I think it will be FF/FG again with god knows who. Hopefully a left wing party
It will be November 15th
Good.
Too many new parties all a bit indecipherable from each other even name wise, plus some real loopers running taking votes from them as well.
Lefties losing their sh1t on twitter that FF & FG largely unchanged from the last election. They should be happy that there is no sign of a major surge to the right really.
If any of the parties on the left put on a pair of big boy pants they can get into a coalition to replace the greens, but most will be happy to play hurler on the ditch.
20% of second preference vote goes to FF and FG, with SF at 17%,
2nd preference exit poll is out in a few minutes
They'll take any fools money
If that exit poll plays out when votes are counted then 80% of people aren't buying what SF are selling.
But cHaNgE or something
Nope margin of error in 2020 was plus or minus 1.3%. SF were over 2% higher on first preferences in reality.
Bit odd that all the percentages on the 2nd preference poll are without decimal / whole numbers?
Interesting that SF and FG are as transfer friendly as each other.
Not really. 2nd preference could be a 2nd SF candidate where applicable.
It'll be interested to see when the boxes get opened
From a family point of view I’m happy that labour are coming up a bit(from a low bar).My late grandfather was always a labour voter.
60% aren't buying what the government are selling
But EveRYtHinG iS GrEaT
FF&FG: 19.5-21 1st prefs and 20-20 2nd prefs. Id guess 80% of them are transferring to each other!
FF and FG you mean I presume?
SD did not do well they were not welcoming of a center left alliance with Lab and Gr. However 15% between the three if them figures are right 20+ seats between them. Lab making a come back possibly 10 seats after seeing second preference choices.
Aontu 3.6% probably 3 ish seats. Independents not looking good for them. PBP at 3.1% better than I taught they woukd do. SF coattails coukd give them 5 seats.
odd that , 20 mins later she’s 5/1 lol
From the exit poll, read a couple of analysts saying ff/fg would need 2 parties to join them to form a government.
Looks like a steady show for Harris after a dodgy campaign. Only an exit poll though.
True
Yes think it was the 2nd preference votes from the exit poll that shifted it
Ivan Yates is predicting FF+FG+Lab as the next government and he’s probably 100% on the money.
Very much so I know in my area Dublin south central they are hoping for 2, with Aengus likely massively topping poll as usual it is possible.
They will not have the numbers.
Ivan Yates makes 101 predictions and then when one of them comes true, claims to be a new nostradamus
He might be right....but given his history when it comes to betting I wouldn't bet the house on it lol
2nd prefs were on twitter well before RTE
Time for the lads in Belfast to give Mary Lou her marching orders now I’d think.
Same bullsh1tter was predicting 50 seats for FF a few days ago
it’s 5-1 right now
He makes so many predictions he will always get a few right.
I wonder if the sheer quantity of parties contributed to the poorer turnout.
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