nav[aria-label="Primary Navigation"] { padding: 0; & ul { list-style: none; width: 100%; display: flex; flex-direction: row; justify-content: start; align-items: start; gap: 30px; padding: 0; & li { margin: 0; } & ul li { list-style: none; } } }

Child Item

Cork South Central - General Election 2024

dulpit

Hey all,

With the General Election on it's way, how do people see South Central going?

The last election results looked like this:

According to Adrian Kavanagh's website, the following people have been nominated so far:

Deputy Micheál Martin (Fianna Fáil), Deputy Donnchadh Ó Laoghaire (Sinn Féin), Senator Jerry Buttimer (Fine Gael), Cllr. Séamus McGrath (Fianna Fáil), Cllr. Úna McCarthy (Fine Gael), Cllr. Shane O’Callaghan (Fine Gael), Cllr. Laura Harmon (Labour Party), Cllr. Pádraig Rice (Social Democrats), Mick Finn (Independent), Anna Daly (Aontú), Monica Oikeh (Green Party), Michelle Cowhey Shahid (Sinn Féin), Shane Laird (People Before Profit), Margaret Kenneally (Fianna Fáil), Veronica Houlihan (Independent Ireland), Ted Neville (Independent/National Alliance)

The constituency is increasing from 4 to 5 seats, and is taking in territory from Cork North Central. As per the Examiner's website, the main changes are:

In Cork South-Central, there have been 12 electoral districts moved into the constituency from Cork North-Central. With the commission considering the River Lee was a natural boundary between the two constituencies, these areas are being transferred into Cork South-Central. This includes Bishopstown, increasing the population of the constituency by 22,000.

There will likely be a few more people nominated once the election is called, but we will be looking at, at least, 3 new TDs for South Central.

At this moment in time before the campaign kicks off, I have to imagine that Micheál Martin, Séamus McGrath and Donnchadh Ó Laoghaire will get elected, along with 1 FG seat. The last seat then I see as being a toss-up between the soft left (Labour, Soc Dems, Greens) or a 2nd FG seat. But we'll have to wait and see…

Find more posts tagged with

general election

Quick Links

Comments

dulpit

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122900454#Comment_122900454

Giving just a top 7 means you are indicating that you have no preference beyond that as to who gets in.

From my point of view, I would have taken anybody else running as a better choice than Ted Neville, so that's why I made sure he got my lowest preference. It won't happen, but it would mean that my vote goes everywhere else against him before he gets elected.

Realistically, I voted Labour 1, Soc Dems 2. What's probable is that my vote will stay with Labour until the end (assuming Harmon stays ahead of Rice) or will transfer to Rice and then stay there. I suspect one of those 2 will either be the last candidate elected or the last remaining candidate not elected. But still felt good to put Neville last and Aontú second last.

DylanQuestion

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122900479#Comment_122900479

Ah, that makes sense. I was the reverse - Soc Dems 1 and Labour 2

corkie

Voted just before Midday. Voted my TOP 10 only. Padraig Rice No 1! Had a prepared list, head like a sieve for names, so didn't take long to mark my ballot. Also means I have a record to follow my ballot during the results.

DylanQuestion

Everyone I've spoken to is putting Padraig Rice at #1 or close to it. I wonder if that is just my echo chamber, or if it's a good sign for him

Pen Rua

That is a good shout re taking in a list - I forget that we can.

Pen Rua

Voted at Bunscoil Chríost Rí. It was busy. One might even describe it as brisk with the tea time rush in full flow.

Voted all the way down to give Neville my 22nd preference. Know it won’t / shouldn’t come down to such low preferences, but felt it was right to make the point.

snotboogie

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122888895#Comment_122888895

Problem with these is the ranking of issues. Loads of questions I don’t care about at all. Bogue came second for me but her answer on Ukraine meant I would never, ever vote for her. It’s really important to check the answers!

Infoseeker1975

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122900773#Comment_122900773

Hope he does well, think in some earlier comment it was mentioned he had a 9% chance of getting in, he got my vote along with my wife's vote

corkie

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122902654#Comment_122902654

I just used it as a guide and gave my first 3 preferences to people who I choosed. Did check the answer on questions that I was concerned with most. Like 'Rice' who i disagreed with on 'Hate Speech' but still gave a No.1. For preferences 4 to 10 it assisted me. I downgraded myself another candidate that would have got a higher preference.

Printed off my 'Order Preference' and made a list to take to the ballot with me.

on this Tweet!

corkie

Which sites are you keeping watch of today, for the count results?

https://www.irishexaminer.com/news/munster/arid-41526212.html

10.45am:
Early tallies from Cork South Central, with 20% of boxes open, show Micheál Martin and Seamus McGrath (FF) performing well, alongside Sinn Féin’s Donnchadh Ó Laoghaire.
The surprise so far is the Social Democrats' Padraig Rice (Soc Dems), who is in contention for a seat.
In Fine Gael’s internal contest, Senator Jerry Buttimer is edging ahead of Shane O’Callaghan and Una McCarthy.

Who was predicting that Jerry Buttimer wouldn't do well?

Edit: - https://www.irishexaminer.com/news/ireland/arid-41522870.html

https://www.rte.ie/news/election-24/results/#/cork-south-central

https://irelandvotes.com/ge24/cork-south-central

^^ Might be a good site when counts come in?

Edit: - Sorry Examiner site may be behind a Subscription paywall. Have an account because a relative here, get's the paper delivered.

IrishTimes seem's to have results behind a paywall as well.

dulpit

Oh I hope Buttimer doesn't get in. I voted Laura Harmon but wouldn't mind if Padraig Rice gets in instead (he got my number 2)

corkie

https://www.businesspost.ie/news/cork-south-central-fianna-fail-dominates-with-mcgrath-as-socdems-look-to-eat-labours-lunch/ ~ Archive Link.

"Many people are going down to their 14th and 15th preferences," McGrath told reporters after a stroll around the count centre.
But perhaps the most interesting twist will be the fight for that fifth seat, following the addition of Bishopstown, Glasheen and Mardyke, with the Social Democrats’ Pádraig Rice, only a councillor a few months, now tipped to potentially pull off a famous victory for Holly Cairin’s party.

What a way to phrase it 'SocDems look to eat Labour's lunch', also glad 'Pádraig Rice' is hopefully going do well and get a seat. Glad I gave him my 1st Preference! As it says was he predicted by some observers?

Oh I only went as far as 10, have people really gone deeper?

@Pen Rua Did you bring in a list that you voted the full ballot?

dulpit

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122905787#Comment_122905787

I went all the way to 22.

corkie

^^ Source: - https://www.rte.ie/news/election-24/results/#/cork-south-central

7.05pm: Fianna Fáil leader Micheál Martin has been elected on the first count in Cork South Central. The Tánaiste secured 14,526 votes, some 4,075 votes above the quota of 10,451. ~~ Source

Glad Rice has done well and unless he gets a lot of transfers, can't see my ballot going further at this stage.

Pen Rua

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122905787#Comment_122905787

Didn’t end up bringing a list. Had a look at the ballot online before I went then took my time at the polling centre.

dulpit

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122906682#Comment_122906682

That's some performance from the top 2 FF candidates. You have to assume that's the last general election for MM, going out on top.

Looks like Rice will grab the soft left seat alright, just hoping that O'Callaghan moves ahead of Buttimer for the blueshirt seat.

corkie

I edited and mentioned TheJournal as another good guide in the 'General Thread' but just found this silly mistake.

Source: - https://www.thejournal.ie/section/ge24/constituency/92/ Tweet at them, so hopefully they can correct it?

Gamb!t

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122900041#Comment_122900041

Im not au fait with Neville's politics..

Why did he do/propose to get such a low vote?

Acosta

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122907059#Comment_122907059

He's a member of the national party

dulpit

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122907059#Comment_122907059

He's a far right, anti immigrant member of the national party. This crowd:

Should be obvious enough why his vote is low and deserves to be low.

corkie

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/122906682#Comment_122906682

As Michael Martin surplus didn't change the order of the top candidates here is a different graph of count 2!

Source: - https://www.irishexaminer.com/news/ireland/arid-41522870.html

As could be predicted must transfers went to McGrath, but FG pickup some too! Rice +79.

3 candidates elimited for next count.

Ward, Valerie
105
O'Leary, John
61
Field, Tony
37

Edit 22:49: -

No change from the order on last count!

For count 4 counting Graham DE BARRA, eliminated 230 votes. He was my 10th preference to bury my ballot on a no-hoper!

Note:- I will be going out for dinner tomorrow and busy in the morning so could someone accept the task of keeping the thread updated. @dulpit ???? 😀

corkie

Just a quick post today from me!

Mick Finn has jumped a head of Shane O'Callaghan as of count 7!

Eliminations this morning: -

Makes 3 preferences of mine eliminated. Two of by bottom 10.

`Note:-` I will be going out for dinner today and busy now so could someone accept the task of keeping the thread updated. @dulpit ???? 😀

DylanQuestion

I would much prefer Mick to jump ahead of Jerry…

I’ll post when people are elected

DylanQuestion

Seamus McGrath elected

corkie

Home again and back on laptop!

Interesting watching where McGrath transfers went!

Distribution of votes for McCARTHY Úna (FG), Excluded on Count 11 went to other FG and pushed Mick Finn down the order list again. Green's distribution now.

Edit 16:24: - Green's transfers mainly went to SD and Labour!

Anna DALY, AON been assigned now.

corkie

This was delayed post from RTE?

https://bsky.app/profile/news.rte.ie/post/3lcbf7chxxc2e

Distribution of votes for HARMON Laura (LAB), Excluded on Count 15

dulpit

https://twitter.com/RTEcorkSTHCENT/status/1863319571387600991?t=hFADz1cJ1RGJlbZ5uXt1hA&s=19

3 seats filled, 2 to go. 3 candidates left, you have to assume Shane O'Callaghan transfers to Buttimer and himself and Rice are elected with Mick Finn last man looking in.

SleetAndSnow

Padraig rice elected! Delighted for him and the social democrats in general. Buttimer, somehow, getting his chance in the dail also

corkie

Hope people don't start using the 18 count against them like they have with Simon Harris!

DylanQuestion

Thanks all for the updates! Delighted for Pádraig!