as in 1992 – as the only Green Party TD. Most of the polls analyses predict 1 FF 1 FG 1 LB and 1 SP/ULA here, while the local survey Newstalk local survey prediction called this as 1 FF 1 FG 1 LB and 1 GP. Ultimately the loss of the western part of Swords Town to Dublin West may mean that Claire Daly misses out here and Trevor Sargent holds his seat against strong challenges from the second-strongest Labour, Fine Gael and Fianna Fail candidates; the local prediction may have called this more effectively. Labour gain and Fianna Fail loss *– O’Brien FF, Reilly FG, Kelleher LB, Sargent GP Potential surprise package: If Trevor Sargent does not manage to hold his seat here then Alan Farrell would be well placed to win a second Fine Gael seat in Dublin North.
Corsendonk wrote: » Is he safe to go out in public? Sounds like he needs an anger management session rather than a run at the Dail. Dr Mark Herrold Website He is certainly aiming for the populist vote, the usually list of banks, reform, health service etc But no policies on how he hopes to deliver. I am not really a fan of independents, Lowry and Healy Rae turned me off. Imagine trying to form a government with 10 Independents, parish pump politics all the way then!
SeaSide wrote: » Review of Dublin North constituency by Adrian Kavanagh February 10th, 2011 Dr. Adrian Kavanagh is based in the Geography Department of the National University of Ireland, Maynooth. Over the next few days and weeks I am going to briefly review each of the forty-three Dáil constituencies and I will relate these to what the December 2010 Newstalk prediction survey says about the different constituencies and how these tally with the general trends observed in my more recent opinion poll analyses on www.politicalreform.ie – these views will of course be influenced by party’s candidate selections with up-to-date news about these available from the Irish General Election Facts and Figures blog (http://geographyspecialinterestgroup.wordpress.com/) Dublin North (4-seats): In the Spring Tide 1992 election, Labour probably threw away a seat in Dublin North because they ran just one candidate, Sean Ryan; the knock on effect was that Trevor Sargent’s Dáil career began at this election largely due to vote transfers from the Ryan surplus. With the Gilmore Gale expected to be more impactful than the 1992 Spring Tide Labour should have prospects of two seats here, but it is worth noting that Labour lost their seat in this constituency to Fine Gael in 2007. Labour should regain that seat in 2011 (as otherwise the Gilmore Gale would be akin to a Gilmore Squall) but may find gaining a second seat here as a step too far. That said the Labour ticket is a strong geographically balanced one, as indeed is the Fine Gael ticket. Reilly is joined on the FG ticket by Malahide councillor, Alan Farrell. Reilly took the last seat in Dublin North by 1,200 votes in 2007 and will be hoping his high profile as FG deputy leader and health spokesperson cements his seat here with a higher vote, although a former FG deputy leader, Nora Owen, did lost a FG seat in this constituency in 2002. Labour’s Sean Ryan held a seat in Dublin North between 1989 and 2007, save for a year between 1997 and 1998, but his brother, Sen Brendan Ryan, failed to hold this in 2007 – he and Swords councillor, Tom Kelleher will be looking to reclaim that Labour seat. Dublin North is a good test case for the different approaches being taken by Fianna Fail to candidate selection for this election * the “burnt/salted earth” approach (used in Dublin South, Cork North Central) where one of the sitting FF TDs takes a “hit” and steps down, with FF effectively giving up one of their seats and leaving the other remaining FF TD to try to win that, without worrying that the voter will be split - an approach they tried in Laois-Offaly but got, er, burnt trying to do so * the “high noon” strategy – the sitting TDs both refuse to slip into the sunset and go out guns blazing for one last fight, in mind of some strategists running the risk of both getting shot in the cross fire. Dun Laoghaire good example of this, but Dublin North also another case with two sitting TDs Darragh O’Brien and Michael Kennedy both opting to defend the seats they both won for the first time in 2007. * the “man marking” strategy: run same number of candidates as Fine Gael and in more or less the same areas – classic examples of this being Longford Westmeath and Carlow-Kilkenny Both Kennedy and O’Brien are in trouble due to drop in Fianna Fáil support, but also due to losing part of their main support bases/bailwicks in the boundary changes made by the 2007 Constituency Commission – Kennedy will be losing votes in western Swords, O’Brien will be losing votes in the Portmarnock area. The Socialist Party/United Left Alliance candidate, Claire Daly, is a strong prospect here too, but her chances have been undermined significantly by the moving of part of her Swords base to Dublin West in the 2007 Constituency Commission boundary revision (a move which in turn may help out Joe Higgins’ prospects in Dublin West). One of the Fianna Fail seats will probably be lost to Labour. Based on national support trends for the Green Party, Trevor Sargent would be expected to lose his seat here, but his local popularity may shield him from a national trend of decline in Green support, possibly leaving him in the same position as in 1992 – as the only Green Party TD. Most of the polls analyses predict 1 FF 1 FG 1 LB and 1 SP/ULA here, while the local survey Newstalk local survey prediction called this as 1 FF 1 FG 1 LB and 1 GP. Ultimately the loss of the western part of Swords Town to Dublin West may mean that Claire Daly misses out here and Trevor Sargent holds his seat against strong challenges from the second-strongest Labour, Fine Gael and Fianna Fail candidates; the local prediction may have called this more effectively. Labour gain and Fianna Fail loss *– O’Brien FF, Reilly FG, Kelleher LB, Sargent GP Potential surprise package: If Trevor Sargent does not manage to hold his seat here then Alan Farrell would be well placed to win a second Fine Gael seat in Dublin North.
dan_d wrote: » Canvassers around Rush yesterday, for Michael Kennedy, about 4.30pm The problem I have with canvassers is that there's no point getting annoyed with them.I want to see the politician themselves. And the other problem I have is......take Kennedy.Now he's doing his best to get elected, but every conversation is about what he'll do for North County Dublin, and how hard he works for the people out here.Well, that's fine...but what if I'm not interested in the state of the roads, and footpaths, or the street lights in the local town, but the bigger issues, around the country? What if I want to know about how he's going to fix the health service, what is going to be done for the unemployed, what they're going to do about the public transport system, how are they going to make the banks function properly (and under regulation) again?? He can't do any of those things. His party are not going to get in...so...what??What am I supposed to say to someone like him???
cathy01 wrote: » why charge 50 quid everytime , two kids ,two sore throats,€100 .
cathy01 wrote: » .OT, still never happens, and at the moment Im saving up to get a filling.
LeoB wrote: » FOOD FOR THOUGHT!!! Good post. I explained to F.G canvaser the other day why I wouldnt vote for James Reilly even though I was probably wasting my time. He is a fairly good speaker but comes accross to me rightly or wrongly as a bit of a bully and bluffer. The more I listen to various reports the more I am worried about our Taoiseach elect and his party. Everything is negative and knocking what has gone on. Listening to Simon Covney this morning he sounds just the same negative politican we have come to know this past few years, the Labour contributor was no better while Michael Martin tried to distance himself somewhat from some decisions of the past year or two. We have to look forward. Interesting point made was that Mary Harney had a few obsticles put in her way by senior figures in F.F and Mr. Martin was able to credit her with some positive stuff that has come about from her tenure in Health. I dont believe F.G will bring bankers to task, (lock any of them up) I dont think they will provide universal free private health care, Can we afford it? we will be hammered in TAX. I dont think they will be able to do much about unemployment figures They wont bring the waste and fraud in social welfare under control but if they did they would have about €4 billion saved and at least soften what budgets we have to face over the next few years. To come back to a local proposal, Would anyone here be in favour of a windfarm off the east coast? Well off the back of Lambay, Rockabill or islands of Skerries.
Corsendonk wrote: » You want a third one?
Spook_ie wrote: » With the nominations now closed does anyone have a definitive list of candidates that are standing? There always seems to be independants that you never get to know until you look at the ballot slip
Beasty wrote: » Here;)
Peckham wrote: » Minus DeBrun - he's not on the official list of candidates declared by the Returning Officer. Seems a bit odd given the number of posters he has up around the place. Wonder if there was an admin error or if he changed his mind.
Corruption at every turn. Nomination not accepted by county Sheriff. De Brun denied opportunity to stand. about 5 hours ago via web
tbh wrote: » so if I read that correctly, he found out he had to contact the sheriff on the 4th of Jan, but didn't actually contact him until six minutes after the deadline had passed?
Prospective candidates may obtain nomination papers from our office during normal business hours or may download nomination papers here: Nomination Paper Páipéar Ainmniúcháin A person may nominate himself/herself as a candidate or may, with his/her consent, be nominated by a proposer who is registered as a Dáil elector in the constituency. A nomination paper from a candidate of a registered political party must have a certificate of political affiliation attached. If no certificate is attached, the candidate must, before the latest time for receiving nominations, either- secure 30 assents to the nomination by way of statutory declarations by Dáil electors registered in the constituency (forms available from this office or the registration authority), or make a deposit of €500 (deposit may also be made on the candidate’s behalf). Details of these requirements are set out in the Electoral (Amendment) Act 2007. The latest time for receiving nominations is 12 noon on the 9th day of February, 2011. A nominated candidate may withdraw his/her nomination at any time up to 12 noon on the 10th day of February, 2011. Candidates should contact this office by telephone at 01-8306785 to arrange an appointment to lodge their application. Last Updated on Thursday, 10 February 2011 19:15
Unshelved wrote: » Maybe it's just as well if he's that disorganised. Surely leaving it to the last minute as he did reeks of amateurism? Given that he's probably spent a lot of money already on posters and so on - why didn't he just cough up the €500? Cold feet?
RobFowl wrote: » It reading his note it's hard to blame anyone but the candidate himself.
