I know we’re broke as a nation BUT this is not a Walter Mitty post-trust me!
I also know there was some discussion about three years ago, a bit like what I’m proposing here, on:
http://forum.irishmilitaryonline.com/showthread.php?t=11151
The conclusion of that discussion seems to be a consensus that there was no great urgency to change from the existing Steyr AUG.
In other words: ‘arraggh sure tisn’t it grand begorrah, so why fix it if tis not broke’ sort of sentiment. We’re great at that in Ireland.
It is one reason why we have NAMA.
So I think its relevant to ask.......
QUESTION A: Anyone know if/when/how/what we are going to get to replace our Austrian made Steyr AUG’s circa 1987-88?
For those who don’t know, details of what we have now can be found at:
http://www.military.ie/army/equipment/weapons/inf/steyr/steyr.htm
The AUG was and still is highy regarded. Events have moved on. Today its not necessarily the most obvious contender in the field-although doubtless that point could be argued back and forth.
I seem to remember reading this year or last, somewhere, that they would need replacing but can’t find it now…did I imagine I heard/read this?
Obviously the Dept. of Finance/Misery (DoF) will protest and resist (they always do), but even more so given our current fiscal climate.
Doubtless, their suggestion will be that day-glo pink water pistols from Symths Toys (Euro 2.99 each-value!) would be just as suitable for overseas peacekeeping and bank escorts as the auld AUG. The same people after all wanted to completely abolish the naval service in the late 1960s!
Now, I can see perhaps a valid Aid to Civil Power (ACP) role for water pistols…..
BUT it would be nice to believe if a cash escort gets challenged that we could ‘deter and respond’ to said threat with a suitable piece of kit that won’t jam, fall apart, or have the magazine clip fall out. Or go bang in somebody’s face when aiming because its too old. BTW I’m not alleging here that the existing stock of Steyr have actually become unsafe-I have no knowledge of that…BUT if they are not replaced in time that should surely become an issue?
If any state cannot ensure relevant small arms for its armed forces it cannot guarantee the most basic monopoly of coercive force needed to function as a state.
That is one basic difference between Finland and the Democratic Republic of the Congo.
Even the Pope/Vactican city makes sure their own private army has modern rifles:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swiss_Guard#Equipment
He might need them these days.
Also remember that the Garda do not go into parts of Limerick now unless they have some buddies armed with IZUI’s, or the new 4.6x30mm MP7 weapons used by the regional response units.
Unfortunately, we have plenty of disagreeable extremist types on our lovely island who like collecting, and occasionally using, lethal small arms. And I don’t mean the RDF.
That salutary fact was in the past, and remains today, a core threat to our state and security. In the future, such threats could well increase. It is not unthinkable that we could see situations where Irish DF face-off against Islamic fundamentalists or other such irregular forces who have v. effective small arms firepower together with good body armour and seek to do serious harm through suicide IED tactics or something like this. Would 22 year old AUGs be adequate in such situations?
Obviously, I'm thinking that would be more in an overseas context. But you never know....Limerick can be pretty rough at times as well.
So we’re broke…but we’re not that broke right?
My point is we clearly need to procure a new generation of small arms for our DF sooner rather than later.
HOWEVER……what is far from clear is WHAT we can afford, HOW we pay for them, WHAT we buy and WHY (To do WHAT?) QUESTION B: What sort of spend could we afford and what would it realistically allow us to buy?
Replacement of the entire stock of weapons- say 8,000-10,000 would seem dubious given our lack of the readies.
QUESTION C: Would a supplier (say Steyr or FN or Heckler&Koch) sell them to us on a leasing model where we pay for them a bit up front and spread the cost over say a decade-has that ever been done on a procurement?
I guess what I’m suggesting would be just like buying a laptop from PC WORLD, and maybe there would even be a ‘balloon payment’ at the end? If that sort of ‘sale and lease’ model were a runner then our budget could be something like 10-20 million Euro and an entire generational weapons stock could be replaced say over a three year cycle.
If, as is likely, that sort of financial deal is not available to us, then realistically the most any government over the next few years will tolerate is a much more miserly spend of say 1-3 million euros. If even.
One implication of that kind of financial constraint would be that we would probably have to get much smaller numbers of stuff and phase in replacements over a much longer time frame. Forget getting 8,000 weapons-think more 900 a go.
That would have to mean units going overseas or on bank jobs would probably get any new rifles/weapons going….but perhaps many entire Coys and other units would be still going around with 22+ year old weapons that must be getting harder to keep going or safe. In fact, if we go that way then many units could end up with 30 year old Steyrs. As for the poor old RDF…they may well end up using Steyrs until the cows come home (or till the 2030s to be precise). After all we’ve been there before with the .303s.
Not good. BUT maybe such a scenario would not be the end of the world?
Oh, and from a financial bean-counting perspective if we come at this procurement with very small change it must load the odds heavily in favour of a simple replacement of the existing Steyr AUG with……….the Steyr AUG model 2010! See:
http://www.steyr-mannlicher.com/military-and-law-enforcement/steyr-aug-a3/
Logistically and training wise that would make sense if perhaps V. BORING.
Can I make 2 suggestions at this stage to get a discussion/mild row going?
1. If we do opt to simply augment our stocks of Steyr AUGs with more ‘newbie’ Steyr AUGs could we not maybe add some capability by buying a few of the AUG light support weapon variants as well? I know that there were some reliability issues raised about the larger capacity mags but I’m assuming these have been/could be sorted? These would not be used as light machine guns but rather as precision light support weapon with night sights for the 300-600m range zone. There is some evidence that the UK’s, finally improved, LSWs perform and suppress better than basic rifles or even their LMGs.
2. Maybe we should be really radical. Time to think outside the box and accept who and what we are as regards our DF and national capabilities and needs. Why not admit that the the entire 5.56mm ‘assault rifle’ concept is today a much less relevant solution (especially for us) and instead we might procure a suite of personal small arms, comprising a related family of pistols, personal defence weapons (PDWs), grenades with projectors and sniper systems, together with optics?
After all in many tactical situations it may well not be rifle type fires which are decisive, but rather grenade and/or GPMG type fires, some of which could be even laid indirectly from behind cover. You could even pitch the tender document so that a supplier must offer a tactically balanced suite of small arms (not just rifles) so that they would have to offer us ready made and costed ‘packages’ of afore mentioned items which should have some ‘commonality’ in the jargon.
What might this look like?
Maybe taking 3 million euro as our (fantasy) budget, we could see a balanced spend of....
40% on new H&K MP7 PDWs (see
http://www.futurefirepower.com/the-heckler-and-koch-mp7-the-sub-machine-gun-video-of-hks-future);
20% on new and crucially lighter 7.62mm GPMGs as well as a few more 7.62mm sniper rifles;
Remaining 30% of funding split evenly between a grenade system (most likely 40x19mm) and some nice new optics….
I freely admit the quantities of kit we could procure under this model might be very small –a few hundred systems at a time. However, if it were repeated every year OR more realistically, if there was a regular tender put out every three years for small arms packages….then slowly we could modernize and improve over time….and it would arguably make more sense in matching the need for improved capabilities in small arms with changing operational needs/likely scenarios under pretty savage financial constraints which will be with us for at least the next half-decade..if not much longer.
Penny for your thoughts. And please…. no posts about Walter Mitty neutron phasers or somesuch.