I think it will be FF/FG again with god knows who. Hopefully a left wing party
It will be November 15th
You're correct. It is 2007.
It's effectively a 2nd Govt seat.
Ya the youth vote is low which proves most are non voters. But the old vote is high which show most people do only begin to vote as they age. So it's not left going right it's right beginning to vote.
...
Oh I thought it was since 2007! Surely she will take the hint at this stage.
That will have been working people so not Hutch voters.
I would think a substantial number gravitate from left but I don't have figures. Enough to make a big difference in elections I'm sure. There are often complaints about low numbers of young people voting in elections so a portion of them discontinuing voting will hardly make a huge difference.
SF huge drop from 2020, one quota between the two Shinners.
And Mary Fitzpatrick……On 4% it doesn't look like she'll be elected and she is trying to win a seat in DC since 2007.
wicklow 12% tallied
Minister for Health on 6% :)
Stephen Donnelly tallies....badddd...good
There was a very late voting surge yesterday evening in DC, it bucked the trend of the general lower working class turnout, suspect it was Hutch people.
Breathtaking if The Monk gets in.
He will get Steenson transfers.
Bad day for Clare Daly.
Holly Cairns looks to be tallying around 19% and is 3rd based on tallies. Combined FG tally is 22% though, so not safe.
If she loses by 1 when she didn't get to vote that'd suck.
That Hutch tally is a disgrace.
Gerry Hutch in the running for a seat in Dublin Central. He's polling at 12% FP although only one third of the vote counted so far.
34% tally, Hutch is 4th on 12%, 2% behind Donohoe FG
Well not "at all" it's not absolutes and certainly some on the left would go right too.
But the idea that the majority of the lefties you knew when you were 20 are now voting right doesn't hold true.
There is a large none voting cohort in the young groups. That is well established as is the fact the old vote in much greater numbers so where were all those old people when they were young ?
They were not voting and when they do age and begin to vote they go for middle ground majority parties like centre right FF and FG
Interesting tallies so far from DC
the vested interest groups have managed to muddy the water on immigration- these are NGO’s and other agenda based groups.
There’s viable immigration which are people that come here through work skilled visa or employment opportunity and are self sustaining. Also are people seeking international protection that are processed through official camps etc
non-viable immigration is EU citizens coming here signing on welfare and going on housing lists. The other type is people arriving here directly claiming international protection usually while having already registered for the same in another EU country.
Any party able to suggest policies for dealing with the latter would have gained support. But you can see with the lazy generalisations on here why they didn’t go there.
I'd like to see those studies. Lefties only voting when young and their peers not voting at all when young but then start voting when older? That sounds very questionable.
People make silly predictions based on very partial tallies.
Mary Fitzpatrick rejected for the 5th time in Dublin Central.
Isn't there actually a load of studies that prove this isn't true.
What really tends to happen is only lefties vote when young and it skews right as they age because their no show peers start to vote as they have kids, mortgages etc.
Wouldn't say Donnelly is safe at all at this moment in time on the current tallying
But they said Hutch polling extremely poorly in other more "gentrified" (not sure about that) areas like Smithfield thankfully.
He's safe. Looking like a good day for Ruth Coppinger bringing back her positivity to the Dail.
Exactly. A lot of people gravitate to the centre and right of centre as they age. Youthful change the world idealogy gives way to the realities of live.
The UK usually show the speaker in a different colour and section. But I guess the precedence here is that the ceann comhairle needs to be elected again once dail meets, so it's valid, right?
That seat saved their blushes last time. 😁
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