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Boards weather forecast contest for March 2025

M.T. Cranium · 2025-02-27T08:07:50+00:00

* Predict the "IMT" or Irish Mean Temperature which is the average for night and day at these five locations: Casement, Mullingar, Claremorris, Oak Park, and Shannon. (In March the normal IMT is 6.8 C). That is worth a maximum of 25 points. You lose one point per 0.1 deg error. * Predict the MAX which is the highest…

M.T. Cranium

Predict the "IMT" or Irish Mean Temperature which is the average for night and day at these five locations: Casement, Mullingar, Claremorris, Oak Park, and Shannon. (In March the normal IMT is 6.8 C). That is worth a maximum of 25 points. You lose one point per 0.1 deg error.
Predict the MAX which is the highest reading at any of the 25 regular reporting stations on the met.ie website. Worth 20 points, same error.
Predict the MIN, lowest reading, otherwise same idea. Worth 20 points, same error as the first two.
Predict the PRC which is the rainfall plus liquid equivalent of any other types of precipitation, as a percentage of normal for the average at eleven locations in Ireland. Those are the five listed in 1 above, plus Malin Head, Belmullet, Ballyhaise, Johnstown Castle (in Wexford), Cork, and Valentia. (worth 15 points, you lose one point for each 3% error).
Predict the SUN, hours of sunshine also as a percentage of normal, from stats gathered at six locations around Ireland (Casement, Dublin, Cork, Valentia, Shannon, Belmullet). The average duration of sunshine in March is about 3.5 hours a day. Worth 10 points and the score is reduced for each multiple of 5% error.
BONUS for March __ Predict the maximum temperature on 17th March at Dublin A (10 points, scores are always by rank order regardless of whether the errors are big or small ... superbonus will apply, any forecast right on to nearest decimal gets 2, and an error of 0.1 is worth one extra point.)

Deadline as always 0300h of 1st March, late penalties 1 point per 4 hours to 1500h 2nd and 1 point per hour afterwards.

Forecasts for myself and NormaL

MTC ___________ 8.2 _ 20.1 _ -3.5 _ 077 _ 110 _ 12.4

NormaL ________ 6.8 _ 18.0 _ -4.5 _ 100 _ 100 _ 11.8

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WolfeEire

Wolfeeire ___________ 7.9 _ 18.2 _ -3.9 _ 100 _ 115 _ 12

pauldry

Pauldry ___________ 8.2 _ 17.9 _ -2.8_ 97 _ 118 _ 11.7

kindredspirit

Kindred Spirit ___ 8.0 ___ 18.5 ___ -3.0 ___ 118 ___ 97 ___ 11.2

Gonzo

Gonzo ___________ 8.4 _ 18.8 _ -3.3 _ 087 _ 105 _ 13.7

Jpmarn

Jpmarn ________ 7.4 _ 18.5 _ -5.5 _ 75 _ 120 _ 9.8

dasa29

Dasa29 ___________ 8.0 _ 17.0 _ -3.0 _ 110 _ 110 _ 12.5

DOCARCH

DOCARCH ___________ 7.2 _ 18.8 _ -4.2 _ 087 _ 115 _ 9.4

sryanbruen

sryanbruen ___________ 7.6 _ 18.2 _ -4.7 _ 090 _ 105 _ 12.1

Bsal

Bsal ________ 7.3 _ 17.9 _ -3.0 _ 85 _ 102 _ 14.0

Joe Public

Joe Public_____ 6.4 _ 21.4 _ -5.5 _ 80 _ 120 _ 14.4

mrskinner

Skinner___7.7___17.8___-3.9___85___95___14.7

adam240610

Adamm240610_ 8_ 19.9_ -3.5 _ 076_ 115 _ 15

waterways

waterways _____________8.2 _ 19.7 _ -2.3 _ 093 _ 097 ___11.6

mr.stonewall

Mr stonewall___7.4___18.3___-3.6___87___110___12.1

200motels

200motels———— 8.1 _ 19.9 _ -2.9_ 95 _ 116 _ 11.9

John mac

john mac________ 8.1 _ 20.0 _ -3.5 _ 107 _ 105 _ 14.1

appledrop

Appledrop___7.4____18.5___-3.5__88___108__12.9

dacogawa

Dacogawa ________ 8.0 __ 18.7 __ -3.5 __ 80 __ 110 __ 11.0

Tae laidir

Tae laidir ________ 8.0 _ 18.0 _ -1.5 _ 115 _ 103 _ 13.5

Cornerstonelad

Cornerstonelad___7.5___17.2___-5.0___82___120___12.1

Artane2002

Artane2002 ________ 7.7 _ 18.3_ -4.8 _ 105 _ 105 _ 13.3

sunflower3

Sunflower3___________ 7.2 _ 18.5 _ -2.5 _ 90 _ 90 _ 14.2

M.T. Cranium

Table of forecasts for March 2025

FORECASTER _______ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN __ Max 17 (Dub A)

Gonzo ____________ 8.4 _ 18.8 _ -3.3 _ 087 _ 105 ___ 13.7

M.T. Cranium _______8.2 _ 20.1 _ -3.5 _ 077 _ 110 ___ 12.4

waterways _________8.2 _ 19.7 _ -2.3 _ 093 _ 097 ___ 11.6

Pauldry ___________ 8.2 _ 17.9 _ -2.8 _ 097 _ 118 ___ 11.7

john mac __________8.1 _ 20.0 _ -3.5 _ 107 _ 105 ___ 14.1

200motels _________8.1 _ 19.9 _ -2.9 _ 095 _ 116 ___ 11.9

Adam240610 ______ 8.0 _ 19.9 _ -3.5 _ 076 _ 115 ___ 15.0

Dacogawa _________ 8.0 _ 18.7 _ -3.5 _ 080 _ 110 ___ 11.0

Kindred Spirit ______ 8.0 _ 18.5 _ -3.0 _ 118 _ 097 ___ 11.2

Tae laidir __________ 8.0 _ 18.0 _ -1.5 _ 115 _ 103 ___ 13.5

Dasa29 ___________ 8.0 _ 17.0 _ -3.0 _ 110 _ 110 ___ 12.5

WolfeEire __________7.9 _ 18.2 _ -3.9 _ 100 _ 115 ___ 12.0

__ Con Sensus _____ 7.9 _ 18.2 _ -3.5 _ 088 _ 110 ___ 12.1

Artane2002 ________ 7.7 _ 18.3 _ -4.8 _ 105 _ 105 ___ 13.3

MrSkinner__________7.7 _ 17.8 _ -3.9 _ 085 _ 095 ___ 14.7

sryanbruen ________ 7.6 _ 18.2 _ -4.7 _ 090 _ 105 ___ 12.1

Cornerstonelad _____ 7.5 _ 17.2 _ -5.0 _ 082 _ 120 ___ 12.1

Appledrop _________ 7.4 _ 18.5 _ -3.5 _ 088 _ 108 ___ 12.9

Jpmarn ___________ 7.4 _ 18.5 _ -5.5 _ 075 _ 120 ____ 9.8

Mr stonewall _______ 7.4 _ 18.3 _ -3.6 _ 087 _ 110 ___ 12.1

Bsal ______________ 7.3 _ 17.9 _ -3.0 _ 085 _ 102 ___ 14.0

DOCARCH _________ 7.2 _ 18.8 _ -4.2 _ 087 _ 115 ____ 9.4

Sunflower3_________ 7.2 _ 18.5 _ -2.5 _ 090 _ 090 ___ 14.2

__ NormaL _________ 6.8 _ 18.5 _ -4.5 _ 100 _ 100 ___ 11.8

Joe Public __________ 6.4 _ 21.4 _ -5.5 _ 080 _ 120 ___ 14.4

DOCARCH

To kick things off, low of -1.3c at Moore Park yesterday (04th).

DOCARCH

High of 13.6c at Dunsany yesterday (05th).

Tae laidir

Dublin Airport 14.1 yesterday.

DOCARCH

High of 14.3c at Valentia yesterday (07th).

pauldry

16.1c Finner today. Could be over 17c tomorrow if rain stays away

M.T. Cranium

After first week …

IMT _ 8.1 (1.7 above normal)

MAX _ 14.3

MIN _ -1.3

PRC _ 36% of normal

SUN _ 70% of normal

Max 17 (Dub A) __ GFS 12z predicts 9 C

M.T. Cranium

Forecasts for 17th … in order

Adam240610 ______ 15.0

MrSkinner__________14.7

Joe Public __________14.4

Sunflower3_________14.2

john mac __________14.1

Bsal ______________14.0

Gonzo ____________ 13.7

Tae laidir __________ 13.5

Artane2002 ________ 13.3

Appledrop _________ 12.9

Dasa29 ___________ 12.5

M.T. Cranium _______12.4

sryanbruen ________ 12.1

Cornerstonelad _____ 12.1

Mr stonewall _______ 12.1

__ Con Sensus _____ 12.1

WolfeEire __________12.0

200motels _________11.9

__ NormaL ________ 11.8

Pauldry ___________ 11.7

waterways _________11.6

Kindred Spirit ______ 11.2

Dacogawa _________ 11.0

Jpmarn ____________ 9.8

DOCARCH __________ 9.4