I think it will be FF/FG again with god knows who. Hopefully a left wing party
It will be November 15th
Tis what the people want. Gotta adore our PRSTV system, possibly the most nuanced voting system in the world
Ooh what’s happening in Wexford?
You'd prefer no alternatives?
between SF and FF to do what ?
Evaluating how badly and incompetently managed FGs campaign has been managed is dificult it has been so poor. Unprecedented in my opinion. How this couldn’t have been managed internally is beyond belief.
We've now 10 parties and then a further 20 to 30 Independents about to enter the Dail. Many of these people about to get elected are complete headbangers.
while I agree that some of the options aren’t great they put themselves forward for election and the voters vote then in.
I wonder could we see a scenario where FG do worse than expected and reject a coalition with FF and others, FF only path remaining to government is with SF. MM has form doing the opposite to what he said, so he’ll be in a tricky a spot. If he does stick to his word we have a stalemate and another election.
Achieve the largest mandate.
Is that a fancy way to saying most seats ?
What does it say about the electorate?
Independent Ireland want a luas in every county. PBP want to raise corporation tax.
Social Democrats are basically Labour but just haven't been in government.
Aontu wouldn't exist if it weren't for the repeal amendment.
So many of the Independents belonged to existing parties who left or were thrown out.
If we have a protracted period of government formation, which is likely, then it may force the public to consider their voting intentions the next time. We're electing a government and an opposition, not a circus.
Something needs to change though, an implosion, in another way, will solve the reckless spending, might result in more parties forming and maybe FFG would think a bit longer and harder, if they were responsible, for the second collapse in living memory
It’s kind of old news,Ivan Yates hinted at it in his constituency podcast and it seems the IT has gone and ssked questions down there on foot of that
The incumbent retiree is supporting one candidate over another without having mind to the delicacies of presenting it as vote management Fine Gael in terms of vote management/election planning could never run a tap,they’re the un luckiest party in Ireland,you’d wonder what in the divil @FrancieBrady should be worrying about at all ? 🤣🤣
I see your points, and I am no fan of SF.
Here are my comments:
(1) yes, correct, the SF plan suggests onward sales are restricted (by price, and buyer), but there will still be plenty of qualified buyers for these houses
(2) yes, there is no clear answer here yet, but banks of course lend all the time for apartments where the borrowers don't out the underlying land
(3) does SF plan to start a State builder? I thought that was just an aspiration?
Actually, I have the SF plan here, so I will check now.
Answer = no mention of a State building firm
As far as I can see, SF want the LA and AHB to hire building contractors to build the houses
(4) see answer 3, there is no mention of a State building firm in the SF plan delivered to every house
(5) By the existing schemes, do you mean HTB and the shared equity scheme?
So they knew if was coming and it breaks in election week? Worse it is getting
Local to me FG are doing some stuff as 1/2/3 for specific candidates (well, 1/2 and then not mention the 3 by name even; some stuff is 1 for a name, vote for the others as you wish; some is vote 1/2/3 as you wish and some is just vote 1 - no mention of any running mates. Huge leaflet from the sitting TD delivered about how wonderful he is and you'd swear he was running alone.
Absolute mess. They should be able to take two seats here but I now think 1.
No, it’s a way of saying ‘who gets the largest mandate’.
RTE confirmed an exit poll with the Irish Times for Friday night.
I'm not sure if it will be announced on the Late Late Show or if there will be a news special. I think they've announced it on the Late Late Show before but it should be particularly weird given that Kilety won't have a clue about the parties.
Update on that. RTE thankfully seeing sense and putting a news special on RTE 2 for the exit poll on Friday night.
Times will want something out of it. It will be all over Twitter/Bluesky too
From my reading of it,lightning hit a few fuses in their election brain,they hooked up a Kilkenny generator to it,Phil hogan was the brand name I think but that overloaded both the election fuse board and the government one and now a lot of the election planners are running round like the stepford wives with out brains pressing buttons,sometimes the right ones,sometimes the wrong,it’s really random
Any clearer? I’m not
It’s no way to run a campaign anyway
I’m not aware of a worse one from the position they were in. Unprecedented as it is incompetent. I don’t like Phil Hogan but I thought he had more to offer than that and was actually expecting a slick campaign. FF’s has been that.
Thanks heard it on the news just now- pizz poor for Labour but at least they gained 1 percentage point- it’s the party I was hoping could become the 3rd force but not a hope of that happening -Very low figures for all 3 main parties- it will be one hell of a coalition requiring many independents -could take months to agree and who knows , we could be having another election next year; definitely not beyond the bounds of possibility
Simon Harris would need security in case McGahon attacked him, can that be arranged at such short notice.
Are FFFG not increasing the housing supply no? 40k to be complete this year up from 32k last year, at the same time as the building sector is fully utilised?
Harris is losing this election for his party single handedly -he’s finally reached his level of incompetence and it shows- I’ve a feeling FG will lose a lot of seats, some to FF and the rest to independents - no one likes an aloof politician but it’s unforgivable at election time - you can just feel his inexperience - he thinks elections are just about hand shaking and running around a town at breakneck speed
FF shouldn't exist after what they did to this country. It boggles me that they will win the most seats in this election.
FF are far more disciplined and passionate about their party IMO
The current iteration of SF is very like them in their early days which is why I fancy them as a horse to watch,just not this time
The difference is today they’re operating in a squeezed market
The good news even for Blanch is time heals a lot of things you don’t like about parties because things move on and compromises grow compromises
In another small leap Sinn Fein also want to increase the bank levy.
There's zero reason for the banks to show their hand. If (and that's a big if) SF's policy ever comes into being, the banks won't want to be left behind and will find a way to lend.
I also think the restrictions on further sale aren't a huge deal either. People are getting on the ladder later and later in life. I don't see many people trading up/moving around these days.
I don't really see a route to power for SF unless FF mutiny and tell Martin he's running for the Aras next year so it doesn't really matter what SF's policy is.
Michael Martin talks a lot of Nothing.
He doesn't answer any straight questions either but he is so seasoned at it that people think he is statesmanlike. He will spout any rubbish just to avoid the question. Like many old FF politicians, he talks out of both sides of his mouth.
