I think it will be FF/FG again with god knows who. Hopefully a left wing party
It will be November 15th
I can't quite decide if it's disingenuous on newly elected counsellors throwing their hat in to the ring for the GE. Like getting a new job but waiting to jump as soon as a better one comes up straight away.
And let's be honest, some of these elected at council level would do, or could do much more for the constituents who voted for them locally than if they were elected to the Dail (Depending on your party)
Officially the replacement protocol depends on each councils rules but fundamentally it is as above.
Party co-options are defined by national law. Party is the one you were elected for, not the one you represent if they are different. e.g. had some of the Soc Dem councillors originally elected for Labour in 2014 been elected to the Dáil in 2016, Labour would have got the replacement.
Independent rules can be set by the council; but I believe all of them let the outgoing Independent nominate some. If someone dies, that has the biggest variance - some councils ask you to provide a list of replacements for that circumstance, and some do countback - the last person who didn't get elected in your area gets it instead. There was such confusion over what to do when Anthony Flynn died that Dublin City council just ran one councillor down for three years.
There was a court case when the elected party didn't exist anymore when Mick Barry got elected to the Dáil; but it was settled out of court I believe - this was as one of the party registrations in the overall AAA/S-PBP setup was let lapse.
There would have been a substantial number of councillors sitting for Labour but elected for Democratic Left or the Workers Party in the 94 Town Council and 91 County Council elections; must check if there were any oddities there - particular as the rump WP still existed.
I think they get to ‘co opt’ another of their choosing onto the council without a vote Their party if they’re a member
Themselves if they’re an independent
I was driving through a constituency today & saw a poster mounted for a councillor looking to be elected a TD. I doubt the person will get elected but if they were, what happens to the council seat? Will it mean another election?
Classic from Michael Fitzmaurice there on Primetime. Between a Ffer and a FGer the conversation was about pinching policy ideas,
‘In fairness to the two boys beside me, they ate the dinner and took the menu too’. 😁
What on earth is with your utterly bizarre obsession with cancelling the election cause of snow? If it is supposed to be funny it isn't.
There is not much chance of this election going ahead with the snow that is falling down now in the west. Sure if somebody slipped on the way to vote they can sue the government and get a chunk of that apple money.
Add in the student protests and then when the young ones decided to have a few outdoor drinks during covid in Dublin city
No sign them when Zappone had a party or the clifden during covid though
May Day 2004 too or any number of water charges protests or farmers blockades of meat plants...oh wait they didn't do that one!!
Or that time they for to forcefully remove the Debenhams workers. Looked very happy with themselves then too
That time they got to baton charge the English football hooligans in Lansdowne Road in 1995!
They've no chance of getting a majority. Focusing resources on the handful who have a reasonable chance of getting elected is logical.
Nobody is running enough candidates to get a majority.
Ah we know plenty in Leinster House like a wee sniff in the toilets, but I doubt it will be that extreme to cancel an election
The snow will be gone by the weekend though.
it’ll be close on 15 degrees come the weekend
When are you voting??
It's not just the weather. It's the 3 months of darkness and winter weather. And the depression post Xmas. Autumn is much nicer.
The first 2 weeks of November were ideal for canvassing.
What have now and 9 days time got to do with each other ?
Those who were pushing for a November election because the weather was bound to be better than in February/March arent't looking too clever as things stand…
I have not found any mechanism whereby a general election writ that has been moved can be cancelled.
The forecast is not for this weather to last nine days either.
It is looking like my prediction a couple weeks ago that this election will be cancelled due to heavy snowfall is extremely likely. It is coming down hard now in Mayo.
Did the Gardai ever have high morale.
Always seemed miserable to me.
Low morale in AGS is completely down to Garda management. Also, is there a big problem with illegal immigration?
but but but anyone voting for Helen McEntee after her abysmal failure as a Minister for Justice should get his/her head examined. The way she failed to handle the illegal immigrants and the current low morale of the Garda are but two examples of her total incompetence. She simply wasn't fit for purpose, wayyyyyyyyyyyy out of her dept. Much more competent women were to be found in the junior ministers rank or worse still left spouting on the back benches.
Had to google her, she mentions immigration so will win some votes. I'd be almost certain of 4 of the 5 i mentioned so maybe she could take the last seat, although the FF lad is located well
Linda DeCourcey for Independent Ireland was mentioned as a vague possibility of a seat on RTE's 'Know Your Constituency' podcast.
Certainly won't be Aontu if you look at the candidate, he's very local and wouldn't have much of a presence, and wouldn't be worrying SF too much. I don't know enough about any of the far right candidates if any are actually running
I think one of the 2 SF or Gino will lose to an Aontu/II/far-right candidate there.
Looking through Dublin mid-west and it's one of the most straight forward to call all 5 seats with demographics playing a huge role
SF 2(O'Broin & Ward) seats (Will always be strong in Fettercairn, Bawnouge,Green Park, Neilstown, Marks etc etc)
Gino has Neilstown boxed off so he'll retain his seat
Emer Higgins unfortunately has Newcastle, Saggart, Rathcoole and parts of Lucan pretty much to herself so an absolute cert as a cert can be to retain her seat
FF final seat, Moynihan is actually located in the area which will probably suit best to pick enough votes up to win a seat
She's due a baby now in Nov so got pregnant in February
Back then and upto about a month ago, the Govt were telling everyone the election would be in early 2025
So you could say she timed her pregnancy correct (not that that matters anyway)